2025 Market Report - MRY & PG | Carmel Realty Company

Page 1


2025 Annual Market Report

Carmel-by-the-Sea & Carmel Point ◆ Greater Carmel ◆ Carmel Valley ◆ Pebble Beach

Carmel Highlands, Big Sur & South Coast ◆ Pacific Grove ◆ Monterey & Del Rey Oaks

Private Home Above The Lodge at Pebble Beach
3307
Expansive & Elegant Pebble Beach Estate New Contemporary in Carmel-by-the-Sea
Elevated Coastal Living in Monterra
Perched Above the Ocean in Carmel Highlands
Ocean Views at the Lodge in Pebble Beach
Stylish Beachside Living in Monterey
1564 Sonado Road ■ SP: $13,900,000 ■ Rep. Buyer & Seller
Casanova 7 NW of Ocean ■ SP: $9,750,000 ■ Rep. Seller
Highway 1 ■ SP: $11,500,000 ■ Rep. Seller 3307 17 Mile Drive #4 ■ SP: $7,050,000 ■ Rep. Seller

2025 Market Overview

As we settle into the quieter rhythm of winter on the Monterey Peninsula, it’s hard not to be reminded why this coastline remains such a special place to call home. Crisp mornings, glowing sunsets over the Pacific, and the year-round beauty of Carmel, Pebble Beach, and Monterey create a lifestyle that continues to draw people here from near and far. Looking back, 2025 was a solid and encouraging year for local real estate, marked by steady buyer interest, resilient pricing, and a market that continued to reflect the long-term appeal of living in one of the most desirable regions in California.

In the following market report, we’ve included detailed neighborhood-by-neighborhood insights to better illustrate how the Monterey Peninsula performed across a wide range of price points and communities. Carmel-by-the-Sea saw healthy year-over-year momentum, with sales modestly higher than 2024 and pricing generally stable, even as the mix of homes sold influenced the averages. Greater Carmel mirrored that steadiness in overall annual activity and reached a record yearly average price, despite a softer average in the fourth quarter. Carmel Valley continued to demonstrate strong demand and broad participation across the market, with sales essentially matching last year while pricing trends reflected a greater share of lower-priced transactions and a longer average time on market.

Across the rest of the Peninsula, a few communities finished 2025 with notable strength. Pebble Beach posted its most active quarter of the year and continued a two-year pattern of improvement in both sales and volume, highlighted by high-end closings and strong representation by local brokerages. Finally in Carmel Highlands & Big Sur, a handful of marquee sales drove an impressive jump in annual volume, underscoring how influential luxury activity can be in these low-inventory, high-demand coastal communities. The final six months of the year saw a return of $10M+ buyers who had been previously quiet. Over these six months, eight $10M properties sold, after just five such sales over the prior 18 months.

For the year, the average sales price came in at $1.92M across the areas we serve here on the peninsula. This was a 1.3% increase in pricing versus 2024. The number of units sold also rose 3.0% year-over-year, which led to a sales volume increase of 4.3%.

Each of the markets we serve navigate a constant balancing act between supply, demand, and pricing. This makes it essential to have experienced, local, expert representation when buying or selling a home. Please reach out to one of our full-time professional agents should you and any of your friends or family be considering a real estate transaction here on the Monterey Peninsula.

We hope you enjoy the following detailed analytic view of our market.

Market Update

Carmel-by-the-Sea & Carmel Point

Carmel-by-the-Sea & Carmel Point

The fourth quarter of 2025 saw 23 sales in Carmel-by-the-Sea, which was down from 32 sales last quarter, but up from 19 during Q4 2024. The average sales price of $3.72M during Q4 was just above 2025’s yearly average sales price of $3.71M. The average number of days to sell in the area during Q4 was just 45 days. This was more typical of a count we saw during 2024, when the average number of days finished at 43 for the year. 2025’s average came in almost 50% higher at 64 days to sell. Carmel Realty Company was proud to have Agents represent the seller of the top sale and the buyer for the second highest sale during Q4.

