WL2021R00_162_4-1.pdf by Vlaanderen-be

0 0_1 6 2_ 4-1 W L r a p p ort e n

M o d elli n g w a t e r a v ail a bili t y a n d w a t e r all o c a ti o n s t r a t e gi es i n t h e S c h el d t b asi n D e elr a p p ort 4-1 A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M DE P A R TE ME N T M O BI LI T EI T & O PE N B A RE WE R KE N

w at er b o u w k u n di gl a b or at ori u m. b e

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

N ar a nj o, P; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.; D e B o e c k K. ; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F.

C o v er fi g ur e © T h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s, D e p art m e nt of M o bilit y a n d P u bli c W or ks, Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h L e g al n oti c e Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h i s of t h e o pi ni o n t h at t h e i nf or m ati o n a n d p ositi o ns i n t his r e p ort ar e s u bst a nti at e d b y t h e a v ail a bl e d at a a n d k n o wl e d g e at t h e ti m e of writi n g. T h e p ositi o ns t a k e n i n t hi s r e p ort ar e t h os e of Fl a n d er s H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h a n d d o n ot r efl e ct n e c ess aril y t h e o pi ni o n of t h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s or a n y of its i nstit uti o ns. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h n or a n y p ers o n or c o m p a n y a cti n g o n b e h alf of Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h is r es p o nsi bl e f or a n y l oss or d a m a g e arisi n g fr o m t h e us e of t h e i nf or m ati o n i n t his r e p ort. C o p yri g ht a n d cit ati o n © T h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s, D e p art m e nt of M o bilit y a n d P u bli c W or ks, Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h 2 0 2 1 D/ 2 0 2 1/ 3 2 4 1/ 1 3 2 T his p u bli c ati o n s h o ul d b e cit e d a s f oll o ws: N ar a nj o, P; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.; D e B o e c k K.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n: S u b r e p ort 4- 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M. V ersi o n 2. 0. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1. Fl a n d er s H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p R e pr o d u cti o n of a n d r ef er e n c e t o t his p u bli c ati o n is a ut h oris e d pr o vi d e d t h e s o ur c e is a c k n o wl e d g e d c orr e ctl y. D o c u m e nt i d e ntifi c ati o n C ust o m er: K e y w or ds ( 3- 5): K n o wl e d g e d o m ai ns:

Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h R ef.: W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1 H y dr ol o g y, S c h el dt, c ali br ati o n, N A M W at er m a n a g e m e nt > H y dr ol o g y > C o n c e pt u al M o d els > N u m eri c al m o d elli n g

T e xt ( p.): C o nfi d e nti alit y:

A ut h or(s):

N ar a nj o, P.; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.; D e B o e c k K.

A p p e n di c es ( p.): A v ail a bl e o nli n e

244

C o ntr ol Na me R e vis er(s):

Pr oj e ct l e a d er:

Si g n at ur e N oss e nt, J.;

P er eir a, F.

G et e k e n d d o or: Jiri N o s s e nt ( Si g n at ur e) G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 8 1 0: 3 3: 2 4 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

G et e k e n d d o or: F er n a n d o P er eir a ( Si g n at G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 1 1 7: 1 4: 1 2 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

A p pr o v al H e a d of Di visi o n:

F- W L- P P 1 0- 2 V ersi o n 7 V ali d as fr o m 3/ 0 1/ 2 0 1 7

M ost a ert, F.

G et e k e n d d o or: Fr a n k M o st a ert ( Si g n at ur G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 1 1 7: 4 5: 5 5 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n ‐ S u b r e p ort 4 ‐1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A bstr a ct T h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n will b e us e d i n or d er t o p erf or m l o w fl o w f or e c asts a n d c al c ul at e cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. Wit hi n t h e c urr e nt s u bt as k is i n v esti g at e d w hi c h is t h e m ost a p pr o pri at e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e s u b c at c h m e nts of t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n i n or d er t o m e et t his pr er e q uisit e. T his s u b r e p ort d es cri b es t h e r e c ali br ati o n a n d e v al u ati o n of N A M m o d els, w hi c h ar e p art of t h e MI K E 1 1 s oft w ar e p a c k a g e ( D HI, 2 0 0 9). T h e o pti miz ati o n d uri n g c ali br ati o n is p erf or m e d b as e d o n a n a ut o m ati c pr o c e d ur e, f oll o w e d b y a vis u al c o ntr ol. D uri n g t h e o pti miz ati o n r o uti n e t h e p ar a m et er s ets ar e s el e ct e d b as e d o n 2 crit eri a: ( 1) a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p, a n d ( 2) l o g arit h mi c N as h ‐S ut cliff effi ci e n c y. T h e first crit eri o n ai ms t o m o d el t h e gl o b al fl o w p att er n, t h e l att er f o c us es m ai nl y o n t h e l o w fl o ws. O v er all, t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e u p d at e d N A M m o d els, is s u bst a nti all y i m pr o v e d c o m p ar e d t o t h e ori gi n al N A M m o d els. T h e s u m m ariz e d r es ults f or e a c h of t h e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e st u d y ar e a, all o w t h e us er t o g et i nsi g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e N A M m o d el f or e a c h of t h e i n v ol v e d s u b c at c h m e nts. B as e d o n t his i nf or m ati o n a n d t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e P D M, V H M a n d W E T S P A m o d els, t h e us er c a n m a k e a w ell ‐gr o u n d e d d e cisi o n o n w hi c h m o d el t o us e f or t h e c o nsi d er e d o bj e cti v e.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 ‐1

III

F- W L -P P 1 0 -2 V ersi o n 7 V ali d as fr o m 3/ 0 1/ 2 0 1 7

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

C o nt e nts A bstr a ct ............................................................................................................................................................ III C o nt e nts ............................................................................................................................................................ V List of t a bl es .................................................................................................................................................... VIII List of fi g ur es .................................................................................................................................................... I X 1

I ntr o d u cti o n............................................................................................................................................... 1 1. 1

O bj e cti v es ............................................................................................................................................ 1

1. 2

Str u ct ur e of t h e r e p ort ........................................................................................................................ 1

C at c h m e n t d eli n e ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 2 2. 1

G e n er al ................................................................................................................................................ 2

2. 2

G a u g e d c at c h m e nts ............................................................................................................................ 4

2. 3

U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ........................................................................................................................ 5

I n p ut d at a pr e pr o c essi n g........................................................................................................................... 6 3. 1

T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d ................................................................................................................... 6

3. 2

Pr e ci pit ati o n ........................................................................................................................................ 6

3. 3

E v a p otr a ns pir ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 7

R ai nf all -ru n off m o d elli n g m et h o d ol o g y .................................................................................................... 8 4. 1

Str u ct ur e of t h e N A M h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el .......................................................................................... 8

4. 2

N A M p ar a m et ers d es cri pti o n .............................................................................................................. 9

C ali br ati o n str at e g y ................................................................................................................................. 1 0 5. 1

O pti mi z ati o n al g orit h m ..................................................................................................................... 1 0

5. 2

O bj e cti v e f u n cti o n ............................................................................................................................. 1 0

5. 3

I m pl e m e nt ati o n i n P yt h o n ................................................................................................................ 1 3

N A M m o d el c ali br ati o n ........................................................................................................................... 1 4 6. 1

M o d el c o nfi g ur ati o n ......................................................................................................................... 1 4

6. 2

M o d el e v al u ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 1 4

6. 3

IJz er b asi n .......................................................................................................................................... 1 5

6. 3. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 1 5

6. 3. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 1 6

6. 4

Br u gs e P ol d ers .................................................................................................................................. 2 2

6. 4. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 2 2

6. 4. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 2 2

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 5

G e nts e K a n al e n ................................................................................................................................. 2 7

6. 5. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 2 7

6. 5. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 2 7

6. 6

B e n e d e ns c h el d e ................................................................................................................................ 3 0

6. 6. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 3 0

6. 6. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 3 0

6. 7

L ei e .................................................................................................................................................... 3 5

6. 7. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 3 5

6. 7. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c es ................................................................................................................. 3 6

6. 8

B o v e ns c h el d e .................................................................................................................................... 4 1

6. 8. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 4 1

6. 8. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 4 1

6. 9

D e n d er b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................... 4 6

6. 9. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 4 6

6. 9. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 4 6

6. 1 0

D ijl e a n d Z e n n e.............................................................................................................................. 5 2

6. 1 0. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 5 2

6. 1 0. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 5 2

6. 1 1

D e m e r b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................ 5 7

6. 1 1. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 5 7

6. 1 1. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 5 7

6. 1 2

N et e b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................... 6 3

6. 1 2. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 6 3

6. 1 2. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 6 3

S u m m ar y .................................................................................................................................................. 6 9 7. 1

C o m p aris o n wit h ori gi n al N A M m o d els ............................................................................................ 6 9

7.2

Gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w of t h e m o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................ 6 9

C o n cl usi o ns a n d r e c o m m e n d ati o ns ........................................................................................................ 7 0

R ef er e n c es ............................................................................................................................................... 7 1

A p p e n di x 1

List of o pti miz e d p ar a m et ers f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ........................................................... A 1

A p p e n di x 2

List of tr a nsf err e d p ar a m et ers f or u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ..................................................... A 3

A p p e n di x 3 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9 " (IJ Z E R) .............................................................................................................................................. A1 0 A p p e n di x 4 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 " ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S) ........................................................................................................................... A4 2

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 5 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 " ( G E N T S E K A N A L E N) ........................................................................................................................... A6 0 A p p e n di x 6 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 " ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E) .......................................................................................................................... A6 6 A p p e n di x 7 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 " L EI E B E K K E N) ...................................................................................................................................... A7 5 A p p e n di x 8 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E) ................................................................................................................................ 8 9 A p p e n di x 9 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N) ............................................................................................................................. 1 0 6 A p p e n di x 1 0 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0" ( DIJ L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N) .................................................................................................................... A1 3 0 A p p e n di x 1 1 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 " ( D E M E R B E K K E N) ............................................................................................................................. A1 5 6 A p p e n di x 1 2 ( N E T E) A p p e n di x 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9" ........................................................................................................................................ A1 9 7 C o m p ar is o n N A M 2 0 1 0-2 0 1 6 ............................................................................................. A2 2 0

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

VII

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

List of t a bl es T a bl e 1 – List of g a u gi n g st ati o ns o n t h e S c h el dt a n d its tri b ut ari es f or c ali br ati o n of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els ... 4 T a bl e 2 – C at c h m e nts c ali br at e d j oi ntl y b as e d o n o n e g a u gi n g st ati o n............................................................ 5 T a bl e 3 – N u m b er of r ai n g a u g es p er h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n ................................................................................ 6 T a bl e 4 – N A M p ar a m et ers a n d o pti miz ati o n b o u n d ari es .............................................................................. 1 3 T a bl e 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n ................................ 1 6 T a bl e 6 – O v er vi e w of v a li dati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n .................................. 1 7 T a bl e 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers ............................. 2 3 T a bl e 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers ............................... 2 3 T a bl e 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n ............................ 2 8 T a bl e 1 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n ........................... 2 8 T a bl e 1 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n ............... 3 1 T a bl e 1 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n ................. 3 1 T a bl e 1 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n ................................... 3 6 T a bl e 1 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n ..................................... 3 6 T a bl e 1 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n .................... 4 2 T a bl e 1 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n ..................... 4 2 T a bl e 1 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n .............................. 4 7 T a bl e 1 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n ............................... 4 7 T a bl e 1 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns ............... 5 3 T a bl e 2 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns ................. 5 3 T a bl e 2 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n ............................... 5 8 T a bl e 2 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n ................................ 5 9 T a bl e 2 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n .................................. 6 4 T a bl e 2 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n ................................... 6 4

VIII

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

L ist of fi g ur es Fi g ur e 1 – M a p of g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e S c h el dt b asi n, M e us e, t h e Br u gs e p ol d ers a n d t h e IJz er.................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Fi g ur e 2 – Str u c t ur e of t h e N A M m o d el ............................................................................................................ 8 Fi g ur e 3 – All e v al u at e d c a n di d at es (i n di vi d u als) a n d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ....................................... 1 2 Fi g ur e 4 – R es c al e d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ............................................................................................ 1 2 Fi g ur e 5 – C at c h m e nts a n d fl o w m et eri n g st ati o n o n t h e IJz er b asi n ............................................................. 1 5 Fi g ur e 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .................................................................................... 1 7 Fi g ur e 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................ 1 8 Fi g ur e 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k .......................................... 1 8 Fi g ur e 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e perl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e( 1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 8) ................................................................................................. 1 9 Fi g ur e 1 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)......................................................................... 1 9 Fi g ur e 1 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I ep erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................ 2 0 Fi g ur e 1 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................ 2 0 Fi g ur e 1 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h a r g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................ 2 1 Fi g ur e 1 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers .................... 2 2 Fi g ur e 1 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h me nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................................. 2 3 Fi g ur e 1 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .................................................................................................... 2 4 Fi g ur e 1 7 – M e as ur e d ( r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M al d e g e m .......................................................... 2 4 Fi g ur e 1 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .............................................................................................. 2 5 Fi g ur e 1 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .................................................................................. 2 5 Fi g ur e 2 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p .......................................... 2 6 Fi g ur e 2 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt ............................ 2 7

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

Fi g ur e 2 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ........................................................................................ 2 8 Fi g ur e 2 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)........................................................................... 2 9 Fi g ur e 2 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt .......................... 3 0 Fi g ur e 2 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .......................................................................... 3 1 Fi g ur e 2 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 37 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M o l e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1-2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 3 2 Fi g ur e 2 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e c ifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ............................. 3 2 Fi g ur e 2 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ............................................................................... 3 3 Fi g ur e 2 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ................................................................. 3 3 Fi g ur e 3 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl e i n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e................................... 3 4 Fi g ur e 3 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt ............................................... 3 5 Fi g ur e 3 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st a ti o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................................................. 3 7 Fi g ur e 3 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 3 7 Fi g ur e 3 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, s t ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ...................................... 3 8 Fi g ur e 3 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3) .................................................... 3 8 Fi g ur e 3 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d e l; O ostr o z e b e k e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)...................................................................... 3 9 Fi g ur e 3 7 – M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ..................................................................... 3 9 Fi g ur e 3 8 – S hift i n m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e st arti n g fr o m a pril 2 0 1 0 .................................................................. 4 0 Fi g ur e 3 9 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt ............................... 4 1 Fi g ur e 4 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................ 4 3 Fi g ur e 4 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .................................................................................... 4 3 Fi g ur e 4 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 34 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ........................................................................ 4 4 Fi g ur e 4 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................. 4 4

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

Fi g ur e 4 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e d is c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ..................................................................... 4 5 Fi g ur e 4 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ...................................... 4 5 Fi g ur e 4 6 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt .......................................... 4 6 Fi g ur e 4 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 4 8 Fi g ur e 4 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 4 8 Fi g ur e 4 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e ....................................................... 4 9 Fi g ur e 5 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n( 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9) ....................................................................... 4 9 F i g ur e 5 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9) ....................................................................... 5 0 Fi g ur e 5 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m u l at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ........................... 5 0 Fi g ur e 5 3 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e c at c h m e nt ............................ 5 2 Fi g ur e 5 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .............................................................................................. 5 4 Fi g ur e 5 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................................. 5 4 Fi g ur e 5 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e .................................................. 5 5 Fi g ur e 5 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e ( 2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3) .............................................................................................................. 5 5 Fi g ur e 5 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e ( 2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 5 6 Fi g ur e 5 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e ........................................................... 5 6 Fi g ur e 6 0 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e m er c at c h m e nt ........................................... 5 7 Fi g ur e 6 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .............................................................................................................. 5 9 Fi g ur e 6 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 6 0 Fi g ur e 6 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ........................................................ 6 0 Fi g ur e 6 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 7) ............................................................................................. 6 1 Fi g ur e 6 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 7) ................................................................................. 6 1

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

Fi g ur e 6 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ...................................... 6 2 Fi g ur e 6 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ...................................... 6 2 Fi g ur e 6 8 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e N et e b asi n .............................................................. 6 3 Fi g ur e 6 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................................ 6 5 Fi g ur e 7 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................ 6 5 Fi g ur e 7 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts .............................................................................................................................................................. 6 6 Fi g ur e 7 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 7) .................................................................................................... 6 6 Fi g ur e 7 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 7) .................................................................................................... 6 7 Fi g ur e 7 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v orst .......................................................... 6 7 Fi g ur e 7 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ......................................................... 6 8

