Cheltenham Festival Preview 2026
Welcome
Thank you for registering for our 2026 Cheltenham Festival Preview.
The Festival is just days away and I hope this event helps to create anticipation, while also providing some helpful insights.
I would like to thank our panellists for generously giving their time and sharing their honest, expert views. I am also delighted to welcome Dan Skelton for the first time, meaning that, alongside Nicky Henderson, you will hear from two of the biggest names in the training ranks.
The regular attendees amongst you will be familiar with the format, but for those joining for the first time, we will preview the main Graded races, whilst dipping in and out of the handicaps along the way.
This digital guide contains entries for the major races and it may be helpful to have this open on a separate device throughout the evening.
Finally, I hope you enjoy this evening’s event, and I would like to personally thank you for your continued support of Weatherbys.
Best wishes,
Oliver Barnett Client Director
Ambiente Friendly (IRE) 11-7
James Owen Form: 164
Ballyfad (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 112
Baron Noir (IRE) 11-7
Alan King Form: 211
Blake (GB) 11-7
Noel Meade Form: 125
Blues Singer (GB) 11-7
Alan King Form: 4-30
Caballero Cliff (GB) 11-7
Robert Stephens Form: 651
Double Measure (FR) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 41F
Eachtotheirown (IRE) 11-7
Barry Connell Form: 151
El Cairos (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 2F1
Free Spirit (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-13
Glance At Midnight (GB) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 252
Hamlet’s Night (IRE) 11-7
James Owen Form: 122
He’s On Fire (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 621
Heads Up (GB) 11-7
John McConnell Form: 251
Idaho Sun (IRE) 11-7
Harry Fry Form: 111
King Rasko Grey (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 213
Koktail Brut (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 104
Laurets d’Estruval (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-21
Leader d’Allier (FR) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 121
Le Beau Madrik (FR) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 211
Le Divin Enfant (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 146
Makinbecon (GB) 11-7
John & Rhys Flint Form: 22-4
Mighty Park (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-1
Mossy Fen Road (IRE) 11-7
Harry Derham Form: 112
Mydaddypaddy (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 112
Old Park Star (IRE) 11-7
Nicky Henderson Form: 111
Sageborough (FR) 11-7
Paul Nolan Form: 10
Saint Baco (FR) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 3-16
Skylight Hustle (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 211
Sober (FR) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 11
Key Trends
25 of the past 29 winners won last time out
Sober Glory (IRE) 11-7
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Form: 411
Soldier Reeves (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 123
Sortudo (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-12
Storming George (IRE) 11-7
Neil King Form: 620
Talk The Talk (FR) 11-7
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 1F1
The Reverend (GB) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1U
Too Bossy For Us (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-51
Tyson Fury (GB) 11-7
Denis G. Hogan Form: 40
Walks In June (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 161
Zeus Power (GER) 11-7
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 211
Macho Man (FR) 10-11
W. P. Mullins Form: 12
Proactif (FR) 10-11 W. P. Mullins Form: 11
9 of the past 13 winners were trained by either Willie Mullins (6) or Nicky Henderson (3)
8 of the past 12 winners had won a Grade 1 novice hurdle on their most recent start
Horses rated 153+ are 7-20 during the past 12 years
16 of the past 17 winners were aged 5 or 6
16 of the 26 winners this century were trained in Ireland (this includes 9 of the past 13)
13 of the past 14 winners had won a Graded novice hurdle earlier in the season
12 of the past 13 winners were sent off at single figures (11 of those returned at 6-1 or shorter)
9 of the past 12 winners were rated 150+
8 of the past 12 winners were unbeaten during the current campaign
8 of the past 24 winners had contested a Graded bumper the previous spring
6 of the past 13 winners had run in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle on their most recent start (5 of them had won; all trained by Willie Mullins)
The past 6 winners had only run 2 or 3 times over hurdles
5 of the past 15 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point at the start of their careers
Only 3 of the past 21 winners were outright favourite (although 2 have been successful in the past 5 years as well as 1 joint-favourite)
Only 2 of the past 23 winners were older than 6
Only 2 of the past 15 winners failed to win last time out
Only 1 of the past 12 winners was rated below 148
Only 1 of the past 33 winners wore headgear (last year’s winner)
4yo’s are 0-15 this century
Genuine ex-Flat horses tend to struggle nowadays
Be wary of William Hill (ex-Betfair) Hurdle form
OLD PARK STAR
favourite for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.
Be Aware (FR) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 222
Downmexicoway (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 213
Hansard (IRE) 11-7
Gary & Josh Moore Form: 412
Irish Panther (GB) 11-7
Eddie & Patrick Harty Form: 112
Jax Junior (GB) 11-7
Lucy Wadham Form: 411
Kappa Jy Pyke (FR) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 0-11
Kopek des Bordes (FR) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 1-41
Lulamba (FR) 11-7
Nicky Henderson Form: 111
Mambonumberfive (FR) 11-7
Ben Pauling Form: 113
Mirabad (FR) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: U22
No Questions Asked (IRE) 11-7
Ben Pauling Form: 231
Port Joulain (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-01
Romeo Coolio (GB) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Salvator Mundi (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 261
Key Trends
19 of the past 25 winners had won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 over fences
Sixmilebridge (IRE) 11-7
Fergal O’Brien Form: 111
Steel Ally (FR) 11-7
Sam Thomas Form: 111
Break My Soul (IRE) 11-0
Ian Patrick Donoghue Form: 402
July Flower (FR) 11-0 Henry de Bromhead Form: 113
Kargese (FR) 11-0 W. P. Mullins Form: 212
11 of the past 14 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (6) or Nicky Henderson (5)
7 of the past 13 winners had won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 over both hurdles and fences
Horses rated 161+ are 7-16 since 2012
27 of the past 34 winners were aged 6 or 7
19 of the past 25 winners won last time out
16 of the past 23 winners had run 3 or 4 times over fences
16 of the past 22 winners spent just one season over hurdles
15 of the past 22 winners had run at the previous year’s Cheltenham Festival
15 of the past 20 winners had won at least twice over fences
12 of the past 18 winners were officially top-rated (BHA Ratings)
10 of the past 14 favourites have won
9 of the past 16 winners were unbeaten over fences
5yo’s are 0-17 since 2007
Only 2 winners this century were sent off at double figure odds
Only 2 of the past 24 winners had failed to win a Grade 1 or Grade 2 (over hurdles or fences)
Only 3 winners this century had run more than 4 times over fences
Only 3 of the past 34 winners were older than 7
Only 4 winners this century had fallen (or UR) earlier in the season
Paul Nicholls has struggled in recent years
Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 0-7
LOSSIEMOUTH
three-time Festival winner holds entries in the Champion Hurdle and Mares’ Hurdle.