Usanditia ne endem. Es ellictor sitat andendam et quae omnimendamus il ium sapieni mustenis rerat pera et utes corerem nimus et, testrum faccusandus. Tate nonsequi doloris sus natem debis mos earcipsapid quia volum que si acestem unt quos volor mo ma veliquam harum re ne laut accus alic tentis eos a simpos apiet eum fuga. Ut quiae simincit aut omniantiis dem rerehenem ipit quat il ipsum re ni optatur, con necabore magnatur, niae. Omnim debit et occum quidel ius ma diorepeliat vendio enest, con core voloratiam qui officiis dolupiet lignate nisquas quam, corendae magniet officimos mi, que occat minus, ommo cone omnitem volorest eictian destem. At officie nditiore quassita idelit quiam, cuptatati dolorestio volorrovide sitiur as as expeles ratiasperis eaquo

Carmel-by-the-Sea experienced a modest year in both sales transactions and sales volume. The number of sales came in at 103 for the year, up 7.3% from 96 sales last year. Sales volume was down 8.5% due to the mix of sales that took place during the year. 2025 saw 19 sales over $5M in the area, the same as 2024, but last year these $5M+ sales brought $35M in additional volume. In addition, 2024 saw eight additional sales in the $3M-$5M range than 2025. All this led to an average sales price drop of almost 15% year-overyear. Though average prices were down this year, we still believe homes in the area appreciated somewhere in the 1-5% range, more typical of what was seen across the entire Monterey Peninsula.

Average Selling Price $3,706,691 48.8% 8.5% 14.7%

Average Days on Market

64

Units Sold

103 Sales Volume $381,789,208

versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024

7.3%

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Average vs. Median Sales Price in millions

Total Sales Volume By Quarter in millions

Number of Closed Sales By Quarter

Did You Know?

Median Sales Price in millions

Carmel-by-the-Sea is known for attracting various celebrities and artists. Clint Eastwood served as mayor of the village from 1986-1988. Other notable celebrities, artists and writers who have called Carmel home include Doris Day, John Denver, Ansel Adams and Jack London.

“Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Greater Carmel

Carmel Woods, Mission Fields, Hatton Fields, Carmel Hills, High Meadows, Jacks Peak, Carmel Meadows

The Greater Carmel area saw 15 sales during Q4 2025, the same as last quarter and two more than Q4 2024. While the number of sales was the same, the average sales price was very low during the quarter, finishing at $1.59M, down 35.3% from last quarter. The number of sales for the year equaled last year’s total of 60 sales. While the average sales price was low during Q4, across 2025 as a whole, the average sales price was strong in the area, reaching a yearly record of $2.38M. Total sales volume for the year was up 10.7% to $142.5M. The average days to sell jumped 35% year-overyear from 40 days to 54 days.

Average Days on Market 54 Average Selling Price $2,375,180 10.7% 10.7%

35.0%

Sales Volume

$142,510,800

versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024

Units Sold

60

no change versus 2024

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Average vs. Median Sales Price in millions

Total Sales Volume By Quarter in millions

Number of Closed Sales By Quarter

Median Sales Price in millions

Did You Know?

Robert Louis Stevenson modeled Treasure Island’s Spyglass Hill after Point Lobos State Reserve near Carmel. “Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Carmel Valley

Including Santa Lucia Preserve

Like Greater Carmel, Carmel Valley saw a much lower average sales price number during Q4 versus the first nine months of the year. The average sales price was $1.54M during the quarter, down over 17% from Q3. The number of sales during the quarter came in at 49, just 5 off Q3’s total, and two more than Q4 last year. Carmel Realty Company & Monterey Coast Realty combined to have eleven different Agents and Agent teams represent clients in this area during Q4.

For the year, Carmel Valley saw 181 sales, up one from 180 in 2024. The average sales price dipped 9.6% from $2.08M in 2024 to $1.88M in 2025, as an increased number of lower-priced homes sold over the course of the year. The average days to sell in this area jumped just over 35%, from an average of 64 days to 84 days, the second highest of all areas, behind only Carmel Highlands.

Average Selling Price $1,882,971 9.6% 35.5% 9.1% 0.6%

Average Days on Market 84

181 Sales Volume

versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024 Units Sold

$340,817,750

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Total Sales Volume By Quarter in millions Average vs. Median Sales Price in millions

Number of Closed Sales By Quarter

Did You Know?

Monterey County has 349 vineyards, 82 bonded wineries and 65 tasting rooms. The wide range of climates allow Monterey County to grow over 30 different wine grape varietals.

“Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Pebble Beach

Pebble Beach saw 29 sales during Q4, the most of any quarter this year. The area saw one sale over $10M close during the quarter, a $13.9M sale on Sonado Road double ended by Carmel Realty Company. Carmel Realty Company and Monterey Coast Realty combined to have 10 different agents and teams represent 21 of the 59 transaction sides during Q4, representing over 45% of transaction volume during the quarter (over double than next competing brokerage).