XII

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

I ntr o d u cti o n

1. 1

O bj e cti v es

T h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n will b e us e d i n or d er t o p erf or m l o w fl o w f or e c asts a n d c al c ul at e cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e g o al o f t his s u bt as k of t h e pr oj e ct ‘M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n’, is t o d efi n e t h e m ost a p pr o pri at e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n i n or d er t o m e et t his pr er e q uisit e. T h er ef or e, diff er e nt h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or e a c h of t h e s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e st u d y ar e a ar e s et u p a n d e v al u at e d o n t h eir a p pr o pri at e n ess f or l o w fl o w f or e c asti n g a n d cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e r e g ar d e d m o d els ar e N A M ( © D HI), P DM ( ©I n n o v yz e), V H M ( © Will e ms, P.) a n d W E T S P A ( © V U B). O v er all d es cri pti o ns of t h es e m o d els c a n b e f o u n d i n V a nst e e n kist e et al. ( 2 0 1 1). Aft er e v al u ati o n of e a c h of t h es e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els, t h e m ost a p pr o pri at e m o d el f or e a c h c at c h m e nt c a n b e us e d f or t h e p arti c ul ar a p pli c ati o n. T h is s u br e p ort c o v ers t h e r e c ali br ati o n a n d e v al u ati o n of t h e N A M m o d els, w hi c h ar e p art of t h e MI K E 1 1 s oft w ar e p a c k a g e ( D HI, 2 0 0 9) . I n t h e pr e vi o us pr oj e ct “ M o d elli n g of w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es f or t h e S c h el dt b asi n ( pr oj e ct W L - 0 9-4 6) t h e h y dr ol o gi c al i n p ut of t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el w as alr e a d y g e n er at e d b y m e a ns of N A M m o d els ( D e B o e c k, K. et al, 2 0 1 1). T h es e N A M m o d els w er e hit h ert o d e v el o p e d at Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs wit hi n t h e s c o p e of diff er e nt pr oj e ct s, w h er e b y t h e f o c us w as m ai nl y o n fl o o d f or e c asti n g a n d c o ns e q u e ntl y o n a g o o d r e pr es e nt ati o n of hi g h fl o ws. I n t h e c urr e nt pr oj e ct, h y dr ol o gi c al N A M m o d els f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts (i. e. c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m of a g a u gi n g st ati o n) ar e r e c ali br at e d w h er e b y t h e f o c us is m ai nl y o n l o w fl o ws. F or e a c h of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al c at c h m e nts, t h e N A M p ar a m et ers will b e u p d at e d. T h e c ali br ati o n is p erf or m e d b as e d o n a n a ut o m ati c o pti miz ati o n pr o c e d ur e f oll o w e d b y a vis u al c o ntr ol. D uri n g t h e o pti miz ati o n r o uti n e t h e b es t p ar a m et ers s et is s el e cte d f or e a c h c at c h m e nt b as e d o n 2 crit eri a: ( 1) a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p, a n d ( 2) l o g arit h mi c N as h-S ut cliff effi ci e n c y. T h e first crit eri o n ai ms t o m o d el t h e gl o b al fl o w p att er n, t h e l att er f o c us es m ai nl y o n t h e l o w fl o ws. U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n h erit N A M p ar a m et ers fr o m si mil ar n ei g h b ori n g c at c h m e nts. Aft er v ali d ati o n a n d r o b ust n ess c h e c ks, t h e n e wl y c ali br at e d N A M m o d els will, if s uit a bl e, r e a d y t o b e us e d f or l o w fl o w f or e c asti n g a n d cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari o si m ul ati o ns.

1. 2

Str u ct ur e of t h e r e p ort

I n a first s e cti o n, t h e a d dr ess e d c at c h m e nts ar e d efi n e d a n d r eli a bl e g a u gi n g st ati o ns s el e ct e d ( S e cti o n 2 ). S e c o n d, rai nf all a n d e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ar e t h e n i nt er p ol at e d f or t h e s el e ct e d c at c h m e nts, a c c or d i n g t o t h e T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d ( S e cti o n 3 ). T h e g e n er al str u ct ur e a n d p ar a m et ers of t h e N A M m o d el ar e o utli n e d i n S e cti o n 4 w hil e t h e c ali br ati o n str at e g y a n d b asi c l o gi c b e hi n d t h e a ut o m at e d c ali br ati o n al g orit h m ar e e x pl ai n e d i n S e cti o n 5 . O n c e all N A M m o d els f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d, fl o w is si m ul at e d f or 4 7 y e ars ( 1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3). U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ar e si m ul at e d usi n g p ar a m et ers of a n e ar b y c at c h m e nt wit h si mil ar c h ar a ct eristi cs. R es ults ar e s y nt h etiz e d i n S e cti o n 6 a n d d et ail e d i n t h e a p p e n di c es . S e cti o n 7 pr es e nts c o n cl usi o ns of t h e c ali br ati o n a n d s o m e r e c o m m e n d ati o ns t o c o nsi d er w h e n usi n g t h e c ali br at e d N A M m o d els i n t h e n e xt st e ps of t h e pr oj e ct.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

C at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n

2. 1

G e n er al

T h e i n p uts of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el ar e dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es at t h e u p p er b o u n d ari es a n d e ntri es of tri b ut ari es i n t h e m o d ell e d w at er n et w or k. T his r ai nf all r u n off dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d b y m e a ns of o n e of t h e a b o v e m e nti o n e d h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els ( N A M, P D M, V H M, W E T S P A) . A p art fr o m t h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt as s u c h, t h e IJz er b asi n a n d t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers ar e als o i n cl u d e d i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d e l a n d t h er ef or e als o i n cl u d e d t o t his st u d y. T h e m a p o n Fi g ur e 1 s h o ws t h e m ai n ri v er b asi ns i n cl u d e d i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. I n t his r e p ort, r es ults will b e str u ct ur e d g e o gr a p hi c all y p er b asi n. T h e d e v el o p m e nt of h y dr ol o gi c al N A M m o d els f or t h e M e us e b asi n, w hi c h is als o i n cl u d e d i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el, is s u bj e ct t o a disti n ct r e p ort (M ar o y et al., 2 0 2 1 ). D eli n e at e d h y dr ol o gi c al s u b c at c h m e nts f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el w er e c oll e ct e d i n 2 0 1 0 b as e d o n p ast m o d ell i n g st u di es ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1) a n d u p d at e d wit h i n t h e fr a m e w or k of t h e pr es e nt st u d y. Fi g ur e 1 s h o ws a n o v er vi e w of t h e d eli n e at e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. F or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts , w h er e a ti m e s eri es of m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e is a v ail a bl e, t h e N A M m o d els ar e c ali br at e d . S o m e of t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el ar e s u b di vi d e d i n diff er e nt s u b c at c h m e nts t o distri b ut e t h e i nfl o w o v er t h e m o d ell e d ri v er str et c h es. E a c h of t h es e s u b c at c h m e nts i n h er its t h e p ar a m et ers of t h e m ai n g a u g e d c at c h m e nt. A n e x a m pl e of t his is t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t h e m e as uri n g st ati o n t h e M e n e n, w hi c h is s u b di vi d e d i nt o 2 7 s u b c at c h m e nts. T h e c at c h m e nt its elf is c ali br at e d o n t h e dis c h ar g e ti m es eri es of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n t h e M e n e n. Wit hi n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el t h e r ai nf all r u n off of e a c h of t h es e 2 7 s u b c at c h m e nts is c al c ul at e d b as e d o n its p arti c ul ar i nt er p ol at e d r ai nf all- a n d e v a p or ati o n s eri es a n d li n k e d i n di vi d u all y t o t h e a p pr o pri at e m o d ell e d w at er c o urs e. F or m or e d et ail a b o ut t h e c h oi c es a n d m et h o d ol o g y of c at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n, pl e as e s e e D e B o e c k et al. ( 2 0 1 1) 1 . Un g a u g e d m o d els i n h erit N A M p ar a m et ers fr o m si mil ar n ei g h b ori n g c at c h m e nts. All c at c h m e nts of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el r e c ei v e d a u ni q u e i nf or m ati v e c o d e , as d efi n e d i n t h e pr e vi o us p h as e of t h e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1). E a c h c o d e c o nsists of 1 2 c h ar a ct ers, r el ati v e t o t h e c at c h m e nt l o c ati o n, m ai n w at er c o urs e a n d g a u gi n g st ati o n: • • • • •

C h ar a ct er 1 : r e gi o n w h er e t h e c at c h m e nt is l o c at e d ( V: Fl a n d ers; W: W all o ni a; N: N et h erl a n ds; F: Fr a n c e) C h ar a ct ers 2 a n d 3 : n u m b er of t h e Fl e mis h h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n t o w hi c h t h e c at c h m e nt b el o n g s. C h ar a ct ers 4, 5 a n d 6 : i niti als of t h e m ai n w at er c o urs e C h ar a ct ers 7, 8 a n d 9 : first t hr e e di gits of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n c o d e ( or 3 l ett er i niti als) f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts, a n d “ 0 0 0 ” f or u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts. C h ar a ct ers 1 0, 1 1 a n d 1 2 : t hr e e di git-s uffi x t h at e ns ur e c at c h m e nt c o d e diff er e nti ati o n.

W L 2 0 1 1 R 7 2 4 _ 0 4 c _r e v 2 _ 1 _ D O 3. d o c 2

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 1 – M a p of g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nt s of t h e S c h el dt b asi n, M e us e, t h e Br u gs e p ol d ers a n d t h e IJz er

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

2. 2

G a u g e d c at c h m e nts

T a bl e 1 lists t h e g a u g e d st ati o n s us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e r ai nf all -r u n off m o d els. C at c h m e nts t h at w er e c ali br at e d j oi ntl y ar e list e d i n T a bl e 2 . T a bl e 1 – List of g a u gi n g st ati o ns o n t h e S c h el dt a n d it s tri b ut ari es f or c ali br ati o n of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els G a u gi n g st ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

C at c h m e nt I D

Ar e a ( k m²)

G a u g e d y e ar s

4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k

V01 H A N488180

7 8, 6

1 9 9 4 -2 0 1 6

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9

3 9 3, 0

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

6 3, 4

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 4

4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e

V01KE M492060

7 3, 9

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 5

4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m

V01 M AR496120

7 6, 1

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2 - P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n

V01P OP491030

8 4, 9

1 9 8 4 -2 0 1 6

4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

V 0 1SS V4 9 9 14 0

1 6, 1

1 9 9 0 -2 0 0 9

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – E d e; M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5, 5

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HE R426010

7 7, 3

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 – K er k e b e e k ; Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2, 7

1 9 8 3 -2 0 0 8

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 4, 0

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

1 0 6, 8

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3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k ; Li ez el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2, 6

1 9 6 6 -2 0 1 6

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k ; M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7, 3

1 9 6 6 -2 0 1 6

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e; M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1, 8

1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 6

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1, 9

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e

V05 M A N4 01230

2 5 8, 4

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 59 9 9

5 2 1 7, 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 4

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

4 8, 7

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

1 1 2, 1

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6 2 0 1 2 -2 0 1 6

L 5 4 1 2 – R h os n es ; A m o u gi es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

1 6 1, 9

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 – B ell e b e e k ; Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

8 8, 7

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 – M ar k; Vi a n e

V07 M AR289015

1 7 3, 9

1 9 7 6 -2 0 1 6

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6, 4

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

2 3, 1

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 4

2 7 0 8 -1 0 5 0 D e n dr e; L e ssi n es

W 0 7 D E NL E S 9 9 9

5 1 1, 8

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k ; El e wijt

V08B AR111370

6 9, 9

1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 4

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 – Dijl e ; Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 8 6, 9

1 9 7 4 -2 0 1 4

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 – Z u u n b e e k ; St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 6

2 3 7 1 -1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e ; R o n q ui er es

W 0 8S A M R O N0 0 0

1 3 3, 6

1 9 8 9 -2 0 1 6

L 5 6 7 0 – S e n ett e ; R o n q ui er es

W 0 8 S E NL 5 6 0 1 0

7 0, 4

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 6

1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e ; T u biz e

W 0 8SE NT U B0 3 0

2 1 5, 9

1 9 7 5 -2 0 1 6

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 – D e m er ; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5, 1

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1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0, 4

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1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 – H er k ; K er mt

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4, 6

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 6

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0, 1

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L OS 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5, 2

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

V09 M A N161040

1 0 2, 9

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 1

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

G a u gi n g st ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

C at c h m e nt I D

Ar e a ( k m²)

G a u g e d y e ar s

1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

V09 M OT144270

3 3, 6

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 0

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6, 8

1 9 6 9 -2 0 1 6

1 4 1 1 0 1 0 2 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4, 7

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

V09Z W A148120

9 6, 2

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k ; V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2, 6

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 4

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e N et e ; G e el-Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

2 4 3, 5

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10K NE052000

5 8 4, 7

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 4

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi m p; Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 4

1 9 8 9 -2 0 0 7

T a bl e 2 – C at c h m e nts c ali br at e d j oi ntl y b as e d o n o n e g a u gi n g st ati o n

St ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

J oi nt c o d e

46810102 IJz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

38680122 – L ei e, M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 0 0 1

C at c h m e nts

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 F01YSE4680 00 F05 BEC386023

F05 DE U386090

V 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 1 8 0

F05 BEC386025

F05 DE U386110

F 0 5 L OI 3 8 6 0 3 5

F05 B O U386005 F05 DE U386120

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 0 0

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 1 7

F05 DE U386130

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 0

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 2 0

F05 DE U386140

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 5

F05 DE U386040 F05 DE U386150

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 1 5

F05 DE U386050 F05 DE U386160

F05 M AR386070

F 0 5 D E U 3 8 6 0 6 0 F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 1 8 F 0 5 M A R 3 8 6 1 0 0 F 0 5 D E U 3 8 6 0 8 0 F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 3 0 W 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 7 0 32580122 B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F06 B OS325001:

F06 B OS325000 F06E R C325030

W 06 B OS 3250 95

F06 B OS325 015 F06 H O G 3250 70 W 06 B OS 3251 05 F06 B OS325 016 F06 R H O 3 2506 0 W 06 B OS 3251 15 F 0 6 B OS 3 2 5 0 1 7 F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 0

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 0

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 5 0 1 8 F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 5

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 5

F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 1 9 F 0 6S EL 3 2 5 0 4 0

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 9 0

F 0 6E C A 3 2 5 0 5 0 F 0 6SE N 3 2 5 0 1 0

2. 3

U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts

T h e N A M p ar a m et ers f or t h e u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e m o d ell e d ar e a, ar e i n h erit e d fr o m n ei g h b ori n g g a u g e d c at c h m e nts. T h e li n k b et w e e n t h e u n g a u g e d a n d t h e c orr es p o n di n g g a u g e d c at c h m e nt is m a d e b as e d o n t h e c at c h m e nt c h ar a ct eristi cs (s oil, sl o p e, c o n c e ntr ati o n ti m e, l a n d us e).

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

I n p ut d at a pr e pr o c essi n g

3. 1

T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d

I nt er p ol at e d pr e ci pit ati o n w as pr o d u c e d f or e a c h c at c h me nt a c c or di n g t o t h e T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d, usi n g H y dr @ (I M D C, 2 0 1 0). R ai nf all a n d e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ar e i nt er p ol at e d usi n g w ei g hts i n v ers el y pr o p orti o n al t o t h e dist a n c e t o t h e w e at h er st ati o n, usi n g m e as ur e m e nt s a v ail a bl e f or e a c h ti m e st e p. B e c a us e o f t h e l ar g e s c al e a n d t h e l o n g t er m n at ur e of ti m es eri es us e d i n t his st u d y, a d ail y ti m e st e p is us e d. F or c o nsist e n c y r e as o ns, c ali br ati o n is als o b as e d o n d ail y ti m e s eri es. B ot h m et e or ol o gi c al a n d dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es ar e t h us s a m pl e d at a d ail y ti m e st e p.