THE
NEW LION winner of the Unibet Hurdle on trials day.
Alexei (GER) 11-10
Joe Tizzard Form: 131
Anzadam (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 244
Ballyburn (IRE) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 223
Casheldale Lad (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 1F3
Lucky Place (FR) 11-10
Nicky Henderson Form: 323
Poniros (GB) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-23
The New Lion (GB) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 1-F1
Wilful (IRE) 11-10
Jonjo & A.J. O’Neill Form: 312
Key Trends
12 of the past 15 winners were unbeaten during the current season
Workahead (IRE) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 0-42
Brighterdaysahead (FR) 11-3
Gordon Elliott Form: 321
Golden Ace (GB) 11-3
Jeremy Scott Form: 212
Lossiemouth (FR) 11-3
W. P. Mullins Form: 112
11 of the past 16 winners were trained by with Nicky Henderson (6) or Willie Mullins (5)
Mares are 5-12 during the past decade
31 of the past 36 winners won last time out
31 of the past 43 winners were aged 6 or 7
17 of the past 27 winners had won at the Festival previously
11 of the past 16 winners had run no more than 10 times over hurdles previously
10 of the past 15 favourites have won
8 of the past 14 winners were second-season hurdlers
7 of the past 17 winners had contested the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton
6 of the past 16 winners were owned by JP McManus (9 winners in total)
5 of the past 14 winners finished in the first 3 of the previous year’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle or Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle
There have been 5 multiple winners this century
5yo’s are 2-114 during the past 39 years
10yo’s (and older) are 0-32 during the past 41 years
Only 3 of the past 15 winners had run more than 12 times over hurdles previously
Only 2 of the past 27 winners had not run at the Cheltenham Festival previously
Only 1 of the past 49 winners regained their crown
Only 1 of the past 22 winners was aged 9
Only 1 of the past 55 winners had won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle the previous year
International (Unibet) Hurdle winners are 0-14 during the past 22 years
Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 0-8
GOLDEN ACE
last year’s Champion Hurdle winner lands the Fighting Fifth.
Exceptional everyday banking
Act of Innocence (IRE) 11-7
Nicky Henderson Form: 121
A Pai de Nom (GB) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 131
Ballyfad (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 112
Ballykinlar (IRE) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 432
Baron Noir (IRE) 11-7
Alan King Form: 211
Bobby’s Nelson (IRE) 11-7
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Form: 213
Bon Viveur (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 101
Bossman Jack (GB) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 311
Caballero Cliff (GB) 11-7
Robert Stephens Form: 651
Came From Nowhere (IRE) 11-7
Jeremy Scott Form: 211
Classical Creek (GB) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 3-10
Doctor du Mesnil (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-22
Doctor Steinberg (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 111
Doujadou (FR) 11-7
Rebecca Curtis Form: C12
Espresso Milan (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 011
Etna Bianco (IRE) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 154
Fortune Timmy (IRE) 11-7
Chris Gordon Form: 313
Forty Coats (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 4-03
Frankie John (IRE) 11-7
Denis G. Hogan Form: 155
Free Spirit (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-13
Fruit de Mer (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 2-13
Gentleman Toboot (IRE) 11-7
David Pipe Form: 113
Glance At Midnight (GB) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 252
He’s On Fire (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 621
Heads Up (GB) 11-7
John McConnell Form: 251
Hipop de Loire (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-1
Hurricane Pat (IRE) 11-7
Gary & Josh Moore Form: 112
I’ll Sort That (IRE) 11-7 Declan Queally Form: 111
I Started A Joke (IRE) 11-7
Charles Byrnes Form: 412
It’s Top (FR) 11-7
Oliver Signy Form: 0-21
Jalon d’Oudairies (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 221
Johnny’s Jury (IRE) 11-7
Jamie Snowden Form: 3-11
Kalypso’chance (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 214
King Rasko Grey (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 213
Klimt Madrik (FR) 11-7
Toby Lawes Form: 412
Koktail Brut (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 104
Kripticjim (FR) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 111
Laurets d’Estruval (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-21
Lazare de Star (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 122
Leader d’Allier (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 121
Le Beau Madrik (FR) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 211
Mighty Park (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-1
Mondoui’boy (FR) 11-7
Ben Pauling Form: 611
Moneygarrow (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 511
Neon Dream (IRE) 11-7
Alan King Form: 1-33
No Drama This End (IRE) 11-7
Paul Nicholls Form: 111
Off The Jury (IRE) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 22P
Red Oak (IRE) 11-7
James Owen Form: 212
Riskaway (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 124
Road Exile (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 312
Rocking Man (FR) 11-7
Sam Thomas Form: 2/-1P
Saint Baco (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-16
Shuttle Diplomacy (FR) 11-7
Thomas Cooper Form: 021
Skylight Hustle (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 211
Sober (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 11
Soldier Reeves (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 123
Sortudo (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-12
Starzand (IRE) 11-7
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Form: 23U
Swindon Village (IRE) 11-7
Charlie Longsdon Form: 131
Talk The Talk (FR) 11-7
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 1F1
Taurus Bay (IRE) 11-7 Ben Pauling Form: 112
The Blue Room (IRE) 11-7 Olly Murphy Form: 12P
Thedeviluno (IRE) 11-7
Paul Nolan Form: 121
The Last Cloud (IRE) 11-7
Patrick Neville Form: 433
The Reverend (GB) 11-7 W. P. Mullins Form: 1U
Too Bossy For Us (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-51
Ubatuba (IRE) 11-7 Olly Murphy Form: 112
Key Trends
Walks In June (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 161
Zanndabad (IRE) 11-7
A. J. Martin Form: 211
Zeus Power (GER) 11-7
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 211
Horses who have won a P2P, bumper and a Graded novice hurdle are 8-15 during the past 16 years
13 of the past 17 winners were in the top 2 according to official BHA Ratings
10 of the past 12 winners were trained in Ireland
7 of the past 17 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
The past 16 winners had won at least 1 bumper
25 of the past 31 winners (including the past 10) won last time out
19 of the past 26 winners were aged 6
15 of the past 27 winners were unbeaten during the current season
14 of the past 17 winners had already won a Graded novice hurdle (9 had won a Grade 1)
13 of the past 14 winners hailed from the top 3 in the betting
The past 12 winners had run no more than 3 times over hurdles
10 of the past 16 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point
10 of the past 17 winners won over 2m-2m2f on their previous start
7 of the past 14 favourites have won
Respect horses rated 150+
Respect strong bumper form
Only 2 of the past 14 winners retuned at odds greater than 9-2
Only 1 of the past 35 winners failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out
Only 1 of the past 20 winners had not won a bumper
Only 1 of the past 17 winners had not won at least twice over hurdles
Nicky Henderson-trained runners are 1-22 this century
Challow Novices’ Hurdle winners are 1-22
Ex-Flat horses are 0-31 during the past 20 years
Paul Nicholls-trained runners are 0-10 since 2000
NO DRAMA THIS END current favourite for the Turners
warms up for Cheltenham by winning at Ayr.