While the Pebble Beach market remains slow compared with prepandemic sales numbers, the area showed growth over the previous two years. 2025 experienced 99 sales during the year, up from 80 sales in 2024 and 75 sales in 2023. The total sales volume was also up 41% year-over-year. The average sales price came in at $3.6M for the year, up about 14% from a very low 2024 total. This figure still trailed 2021 and 2022 averages, when numerous high-priced listings sold, but beat out every other year on record.

Average Days on Market 59 Average Selling Price $3,636,484 13.9% 3.3%

99 Sales Volume $360,011,900

41.0%

Units Sold

23.8%

versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024

2025 Quarterly Market

Did You Know?

17-Mile Drive through Pebble Beach is one of only nine private toll roads in the country, and the only one west of the Mississippi.

“Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Carmel Highlands, Big Sur & South Coast

The Carmel Highlands & Big Sur area’s Q4 was highlighted by two $10M+ sales. Carmel Realty Company was proud to represent the seller of one of these large sales. Monterey Coast Realty also double-ended a $2.75M sale in Carmel Highlands. The area saw six total sales during the quarter, matching last quarter’s total. The total sales volume reached its highest mark of the year, totaling $43.1M

This low-sale area saw 25 closings during 2025, up three sales from last year. With four sales over $10M during the year, along with another three over $5M, the area outpaced last year’s total sales volume by $28M, which was up 28.9%. The average days to sell came in at 108 days. It is not uncommon for this area to see 100+ days on the market, but this is the first time since 2021, after three years with averages in the seventies.

Average Days on Market 108

Units Sold

25 Sales Volume $125,689,552

Average Selling Price $5,027,582 13.5% 38.5% 28.9% 13.6%

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Average vs. Median Sales Price in millions

Total Sales Volume By Quarter in millions

Number of Closed Sales By Quarter

Sales Price in millions

Did You Know?

Local settings from around the Monterey Peninsula have provided the backdrops for more than 180 films and television shows. You’ll recognize many scenes in HBO’s award winning mini-series Big Little Lies in Big Sur and the Carmel Highlands.

“Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Pacific Grove

Pacific Grove ended the year with an incredible Q4. The 52 sales during the quarter and $81.9M in sales volume were each the highest figures in over four years, since Q3 2021. The average sales price was down 8.8% quarter-over-quarter, but this is not atypical when a spike in sales numbers occurs. The second-highest MLS sale in Pacific Grove history also took place during the quarter, with Carmel Realty Company representing the buyer on a $7.3M home on Asilomar. Five other Carmel Realty and Monterey Coast Realty Agents also represented clients during the quarter. The surge in Q4 activity, after a steady first three quarters, allowed PG to finish with its best sales unit total (147) since 2022 and best sales volume total ($239M) since 2021. With the increased number of units sold, average sale price finished the year at $1.63M, down just 2.1% year-over-year. Pacific Grove was one of only two areas across the peninsula that saw the average days to sell go down. The area averaged just 38 days to sell during 2025, down from 43 days the previous year. This was the quickest average across all areas.

Average Days on Market

Sales Volume

$239,539,611

Units Sold

147

38 Average Selling Price $1,629,521 2.1% 15.1% 17.6% 11.6%

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Did You Know?

Point Pinos Lighthouse in Pacific Grove is the oldest continually operating lighthouse on the West Coast.

“Monterey County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Monterey & Del Rey Oaks

Monterey experienced a very nice end to the year, with Q4 bringing the highest number of sales (63) and the largest total sales volume ($81.2M) of any quarter during the year. The average sales price was down 9.9% from Q3 2025, but up 24.4% from Q4 last year. Carmel Realty Company and Monterey Coast Realty Agents teamed up to sell the highest priced sale in the quarter, a $6.895 estate in Monterra, as well as double-ending two other high-priced sales of $3.95M and $2.95M.

The 2025 yearly average sales price of $1.33M set a record for the Monterey area, up 1.1% from last year. The median sales price also set a record, coming in at $1.15M during 2025. There were seven less units sold in 2025 than 2024, bringing total sales volume down 2% for the year.

Average Days on Market 55

Units Sold

Average Selling Price $1,325,228 1.1% 44.7% 2.0% 3.0%

versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024 versus 2024

223 Sales Volume $295,525,922

2025 Quarterly Market Breakdown

Did You Know?

Nearly a quarter million tons of sardines were processed on Cannery Row in 1945, the year John Steinbeck’s Cannery Row was published. Cannery Row was previously named Ocean View Avenue but was renamed to honor John Steinbeck’s well-known novel.

“Monterey

County Fun Facts”, Monterey County Convention & Visitors Bureau, 2020

Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.