3. 2

Pr e ci pit ati o n

T hi ess e n pr e ci pit ati o n n e e d e d t o b e c al c ul at e d f or all d eli n e at e d s u b c at c h m e nts ( S e cti o n 2 ). S o ur c e d at a c o nsist s h er e b y of r ai nf all m e as ur e m e nt s fr o m 1 9 6 7 t o 2 0 1 3, s pr e a d o v er t h e e ntir e m o d el ar e a a n d ar o u n d. T h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt e xt e n ds o v er Fr a n c e, Fl a n d ers, W all o ni a a n d t h e N et h erl a n ds. Pr e ci pit ati o n d at a w as t h us g at h er e d fr o m i nst a n c es i n B el gi u m, N et h erl a n ds a n d Fr a n c e. F or B el gi u m, pr e ci pit ati o n d at a w as g at h er e d fr o m K MI ( T h e R o y al M et e or ol o gi c al i nstit ut e) a n d S P W ( P u bli c S er vi c es of W all o ni a). F or Fr a n c e, d at a w as g at h er e d fr o m M ét é o Fr a n c e. Cr oss es o n Fi g ur e 1 s h o w us e d r ai nf all m et eri n g st ati o ns o n a n d ar o u n d t h e S c h el dt b asi n ( M ét é o Fr a n c e a n d K MI). Si n c e t h e pr e vi o us N A M c ali br ati o n st u d y i n Fl a n d ers ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1), r eli a bilit y of t h e r ai nf all i nt er p ol ati o n w as gr e atl y i n cr e as e d f or t h e Fr e n c h L ei e a n d B o v e ns c h el d e ( dis c uss e d i n Mi c hi els e n et al., 2 0 2 1) . D u e t o a d diti o n a l d at a fr o m t h e Fr e n c h w e at h er st ati o ns, t h e a m o u nt of r ai n g a u g es f or t h e t h e B o v e ns c h el d e a n d L ei e (i n cl u di n g t h e Fr e n c h p art) i n cr e as es t o 4 6 r ai n g a u g es a n d 3 0 r es p e cti v el y (T a bl e 3 ). T a bl e 3 – N u m b er of r ai n g a u g es p er h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n

H y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n

S urf a c e ar e a ( k m²) 2

N u m b er of s u b c at c h m e nts ( g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d)

N u m b er of r ai n g a u g e s

B e n e d e ns c h el d e

1 704

B o v e ns c h el d e

5 947

Br u gs e P ol d ers

1 046

D e m er

2 334

D e n d er

1 384

Dijl e e n Z e n n e

2 450

G e nt s e K a n al e n

917

Ijz er

1 046

L ei e

3 886

N et e

1 673

B e k k e n b e h e er pl a n n e n Vl a a n d er e n( A N O N., 2 0 0 9) 6

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

3. 3

E v a p otr a ns pir ati o n

W h er e as t h er e is a l ot of pr e ci pit ati o n i n p ut d at a, it d o es n’t a p pl y f or e v a p or ati o n d at a. T hi ess e n e v a p or ati o n d at a i s v er y s c ar c e. As a n e x a m pl e, f or t h e e ntir e p eri o d (fr o m 1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3), t h er e w as o nl y o n e a cti v e P E st ati o n i n Fr a n c e, l o c at e d i n L a n gr es, 1 0 k m o utsi d e t h e s o ut h er n m ost p art of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h e e v a p or ati o n p er c at c h m e nt w as c al c ul at e d b as e d o n i nt er p ol ati o n of P E d at a w hi c h w as alr e a d y a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e S c h el dt b asi n ( a c o m bi n ati o n of U c cl e a n d H er e nt als d at a). All i nt er p ol at e d e v a p o tr a ns pir ati o n ti m es eri es ar e pr a cti c all y i d e nti c al b e c a us e of t h eir g e o gr a p hi c al pr o xi mit y.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

R ai nf all -r u n off m o d elli n g m et h o d ol o g y

T h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el us e d w hi c h is i n v esti g at e d i n t his s u b r e p ort is t h e c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all -r u n off N A M m o d el . N A M is a r ai nf all-r u n off l u m p e d m o d el str u ct ur e d e v el o p e d b y D HI as p art of t h e MI K E 1 1 s oft w ar e p a c k a g e ( D HI, 2 0 0 9). F or e a c h c at c h m e nt, dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d b as e d o n a u ni q u e s et of p ar a m et ers usi n g i nt er p ol at e d r ai nf all a n d p ot e nti al e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ti m es eri es as i n p ut. A d es cri pti o n of N A M is o utli n e d b el o w.

4. 1

Str u ct ur e of t h e N A M h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el

T h e N A M m o d el is a d et e r mi nisti c, l u m p e d, c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all-r u n off m o d el, si m ul ati n g t h e o v erl a n d-, i nt er a n d b as e -fl o w c o m p o n e nts as a f u n cti o n of t h e m oist ur e c o nt e nts i n f o ur st or a g es. F or t his st u d y, t h e s n o w m o d ul e w as n ot c o nsi d er e d. N A M i n cl u d e d t hr e e m o d ell e d st or a g es: s urf a c e st or a g e, l o w er st or a g e or r o ot z o n e, gr o u n d w at er st or a g e. Fi g ur e 4 b el o w s h o ws t h e g e n er al str u ct ur e of t h e N A M m o d el. T h e m ai n c o m p o n e nts (r es er v oirs), st at e a n d fl o w v ari a bl es, a n d p ar a m et ers ar e r e pr es e nt e d. B ei n g a l u m p e d m o d el, N A M tr e ats e a c h c at c h m e nt as a si n gl e u nit. T h e p ar a m et ers a n d v ari a bl es r e pr es e nt, t h er e f or e, a v er a g e v al u es f o r t h e e ntir e c at c h m e nt. F or t h at r e as o n, s o m e of t h e p ar a m et ers ar e r el at e d t o p h ysi c al pr o c ess es b ut fi n al v al u es m ust b e c ali br at e d a g ai nst h y dr ol o gi c al ti m e s eri es. F or m or e d et ail o n t h e N A M m o d el, pl e as e r ef er t o D HI ( 2 0 0 9). Fi g ur e 2 – Str u ct ur e of t h e N A M m o d el ( D HI, 2 0 0 0)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

4. 2

N A M p ar a m et ers d es cri pti o n

S urf a c e a n r o ot z o n e p ar a m et ers 1.

M a xi m u m w at er c o nt e nt i n s urf a c e st or a g e Um a x

U m a x [ m m] d efi n es t h e m a xi m u m w at er c o nt e nt i n t h e s urf a c e st or a g e (i nt er c e pti o n, s urf a c e d e pr essi o n a n d u p p er m ost s oil). T his m a xi m u m c a p a cit y h as t o b e r e a c h e d b ef or e a n y e x c ess w at er o c c urs. T h e D HI m a n u al i n di c at e a t y pi c al r a ng e of 1 0 -2 0 m m b ut s o m e e xt e n d it t o 5 -3 5 ( M a ds e n et al. 2 0 0 0). 2.

M a xi m u m w at er c o nt e nt i n r o ot z o n e st or a g e L

m ax

L m a x [ m m] d efi n es t h e m a xi m u m w at er c o nt e nt i n t h e l o w er or r o ot z o n e st or a g e. It c a n b e i nt er pr et e d as t h e m a xi m u m s oil m oist ur e c o nt e nt i n t h e r o ot z o n e a v ail a bl e f or t h e v e g et ati v e tr a ns pir ati o n. R a n g e is a b o ut 5 0 -3 5 0 or e v e n u p t o 5 0 0. 3.

O v erl a n d fl o w r u n off c o effi ci e nt C Q O F

C Q O F [ -] d et er mi n es t h e e xt e nt t o w hi c h e x c ess r ai nf all r u ns off as o v erl a n d fl o w a n d t h e m a g nit u d e of i nfiltr ati o n. It will b e r el at e d t o s oil t y p e a n d i nfiltr ati o n c h ar a ct eristi cs a nd als o t o s o m e e xt e nt t h e r e c h ar g e c o n diti o n. V al u es of t h e r a n g e 0. 0 1 -0. 9 0 h a v e b e e n e x p eri e n c e d. 4.

Ti m e c o nst a nt f or i nt erfl o w C KI F

C KI F [ h o urs] d et er mi n es, t o g et h er wit h U m a x, t h e a m o u nt of i nt erfl o w. It is t h e d o mi n a nt r o uti n g p ar a m et er of t h e i nt erfl o w. R a n g e is 5 0 0 -1 0 0 0 h o urs. 5.

Ti m e c o nst a nt f or r o uti n g i nt erfl o w a n d o v erl a n d fl o w C K 1 a n d C K 2

C K 1, 2 d et er mi n es t h e s h a p e of h y dr o gr a p h p e a ks. V al u es d e p e n d o n t h e siz e of t h e c at c h m e nt a n d h o w f as t it r es p o n ds t o r ai nf all. T ypi c al v al u es ar e i n t h e r a n g e 3 -4 8 h o urs b ut s o m eti m es u p t o 7 2 ( M a ds e n et al 2 0 0 0). 6.

R o ot z o n e t hr es h ol d v al u e f or o v erl a n d fl o w T O F

N o o v erl a n d fl o w is g e n er at e d if t h e r el ati v e m oist ur e c o nt e nt of t h e l o w er z o n e st or a g e , L/ L m a x is l ess t h a n T O F. F or c a t c h m e nts wit h alt er n ati n g dr y a n d w et p eri o ds, t h e t hr es h ol d v al u es d et er mi n e t h e o ns et of t h e fl o w c o m p o n e nts i n t h e p eri o ds w h er e t h e r o ot z o n e is b ei n g fill e d u p. T hr es h ol d v al u es h a v e n o i m p ort a n c e i n w et p eri o ds. T h e si g nifi c a n c e of t h e t hr es h ol d v al ues v ar y fr o m c at c h m e nt t o c at c h m e nt. V al u es fr o m 0 t o 0. 7 h a v e b e e n e x p eri e n c e d. 7.

R o ot z o n e t hr es h o ld v al u e f or i nt erfl o w TI F

TI F h as t h e s a m e f u n cti o n f or i nt erfl o w as T O F f or o v erl a n d fl o w. It is us u all y u ni m p ort a nt a n d c a n i n m ost c as es b e s et t o z er o. Gr o u n d w at er p ar a m et er s 8.

B as efl o w ti m e c o nst a nt C K B F

C K B F [ h o urs] d et er mi n es t h e s h a p e of t h e h y dr o gr a p h i n dr y p eri o ds ( e x p o n e nti al d e c a y). It c a n b e esti m at e d fr o m h y dr o gr a p h r e c essi o n a n al ysis. C K B F v al u es r a n g e fr o m 5 0 0 t o 5 00 0 h o urs. 9.

R o ot z o n e t hr es h ol d f or gr o u n d w at er r e c h ar g e T G

T G is si mil ar t o T O F f or r e c h ar g e. It is a n i m p ort a nt p ar a m et er f or si m ul ati n g t h e ris e f o r t h e gr o u n d w at er t a bl e i n t h e b e gi n ni n g of a w et s e as o n.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

C ali br ati o n str at e g y

5. 1

O pti miz ati o n al g orit h m

T h e al g orit h m us e d f or o pti mi z ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers is t h e N o n -d o mi n at e d S orti n g G e n eti c Al g orit h m II or N S G A II 3 . T his al g orit h m is s uit a bl e f or o pti miz ati o n pr o bl e ms wit h m ulti pl e o bj e cti v e f u n cti o ns. V ari a bl e v al u es ar e g e n er at e d i n t h e first it er ati o n. E a c h s ol uti o n, t h at is t o s a y a n arr a y of v ari a bl e v al u es, is c all e d a n i n di vi d u al. A p o p ul ati o n is a gr o u p of N s ol uti o ns i n e a c h it er ati o n. I n t h e f oll o wi n g it er ati o ns t h e cr e at e d i n di vi d u als ar e g oi n g t o b e “ c hil dr e n ” of t h e pr e vi o us p o p ul ati o n, t h at is t o s a y t h e y ar e g oi n g t o i n h erit “f e at ur es ” fr o m c o u pl es of i n di vi d u als c h os e n i n t h e pr e vi o us p o p ul ati o n a c c or di n g t o s p e cifi e d s el e cti o n a n d cr oss o v er t e c h ni q u es. T h e us er c a n c h o os e t o r a n d o ml y m ut at e t h e c hil dr e n f e at ur es w h e n a n offs pri n g is cr e at e d. T h e al g orit h m will t h e n p erf or m t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e s ol uti o ns t hr o u g h t h e P ar et o c o m p aris o n, t h at is t o s a y a s ol uti o n d o mi n at es, or is b ett er t h a n, a n ot h er s ol uti o n if it is b ett er t h a n or e q u al t o t h e ot h er s ol uti o n i n all o bj e cti v es a n d stri ctl y b ett er i n at l e ast o n e o bj e cti v e. A c o m bi n e d p o p ul ati o n R of p ar e nt a n d c hil dr e n p o p ul ati o n is f or m e d; t h e i n di vi d u als i n it ar e s ort e d a c c or di n g t o n o n -d o mi n ati o n. Si n c e all pr e vi o us a n d c urr e nt p o p ul ati o n m e m b ers ar e i n cl u d e d i n R, t h e elitis m is e ns ur e d. T h e b est N s ol uti o ns will b e t h e p o p ul ati o n of t h e n e xt it er ati o n.

5. 2

O bj e cti v e f u n cti o n

A ut o m ati c c ali br ati o n is c o nsists of o pti mizi n g ( 1) a gr e e m e nt b et w e e n t h e a v er a g e si m ul at e d a n d o bs er v e d c at c h m e nt r u n off ( o v er all v ol u m e err or) a n d ( 2) o v er all a gr e e m e nt of t h e s h a p e of t h e h y dr o gr a p h. T o ass ess t h es e t w o as p e cts, e v al u ati o n is b as e d o n t h e f oll o wi n g g o o d n ess-of -fit i n d e x es: 1. 2.

A bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p (t o mi ni miz e), a n d L o g arit h mi c N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y (t o m a xi miz e).

T h es e t w o o bj e cti v es ar e s uit e d f or N S G A-II o pti miz ati o n b e c a us e t h e y ar e c o ntr a di ct or y f or a n u m b er of m o d el p ar a m et ers. A r e d u c e d n u m b er of o bj e cti v es (t w o) f a cilit at es a n d f ast e ns t h e al g orit h m c o n v er g e n c e w hil e e ns uri n g g o o d o v er all p erf or m a n c e of t h e m o d el. It is als o i m p ort a nt t h at t h es e o bj e cti v es b e c o ntr a di ct or y i n or d er f or t h e o pti m u m t o b e w ell d efi n e d. T h er e ar e g e n er all y tr a d e -offs b et w e e n p erf or m a n c e f or hi g h a n d l o w fl o ws. T h er ef or e, fi n al m a n u al a n d vis u al c h e c ks will c o m pl et e p erf or m a n c e e v al u at i o n wit h p ossi bl e f o c us o n l o w or hi g h fl o w. T h e effi ci e n c y E pr o p os e d b y N as h a n d S ut cliff e ( 1 9 7 0) is d efi n e d as o n e mi n us t h e s u m of t h e a bs ol ut e s q u ar e d diff er e n c es b et w e e n t h e pr e di ct e d a n d o bs er v e d v al u es n or m aliz e d b y t h e v ari a n c e of t h e o bs er v e d v al u es d uri n g t h e p eri o d u n d er i n v esti g ati o n. It is c al c ul at e d as f oll o ws: 𝐸𝐸 = 1 −

∑

𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖 = 1 ( 𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖

∑

𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖 = 1 � 𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖

− 𝑃𝑃 𝑖𝑖 ) 2 2 − 𝑂𝑂� �

E q. 1

wit h O o bs er v e d a n d P pr e di ct e d v al u es.

K al y a n m o y D e b, A mrit Pr at a p, S a m e er A g ar w al, a n d T. M e y ari v a n. A F a st Elitist M ulti -o bj e cti v e G e n eti c Al g orit h m: N S G A -II. I E E E Tr a ns a cti o ns o n E v ol uti o n ar y C o m p ut ati o n, 6( 2):1 8 2 - 1 9 7, A pril 2 0 0 2. 10

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

T o r e d u c e t h e s e nsiti vit y t o e xtr e m e v al u es, t h e v al u e s of O a n d P. T hr o u g h l o g arit h mi c tr a nsf or fl o ws ar e k e pt m or e or l ess at t h e s a m e l e v el. c o m p aris o n t o t h e fl o o d p e a ks, r es ulti n g i n a u n d er pr e di cti o n ( Kr a us e et al. 2 0 0 5).

N as h -S ut cliff e effi ci e n c y E is als o c al c ul at e d wit h l o g arit h mi c m ati o n of r u n off v al u es, t h e p e a ks ar e fl att e n e d a n d t h e l o w As a r es ult, t h e i nfl u e n c e of l o w fl o w v al u es is i n cr e as e d i n hi g h er s e nsiti vit y of l o g N S E t o s yst e m ati c m o d el o v er - or

T h e s e c o n d o bj e cti v e of t h e al g orit h m is mi ni mizi n g t h e a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d v al u es at e a c h ti m e st e p ( d a y). T his e ns ur es t h at t h e w at er b al a n c e r e m ai ns s atisf a ct or y t hr o u g h o ut t h e si m ul ati o n ( all y e ars si m ul at e d). T h e t w o g o o d n ess-of -fit st atisti cs c a n b e r e pr es e nt e d i n 2 di m e nsi o ns t o r e pr es e nt t h e s et of s ol uti o ns e v al u at e d b y t h e al g orit h m. T h e b est p airs c o nstit ut e t h e P ar et o fr o nt. I n or d er t o sel e ct o n e si n gl e b est s ol uti o n, t h e t w o p erf or m a n c e i n d e x es w er e n or m aliz e d ( or r es c al e d) a cr oss t h e e x pl or e d r a n g e ( E q. 2): wit h x mi n s et t o z er o f or t h e a bs ol ut e err or, a n d x m a x s et t o 1 f or t h e l o g arit h mi c N S E.

𝐸𝐸 ′

𝑂𝑂 − 𝑖𝑖 𝑃𝑃 𝑖𝑖𝑛𝑛

𝑖𝑖 𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖 𝑂𝑂 − 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖𝑛𝑛

E q. 2

T his n or m aliz ati o n r es ult e d i n v al u es b et w e e n 0 a n d 1 f or t h e a bs ol ut e err or a n d b et w e e n -1 a n d 1 f or t h e N S E. Th e fi n al s ol uti o n w as t h e n s el e ct e d a m o n g t h e fi n al P ar et o fr o nt, l o o ki n g at t h e mi ni m u m E u cli di a n dist a n c e t o t h e or eti c al o pti m u m: l o g N S E = 1 a n d A bs ol u t e Err or = 0 ( E q. 3). 𝑑𝑑 = � ( 𝑥𝑥 𝐵𝐵 − 𝑥𝑥 𝐴𝐴 ) 2 + ( 𝑦𝑦 𝐵𝐵 − 𝑦𝑦 𝐴𝐴 ) 2

E q. 3

A n e x a m pl e of P ar et o fr o nt a n d fi n al s el e cti o n is s h o w n i n Fi g ur e 5 a n d Fi g ur e 6 .