Novices’ Hurdle.
WENDIGO
The quick, hassle-free route to reclaiming your racing VAT
£4,500
Typical sav ing a year, per horse 20% off for Racing Gold account holders 10% off for Racing and Multi Owner account holders
Argento Boy (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: F11
Ballygunner Castle (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-2F
Bossofthebrownies (IRE) 11-7
M. F. Morris Form: 332
Final Demand (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 113
Gold Dancer (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 224
Harsh (GB) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 5P0
Joystick (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 461
Kaid d’Authie (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 211
Kappa Jy Pyke (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-11
Kiss Will (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 322
Kitzbuhel (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 11U
Koktail Divin (FR) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 221
Newton Tornado (FR) 11-7
Rebecca Curtis Form: 1P1
Ol Man Dingle (IRE) 11-7 Eoin Griffin Form: 115
One Big Bang (IRE) 11-7
James Owen Form: 213
Oscars Brother (IRE) 11-7
Connor King Form: 111
Port Joulain (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 0-01
Predators Gold (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-13
Queensbury Boy (IRE) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 526
Romeo Coolio (GB) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Rushmount (IRE) 11-7
Jonathan Sweeney Form: 551
Salver (FR) 11-7
Gary & Josh Moore Form: 141
Key Trends
The past 24 winners had contested a Graded novice chase
Sixmilebridge (IRE) 11-7
Fergal O’Brien Form: 111
Soldier In Milan (IRE) 11-7
Emmet Mullins Form: P41
Thomas Mor (IRE) 11-7
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Form: 0-12
Wade Out (IRE) 11-7 Olly Murphy Form: 114
Wendigo (FR) 11-7
Jamie Snowden Form: 131
Western Fold (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 132
Western Knight (IRE) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 112
Wingmen (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 232
Jade de Grugy (FR) 11-0 W. P. Mullins Form: 321
The Big Westerner (IRE) 11-0
Henry de Bromhead Form: P-21
18 of the past 19 winners had finished 1st or 2nd in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 novice chase
7 of the past 16 winners had contested the Albert Bartlett the previous year
The past 6 winners won over 2m4f-2m5f last time out
3 of the past 5 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (7 winners in total since 1998)
The past 28 winners made their chase debut before the turn of the year
25 of the past 30 winners spent just one season over hurdles
21 of the past 25 winners had between 3-5 chase starts (although 2 recent winners ran just twice)
16 of the past 19 winners were aged 7
15 of the past 23 winners won last time out
13 of the past 22 winners were trained by Mullins, Henderson or Nicholls
11 of the past 19 winners had won a bumper and/or a Point-to-Point
The past 11 winners were rated 150+
10 of the past 11 winners returned at 8-1 or shorter
8 of the past 16 winners were beaten on chase debut
6 of the past 11 favourites have won
4 of the past 10 winners had fallen over fences
Second-season chasers are 4-14 this century
2 of the past 10 winners were British-bred (low representation)
Only 2 winners this century failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out
Only 3 of the past 16 winners failed to run at the previous year’s Festival
Only 3 of the past 31 winners were younger than 7
Only 2 winning French-breds in the past 19 years
Only 1 of the past 7 winners had run more than 3 times over fences
Mares are 0-12 during the past 28 renewals
Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 0-11 since 2011
Henry de Bromhead-trained runners 0-7 during the past 11 years
Be wary of top-class staying hurdlers
Drinmore Novice Chase winners are 0-10
No Kauto Star winner has ever won the race (form can often be reversed)
KITBUZHEL winner of the Kauto Star at Kempton.