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 3 – All e v al u at e d c a n di d at es (i n di vi d u als) a n d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt)

Fi g ur e 4 – R es c al e d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

5. 3

I m pl e m e nt ati o n i n P yt h o n

T h e P yt h o n v ersi o n of t h e N S G A II al g orit h m w as a d a pt e d f or h y dr ol o gi c al o pti miz ati o n p ur p os es usi n g a g e n er al fr a m e w or k s u p p orti n g t hr e e r ai nf all -r u n off m o d els: N A M, P D M, V H M a n d W E T S P A. D es cri pti o n of h o w t h e N A M m o d el a n d t h e ot h er l u m p e d m o d els ar e b ei n g i m pl e m e nt e d i n P yt h o n c a n b e f o u n d i n V a nst e e n kist e et al. ( 2 0 1 1) a n d Tr a n et al. ( 2 0 1 4 a, b). T h e c ali br ati o n P yt h o n s h ell c urr e ntl y s u p p orts t h e f oll o wi n g: -

O pti miz ati o n of ( o n e or all) m o d el p ar a m et ers f or a gi v e n c ali br ati o n p eri o d, E v al u ati o n of m o d el p ar a m et ers f or a gi v e n v ali d ati o n p eri o d, Pl otti n g r es ults of v ari o us alt er n ati v e p ar a m et er s ets o n t h e s a m e pl ot or s e p ar at el y (f or e x a m pl e, t h e fi n al p o p ul ati o n g e n er at e d b y t he al g orit h m), G e n er ati n g a ut o m ati c r e p orts of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n as W or d d o c u m e nt, M a n u al c ali br ati o n f or a gi v e n c ali br ati o n p eri o d.

T h e f irst r ai nf all-r u n off c o n c e pt u al m o d el us e d i n t his s u bt as k is N A M. As a g e n er al r ul e, all t e n p ar a m et ers w er e o pti miz e d a n d e x pl or e d p ar a m et er s p a c e w as d efi n e d b y b o u n d ari es i n T a bl e 4 . T h es e b o u n d ari es w er e ass u m e d a c c or di n g t o D HI r e c o m m e n d ati o ns a n d p ast e x p eri e n c e wit h N A M ( D HI, 2 0 0 9; M a ds e n, 2 0 0 0). I n s o m e p arti c ul ar c as es, t h e o pti m u m w as n ot w ell d efi n e d or t h e al g orit h m c o ul d n ot c o n v er g e i n r e as o n a bl e r a n g e a n d t h es e b o u n d ari es w er e a dj ust e d. C at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a w as c o nsi d er e d r eli a bl e a n d w as n ot o pti miz e d. W h e n e v er o pti miz ati o n w as n ot d eli v eri n g g o o d r es ults, b o u n d ari es w er e n arr o w e d d o w n usi n g m a n u al c ali br ati o n . T a bl e 4 – N A M p ar a m et ers a n d o pti miz ati o n b o u n d ari es

P ar a m et er s

U max

L max

C Q OF

C K BF

C KI F

CK1

CK2

TI F

T OF

L o w er b o u n d ar y

0, 1

1 0 0 0 ( or 5 0 0)

300

0, 1

0, 0 1

U p p er b o u n d ar y

35 2 0)

700

0, 8

2000

800 ( or 1 0 0 0)

0, 9

Fi n al v ersi o n

( or

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

N A M m o d el c ali br ati o n

6. 1

M o d el c o nfi g ur ati o n

I n m ost c as es a n d w h e n d at a w er e a v ail a bl e, a c ali br ati o n p eri o d of 1 3 y e ars w as us e d, pr ef er a bl y fr o m J a n u ar y 2 0 0 1 t o D e c e m b er 2 0 1 3. N e v ert h eless, diff er e nt ti m e s eri es w er e s el e ct e d w h e n a v ail a bl e d at a w er e i ns uffi ci e nt or u nr eli a bl e, c h o osi n g 1 3 y e ars of c ali br ati o n if p ossi bl e. F o ur wi n d o ws o f t y pi c al e v e nts w er e s el e ct e d f or vis u al e v al u ati o n: • • • •

1 1/ 2 0 0 2 -0 4/ 2 0 0 3 ( hi g h fl o w) – 6 0 6/ 2 0 0 8 -1 1/ 2 0 0 8 (tr a nsiti o n) – 6 0 2/ 2 0 0 5 -1 1/ 2 0 0 5 (l o w fl o w) – 1 0 1 1/ 2 0 1 0 -0 4/ 2 0 1 1 (r e c essi o n) – 6

m o nt hs m o nt hs m o nt hs m o nt hs

T h e c ali br at e d p ar a m et ers w er e v ali d at e d f or t h e e ntir e ti m e s eri es of a v ail a bl e d at a ( als o o utsi d e of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d). N or m all y t his p eri o d r a n g es fr o m 1 9 6 7 t o 2 0 1 3 . Adj ust m e nts f or a c ert ai n c at c h m e nt ar e r e p ort e d i n t h e c at c h m e nt-s p e cifi c p ar a gr a p hs b el o w.

6. 2

M o d el e v al u ati o n

W hil e t h e o pti mi z ati o n is li mit e d t o t w o o bj e cti v es, l o g arit h mi c N S E a n d a bs ol ut e err or, it c a n b e i nt er esti n g t o l o ok at t h e ot h er i n d e x es list e d w h e n e v al u ati n g t h e fi n al r es ults. F or e x a m pl e: -

N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y R el ati v e err or ( n e g ati v e or p ositi v e) or bi as Kli n g -G u pt a effi ci e n c y ( G u pt a et al. 2 0 0 9 a n d Kli n g et al. 2 0 1 2) R el ati v e N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y -

𝐸𝐸

𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖𝑃𝑃

= 1 −

∑

𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖= 1

∑

𝑥𝑥 𝐴𝐴= 1

� �

𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛 − 𝑖𝑖 𝑂𝑂 2 𝑖𝑖 𝑂𝑂 𝑖𝑖 𝑛𝑛 − 𝑑𝑑� 𝑥𝑥 𝐵𝐵

�

E q. 4

Si n c e t his w or k f o c us es o n l o w fl o ws, m or e i m p ort a n c e is gi v e n t o l o g arit h mi c N S E. H o w e v er, hi g h N S E v al u es s h o ul d als o b e s o u g ht i n or d er t o e ns ur e g o o d e n o u g h p erf or m a n c e f or hi g h er fl o ws as w ell, as m u c h as p ossi bl e. A n e x a ct a gr e e m e nt b et w e e n si m ul ati o n a n d o bs er v ati o ns m ust n ot b e e x p e ct e d b e c a us e of diff er e nt err or s o ur c es ( err ors i n m et e or ol o gi c al i n p ut d at a, err ors i n m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e, err ors i n h er e nt t o t h e m o d el str u ct ur e). C ali br ati o n c a n o nl y mi ni miz e t h os e err ors d u e t o n o n -o pti m al p ar a m et er v al u es . N S E a n d l o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 7 c a n b e c o nsi d er e d g o o d. V al u es b el o w z er o m e a n t h at t h e pr e di cti v e p o w er of t h e m o d el is w o rs e t h a n t h e m e as ur e d a v er a g e. C o nsi d eri n g d e vi ati o n of t h e m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es a n d err ors i n t h e m et e or ol o gi c al i n p uts, N S E v al u es ar e n ot e x p e ct e d t o b e a b o v e 0. 8 ( Will e ms, 2 0 0 7). Vis u al e v al u ati o n of t h e fit b et w e e n si m ul at e d a n d o bs er v e d t ot al dis c h ar g e is als o t a k e n i nt o c o nsi d er ati o n t o s el e ct t h e fi n al s ol uti o n, wit h a f o c us o n g o o d a gr e e m e nt of si m ul ati o ns f or l o w fl o ws. W h e n us ef ul, N as h -S ut cliff e effi ci e n c y ( n o n -l o g arit h mi c) w as als o t a k e n i nt o a c c o u nt f or e v al u ati n g t h e fi n al s et of c a n di d at es ( w h e n ot h er fit n ess i n d e x es w er e e q ui v al e nt f or e x a m pl e).

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p art fr o m t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d, t h es e g o o d n ess -of -fit st atisti cs w er e c al c ul at e d o n t h e e ntir e ti m e s eri es of a v ail a bl e d at a ( als o o utsi d e of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d) i n or d er t o v ali d at e c ali br at e d p ar a m et ers w h e n e v er m or e t h a n 1 3 y e ars of d at a w as a v ail a bl e. T h e f oll o wi n g s e cti o n s y nt h etiz es t h e m ai n r es ults a n d c o n cl usi o ns of t h e N A M c ali br ati o n i n e a c h ri v er b asi n. D et ail e d gr a p hs a n d c al c ul at e d st atisti cs, f or c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d at i o n p eri o ds, ar e gi v e n f or e a c h g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n A n n e x 3 t o A n n e x 1 2 . T h e fi n al s ets of p ar a m et ers f or e a c h c ali br at e d N A M m o d el a n d f or e a c h tr a ns p os e d N A M m o d el ar e s u m m ariz e d i n A n n e x 1 .

6. 3

IJz er b asi n

6. 3. 1

C o nt e xt

Alt h o u g h t h er e is n o i n t er a cti o n b et w e e n t h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt a n d t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt , t h e l att er is i n cl u d e d i n t h e r e gi o n al w at er all o c ati o n m o d el f or t h e s a k e of c o m pl et e n ess. T h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a of t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt is of 1 1 0 1 k m² fr o m w hi c h a b o ut o n e t hir d is l o c at e d i n Fr a n c e ( W L, 2 0 0 6). T his r e pr es e nts 1, 6 % of t h e t ot al st u d y ar e a ( S c h el dt b asi n + IJz er, e x cl u di n g t h e M e us e). O n t h e Fr e n c h si d e, t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es ar e t h e P e e n e B e c q u e, t h e S al e B e c q u e a n d t h e H erz e el e. I n Fl a n d ers, t h e P o p eri n g e v a art, t h e K e m m el b e e k, t h e I e p er -IJz er C a n al wit h t h e I e p erl e e a n d M artj e ns v a art, St e n e nsl uis v a art, H o ut e nsl uis v a art a n d H a n dz a m e v a art ar e t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es of t h e IJz er. N ot e t h at t h es e tri b ut ari es ar e all dis c h ar gi n g fr o m t h e ri g ht b a n k of t h e IJz er Ri v er. T h er e ar e 8 g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt , c o v eri n g 7 8 6 k m² ( 7 0 % of t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt ar e a). S u b c at c h m e nts V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0 ar e l o c at e d u pstr e a m of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n R o es br u g g e. Fi g ur e 7 s h o ws t h e c at c h m e nts a n d c orr es p o n di n g m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts. Fi g ur e 5 – C at c h m e nts a n d fl o w m et eri n g st ati o n o n t h e IJz er b a si n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 3. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 5 a n d T a bl e 6 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d s u bc at c h m e nts of t h e IJz er b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e s u bc at c h m e nts V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e i n t his c at c h m e nt) a n d V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e i n t his c at c h m e nt) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 8 t o Fi g ur e 1 5 ). F or m or e d et ail e d res ults o n t h e r e m ai ni n g s u b c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 3 . V al u es i n T a bl e 5 i n di c at e a g o o d a gr e e m e nt b et w e e n t h e si m ul at e d a n d m e as ur e d fl o w r at es f or t h e m aj orit y of t h e c at c h m e nts, wit h o v er all N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es hi g h er t h a n 0. 6 a n d R el Err l o w er t h a n ± 2. N e v er t h el ess, t h e r es ults of t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of s u bc at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 ar e n ot a c c e pt a bl e (T a bl e 5 a n d T a bl e 6 ). T h e l o w v al u es of N S E a n d L o g N S E ar e attri but e d t o t h e c o m pl e x h y dr ol o gi c al si t u ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt, w hi c h is i nfl u e n c e d b y t h e pr es e n c e of str u ct ur es a n d di v ersi o ns . H o w e v er vis u al i ns p e cti o n (Fi g ur e 1 1 t o Fi g ur e 1 5 ) s h o ws t h at t h e r es ults ar e still a c c e pt a bl e . T h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0 pr es e n ts a n o v er esti m ati o n of dis c h ar g e fr o m 2 0 0 9 (Fi g ur e 8 t o Fi g ur e 1 1 ), alt h o u g h t h e g e n er al m o d el p erf or m a n c e f or t h e e ntir e v ali d ati o n p eri o d is a d e q u at e ( T a bl e 6 ). D at a r e m ar k : T h e p eri o d fr o m 2 0 0 1 t o 2 0 0 5 h as b e e n d el et e d fr o m t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d f or t h e c at c h m e nt F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 d u e t o u nr eli a bl e hi g h o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e v al u es, r es ulti n g i n a r e d u cti o n of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d t o 9 y e ars . T h e c ali br a ti o n p eri o d s el e ct e d f or t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 is 1 9 9 6-2 0 0 8 si n c e t h e dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m 2 0 0 8 is n ot tr ust w ort h y. I n t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 t h er e is n ot o bs er v e dis c h ar g e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of t h e y e ar 2 0 0 9 a n d t h er ef or e t h e p eri o d 1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 8 w as t a k e n as c ali br ati o n p eri o d . T a bl e 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt s i n t h e IJz er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

48810102 H a n dz a m e v a a rt; K ort e m ar k

V01 H A N488180

7 8. 6

0. 7 9

0. 7 8

0. 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 ( V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0)

3 9 3. 0

0. 6 9

0. 6 4

-2. 1

2 0 0 5 -2 0 1 3

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

6 3. 4

0. 5 0

0. 4 4

-0. 6

1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 8

4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 -K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e

V01 KE M492060

7 3. 9

0. 6 3

0. 5 2

1. 2

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m

V01 M AR496120

7 6. 1

0. 6 8

0. 6 7

1. 2

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

49110102P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n

V01P OP491030

8 4. 9

0. 6 5

0. 4 2

5. 8

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

V01SS V499140

1 6. 1

0. 6 2

0. 4 6

0. 9

1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 8

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M T a bl e 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ult s f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

48810102 H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

V01 H A N488180

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 -K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m 49110102P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Ar e a ( k m²) 7 8. 6

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

0. 7 8

-0. 1

V ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 9 4 -2 0 1 3

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9 ( V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0) V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

3 9 3. 0

0. 7 3

0. 5 4

1. 5

1 9 8 7 -2 0 1 3

6 3. 4

0. 4 7

0. 4 8

-1 1. 1

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 3

V01 KE M492060

7 3. 9

0. 6 4

0. 5 7

9. 3

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 3

V01 M AR496120

7 6. 1

0. 7 0

0. 6 3

1 3. 1

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 3

V01P OP491030

8 4. 9

0. 6 7

0. 5 8

-8. 8

1 9 8 4 -2 0 1 3

V01SS V 499140

1 6. 1

0. 6 2

0. 4 0

-1 6. 8

1 9 9 1 -2 0 0 8

4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0) Fi g ur e 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0) Fi g ur e 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e( 1 9 9 6- 2 0 0 8)

Fi g ur e 1 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 1 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

Fi g ur e 1 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 1 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 4

Br u gs e P ol d ers

6. 4. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers h as a n ar e a of 1 0 4 6 k m², w hi c h is 4 % of t h e t ot al ar e a of s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el . T h e Br u gs e P ol d er s c at c h m e nt is li mit e d b y t h e N ort h S e a i n t h e N ort h a n d b y t h e D ut c h b or d er i n t h e N ort h e ast. T h e m ai n ri v ers of t h e b asi n ar e t h e c a n al c o n n e cti n g G e nt a n d O ost e n d e (K a n a al G e nt -O ost e n d e) , t h e d e vi ati o n c a n al ( Afl ei di n gs k a n a al) of t h e L ei e a n d t h e L e o p ol d c a n al. T h es e artifi ci al c a n als c o n d u ct w at er fr o m t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt t o w ar ds t h e s e a. A d diti o n all y , s e v er al l o c al p ol d er w at er c o urs es fl o w i nt o t h es e c a n als ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1). I n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers, f o ur g a u g e d c at c h m e nts a c c o u nt f or 2 9 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a ( Fi g ur e 1 6 ). Fi g ur e 1 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers

6. 4. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 7 a n d T a bl e 8 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns of t h e s u bc at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0 ( b est p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0 ( w orst p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 1 7 t o Fi g ur e 2 2 ): Str u ct u r e of t h e N A M mo d el ( D HI, 2 0 0 0) . F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 4 . All t h e c at c h m e nts s h o w a s uffi ci e nt m o d el p erf or m a n c e, alt h o u g h t h er e is a g e n er al t e n d e n c y t o o v er esti m a ti o n of t h e l o w fl o ws. F or i nst a n c e, t h e fl o w is o v er esti m at e d i n t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 at t h e e n d of t h e y e ar 2 0 0 4 a n d at t h e en d of 2 0 0 7. V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 s h o ws si mil ar b e h a vi or.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