Brookie (IRE) 11-10
Anthony Honeyball Form: 43P
Calico (GER) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 114
Captain Guinness (IRE) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: P63
Found A Fifty (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 143
Il Etait Temps (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 11F
Irish Panther (GB) 11-10
Eddie & Patrick Harty Form: 112
Jonbon (FR) 11-10
Nicky Henderson Form: 211
JPR One (IRE) 11-10
Joe Tizzard Form: 321
L’Eau du Sud (FR) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 3-13
Libberty Hunter (GB) 11-10
Evan Williams Form: U43
Majborough (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 231
Marine Nationale (IRE) 11-10
Barry Connell Form: 122
Key Trends
Quilixios (GB) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 24F-
Saint Segal (FR) 11-10
Mrs Jane Williams Form: 122
Senecia (IRE) 11-10
Vincent Halley Form: P3P
Solness (FR) 11-10
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 315
Thistle Ask (IRE) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 112
Only By Night (IRE) 11-3
Gavin Cromwell Form: 215
7 of the past 14 Arkle winners (from the previous season) to have run have won
5 of the past 14 winners were trained by Nicky Henderson
4 of the past 15 winners were trained by Henry de Bromhead
15 of the past 25 winners had won at the Festival previously
31 of the past 39 winners were aged 7-9
19 of the past 21 winners had run 2-3 times earlier in the season
14 of the past 23 winners won last time out
14 of the past 23 winners were second-season chasers
14 horses have won this race more than once since 1960
12 of the past 26 winners were trained by Nicky Henderson or Paul Nicholls
11 of the past 14 winners returned at 6-1 or shorter
9 of the past 17 winners had run no more than twice earlier in the season
8 of the past 14 winners contested the Clarence House Chase (6 finished 1st or 2nd)
6 of the past 12 winners contested the Shloer Chase
The past 5 winners were trained in Ireland
Horses who are 1-1 over fences during the current season are 4-8 since 1999
3 of the past 10 winners hadn’t run since Christmas (or even earlier)
Respect the winner of the Tingle Creek Chase
Only 1 of the past 21 winners had run more than 3 times that season
Only 1 of the past 14 winners returned at double-figure odds
Only 1 mare has ever won the race
Only 3 of the past 27 winners hadn’t won a race earlier in the season
Only 3 of the past 51 winners were aged 6 or younger
Only 3 previous winners regained their crown
Only 5 of the past 39 winners were aged 10 or older
7 odds-on favourites have been beaten in the past 10 years
Fall / UR from earlier in the season is a negative
The record of Dublin Chase winners is 0-6 (although the past 2 winners were beaten in that race)
Banking that works as hard as you
Business banking, made personal
Al Fonce (FR) 11-4
N. George & A. Zetterholm Form: 113
Amen Kate (IRE) 11-4
Thomas Cooper Form: 1T1
Anariza (FR) 11-4
Tom Ellis Form: 135
A Path To Ronda (IRE) 11-4
Jamie Snowden Form: 233
Azahara Palace (GB) 11-4
Adrian Keatley Form: 152
Bambino Fever (IRE) 11-4
W. P. Mullins Form: 121
Belle Montrose (IRE) 11-4
Samuel Drinkwater Form: 612
Blue Velvet (IRE) 11-4
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-21
Carrigmoornaspruce (IRE) 11-4 Declan Queally Form: 122
Carry On Heidi (IRE) 11-4
Jeremiah Patrick Baragry Form: 433
Charisma Cat (GB) 11-4
Alan King Form: 212
Chosen Comrade (IRE) 11-4
Peter Fahey Form: 114
Cousin Kate (IRE) 11-4
Denis G. Hogan Form: 111
Diamond du Berlais (FR) 11-4
W. P. Mullins Form: 301
Dream Shadow (IRE) 11-4
Fergal O’Brien Form: 114
Dutton Law (IRE) 11-4
D. J. Jeffreys Form: 5U1
Echoing Silence (IRE) 11-4
Henry de Bromhead Form: 1-11
Edith Pelham (GB) 11-4
Fergal O’Brien Form: 636
Full of Life (FR) 11-4
Henry de Bromhead Form: 421
Future Prospect (IRE) 11-4
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-61
Getawhisky (GB) 11-4
Dan Skelton Form: F14
Jackie Hobbs (GB) 11-4
Harry Derham Form: 141
Khrisma (FR) 11-4
Nicky Henderson Form: 121
Kingston Queen (IRE) 11-4
David Pipe Form: 131
La Conquiere (FR) 11-4
Jamie Snowden Form: 112
Lady Tadita (GB) 11-4
Jamie Snowden Form: 126
Livingonaprayer (GB) 11-4
Jamie Snowden Form: 5-11
Louve d’Irlande (FR) 11-4
Paul Nolan Form: 101
Mo Ghille Mar (IRE) 11-4
John Joseph Hanlon Form: 0-06
Oldschool Outlaw (IRE) 11-4
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Place de La Nation (FR) 11-4
W. P. Mullins Form: 112
Queenie St Clair (IRE) 11-4
Nick Scholfield Form: 131
Scavengers Reign (IRE) 11-4
James Owen Form: 313
Shotgun Shirley (GB) 11-4
Lucy Wadham Form: 204
St Irene (IRE) 11-4
Nick Scholfield Form: 211
Strong Run (GB) 11-4
Fergal O’Brien Form: 312
Watamu (GB) 11-4
Emma Lavelle Form: 513
White Noise (IRE) 11-4
Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Form: 112
Charme de Faust (FR) 10-8
W. P. Mullins Form: 21
Highland Crystal (IRE) 10-8
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Made U Blush (GB) 10-8
Dan Skelton Form: 311
Manganese (FR) 10-8
Max Comley Form: 111
Mange Tout (FR) 10-8
Gordon Elliott Form: 113
Mille Et Une Vies (FR) 10-8
Dan Skelton Form: 32-2
Selma de Vary (FR) 10-8
W. P. Mullins Form: 512
Tralee Girl (IRE) 10-8
Dan Skelton Form: 324
Tunisya (FR) 10-8
Faye Bramley Form: 1
Key Trends
Mares unbeaten during the current season and won a Graded race last time boast a record of 4-8
7 of the 10 winners were trained in Ireland
The first 5 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
All 10 winners were aged 5 or 6
8 of the 10 winners had won over 2m2f or further
6 of the 10 winners returned at 15-2 or shorter
6 of the 10 winners had run at least 4 times over hurdles
6 of the 10 winners were unbeaten during the season
5 of the 10 winners started their careers in France
5 of the 10 winners won a Graded race last time out (record 5-17)
4 of the 10 winners were French-bred
4 of the 10 winners were second-season novices (2 had run at the previous season’s Festival)
The past 4 winners won a bumper
2 of the past 5 winners were trained by Henry de Bromhead
7yo’s are 0-26
Nicky Henderson-trained mares are 0-13
JP McManus-owned mares are 0-12
Gordon Elliott-trained mares are 0-9
4yo fillies are 0-9
Alan King-trained mares are 0-6
Gigginstown House Stud-owned mares are 0-5
British-bred mares are 2-31
Only 2 of the 10 winners were ex-Pointers
Only 1 of the 10 winners had failed to at least place over at least 2m2f (or further)
last year’s Weatherbys Champion Bumper winner is favourite for the Dawn Run.
BAMBINO FEVER
Baby Kate (IRE) 11-5
W. P. Mullins Form: 525
Brighterdaysahead (FR) 11-5
Gordon Elliott Form: 321
Dream On Baby (IRE) 11-5
Emmet Mullins Form: 132
Feet of A Dancer (FR) 11-5
Paul Nolan Form: 121
Golden Ace (GB) 11-5
Jeremy Scott Form: 212
Jade de Grugy (FR) 11-5
W. P. Mullins Form: 321
Jetara (IRE) 11-5
Mrs J. Harrington Form: 303
Kargese (FR) 11-5
W. P. Mullins Form: 212
Kateira (GB) 11-5
Dan Skelton Form: 300
La Pinsonniere (FR) 11-5
Nicky Henderson Form: 22-3
Lavida Adiva (IRE) 11-5
Ruth Jefferson Form: 143
Listentoyourheart (IRE) 11-5 Dan Skelton Form: 310
Lossiemouth (FR) 11-5 W. P. Mullins Form: 112
Murcia (FR) 11-5 W. P. Mullins Form: 434
Nurse Susan (FR) 11-5
Dan Skelton Form: 114
Park Princess (IRE) 11-5
Anthony Honeyball Form: 210
Siog Geal (IRE) 11-5
Fergal O’Brien Form: 325
Sotchi (FR) 11-5
James Grassick Form: 5P
Key Trends
Sunset Marquesa (IRE) 11-5
Joe Tizzard Form: 143
Take No Chances (IRE) 11-5
Dan Skelton Form: 233
That’ll Do Moss (GB) 11-5 Fergal O’Brien Form: 430
Wodhooh (FR) 11-5
Gordon Elliott Form: 2-11
16 of the 18 winners had won against geldings (13 of which had won in Grade 1 or Grade 2 company)
15 of the 18 winners were trained in Ireland
11 of the 18 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
Susannah Ricci-owned runners are 4-10 during the past 11 years (another 3 placed)
14 of the 18 winners were aged 5-7
13 of the 18 winners won last time out
12 of the 18 winners were rated 153+
11 of the 18 winners were French-bred
11 of the 18 winners had won or placed at the Cheltenham Festival previously
Respect form over further
Respect Kenneth Alexander-owned mares
Only 2 of the 18 winners had failed to win over a minimum of 2m4f
Only 3 of the 18 winners were rated below 147
Only 4 of the 18 winners returned at odds greater than 6-1
Quevega & Honeysuckle are the only winners over the age of 7
Winners of the previous year’s Dawn Run Novices’ Hurdle are 0-5
Be wary of ex-Flat performers
Ballyburn (IRE) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 223
Bob Olinger (IRE) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 21-2
Buddy One (IRE) 11-10
Paul John Gilligan Form: 6P4
Doddiethegreat (IRE) 11-10
Nicky Henderson Form: 453
Flooring Porter (IRE) 11-10
Gavin Cromwell Form: 51-4
French Ship (GB) 11-10
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White Form: 10U
Gowel Road (IRE) 11-10
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Form: 442
Gwennie May Boy (IRE) 11-10
Christian Williams Form: 6-0P
Hewick (IRE) 11-10
John Joseph Hanlon Form: 145
Home By The Lee (IRE) 11-10
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 641
Honesty Policy (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 1-23
Impose Toi (FR) 11-10
Nicky Henderson Form: 112
Kabral du Mathan (FR) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 2-11
Ma Shantou (IRE) 11-10
Emma Lavelle Form: 011
Potters Charm (IRE) 11-10
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Form: 411
Teahupoo (FR) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Key Trends
7 of the past 12 winners were second-season hurdlers
8 of the past 19 winners had contested the Cleeve Hurdle on trials day
19 winners this century were sent off at single figure odds
17 of the past 29 winners had won or placed at the Festival previously
13 of the past 21 winners won last time out (although only 2 of the past 8)
13 of the past 19 winners were rated 160+
8 of the past 22 winners were British-bred
The Yellow Clay (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: F25
Feet of A Dancer (FR) 11-3
Paul Nolan Form: 121
Nurse Susan (FR) 11-3
Dan Skelton Form: 114
Wodhooh (FR) 11-3
Gordon Elliott Form: 2-11
6 of the past 12 winners arrived at Cheltenham on the back of a break (since Christmas or longer)
3 of the past 13 winners were ex-Flat horses
Respect strong form over shorter
Respect those who like to be ridden patiently
Respect last year’s winner
Respect any horse rated 168+
Only 3 of the past 52 winners were older than 9
Only 3 of the past 36 winners were aged 9
Only 4 of the 25 winners this century failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out
Be wary of those beaten in the race previously
No 5yo has ever won the race
BOB OLINGER & TEAHUPOO
the Robcour-owned pairing do battle last year.
MA SHANTOU
winner of the Cleeve Hurdle on trials day.