D at a r e m ar k: V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a aft er 2 0 0 7, c o ns e q u e ntl y t h e p eri o d 1 9 9 5-2 0 0 7 w as s el e ct e d f or t h e c ali br ati o n. T a bl e 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d er s G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5. 5

0. 8 1

0. 5 5

1. 4

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HER426010

7 7. 3

0. 6 8

0. 6 1

0. 1

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2. 7

0. 6 1

0. 6 6

0. 7

1 9 9 5- 2 0 0 7

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 4. 0

0. 6 0

0. 6 3

- 1. 8

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

T a bl e 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ult s f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d er s G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5. 5

0. 7 8

0. 4 2

- 2. 3

1 9 8 4- 2 0 1 3

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HER426010

7 7. 3

0. 7 1

0. 5 6

- 5. 3

1 9 8 7- 2 0 1 3

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2. 7

0. 6 7

- 5. 0

1 9 8 4- 2 0 0 7

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 4. 0

0. 6 0

0. 5 8

- 7. 0

1 9 8 4- 2 0 1 3

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M a l d e g e m ( V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0) Fi g ur e 1 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 1 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 1 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M al d e g e m

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 4. 2. 1

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p ( V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0) Fi g ur e 1 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 1 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 2 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 5

G e nts e K a n al e n

6. 5. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt, c o v ers a cl ust er of c a n als a n d t h eir r es p e cti v e c at c h m e nts a n d h as a s urf a c e ar e a of 9 1 7 k m² ( D e B o e c k 2 0 1 1). T h e c at c h m e nt r e pr es e nts 4 % of t h e t ot al m o d el ar e a of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el . T h e G e nts e K a n al e n b asi n is li mit e d W est b y t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers, E ast b y t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e a n d S o ut h b y t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt . T h e D ut c h b or d er st a n ds i n t h e N ort h of t h e b asi n. B ot h t h e L e o p ol d c a n al a n d t h e G e nt-T er n e uz e n c a n al dis c h ar g e i nt o t h e W est ers c h el d e ( W est er n S c h el dt) i n t h e N et h erl a n ds. T h er e is o nl y o n e g a u g e d c at c h m e nt wit hi n t h e b asi n of t h e G e nts e K a n al e n : 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 o n t h e P o e k e b e e k i n N e v el e. D uri n g t h e pr e vi o us st u d y t h e dis c h ar g e at t h e M ol e n b e e k i n P ui v el d e w as c h e c k e d, b as e d o n pr oj e ct s p e cifi c dis c h ar g e d at a of t h e Si g m a pl a n u p d at e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1) . T his st ati o n is n ot a p er m a n e nt dis c h ar g e st ati o n a n d c o ns e q u e ntl y n o n e w c ali br ati o n is p ossi bl e f or t his s u b c at c h m e nt. C at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts ar e s h o w n o n t h e m a p i n Fi g ur e 2 3 . T h e g a u g e d a n d r e c ali br at e d ar e a of t h e b asi n a m o u nts f or 1 2 % of t h e t ot a l s urf a c e ar e a of t h e b asi n. Fi g ur e 2 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e G e nt s e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt

6. 5. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 9 a n d T a bl e 1 0 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d s u bc at c h m e nts of t h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt f or t h e v ali d ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n p eri o d. T h e s u bc at c h m e nt s h o ws a c orr e ct p erf or m a n c e f or t h e v ali d ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n p eri o d wit h v al u es of N S E a n d L o g N S E a b o v e 0. 7. Gr a p hs of t h e si m ul ati o n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

of t h e s u b c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 2 4 a n d Fi g ur e 2 5 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 5 . D at a r e m ar k: t h e s u bc at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a fr o m 1 8/ 0 1/ 2 0 0 1 t o 2 9/ 1 1/ 2 0 0 4 a n d aft er 2 0 0 9. L o n g er c ali br ati o n p eri o d w as c h os e n i n or d er t o h a v e 1 3 y e ars of c ali br ati o n. T a bl e 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

106.8

0. 7 2

0. 7 0

-0. 9

1 9 9 3 -2 0 1 0

T a bl e 1 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nt s e K a n al e n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

G a u g e d y e ar s

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

106.8

0. 7 1

0. 7 3

1 1. 5

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 0

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k ; N e v el e ( V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0) Fi g ur e 2 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 2 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c a t c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 6

B e n e d e ns c h el d e

6. 6. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e c at c h m e nt of t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e is 1 7 0 4 k m² a n d b el o n gs t o t h e m ai n S c h el dt c at c h m e nt. It c o v ers t h e Fl e mis h p art of t h e ti d al ri v ers i n t h e S c h el dt est u ar y, e x c e pt t h e c at c h m e nts c orr es p o n di n g t o t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es i n t his r e a c h (N et e, D e m er, Dijl e, Z e n n e a n d D e n d er ). T h e B e n e d e ns c h el de c at c h m e nt a c c o u nts f or 8 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. A b o ut 6 % of t h e s urf a c e ar e a of t h e b asi n is g a u g e d. D uri n g t h e pr e vi o us st u d y t h e dis c h ar g e at t h e L e d e b e e k i n B or mt w as c h e c k e d, b as e d o n pr oj e ct s p e cifi c dis c h ar g e d at a of t h e Si g m a pl a n u p d at e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1) . T his st ati o n is n ot a p er m a n e nt dis c h ar g e st ati o n a n d c o ns e q u e nt l y n o n e w c ali br ati o n is p ossi bl e f or t his s u b c at c h m e nt. Fi g ur e 2 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt

6. 6. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 1 a n d T a bl e 1 2 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nts V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 2 7 t o Fi g ur e 3 2 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 6 . T h e t w o c at c h m e n ts s h o w a g o o d m o d el p erf or m a n c e f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n p eri o d, es p e ci all y f or l o w fl o ws. N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es ar e ar o u n d 0. 7, e x c e pt t h e N S E i n t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 , attri b ut e d t o t h e u n d er esti m ati o n of hi g h p e a ks ( Fi g ur e 3 0 ).

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M T a bl e 1 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2. 6

0. 5 8

0. 6 7

1. 3

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7. 3

0. 7 6

0. 7 3

1. 3

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

T a bl e 1 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b a si n G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2. 6

0. 6 5

0. 6 0

1 2. 8

1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7. 3

0. 7 4

0. 6 7

1 3. 0

1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0) Fi g ur e 2 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 2 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h a r g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 2 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0) Fi g ur e 2 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 2 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 3 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 7

L ei e

6. 7. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e L ei e c at c h m e nt, b ei n g p art of t h e i nt er n ati o n al “ L ei e a n d D e ûl e ” b asi n, h as a n ar e a of 3 8 8 6 k m² of w hi c h 9 8 2 k m² is sit u at e d i n Fl a n d ers. I n G h e nt, t h e L ei e c o nfl u e n c es wit h t h e S c h el dt. T h e s u b c at c h m e nts of t h e L ei e c o u nt f or 1 8 % of t h e t ot al st u d y ar e a. I n Fr a n c e, t h e L ei e ( or L ys i n Fr e n c h) is c o n n e ct e d t o t h e C a n al d e N e uf oss é a n d t h e C an al d’ Air e à l a B ass é e, b ot h p art of t h e c a n al s yst e m b et w e e n D ui n k er k e a n d D e n ai n. T his c a n al c o nstit ut es t h e E ast -W est li n k b et w e e n t h e S c h el dt, t h e D e ûl e, t h e L ei e a n d t h e N ort h S e a. T h e D u n k er q u e -D e n ai n c a n al is s u p pli e d wit h w at er of t h e S c h el d e a n d its tri b ut ar y, t h e S c ar p e. S o m e of t h e w at er fl o wi n g fr o m t h e S c h el dt i n t h e c a n al s yst e m, fl o ws b a c k t o t h e L ei e t hr o u g h t h e c a n alis e d D e ûl e. T his i nt er a cti o n of ri v ers a n d c a n als l e a ds t o a n e nl ar g e d c o m pl e xit y r e g ar di n g t h e c ali br ati o n of a h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t his c at c h m e nt. Fi g ur e 3 3 s h o ws t h e l o c ati o n of t h e fl o w g a u g es us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e N A M m o d els o n t h e L ei e b asi n. Fi g ur e 3 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt

T h e r e c ali br ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n M e n e n o n t h e L ei e (st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2) , is d o n e f or t his 1 bi g g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt. H o w e v er, t h e fi n al r u n off f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el is si m ul at e d s e p ar at el y f or t h e 2 2 s u b c at c h m e nts s e p ar at el y, t o b e a bl e t o distri b ut e t h e fl o w o v er t h e c o m pl e x c a n al s yst e m d es cri b e d a b o v e. Wit h t hr e e g a u gi n g st ati o ns i n M e n e n, H e ul e a n d O ostr oz e b e k e, 8 5, 6 % of t h e L ei e b asi n is c o v er e d b y dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 7. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c es

T a bl e 1 3 a n d T a bl e 1 4 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e L ei e b asi n f or t he c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d . Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 3 4 t o Fi g ur e 3 9 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 7 . I n p ar a gr a p h 3. 2 it w as alr e a d y m e nti o n e d t h at r efi n e m e nt of t h e pr e ci pit ati o n d at a i n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt si g nifi c a ntl y i m pr o v es t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m M e n e n, c o m p ar e d t o t h e first v ersi o n of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el (s e e Mi c hi els e n et. al, 2 0 2 1 ). A d e q u a t e m o d el p erf or m a n c e w as f o u n d f or t h e c at c h m e nts F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 0 0 1 a n d V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. T h e si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 h as a g o o d c orr el ati o n f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 5-2 0 0 8). H o w e v er, a c c or di n g t o t h e st atisti c al (T a bl e 1 4 ) a n d gr a p hi c al r es ults (Fi g ur e 3 7 ), t h e si m ul at e d v alu es d o n ot c orr e ctl y m at c h t h e o bs er v e d d at a f or t h e v ali d ati o n p eri o d. It mi g ht b e attri b ut e d t o a pr o bl e m wit h t h e m e as ur es of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n w hi c h ar e n ot c o nst a nt or r eli a bl e. Fi g ur e 3 8 z o o ms i n o n t h e s hift i n t h e g a u g e d dis c h ar g es f or t h e m e as ur e m e nt st ati o n o n t h e M a n d el. D at a r e m ar k: T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 h as u n r eli a bl e o bs er v e d d at a f or s o m e p eri o ds. It is p arti c ul arl y r e m ar k a bl e f or t h e p eri o d aft er 2 0 0 9, s o t his p eri o d h as n ot b e e n i n cl u d e d i n t h e c ali br ati o n. T a bl e 1 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1. 8

0. 7 8

0. 7 3

- 1. 0

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1. 9

0. 7 6

0. 6 7

- 3. 6

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e

V05 M A N401230

2 5 8. 4

0. 6 4

0. 5 1

0. 2

2 0 0 5- 2 0 0 8

T a bl e 1 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n

G a u gi n g s t ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1. 8

0. 7 9

0. 7 5

- 0. 6

1 9 9 9- 2 0 1 3

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1. 9

0. 8 1

0. 6 9

- 5. 8

1 9 7 5- 2 0 1 3

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e

V05 M A N401230

2 5 8. 4

0. 6 2

- 1. 3 5

- 3 5. 6

1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n ( F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9) Fi g ur e 3 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 3 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 3 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e

( V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0)

Fi g ur e 3 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e ( v ali d a ti o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 3 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 3 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 3 8 – S hift i n m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e st arti n g fr o m a pril 2 0 1 0 (s o ur c e: w w w. w at eri nf o. b e)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 8

B o v e ns c h el d e

6. 8. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n e xt e n ds o v er Fr a n c e, W all o ni a a n d Fl a n d ers. T his b asi n h as a n ar e a of a p pr o xi m at el y 5 7 6 k m². B ef or e it e nt ers Fl a n d ers i n S pi er e- H el kij n, t h e S c h el d t h as a l e n gt h of 1 2 4 k m a n d a c orr es p o n di n g u pstr e a m c at c h m e nt of 5 3 8 0 k m² i n Fr a n c e a n d W all o ni a. T h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n a c c o u nts f or 3 0 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. T h e B ossuit -K ortrij k c a n al c o n n e cts t h e B o v e ns c h el d e t o t h e L ei e, w h er e as t h e S pi er e k a n a al li n ks t h e B o v e ns c h el d e t o t h e D e ûl e. Fi g ur e 4 0 s h o ws t h e l o c ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nts a n d m e as uri n g p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n. A ct u all y, t h e s u b c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m fr o m t h e st ati o n i n B oss uit ( 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2) c a n b e s e e n as o n e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt . H o w e v er, as st at e d b ef or e, t h e dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d s e p ar at el y f or e a c h s u b c at c h m e nt t o g e n er at e i n p ut f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. T h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a c o nsi d er e d g a u g e d is t h us 9 7 % (Fi g ur e 4 0 ). Fi g ur e 3 9 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt

6. 8. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 5 a n d T a bl e 1 6 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns of t h e c at c h m e nts V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 ( b est p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ( w orst p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 4 1 t o Fi g ur e 4 6 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 8 . A d e q u at e m o d el p erf or m a n c e w as f o u n d f or t h e c at c h m e nts F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 a n d V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 , alt h o u g h n o v ali d ati o n w as d o n e i n F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 d u e t o t h e i n e xist e n c e of d at a. W ors e r es ults w er e f o u n d f or

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 a n d W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0. A c c or di n g t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es ar e b el o w 0. 5 0 f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d e v e n l o w er f o r t h e v ali d ati o n p eri o d. H o w e v er, as s h o w n i n Fi g ur e 4 4 a n d Fi g ur e 4 6 l o w v al u es ar e c orr e ctl y r e pr es e nt e d. I n W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 , w hi c h is l o c at e d i n A m o u gi es ( W all o ni a), t h e dis cr e p a n c y of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el is d u e t o t h e l a c k of a v ail a bl e d at a wit hi n t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d (l ess t h a n 2 y e ars). T h e dis c h ar g e of t his s u b c at c h m e nt is es p e ci all y d uri n g l o w fl o ws n e gli gi bl e c o m p ar e d t o t h e dis c h ar g e of t h e S c h el dt its elf. D at a r e m ar k: T h e st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 – B o v e ns c h el d e i n B oss uit ( F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9) h as o nl y m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e fr o m 1 3/ 0 9/ 2 0 0 1 o n w ar ds . T h e c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 o nl y h as o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m F e br u ar y 2 0 1 2 o n w ar ds s o t h at t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o ds c o v er l ess t h a n t w o y e ars. T a bl e 1 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F06 B OS325999

5 2 1 7. 6

0. 6 8

0. 6 2

- 2. 9

2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

4 8. 7

0. 4 4

- 1. 0

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

1 1 2. 1

0. 6 3

0. 6 2

- 1. 1

2 0 0 0- 2 0 1 2

L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi es - R h os n es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

1 6 1. 9

0. 5 2

0. 5 1

2 8. 4

2 0 1 2- 2 0 1 3

T a bl e 1 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F06 B OS325999

5 2 1 7. 6

0. 6 8

0. 6 3

- 2. 6

2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

4 8. 7

0. 4 4

0. 3 2

- 2 7. 4

1 9 7 2- 2 0 1 3

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

1 1 2. 1

0. 5 9

0. 5 4

4. 7

1 9 7 3- 2 0 1 3

L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi es - R h os n es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

1 6 1. 9

0. 5 0

0. 4 7

4 9. 6

2 0 1 2- 2 0 1 3

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( V 06 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0) Fi g ur e 4 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 4 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0) Fi g ur e 4 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 4 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 9

D e n d er b e k k e n

6. 9. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e D e n d er b asi n h as a n ar e a of 1 3 8 4 k m² a n d e xt e n ds o v er W all o ni a a n d Fl a n d ers . T h e u pstr e a m p art ( 6 7 5 k m²) is l o c at e d i n W all o ni a a n d t h e l o w er p art ( 7 0 9 k m²) i n Fl a n d ers. T h e D e n d er b asi n a c c o u nts f or 6 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. Wit h 5 g a u gi n g st ati o ns us e d f or m o d el c ali br ati o n, t h e p orti o n of g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t his b a si n a c c o u nts f or 6 1 % of t ot al c at c h m e nt ar e a. T h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n L essi n es is us e d t o c ali br at e a h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t his g a u gi n g st ati o n. I n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el, t his c at c h m e nt is di vi d e d i nt o 3 s u b c at c h m e nts. Fi g u r e 4 6 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt

6. 9. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 7 a n d T a bl e 1 8 pr es e nt t h e g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 4 8 t o Fi g ur e 5 2 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 9 . T h e si m ul at e d fl o w r at es f or m ost of t h e c at c h m e nts ar e i n a gr e e m e nt wit h t h e o bs er v e d fl o w r at es, wit h v al u es of N S E a n d L o g N S E hi g h er t h a n 0. 6 0 f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d. D at a r e m ar k: t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 2 82 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0 ) d o es n ot h a v e dis c h ar g e d at a d uri n g t h e y e ars 2 0 1 0 a n d 2 0 1 1, s o t h at t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is u ntil 2 0 0 9. I n t h e c at c h m e nt