Banbridge (IRE) 11-10
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 442
Better Days Ahead (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 36-2
Croke Park (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 330
Edwardstone (GB) 11-10
Alan King Form: 214
Energumene (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-34
Envoi Allen (FR) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: U3-1
Fact To File (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 261
Firefox (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 124
Found A Fifty (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 143
Gaelic Warrior (GER) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 132
Handstands (IRE) 11-10
Ben Pauling Form: 243
Heart Wood (FR) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 141
Il Etait Temps (FR) 11-10 W. P. Mullins Form: 11F
Impaire Et Passe (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-B1
Jagwar (FR) 11-10
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Form: 1-32
Jango Baie (FR) 11-10 Nicky Henderson Form: 3-14
Jonbon (FR) 11-10 Nicky Henderson Form: 211
JPR One (IRE) 11-10 Joe Tizzard Form: 321
Key Trends
6 of the past 10 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
The past 12 winners were French-bred
Master Chewy (IRE) 11-10
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Form: 025
Matata (IRE) 11-10
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Form: 315
Protektorat (FR) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 2-31
Romeo Coolio (GB) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Solness (FR) 11-10
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 315
Thistle Ask (IRE) 11-10 Dan Skelton Form: 112
Twinjets (IRE) 11-10
Paul Nicholls Form: 11U
Panic Attack (IRE) 11-3
Dan Skelton Form: 111
All 18 winners (since the race became a Grade 1) had won over a minimum of 2m4f
Horses rated 170+ are 4-6
Since the race was upgraded, all 18 winners had run at the Festival the previous year
18 of the 21 winners were in the top-3 of the betting
17 of the 21 winners had won at Cheltenham previously
16 of the past 17 winners were aged 7-9
15 of the 21 winners had won or placed at the Cheltenham Festival previously
14 of the past 18 winners had already won at least one Grade 1 race
14 of the 21 winners had run 12 times or less over fences
11 of the past 18 winners finished 1st or 2nd in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 last time out (2 more finished 3rd)
8 of the past 18 winners were beaten in the King George at Kempton
8 of the past 12 winners had a break of 47+ days
8 of the past 12 winners were top- or second-top rated (BHA Ratings)
7 of the past 13 winners were second-season chasers
7 of the past 14 favourites have won (the past 5 trained by Willie Mullins)
6 of the past 17 winners hadn’t run since the Christmas period
3 of the past 5 winners were owned by Cheveley Park Stud
Respect strong form over 3m
Only 1 of the past 17 winners was aged 10
Only 2 of the 21 winners returned at odds greater than 17-2
Yet to win over 2m4f (or further)
No previous course form
No winner over the age of 10
Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 0-8
PANIC ATTACK
FACT TO FILE
last year’s Ryanair winner could be supplemented for the Gold Cup.
holds entries in the Ryanair and Mares’ Chase.
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Family-owned, racing-led
Ammes (IRE) 11-2
James Owen Form: 112
Apolon de Charnie (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 2
Arouet (FR) 11-2
P. Twomey Form: 3
Barbizon (IRE) 11-2
Gordon Elliott Form: 146
Bartholomew (GB) 11-2
Martin Brassil Form: 4
Ben Hur (IRE) 11-2
Noel Meade Form: 215
Berto Ramirez (GB) 11-2
A. J. McNamara Form: 504
Chico Magnifica (IRE) 11-2 Olly Murphy Form:
Fantasy World (IRE) 11-2
Nicky Henderson Form: 43
Feel Gut (FR) 11-2
Nicky Henderson Form: 21
Forty Fifty (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 4
Indian River (IRE) 11-2
Adrian Keatley Form: 111
Kai Lung (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 1
Kilmeaden (IRE) 11-2
Donnacha Aidan O’Brien Form: B14
Lord (GER) 11-2
Donald McCain Form: 612
Lord Byron (IRE) 11-2
Faye Bramley Form: 24
Macho Man (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 12
Madness d’Elle (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 321
Maestro Conti (FR) 11-2
Dan Skelton Form: 111
Merci Mam (FR) 11-2
Dan Skelton Form: 13
Minella Academy (IRE) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 1
Minella Study (GB) 11-2
Adam Nicol Form: 111
Mon Creuset (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 14
Moulin Labbe (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 15
Mustang du Breuil (FR) 11-2
Nicky Henderson Form: 113
North Shore (FR) 11-2
Gavin Cromwell Form: 34
One Horse Town (IRE) 11-2
Harry Derham Form: 322
Precious Man (FR) 11-2
Dan Skelton Form: 21F
Proactif (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 11
Tillmouth (FR) 11-2
James Grassick Form: 6PP
Winston Junior (IRE) 11-2
Faye Bramley Form: 221
Wolf Rayet (IRE) 11-2
Samuel Drinkwater Form: 243
Charme de Faust (FR) 10-9
W. P. Mullins Form: 21
Dschingis Desire (FR) 10-9
W. P. Mullins Form: 02
Highland Crystal (IRE) 10-9
Gordon Elliott Form: 111
Kate O’Riley (GB) 10-9
James Owen Form: 136
Majolique (FR) 10-9
W. P. Mullins Form: 1
Manganese (FR) 10-9
Max Comley Form: 111
Mange Tout (FR) 10-9
Gordon Elliott Form: 113
Manlaga (IRE) 10-9
Nicky Henderson Form: 1-21
Mille Et Une Vies (FR) 10-9
Dan Skelton Form: 32-2
Noemie de La Vis (FR) 10-9
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-2
Selma de Vary (FR) 10-9
W. P. Mullins Form: 512
Shezala (FR) 10-9
Pascal Journiac Form: 306
Tenter Le Tout (FR) 10-9
Chester Williams Form: 116
Trad Jazz (GB) 10-9
James Owen Form: 20
Key Trends
8 of the past 11 winners started their careers in France (7 of which were French-bred)
9 of the past 14 winners had contested the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (only 3 were successful)
5 of the past 6 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
19 of the past 28 winners won last time out
10 of the past 13 winners were trained in Ireland
9 of the past 17 winners were unbeaten
9 of the past 17 winners were either top- or second-top on official BHA Ratings
6 of the past 8 winners had run no more than twice over hurdles
3 of the past 10 winners were owned by JP McManus
2 of the past 6 winners were fillies
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner 7 times
Respect Gordon Elliott-trained runners
Respect runners from the Hobbs & White stable
Respect horses rated 150+
Respect winning French form from the previous spring
Only 2 of the past 16 winners didn’t contest a Graded race last time out
Only 3 of the past 21 winners were sent off at odds greater than 12-1
The past 8 Adonis winners to have run have all been beaten (all 8 finished unplaced)
MINELLA STUDY
winner of the JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle.