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 , t h e y e ars aft er 2 0 0 9 h a v e b e e n d el et e d d u e t o t h e e xist e n c e of u nr eli a bl e m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e d at a a n d t h er ef or e t h e c ali br ati o n s eri es st arts i n 2 0 0 7. T h e c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9 d o es n ot h a v e dis c h ar g e d at a b ef or e 2 0 0 8. T a bl e 1 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

8 8, 7

0. 6 0

0. 6 2

0. 6

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e

V07 M AR289015

1 7 3, 9

0. 7 5

0. 6 2

- 0. 3

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6. 4

0. 5 3

0. 7 4

- 2. 5

1 9 9 7- 2 0 0 9

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

2 3. 1

0. 6 4

0. 5 7

0. 6

1 9 9 7- 2 0 0 9

L essi n es

W 0 7 D E NL E S 9 9 9

5 1 1. 8

0. 6 2

0. 5 7

- 1. 0

2 0 0 8- 2 0 1 3

T a bl e 1 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

88.7

0. 5 3

-7. 1

1 9 7 3 -2 0 1 3

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k , Vi a n e

V07 M A R289015

173.9

0. 7 8

0. 5 9

-5. 5

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 3

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6. 4

0. 5 8

0. 6 8

5. 8

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 3

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

23.1

0. 6 2

0.48

-6. 4

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 3

L essi n es

W 0 7 D E NL E S 9 9 9

511.8

0. 6 2

0. 5 7

0. 3

2 0 0 8 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e

( V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5)

Fi g ur e 4 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M a r k, Vi a n e ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 4 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ulat e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

( V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0)

Fi g ur e 5 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 9)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 5 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 81 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 9)

Fi g ur e 5 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 1 0 Dijl e a n d Z e n n e 6. 1 0. 1 C o nt e xt T h e Dijl e b asi n str et c h es o v er Fl a n d ers ( 5 5 %) a n d W all o ni a ( 4 5 %) a n d h as a n ar e a of a b o ut 1 2 9 0 k m². T h e Z e n n e b asi n ( c a. 1 1 6 0 k m²) s pr e a ds a cr oss W all o ni a ( 5 0 %), Br uss els ( 1 4 %) a n d Fl a n d ers ( 3 6 %). I n t ot al, t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi n a c c o u nt s f or 1 1 % of t h e t ot al ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. C at c h m e nts a n d g a u gi n g st ati o ns ar e r e pr es e nt e d at Fi g ur e 5 4 . Fi v e st ati o ns ar e l o c at e d o n t h e Z e n n e o n its tri b ut ari es b ef or e t h e c o nfl u e n c e wit h t h e Dijl e, m e as uri n g dis c h ar g e f or 4 3 % of t h e Z e n n e c at c h m e nt. T h e dis c h ar g e of t h e Dijl e is m e as ur e d b y o n e st ati o n i n Wils el e ( 6 7 % of t h e c at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a is g a u g e d). Fi g ur e 5 3 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e c at c h m e nt

6. 1 0. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e T a bl e 1 9 a n d T a bl e 2 0 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e Dijl e a n d t h e Z e n n e b asi ns f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g u r e 5 5 t o Fi g ur e 6 0 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 1 0 . T h e c at c h m e nts V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 , W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 a n d W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0 h a v e a d e q u at e m o d el p erf or m a n c e wit h N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 6. T his wit h t h e e x c e pti o n of V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, b ut f or t h e pr oj e ct p ur p os e t his h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el c a n e v e n t h o u g h b e c o nsi d er e d as a d e q u at e as l o w fl o ws ar e c orr e ctl y r e pr es e nt e d. O v er all, all t h e c at c h m e nts f oll o w t h e s a m e p att er n as t h er e i s a g e n er al fl o w u n d er esti m ati o n d uri n g t h e p eri o d c o m pris e d b et w e e n 2 0 0 4 a n d 2 0 1 0 a n d fl o w o v er esti m ati o n aft er w ar ds (i. e. V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 a n d W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0). T h e w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e w as f o u n d i n V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0 . S o m e 52

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

e x pl a n ati o ns w er e alr e a d y c o nsi d er e d i n a pr e vi o us r e p ort t o e x pl ai n t h e mis m at c h b et w e e n t h e o bs er v e d a n d si m ul at e d dis c h ar g e d at a ( d e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 0). Firstl y, t h e p o or r es ults w er e attri b ut e d t o t h e eff e ct of v e g et ati o n i n t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n, w hi c h m a y i nfl u e n c e t h e m e as ur e m e nts a n d r es u lt i n a b a d q( h) -r el ati o ns hi p. A n ot h er p ossi bl e e x pl a n ati o n is t h e f a ct of a d a m c o nstr u cti o n i n R ots el a ar i n 1 9 9 4, w hi c h w o ul d m a k e t h e r el ati o ns hi p n o l o n g er v ali d a n d t h e i nfl u e n c e of a l ar g e s e w a g e pl a nt w h os e effl u e nt e nt ers u pstr e a m t h e m e as ur e m e nt st ati o n i n t h e Dijle i n Wils el e. P o or c ali br ati o n r es ults w er e als o f o u n d i n t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0, s p e ci all y f or l o w fl o ws. F or i nst a n c e, dis c h ar g e is u n d er esti m at e d fr o m 2 0 0 3 a n d o v er esti m at e d fr o m 2 0 1 0. D at a r e m ar k: T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 o nl y h as m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m 0 2/ 0 1/ 1 9 9 7 t o 0 4/ 1 1/ 2 0 0 4, s o t h at t his e ntir e p eri o d w as s el e ct e d f or t h e c ali br ati o n. T h e c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a aft er 2 0 1 0 a n d b e c a us e of t h at y e ars b ef or e 2 0 0 1 h a v e b e e n i n cl u d e d i n or d er t o h a v e a l o n g er c ali br ati o n ti m e p eri o d. T a bl e 1 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e

V08B AR111370

7 0. 0

0. 7 6

0. 8 0

0. 8

1 9 9 7- 2 0 0 4

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 6 1, 4

0. 3 9

0. 2 9

3. 1

2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

0. 5 8

0. 5 1

0. 1

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er es

W08S A M R O N000

1 3 4, 0

0. 6 7

0. 6 8

1. 3

1 9 9 8- 2 0 1 0

L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es

W 0 8 S E NL 5 6 0 1 0

7 0, 4

0. 6 0

0. 4 5

- 1. 3

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

1 9 5 1- 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e

W08SE NT U B030

2 1 5, 9

0. 6 5

0. 6 9

- 0. 3

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

T a bl e 2 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NS E

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e

V08B AR111370

7 0. 0

0. 7 6

0. 8 0

0. 2

1 9 9 7- 2 0 0 4

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 6 1, 4

0. 1 8

0. 1 0

1 9 7 4- 2 0 1 3

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

0. 6 1

0. 4 8

2 2. 4

1 9 8 5- 2 0 1 3

2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er es

W08S A M R O N000

1 3 4, 0

0. 6 8

0. 5 4

- 1 1. 5

1 9 9 9- 2 0 1 0

L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es

W 0 8 S E NL 5 6 0 1 0

7 0, 4

0. 5 6

0. 3 4

- 1 2. 0

1 9 7 7- 2 0 1 3

1 9 5 1- 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e

W08SE NT U B030

2 1 5, 9

0. 6 6

0. 6 4

- 5. 6

1 9 7 5- 2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( W 0 8 S E N T UB 0 3 0) Fi g ur e 5 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 5 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 5 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e ( V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0) Fi g ur e 5 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 5 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 5 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 1 1 D e m er b e k k e n 6. 1 1. 1 C o nt e xt T h e D e m er b asi n h as a n ar e a of 2 3 3 4 k m². Fr o m t h at, 1 9 1 9 k m² is l o c at e d i n Fl a n d ers, t h e r est b ei n g i n W all o ni a. It c o ntri b ut es f or 1 0 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h e n a vi g a bl e ri v ers i n t his c at c h m e nt ar e t h e D e m er a n d t h e Al b ert c a n al. Wit h 1 0 g a u gi n g st ati o ns, 8 0, 3 % of t h e c at c h m e nts i n t h e D e m er is g a u g e d. T h es e st ati o ns ar e list e d i n T a bl e 2 1 a n d d e pi ct e d o n Fi g ur e 6 1 . Fi g ur e 6 0 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e m er c at c h m e nt

6. 1 1. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e T a bl e 2 1 a n d T a bl e 2 2 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e D e m er b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of t h e c at c h m e nts wit h c o d e V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 (w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr e s e nt ed b el o w ( Fi g ur e 6 2 t o Fi g ur e 6 8 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 1 1 . T h e c at c h m e nts wit h c o d e V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 a n d V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0 s h o w a g o o d m o d el p erf or m a n c e, wit h v al u es of N S E a n d L o g N S E s u p eri or t o 0. 6 f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d (T a bl e 2 1 ). H o w e v er, all of t h e m pr es e nt a t e n d e n c y t o o v er esti m at e t h e fl o w d uri n g t h e p eri o d 2 0 0 1-2 0 0 3 a n d 2 0 0 9 -2 0 1 1. Alt h o u g h t h e st atisti c al r es ults of t h e c ali br ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0 d e m o nstr at e a fit b et w e e n t h e o bs er v e d a n d si m ul at e d d at a f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d, t h e gr a p hi c al r es ults s h o w a u n d er esti m ati o n of fl o w d uri n g t h e p e ri o d 2 0 0 3-2 0 0 6 a n d a n o v er esti m ati o n b et w e e n 2 0 1 0 a n d 2 0 1 2. T h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 pr es e nts a g e n er al u n d er esti m ati o n of

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

dis c h ar g e, es p e ci all y aft er t h e y e ar 2 0 1 0. T h e r es ults of t h e st atisti c al p ar a m et ers d o n ot r e a c h s atisf a ct or y v al u es f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1-2 0 1 3). N e v ert h el ess, t h e r es ults o bt ai n e d f or t h e v ali d ati o n p eri o d i m pr o v e c o nsi d er a bl y, s u g g esti n g a d e vi ati o n i n m or e r ec e nt dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts. Alt h o u g h V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 h as N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 6, L o g N S E v al u e is 0. 5 1 a n d l o w fl o ws ar e g e n er all y u n d er esti m at e d (i. e. 2 0 0 3, 2 0 0 4, 2 0 1 0 a n d 2 0 1 1). T h e m at c h b et w e e n t h e o bs er v e d a n d m e as ur e d d at a f or t h e v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 3) is m u c h w ors e, t h at mi g ht b e attri b ut e d t o a n i n c orr e ct fl o w m e as ur e m e nts b ef or e 2 0 0 2. A c c or di n g t o t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 , t h e g e n er al b e h a vi or is a d e q u at e ( N S E = 0. 6 3). H o w e v er, t h e l o w fl o ws ar e n ot a c c ur at el y esti m at e d, t h e L o g N S E v a l u e is o nl y 0. 5 1 a n d t h er e is a n u n d er esti m ati o n of l o w fl o ws d uri n g t h e y e ars 2 0 0 5 a n d 2 0 0 6, a n d a o v er esti m ati o n of fl o ws i n 2 0 0 8 a n d 2 0 1 0. T h e g e n er al b e h a vi or of t h e m o d el d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d f or t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 c a n b e c o nsi d er e d a s a d e q u at e. H o w e v er, l o w fl o ws ar e n ot c orr e ctl y r e pr es e nt e d as i n s o m e p eri o ds t h e y ar e o v er esti m at e d ( i. e. 1 9 9 8, 1 9 9 9), w hil e i n ot h ers t h e y ar e u n d er esti m at e d (i. e. 1 9 9 6) F urt h er m or e, r es ults ar e p o or er i n t h e v ali d ati o n ( T a bl e 2 2 ) a n d it c a n b e s u g g est e d a pr o bl e m wit h m e as ur e d d at a (t o o l o w dis c h ar g e). T h e st atisti c al r es ults of V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d d o n ot r e a c h t h e a c c e pt a bl e t hr es hol d a n d t h e l o w fl o ws ar e n ot c orr e ctl y r e pr es e nt e d. D at a r e m ar ks: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or diff er e nt p eri o d as t h e n or m all y us e d ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). Y e ars 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 3 h as b e e n d el et e d fr o m t h e si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 d u e t o a u nr eli a bil it y of t h e m e as ur e d fl o w (t o o hi g h). A c c or di n g t o t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0 , t h er e is n o dis c h ar g e d at a a v ail a bl e f or t h e y e ar 2 0 1 3, s o t h at t h e p eri o d 2 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2 h as b e e n s el e ct e d. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a b ef or e 2 0 0 2. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of 2 0 1 1 a n d b et w e e n 1 1/ 0 5/ 2 0 0 3 -3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 4, s o t h at t h e p eri o d 1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0 h as b e e n us e d. T h er e is n o o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a i n t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 aft er 2 0 1 0 a n d fr o m 2 0 0 8 t h e o bs e r v e d dis c h ar g e d at a is n ot r eli a bl e, s o t h at t h e p eri o d 1 9 9 5-2 0 0 7 w as s el e ct e d. I n r ef er e n c e t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 , t h er e is n o d at a b ef or e 2 0 0 1 a n d b et w e e n b e gi n ni n g 2 0 0 8 t o 2 0 1 0 a n d aft er 2 0 1 0 t h e o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a is n ot e n o u g h r eli a bl e. T a bl e 2 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5, 8

0. 6 9

0. 6 6

5. 0

1 9 9 8- 2 0 1 0

1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0, 4

0. 6 2

0. 5 8

0. 7

2 0 0 0- 2 0 1 2

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4, 6

0. 6 2

0. 6 1

0. 2

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0, 1

0. 4 6

0. 4 7

-13

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5, 2

0. 6 6

0. 5 2

2. 4

2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

V09 M A N161040

1 0 3, 1

0. 6 3

0. 5 1

- 0. 2

1 9 9 8- 2 0 1 0

1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

V09 M OT144270

3 3, 6

0. 6 5

0. 4 5

- 1. 5

1 9 9 5- 2 0 0 7

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6, 8

0. 6 7

0. 7 0

2. 2

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

1 4 1 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4, 7

0. 7 3

0. 6 6

2. 0

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

V09Z W A148120

9 6, 5

0. 5 9

0. 4 8

6. 7

2 0 0 1- 2 0 0 8

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M T a bl e 2 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5, 8

0. 6 0

0. 3 9

- 0. 7

1 9 9 7- 2 0 1 3

1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0, 4

0. 6 0

0. 6 7

- 0. 7

1 9 6 9- 2 0 1 2

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4, 6

0. 6 0

0. 6 1

- 4. 9

1 9 7 7- 2 0 1 3

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0, 1

0. 5 9

0. 5 4

- 0. 2

1 9 8 7- 2 0 1 3

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5, 2

0. 3 2

0. 3 0

3 7. 9

1 9 8 7- 2 0 1 2

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

V09 M A N161040

1 0 3, 1

0. 6 6

0. 5 1

- 0. 8

1 9 8 4- 2 0 0 9

1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

V09 M OT144270

3 3, 6

0. 6 0

0. 3 9

- 9. 6

1 9 9 7- 2 0 1 0

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6, 8

0. 6 7

- 1. 3

1 9 6 9- 2 0 1 3

1 4 1 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4, 7

0. 6 7

0. 6 3

1 9 8 7- 2 0 1 3

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

V09Z W A148120

9 6, 5

0. 4 6

0. 2 8

- 8. 5

1 9 8 3- 2 0 1 3

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0) Fi g ur e 6 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 6 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 6 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0) Fi g ur e 6 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 0 7)

Fi g ur e 6 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 0 7)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 6 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi g ur e 6 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

6. 1 2 N et e b e k k e n 6. 1 2. 1 C o nt e xt T h e N et e c at c h m e nt r e a c h es o v er 1 6 7 3 k m² a n d is l o c at e d i n N ort h -E ast of Fl a n d ers. It c a n b e di vi d e d i nt o t w o c at c h m e nts c orr es p o n di n g t o t h e m ai n ri v ers: Kl ei n e N et e a n d Gr ot e N et e. T h es e t w o ri v ers fl o w t o g et h er i n Li er, w h er e t h e y c oi n ci d e i n t h e B e n e d e n -N et e . T his fl o ws t o g et h er wit h t h e Dijl e t o b e c o m e t h e R u p el. T h e N et e b asi n a c c o u nts f or 8 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h er e ar e 5 g a u gi n g st ati o ns us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e r ai nf all -r un off m o d els, c o v eri n g 6 3 % of t h e N et e c at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a. Fi g ur e 6 8 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e N et e b asi n

6. 1 2. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e T a bl e 2 3 a n d T a bl e 2 4 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e N et e b asi n. Gr a p h s of si m ul ati o ns of t h e c at c h m e nts wit h c o d e V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 7 0 t o Fi g ur e 7 6 ). F or m or e d et aile d r es ults o n t h e ot h er s u b c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 1 2 . T h e m o d el p erf or m a n c e is s atisf a ct or y f or m ost of t h e c at c h m e nts i n t h e N et e b asi n, wit h N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 6 0 a n d R el ati v e err or v al u es l o w er t h a n ± 1 ( i. e. V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ). H o w e v er, it is n e c ess ar y t o hi g hli g ht t h e diffi c ulti es f o u n d i n s o m e of t h e c at c h m e nts. It is k n o w n t h at wit hi n t his c at c h m e nt s e v er al w at er c o urs es ar e li a bl e t o a b u n d a nt v e g et ati o n, w hi c h c a us es c h a n g es i n t h e q( h) r el ati o ns hi ps at t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n. T his l e a ds t o m or e u n c ert ai nti es i n t h e g a u g e d dis c h ar g es. Alt h o u g h t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0 pr es e nts g o o d st atisti c al r es ults f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( T a bl e 2 3 ),

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

t h er e is a t e n d e n c y t o u n d er esti m at e l o w fl o ws. F urt h er m or e, t h e st atisti c al v al e s f or t h e v ali d ati o n p eri o d p oi nt t o a dis cr e p a n c y b et w e e n m e as ur e m e nts a n d si m ul ati o n r es ults ( N S E = 0. 4 5 6, L o g N S E = 0. 2 8 4 a n d R el Err = -8. 8 %). T h e st atisti c al r es ults of t h e c at c h m e n t wit h c o d e V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 ar e a c c e pt a bl e, wit h N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 6 0; h o w e v er, t h er e is a g e n er al t e n d e n c y t o u n d er esti m at e l o w fl o ws (i. e. 2 0 0 3, 2 0 0 5, 2 0 0 6). A c c or di n g t o t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 , t h e st atisti c al v al u es N S E a n d L o g N SE ar e l o w er t h a n 0. 6 0 f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d es p e ci all y v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( T a bl e 2 3 a n d T a bl e 2 4 ). H o w e v er, e x c e pt f or s o m e y e ars w h er e t h e l o w fl o w is o v er esti m at e d (i. e. 1 9 9 9, 2 0 0 0, 2 0 0 3), t h e g e n er al m o d el p erf or m a n c e f or l o w fl o ws c a n b e c o nsi d er e d as a c c e pt a bl e. D at a r e m ar ks: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or diff er e nt p eri o ds as t h e n or m all y us e d ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). T h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k i n V orst ( V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0) d o es n ot h a v e dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m 2 0 0 8 a n d d uri n g t h e y e ars 1 9 9 7 a n d 1 9 9 8, s o t h at t h e p eri o d s el e ct e d f or t h e c ali br ati o n of t his c at c h m e nt is s h ort er ( 1 9 9 9-2 0 0 7). T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d of t h e c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 is 2 0 0 3-2 0 1 3 si n c e t h er e is n ot d at a a v ail a bl e i n 2 0 0 2. T h e c a t c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a fr o m 2 3/ 0 4/ 2 0 1 0 t o 1 1/ 1 0/ 2 0 1 1 a n d fr o m 0 1/ 0 1/ 2 0 0 4 t o 3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 6, s o t h at t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d h as b e e n s el e ct e d fr o m 1 9 9 7 i n or d er t o h a v e t he s a m e y e ars of c ali br ati o n t h a n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts. A c c or di n g t o t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 ), t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d o nl y l asts u ntil t h e y e ar 2 0 0 7 d u e t o u n a v ail a bilit y of dis c h ar g e d at a. T a bl e 2 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2, 6

0. 7 1

0. 5 9

- 0. 7

1 9 9 9- 2 0 0 7

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

2 4 3, 5

0. 7 1

0. 6 5

- 2. 9

2 0 0 3- 2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N e t e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10 K NE052000

5 8 4, 7

0. 8 0

0. 8 1

- 0. 6

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

0. 6 0

0. 6 6

- 0. 5

1 9 9 7- 2 0 1 3

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 7

0. 5 8

0. 4 7

- 0. 9

1 9 9 5- 2 0 0 7

T a bl e 2 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2, 6

0. 5 8

0. 2 8

- 1 8. 4

1 9 8 6- 2 0 0 7

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

2 4 3, 5

0. 7 0

0. 5 7

- 7. 4

1 9 8 5- 2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10 K NE052000

5 8 4, 7

0. 8 2

0. 7 9

- 2. 4

1 9 8 3- 2 0 1 3

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

0. 6 4

0. 6 3

1 2. 2

1 9 8 7- 2 0 1 3

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 7

0. 5 4

0. 4 0

1 0. 1

1 9 9 0- 2 0 0 7

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N e t e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0) Fi g ur e 6 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 7 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 7 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v or st

( V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0)

Fi g ur e 7 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 7)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 7 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 7)

Fi g ur e 7 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v orst

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M Fi g ur e 7 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

S u m m ar y

As st at e d b ef or e, t h e c o m pr e h e nsi v e r es ults f or e a c h of t h e c ali br at e d s u b c at c h m e nts, ar e att a c h e d fr o m A n n e x 3 t o A n n e x 1 2 . I n t h es e A n n e x es t h e c ali br ati o n s u m m ar y, gr a p hs a n d st atisti cs ar e list e d.

7. 1

C o m p aris o n wit h ori gi n al N A M m o d els

I n t h e pr oj e ct W L-0 9 -4 6, t h e N A M m o d els t h at w er e c ali br at e d i n pr e vi o us st u d i es w er e us e d as i n p ut i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. As t h es e N A M m o d els w er e pri n ci p all y d e v el o p e d t o b e us e d i n fl o o d f or e c asti n g st u di es, t h es e ori gi n al h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els w er e c ali br at e d f o c usi n g o n hi g h fl o ws. B y w a y of ill ustr ati o n, t h e si m ul at e d dis c h ar g es of b ot h t h e ori gi n al m o d el a n d t h e n e wl y c ali br at e d N A M m o d el ar e dis pl a y e d f or e a c h of t h e s u b c at c h m e nts i n A n n e x 1 3 . W h e n e v al u ati n g t h es e r es ults, it is i m p ort a nt t o k e e p i n mi n d t h at o nl y a s h ort ( 3 m o nt hs) p eri o d is r e p ort e d h er e. F or s o m e c at c h m e nts t h e N S E v al u es a n d/ or t h e vis u al c orr es p o n d e n c e will t h er ef or e b e d e vi a nt fr o m t h e o v er all c orr es p o n d e n c e. F or t h e m aj orit y of t h e c at c h m e nts t h e si m ul at e d fl o ws a p pr o a c h t h e g a u g e d l o w fl o ws b est wit h t h e u p d at e d N A M m o d el. A d diti o n all y t h e N S E of t h e u p d at e d c at c h m e nt is g e n er all y b ett er t h a n t h e ori gi n al N S E.

7. 2

Gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w of t h e m o d el p erf or m a n c e

T o gi v e a q ui c k o v er vi e w of t h e o v er all r es ult f or t h e c ali br at e d h y dr ol o gi c al N A M m o d els, a g e o gr a p hi c al s u m m ar y is gi v e n i n A n n e x 1 4 a n d A n n e x 1 5 . B as e d o n t h e st atis ti cs f or e a c h of t h e N A M m o d els, a r e cl assifi c ati o n is p erf or m e d t o r es ult i n a q u ot ati o n f or t h e o v er all m o d el p erf or m a n c e. T his q u ot ati o n is t h e n i n c or p or at e d i n a g e n er al m a p f or t h e st u d y ar e a.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

C o n cl usi o ns a n d r e c o m m e n d ati o ns

T h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n will b e us e d i n or d er t o p erf or m l o w fl o w f or e c asts a n d c al c ul at e cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e g o al of t his s u bt as k of t h e pr oj e ct ‘ M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n ’, is t o d efi n e t h e most a p pr o pri at e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n i n or d er t o m e et t his pr er e q uisit e. T h er ef or e, diff er e nt h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or e a c h of t h e s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e st u d y ar e a ar e s et u p a n d e v al u at e d o n t h eir a p pr o pri at e n ess f or l o w fl o w f or e c asti n g a n d cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e r e g ar d e d m o d els ar e N A M ( © D HI), P D M ( ©I n n o v yz e), V H M ( © Will e ms, P.) a n d W E T S P A ( © V U B). T his s u br e p ort c o v ers t h e r e c ali br ati o n a n d e v al u ati o n of t h e N A M m o d els, w hi c h ar e p art of t h e MI K E 1 1 soft w ar e p a c k a g e ( D HI, 2 0 0 9). H y dr ol o gi c al N A M m o d els f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts (i. e. c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m of a g a u gi n g st ati o n) w er e r e c ali br at e d w h er e b y t h e f o c us is m ai nl y o n l o w fl o ws. T his c ali br at i o n is d o n e usi n g a n a ut o m ati c o pti miz ati o n pr o c e d ur e f oll o w e d b y a vis u al c o ntr ol. D uri n g t h e o pti miz ati o n r o uti n e t h e b est p ar a m et ers s et is s el e ct e d f or e a c h c at c h m e nt b as e d o n 2 crit eri a: ( 1) a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p, a n d ( 2) l o g arit h mi c N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y. T h e first crit eri o n ai ms t o m o d el t h e gl o b al fl o w p att er n, t h e l att er f o c us es m ai nl y o n t h e l o w fl o ws. As a r es ult, f or e a c h of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al c at c h m e nts, t h e N A M p ar a m et ers ar e u p d at e d. O v er all, t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e u p d at e d N A M m o d els, is s u bst a nti all y i m pr o v e d c o m p ar e d t o t h e ori gi n al N A M m o d els. As t h e fi n al p erf or m a n c e of t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el is dir e ctl y d e p e n d e nt o n its h y dr ol o gi c al i n p ut, it is i m p ort a nt t o h a v e i nsi g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h es e hy dr ol o gi c al i n p ut m o d els. T his is als o t h e c as e w h e n usi n g t h e h y dr ol o gi c al ( e. g. N A M) m o d els as i n p ut f or si m ul ati o ns wit h t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el. T h e s u m m ariz e d r es ults f or e a c h of t h e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e st u d y ar e a, all o w t h e us er t o g et i n si g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e N A M m o d el f or e a c h of t h e i n v ol v e d s u b c at c h m e nts. B as e d o n t his i nf or m ati o n a n d t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e P D M, V H M a n d W E T S P A m o d els, t h e us er will b e a bl e t o m a k e a w ell -gr o u n d e d d e cisi o n o n w hi c h m o d el t o us e f or t h e c o nsi d er e d o bj e cti v e. T h er ef or e, t his s u m m arizi n g r e p ort s h o ul d b e c o ns ult e d b y a n y us er a p pl yi n g t h e c orr es p o n di n g N A M m o d els. I n t his w a y, t h e us er g ai ns i nsi g ht i n t h e u n c ert ai nti es a n d p erf or m a n c e of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or e a c h of t h e c o nsi d er e d s u b c at c h m e nts.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

R ef er e n c es

D HI. ( 2 0 0 9). MI K E 1 1, A M o d elli n g S yst em f or Ri v ers a n d C h a n n els, R ef er e n c e E n vir o n m e nt, H ors h ol m, D e n m ar k.

M a n u al. D HI

W at er &

I M D C ( Fr a n k e n, T.; S m ets, S.; P er eir a, F.; M ost a ert, F.), ( 2 0 1 0). Bijst a n d m o d eli nstr u m e nt ari u m h y dr ol o gi e: O p m a a k t o ol b o x h y dr ol o gis c h e m o d ell eri n g: G e br ui k ers h a n dl ei di n g . V ersi e 2 _ 0. W L R a p p ort e n, 7 0 6 _ 1 5 b. W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m e n I M D C: A nt w er p e n, B el gi ë Kr a us e, P.; B o yl e, D. P. a n d B äs e F. ( 2 0 0 5). C o m p aris o n of diff er e nt effi ci e n c y crit eri a f or h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el ass ess m e nt, A d v a n c es i n G e os ci e n c es , 5, 8 9– 9 7. L i u, Y. a n d D e S m e dt, F. ( 2 0 0 4). W E T S P A E xt e nsi o n, A GI S-b as e d H y dr ol o gi c M o d el f or Fl o o d Pr e di cti o n a n d W at ers h e d M a n a g e m e nt, D o c u m e nt ati o n a n d Us er M a n u al, D e p art m e nt of H y dr ol o g y a n d H y dr a uli c E n gi n e eri n g, Vrij e U ni v ersit eit Br uss el, 1 2 6 p. M a ds e n, H. ( 2 0 00). A ut o m ati c c ali br ati o n of a c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all – r u n off m o d el usi n g m ulti pl e o bj e cti v es, D HI W at er & E n vir o n m e nt, A g er n All e ´ 1 1, D K -2 9 7 0 H ørs h ol m, D e n m ar k. M ar o y, E.; Mi c hi el s e n, S.; V el ez, C.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n: S u b r e p ort 4 -2 – D e v el o pi n g a r ai nf all -r u n off m o d el of t h e M e us e – N A M M e us e. V ersi o n 1. 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -2. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p. Mi c hi el s e n, S.; D e gr a n d e, L.; El y a h yi o ui, J.; V er e y c k e n, K.; P er eir a, F.; V a n d er ki m p e n, P.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d ell eri n g v a n w at er b es c hi k b a ar h ei d e n w at er all o c ati estr at e gi e ë n i n h et S c h el d estr o o m g e bi e d: D e elr a p p ort 1 – V er b et er e n v a n h et m o d eli nstr u m e nt ari u m. V ersi e 1. 1. W L R a p p or t e n, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 1. W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m: A nt w er p e n N as h, J. E. a n d S ut cliff e, J. V. , ( 1 9 7 0). Ri v er fl o w f or e c asti n g t hr o u g h c o n c e pt u al m o d els, P art I - A dis c ussi o n of pri n ci pl es, J. H y dr ol., 1 0, 2 8 2 – 2 9 0. Tr a n, Q. Will e ms, P.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt J; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). Eff e ct of cli m at e c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of n a vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u b r e p ort 7 – D e v el o p m e nt of a fr a m e w or k f or fl e xi bl e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d elli n g. V ersi o n 1 . 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 3 0 _ 7. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p , B el gi u m. Tr a n, Q. Will e ms, P.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt J; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). Eff e ct of cli m at e c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of na vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u b r e p ort 8 – I m pl e m e nt ati o n a n d t esti n g of a fr a m e w or k f or fl e xi bl e h y dr ol o gi cal m o d elli n g. V ersi o n 1 . 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 3 0 _ 8. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p, B el gi u m. V a nst e e n ki st e, T.; P er eir a, F.; Will e m s, P. a n d M ost a ert, F. , ( 2 0 1 1). Eff e ct of cli m at e c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of n a vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u br e p ort 2 – Cli m at e c h a n g e i m p a ct a n al ysis b y c o n c e pt u al m o d els. W L R a p p ort e n, pr oj e ct 7 0 6 _ 1 8, W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m & K U L e u v e n, D e c e m b er 2 0 1 1, 5 7 p. W L ( 2 0 0 6). O p m a a k v a n e e n Mi k e 1 1 m o d el v a n d e IJz er. 4 4 p.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 1 List of o pti miz e d p ar a m et ers f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts C at c h m e nt

Ar e a

U max

S M max

C Q OF

C K BF

C KI F

CK1

CK2

TI F

T OF

V01 H A N488180

78558940

7. 9 2

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0. 9 0

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V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9

393007000

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V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

63423128

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V01KE M492060

73892930

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V01 M AR496120

76136621

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V01P OP491030

84868207

1 4. 0 0

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V0 1SS V4 9 9 1 4 0

16095000

8. 6 0

2 7 0. 2 7

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2 9. 2 7

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0. 5 3

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V02E DE442120

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1 0. 3 2

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V02 HE R426010

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1 5. 0 0

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0. 3 2

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V02KE R422030

62718738

1 1. 6 2

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2 9. 6 1

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0. 6 0

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V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

63980423

1 3. 8 7

4 7 9. 8 1

0. 5 4

1 5 3 0. 3 2

2 9 1. 5 4

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1 9. 9 6

0. 8 4

0. 2 0

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V03P OE446000

106836849

1 3. 8 4

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5 3 7. 4 9

2 8. 3 9

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V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