MAESTRO CONTI wins the Triumph Trial on trials day.
DINOBLUE
last
year’s winner is favourite to defend her Mares’ Chase crown.
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Family-owned, racing-led
Spindleberry (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 11P
Bioluminescence (IRE) 11-5
Gavin Cromwell Form: 302
Dinoblue (FR) 11-5
W. P. Mullins Form: 211
Jade de Grugy (FR) 11-5
W. P. Mullins Form: 321
July Flower (FR) 11-5
Henry de Bromhead Form: 113
Kala Conti (FR) 11-5
Gordon Elliott Form: 112
Only By Night (IRE) 11-5
Gavin Cromwell Form: 215
The Big Westerner (IRE) 11-5
Henry de Bromhead Form: P-21
All The Glory (GB) 11-2
Jonjo & A.J. O’Neill Form: 334
Break My Soul (IRE) 11-2
Ian Patrick Donoghue Form: 402
Diva Luna (IRE) 11-2
Ben Pauling Form: 0-11
Fun Fun Fun (IRE) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 442
Hollygrove Cha Cha (IRE) 11-2
Jamie Snowden Form: 151
Jasmine Bliss (GB) 11-2
Harry Derham Form: 312
Kargese (FR) 11-2
W. P. Mullins Form: 212
Karre d’As (FR) 11-2 D. Cottin Form: 5-1U
Key Trends
All 5 winners were trained in Ireland
All 5 winners won last time out
All 5 winners had Graded form against geldings
All 5 winners had run 3 times that season
All 5 winners returned at odds of 3-1 or shorter
All 5 winners were aged 7 or 8
The past 4 winners were owned by JP McManus
4 of the 5 winners were rated 150+ (all 5 were rated 147+)
4 of the 5 winners had run at the Cheltenham Festival previously
3 of the 5 winners were multiple Graded winners previously
3 of the 5 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
2 of the 5 winners were unbeaten novices
Mares carrying the maximum penalty of 11-7 are 2-3
Respect proven stamina
UK-trained runners are 0-16
Mares aged 9+ are 0-12
Mares aged 6 are 0-3
Be wary of twice raced mares
The first 4 favourites were beaten
Panic Attack (IRE) 11-2
Dan Skelton Form: 111
Party Vibes (IRE) 11-2
Henry Daly Form: 1P5
Piper Park (IRE) 11-2
Tom Lacey Form: 3/6-2
Shakeyatailfeather (IRE) 11-2
Dan Skelton Form: 060
Shecouldbeanything (IRE) 11-2
Gordon Elliott Form: P23
Telepathique (GB) 11-2
Lucy Wadham Form: 242
Wyenot (GB) 11-2
Henry Daly Form: 613
Gordon Elliott-trained mares are 0-6 (3 of those were sent off at single figures)
American Jukebox (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 140
Apache Tribe (IRE) 11-7
Noel C. Kelly Form: 511
A Pai de Nom (GB) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 131
Bally Free (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 414
Ballykinlar (IRE) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 432
Boultydoolin (IRE) 11-7
Rebecca Curtis Form: 3-12
Champagne Kid (IRE) 11-7
P. E. Collins Form: 11P
Classical Creek (GB) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 3-10
Dalston Lad (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 111
Doctor du Mesnil (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-22
Doctor Steinberg (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 111
El Capitaine (IRE) 11-7
Kayley Woollacott Form: 430
Espresso Milan (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 011
Etna Bianco (IRE) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 154
Forty Coats (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 4-03
Fountains Blenhein (GB) 11-7
Anthony Honeyball Form: 31P
Frankie John (IRE) 11-7
Denis G. Hogan Form: 155
Fruit de Mer (IRE) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 2-13
Hipop de Loire (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-1
I’ll Sort That (IRE) 11-7
Declan Queally Form: 111
Intosomethinggood (GB) 11-7
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Form: 04P
Jalon d’Oudairies (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 221
Johnny’s Jury (IRE) 11-7
Jamie Snowden Form: 3-11
Kasino des Mottes (FR) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 530
Kazansky (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 112
Kicour La (FR) 11-7
Ben Pauling Form: 114
King’s Bucks (FR) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 432
Klimt Madrik (FR) 11-7
Toby Lawes Form: 412
Kripticjim (FR) 11-7
Joe Tizzard Form: 111
Laurets d’Estruval (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 2-21
Legendary Luke (IRE) 11-7
Jamie Snowden Form: 114
Melbourne Shamrock (IRE) 11-7
Emmet Mullins Form: 241
Minella Emperor (IRE) 11-7
Emmet Mullins Form: 322
Mondoui’boy (FR) 11-7
Ben Pauling Form: 611
Moneygarrow (IRE) 11-7
Dan Skelton Form: 511
Neon Dream (IRE) 11-7
Alan King Form: 1-33
No Drama This End (IRE) 11-7
Paul Nicholls Form: 111
Off The Jury (IRE) 11-7
Mickey Bowen Form: 22P
Reckless Spending (IRE) 11-7
Nicky Henderson Form: 010
Riskaway (FR) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 124
Road Exile (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 312
Rocking Man (FR) 11-7
Sam Thomas Form: 2/-1P
Rusty Harkness (GB) 11-7
Henry de Bromhead Form: 432
Saint Baco (FR) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 3-16
Shadow Paddy (IRE) 11-7
Eoin McCarthy Form: 411
Shuttle Diplomacy (FR) 11-7
Thomas Cooper Form: 021
Sortudo (IRE) 11-7
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-12
Spinningayarn (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 311
Swindon Village (IRE) 11-7
Charlie Longsdon Form: 131
Tackletommywoowoo (IRE) 11-7
Declan Queally Form: 110
The Big Clubman (IRE) 11-7
Paul Nolan Form: 125
The Blue Room (IRE) 11-7
Olly Murphy Form: 12P
Thedeviluno (IRE) 11-7
Paul Nolan Form: 121
Theflyingking (IRE) 11-7
Gordon Elliott Form: 1-F2
The Price of Peace (IRE) 11-7
Rebecca Curtis Form: 215
Treasure Memory (IRE) 11-7
A. J. Martin Form: 233
Ubatuba (IRE) 11-7
Olly Murphy Form: 112
Whiskey Yankee (GB) 11-7
Sam Thomas Form: 2-15
Good Girl Kathleen (IRE) 11-0
Emmet Mullins Form: 21P
Park Princess (IRE) 11-0
Anthony Honeyball Form: 210
Pottersville (IRE) 11-0
Rebecca Curtis Form: 140
Zanoosh (IRE) 11-0
Colm A. Murphy Form: 111
Key Trends
18 of the 21 winners had won or placed in a Graded novice hurdle
Horses rated 152+ are 3-5
4 of the past 9 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
10 of the past 14 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point
18 of the 21 winners had contested a Graded novice hurdle on their previous start
18 of the past 20 winners were aged 6 (11) or 7 (7)
15 of the 21 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12 of the 21 winners had won at least twice over hurdles (although the past 5 winners had won just once)
12 of the 21 winners had run 4 times or more over hurdles (although this is also becoming less significant)
11 of the past 15 winners had won or placed in at least one bumper
10 of the 21 winners had won over 2m7f+ (a further 4 had finished placed in a Graded race over that distance)
9 of the past 12 winners were trained in Ireland
7 of the 21 winners had won the Hyde, Bristol or Classic earlier in the season (from 26 runners)
5 of the past 17 winners had run in the Dorans Pride Novice Hurdle at Limerick
5 of the past 7 winners had run 3 times or less over hurdles
4 of the past 12 winners had run in a bumper at the Punchestown Festival
3 of the past 17 winners were owned by Gigginstown House Stud
3 of the past 5 winners had run in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle (Nathaniel Lacy) at the DRF
Respect horses rated 150+
Only 1 of the 21 winners was an ex-Flat horse
Only 1 of the past 20 winners was aged 5
Only 2 of the past 12 winners returned at odds shorter than 11-1
Only 2 of the past 16 winners were rated below 140
Only 2 of the 21 winners failed to contest a Graded race
Only 4 of the past 18 winners had yet to race over 2m7f+
Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 1-16
Nicky Henderson-trained runners are 0-15 since 2012
Affordale Fury (IRE) 11-10
Noel Meade Form: 11P
Banbridge (IRE) 11-10
Joseph Patrick O’Brien Form: 442
Envoi Allen (FR) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: U3-1
Fastorslow (FR) 11-10
Martin Brassil Form: 4-36
Firefox (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 124
Gaelic Warrior (GER) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 132
Galopin des Champs (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 133
Gold Tweet (FR) 11-10
Gabriel Leenders Form: 525
Grangeclare West (IRE) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 401
Grey Dawning (IRE) 11-10
Dan Skelton Form: 2-13
Haiti Couleurs (FR) 11-10
Rebecca Curtis Form: P11
Handstands (IRE) 11-10
Ben Pauling Form: 243
Heart Wood (FR) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 141
I Am Maximus (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 025
Impaire Et Passe (FR) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 1-B1
Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 11-10
Gavin Cromwell Form: 50F
Jango Baie (FR) 11-10
Nicky Henderson Form: 3-14
L’homme Presse (FR) 11-10
Venetia Williams Form: 222
Lecky Watson (IRE) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 0P0
Monty’s Star (IRE) 11-10
Henry de Bromhead Form: 056
Key Trends
Myretown (IRE) 11-10
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Form: F4P
Nick Rockett (IRE) 11-10
W. P. Mullins Form: 111-
Resplendent Grey (IRE) 11-10
Olly Murphy Form: 102
Spillane’s Tower (IRE) 11-10
James Joseph Mangan Form: 031
Stellar Story (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 303
The Jukebox Man (IRE) 11-10
Ben Pauling Form: 1-11
Three Card Brag (IRE) 11-10
Gordon Elliott Form: 120
Spindleberry (IRE) 11-3
W. P. Mullins Form: 11P
25 of the past 26 winners were aged 7-9 (12 of the past 13 winners were aged 7 or 8)
23 of the past 26 winners had run in 12 chases or less
21 of the 25 winners this century had won or placed at the Cheltenham Festival previously
Every winner this century had spent just one season over hurdles
4 of the past 7 winners were trained by Willie Mullins
18 of the 25 winners this century won last time out
20 of the 25 winners this century returned at odds of 9-1 or shorter (17 of them at 7-1 or shorter)
14 of the past 21 winners had not won beyond 3m½f
13 of the 25 winners this century were second-season chasers
13 of the past 24 winners had won a Graded novice hurdle over 2m-2m4f
12 of the past 23 outright favourites have won (this includes 4 of the past 6 winners)
10 of the past 12 winners were trained in Ireland
8 of the past 19 winners were French-bred (this includes 5 of the past 7 winners)
6 of the past 18 winners had run in the previous year’s Broadway (Brown Advisory) Novices’ Chase
4 of the past 13 winners were 1-1 that season
4 multiple winners of the race this century
Placed horses from the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle are 6-7 this century
No winner this century over the age of 9
No winner since 2000 had contested the Cotswold Chase on trials day
Only 1 winning 6yo since 1964
Only 1 winning 10yo since 1993
Only 1 of the past 15 winners ran in the Betfair Chase
Only 1 of the past 14 winners ran in the King George
Only 2 of the 25 winners this century had won over a distance further than 3m2f
Only 2 of the 25 winners this century returned at double figure odds
Only 2 of the past 18 winners had run more than 3 times earlier that season
Only 3 of the 25 winners this century had placed in the race previously
Only 3 of the past 21 winners had won a Point-to-Point earlier in their career
Only 4 of the 25 winners this century failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out
Be wary of heavy ground form from earlier in the season
THE JUKEBOX MAN
unbeaten in four starts over fences and a leading Gold Cup contender.
Notes
Notes - Day Two
Notes - Day Three
Notes
- Day Four