32561957

8. 3 2

5 3 8. 3 4

0. 5 7

1 9 8 0. 1 6

4 4 1. 5 2

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0. 2 0

0. 4 9

0. 4 3

V04 M O M037100

67301328

8. 9 7

4 3 6. 1 8

0. 5 0

1 2 6 3. 4 4

4 8 4. 9 0

4 0. 4 3

3 7. 6 6

0. 3 0

0. 4 0

0. 3 9

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2981779554

2. 0 0

4 1 5. 0 0

0. 5 0

1 1 0 0. 0 0

2 7 0. 0 0

4 4. 0 0

3 2. 0 0

0. 6 0

0. 1 0

V05 HE U403210

91912331

7. 7 3

1 4 2. 3 9

0. 7 2

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1 4 8. 2 9

3 4. 0 8

2 9. 7 0

0. 7 0

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0. 1 3

V05 M A N401230

258441818

1 4. 0 3

4 0 0. 0 0

0. 6 4

3 5 0 0. 0 0

7 5 0. 0 0

4 4. 1 0

2 8. 9 7

0. 4 8

0. 2 0

0. 7 0

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 5 9 9 9

5217586196

5. 8 3

4 6 6. 2 6

0. 2 0

1 8 5 8. 1 0

4 3 4. 8 9

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44401888

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9234592

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12358385

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41215066

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1980

4 4 1. 5

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56667175

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26155768

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6434651

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38982516

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20326328

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40778180

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50278956

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31902535

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10519358

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19542165

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24038269

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37827245

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34937521

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1036

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V04 BES000160

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184850804

2. 3 3

9 5. 7 0 7

0. 5 1 4

1986

2 8 7. 7

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0. 7

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V04 BES000170

W11 BE R551010

18766706

2. 2 5

193

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67663418

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28326405

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V04 BES000190

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361066506

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180989113

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37352188

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V04 D UR000080

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13115959

8. 3 1 6

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1980

4 4 1. 5

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W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

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V09 M OT144270

12911826

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4809

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10731840

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12937291

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28627814

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21348172

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232467654

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97843094

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1980

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52125854

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1980

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V04Z W A000130

V08B AR111370

20223736

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1139

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137842273

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47783349

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16883706

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108826195

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21304814

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29836282

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97730942

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47172616

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1036

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4955439

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700

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81083174

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867129

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27908996

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2440

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V01 M AR496120

73022161

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97824902

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V07 GR A000090

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28283573

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4809

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700

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2440

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16024099

2. 2 5

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16839367

8. 3 1 6

5 3 8. 3 4

0. 5 7 3

1980

4 4 1. 5

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V 0 8 DIJ 0 0 0 4 5 5

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9419886

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3 8 2. 5 3

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V08 DR O000230

V07 M O G288020

1754271

2 4. 9

700

0. 5 6

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V09 M OT144270

29900000

6. 6 3 6

3 8 2. 5 3

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4 8 0. 5

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V08 GR O000070

W11 BE R551010

13748809

2. 2 5

193

0. 7 5 4

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W11 BE R551010

10431011

2. 2 5

193

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V08 H AR000250

W11 BE R551010

4183063

2. 2 5

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V07 M O G288020

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61999329

8. 3 1 6

5 3 8. 3 4

0. 5 7 3

1980

4 4 1. 5

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2 8. 2

0. 2

0. 5

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V 0 8L O B 0 0 0 3 0 0

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1727027

2. 2 5

193

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16677869

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V08 M A A000190

W11 BE R551010

25513368

2. 2 5

193

0. 7 5 4

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V08 M A A000320

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41562062

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0. 2 4 7

3563

5 4 5. 6

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V08 M AR000270

W11 BE R551010

2655242

2. 2 5

193

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V08 MEC000390

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

2184480

8. 3 1 6

5 3 8. 3 4

0. 5 7 3

1980

4 4 1. 5

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V08 MEC000440

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

21167200

8. 3 1 6

5 3 8. 3 4

0. 5 7 3

1980

4 4 1. 5

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V08 M OB000090

V08B AR111370

52906589

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1139

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24744883

2. 2 5

193

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V08 NEE000140

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24418401

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700

0. 5 6

2440

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V07 M O G288020

10526023

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700

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V09 M OT144270

11122038

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8645642

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1728251

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4308051

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6403090

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16556510

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4176350

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125593344

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46369269

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111804714

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17224252

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W11 BE R551010

15263780

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13893219

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11779955

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V09 HE R000060

V09 M OT144270

17904828

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V09 HE R000075

V09 M OT144270

4063569

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10167667

8. 3 1 6

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1980

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V09 M OT144270

4843899

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V09 M OT144270

2290158

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4809

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V07 M O G288020

8272837

2 4. 9

700

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2440

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V09 M A N000130

V09 M OT144270

2369062

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4809

4 8 0. 5

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V09 M OT000260

V09 M OT144270

8633853

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3 8 2. 5 3

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V09 M O U000280

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4720981

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193

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12017257

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V09 M OT144270

44224342

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V09 M OT144270

14913966

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V09 WE R000250

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3447994

8. 3 1 6

5 3 8. 3 4

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1980

4 4 1. 5

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V 0 9 WIJ 0 0 0 1 9 0

V09 M OT144270

6951100

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V09 M OT144270

17375263

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V09 M OT144270

24807586

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4809

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V09Z W A000210

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19313232

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1149

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24539871

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1526

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V10 BE R000100

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28572454

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V10 BE V000120

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26918434

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42189781

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243532847

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44302117

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53928737

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32418924

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3563

5 4 5. 6

3 1. 2

2 8. 8

0. 2

0. 5

W 0 8SE N0 00 0 2 0

W 0 8S A M R O N0 0 0

53081078

1 2. 7 6

1 5 2 8. 9

0. 3 1 5

1759

5 0 1. 1

3 0. 4

2 9. 6

0. 7

0. 3

0. 4

W08ZE N000040

V07 M O G288020

19240238

2 4. 9

700

0. 5 6

2440

1 9 0 0. 0

2 9. 1

3 0. 9

0. 6

0. 8

W 1 1J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0

W11 ME H5820

463411008

1 2. 9

8 0 4. 5

0. 2 5 4

2009

6 5 5. 0

3 7. 7

2 2. 3

0. 7

0. 3

0. 4

W11 M A A0030

W11 ME H5820

503217000

1 2. 9

8 0 4. 5

0. 2 5 4

2009

6 5 5. 0

3 2. 0

3 1. 0

0. 7

0. 3

0. 4

W11 M A A0040

W11 ME H5820

370820000

1 2. 9

8 0 4. 5

0. 2 5 4

2009

6 5 5. 0

3 2. 0

3 1. 0

0. 7

0. 3

0. 4

W 1 1S A M0 00 0

W 0 8S A M R O N0 0 0

178620000

1 2. 7 6

1 5 2 8. 9

0. 3 1 5

1759

5 0 1. 1

3 3. 8

2 6. 2

0. 7

0. 3

0. 4

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 3 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9 " (IJ Z E R)

A 10

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n: S u b r e p ort 4- 1 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA M ETE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9" (I J Z E R)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to ta l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A11

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

393007000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 5. 0 1), (' S M m a x. C', 1 1 3. 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 9), (' C K B F. C', 3 1 5 5. 7 3), (' C KI F. C', 1 3 5. 1 2), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 4 2), (' C K 2. C', 4 6. 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 9 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 0), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 7 8 5 9 3 0 4. 2 5

5 1 3 2 8 1 9 5. 3 6 6

R el Err

- 2. 1 %

1. 5 %

R MSE

3 1 9 9 8 6 7 9. 1 7 9

6 1 2 6 7 7 4 9. 6 4 2

0. 6 8 9

0. 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 4 1

0. 5 3 9

N S _r el

0. 0 8 5

- 0. 1 6 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A12

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A13

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A14

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A15

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0" (I J Z E R)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A16

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

63423128

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 5 8), (' S M m a x. C', 5 8 6. 7 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8 1), (' C K B F. C', 2 4 7 2. 0 6), (' C KI F. C', 4 7 1. 3 9), (' C K 1. C', 3 7. 9 7), (' C K 2. C', 2 1. 0 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 7), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 6)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 2 2 9 6 8 1. 5 3 9

2 4 6 7 9 7 5 4. 6 7 1

R el Err

- 0. 6 %

- 1 1. 1 %

R MSE

4 0 4 1 3 1 7. 0 7 4

2 7 2 5 8 8 6 5. 9 5 1

0. 5 0 1

0. 4 6 5

N S _l o g

0. 4 4 1

0. 4 7 6

N S _r el

- 1 0. 3 7 3

- 5. 1 0 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A17

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A18

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A19

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A20

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0" (I J Z E R)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A21

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V01 K E M492060

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

73892930

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 4. 6 2), (' S M m a x. C', 1 3 2. 4 7), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 7 9), (' C K B F. C', 1 2 6 7. 6), (' C KI F. C', 1 1 6. 0), (' C K 1. C', 3 7. 9), (' C K 2. C', 3 6. 5), (' TI F. C', 0. 5 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 1 3), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

4 7 6 4 6 6 9. 8 8 8

2 5 4 2 7 8 0 0. 6 8 6

R el Err

1. 1 %

9. 3 %

R MSE

5 5 3 8 1 5 0. 9 5 1

2 6 9 9 6 8 1 5. 7 7 8

0. 6 2 8

0. 6 3 6

N S _l o g

0. 5 2 4

0. 5 7

N S _r el

- 2 1. 9 5 8

- 1 0. 2 6 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A22

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A23

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A24

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0" (I J Z E R)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A25

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V01 M A R496120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

76136621

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 9. 0 8), (' S M m a x. C', 1 0 3. 9 7), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 2 2 7. 7 6), (' C KI F. C', 5 0. 2 4), (' C K 1. C', 2 1. 6 4), (' C K 2. C', 3 0. 3 6), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

7 1 8 8 6 5 2. 0 1 9

3 2 8 8 2 2 6 2. 3 4 5

R el Err

1. 2 %

1 3. 1 %

R MSE

9 8 9 2 5 4 5. 6 9 1

3 8 0 1 2 3 0 1. 7 9 3

0. 6 7 6

0. 6 9 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 7 2

0. 6 2 6

N S _r el

- 0. 7 1 9

- 5. 7 5 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A26

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A27

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A28

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0" (I J Z E R)

5. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A29

5. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V01 P O P491030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

84868207

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 4. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 2 0 0. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5), (' C K B F. C', 1 0 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 3 9 3. 6), (' C K 1. C', 3 0. 0), (' C K 2. C', 2 8. 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 2 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 0 4 4 4 5 1 1. 2 9 9

2 5 8 5 3 2 2 0. 9 6 7

R el Err

5. 8 %

- 8. 8 %

R MSE

1 6 0 4 9 7 7 8. 2 8 6

2 9 5 8 1 2 0 1. 5 9 3

0. 6 4 5

0. 6 6 9

N S _l o g

0. 4 2 3

0. 5 8

N S _r el

- 1. 2 5 3

- 0. 4 3 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A30

5. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A31

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A32

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0" (I J Z E R)

6. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A33

6. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V01 S S V499140

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

16095000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 8. 6), (' S M m a x. C', 2 7 0. 2 7), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 7 1), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 7 9. 4 5), (' C KI F. C', 3 4 4. 6 2), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 2 7), (' C K 2. C', 2 8. 5 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 5 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 1 6), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 6 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 1 4 4 9 8 9. 2 4 2

6 4 8 3 8 3 8. 3 0 7

R el Err

0. 9 %

- 1 6. 9 %

R MSE

1 5 6 0 2 6 7. 0 9 2

6 8 5 4 3 6 0. 1 2 1

0. 6 1 5

N S _l o g

0. 4 6 3

0. 3 9 9

N S _r el

- 7 1. 3 8 2

- 6 0. 3 8 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A34

6. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A35

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A36

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A37

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0" (I J Z E R)

7. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ota l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A38

7. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V01 H A N488180

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

78558940

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 7. 9 2), (' S M m a x. C', 2 6 5. 3 9), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 9), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 9 9. 3 5), (' C KI F. C', 2 6 0. 7 1), (' C K 1. C', 9. 6 3), (' C K 2. C', 1 7. 6 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 1 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 2 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 9 7 6 3 8 8. 3 8 3

2 7 8 2 7 7 1. 8 5 4

R el Err

0. 3 %

- 0. 1 %

R MSE

2 4 4 9 7 6 2. 8 3 2

3 4 2 5 7 7 9. 9 4 7

0. 7 8 9

0. 7 8

N S _l o g

0. 7 7 7

N S _r el

0. 7 2 5

0. 6 6 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A39

7. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A40

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A41

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 4 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 " ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

A 42

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA MET E RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to ta l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A43

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 H E R426010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

77272201

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 5. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 4 8 9. 2 4), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 7 3), (' C K B F. C', 1 8 9 5. 2), (' C KI F. C', 5 3 2. 8 3), (' C K 1. C', 3 7. 3 1), (' C K 2. C', 3 2. 7 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 3 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 6 8), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 7 5)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

7 1 6 7 9 0 9. 3 5 9

1 7 2 8 6 6 3 2. 1 0 3

R el Err

- 0. 0 %

- 5. 3 %

R MSE

8 8 6 9 4 2 8. 1 0 7

2 0 2 8 9 2 2 5. 1 3 5

0. 6 8 4

0. 7 1 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 3

0. 5 5 9

N S _r el

0. 1 8 2

- 0. 0 3 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A44

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A45

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A46

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ot al Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A47

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 K E R422030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

62718738

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 1. 6 2), (' S M m a x. C', 1 4 5. 2 8), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 7 0. 5 4), (' C KI F. C', 2 1 4. 4 8), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 6 1), (' C K 2. C', 2 3. 7 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 6), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 2 7 4 9 4 5. 8 5 4

1 2 3 4 5 1 9 3. 4 5 9

R el Err

0. 7 %

- 5. 0 %

R MSE

3 9 1 4 3 5 3. 0 6 8

1 3 0 9 4 2 1 0. 7 7 7

0. 6 0 5

0. 6 6 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 6 4

0. 6 6 7

N S _r el

- 2. 2 5 2

- 1. 0 1 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A48

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A49

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A50

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A51

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ot al Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A52

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

63980423

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 8 7), (' S M m a x. C', 4 7 9. 8 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 4), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 3 0. 3 2), (' C KI F. C', 2 9 1. 5 4), (' C K 1. C', 4 0. 5 3), (' C K 2. C', 1 9. 9 6), (' TI F. C', 0. 8 4), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

4 6 4 9 4 2 8. 9 9 7

2 5 0 8 9 0 1 5. 9 7 2

R el Err

- 1. 8 %

- 7. 0 %

R MSE

5 1 0 4 7 8 4. 8 5

2 8 8 2 4 4 2 9. 8 1 2

0. 5 8 9

0. 6 0 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 4

0. 5 8

N S _r el

- 1. 0 7 4

- 1. 7 9 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A53

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A54

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A55

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t ot al Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A56

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 E D E442120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

45489177

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 0. 3 2), (' S M m a x. C', 2 9 7. 8 2), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 0 3 6. 2 4), (' C KI F. C', 5 4 0. 2 7), (' C K 1. C', 3 9. 6 7), (' C K 2. C', 4 2. 1 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 6 8), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 9), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 3 1 8 1 7 7. 6 8 2

5 5 9 0 9 2 5. 1 6 9

R el Err

1. 4 %

- 2. 3 %

R MSE

2 7 6 2 2 9 3. 5 9 3

7 8 0 7 1 9 0. 3 5 1

0. 8 0 9

0. 7 7 9

N S _l o g

0. 5 4 9

0. 4 2 3

N S _r el

- 6. 3 5 3

- 4. 7 7 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A57

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A58

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A59

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 5 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt "V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 " ( G E N T S E K A N A L E N)

A 60

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA M ETE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0" ( G E N T S E K A N A L E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 ( G e nt s e K a n al e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to ta l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 ( G e nt s e K a n al e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A61

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V03 P O E446000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

106836849

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 8 4), (' S M m a x. C', 1 8 9. 9 6), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 7 9), (' C K B F. C', 1 4 3 8. 6 8), (' C KI F. C', 5 3 7. 4 9), (' C K 1. C', 2 8. 3 9), (' C K 2. C', 3 2. 3 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 2 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 7), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 7)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

5 2 2 3 4 1 7. 1 0 8

3 6 2 3 5 4 5 6. 9 5 9

R el Err

- 0. 9 %

1 1. 5 %

R MSE

6 6 6 4 9 0 8. 0 5

3 9 0 7 6 8 4 8. 0 7 3

0. 7 2 3

0. 7 0 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 9 6

0. 7 2 5

N S _r el

- 2. 8 5

- 1. 5 4 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A62

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A63

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A64

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A65

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 6 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt "V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 " ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E)

A 66

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0" ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A67

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V04 M O M037100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

67301328

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 8. 9 7), (' S M m a x. C', 4 3 6. 1 8), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5), (' C K B F. C', 1 2 6 3. 4 4), (' C KI F. C', 4 8 4. 9), (' C K 1. C', 4 0. 4 3), (' C K 2. C', 3 7. 6 6), (' TI F. C', 0. 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 9)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 1 5 4 9 9 9. 6 4 8

4 9 3 7 3 6 8 8. 2 2 6

R el Err

1. 3 %

1 3. 0 %

R MSE

3 7 0 0 6 7 7. 2 8 8

5 6 5 2 5 3 3 1. 1 6 5

0. 7 6 1

0. 7 4 1

N S _l o g

0. 7 3

0. 6 6 6

N S _r el

0. 7 1 5

0. 4 3 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A68

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A69

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A70

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0" ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A71

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V04 M OL036110

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

32561957

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 8. 3 2), (' S M m a x. C', 5 3 8. 3 4), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 7), (' C K B F. C', 1 9 8 0. 1 6), (' C KI F. C', 4 4 1. 5 2), (' C K 1. C', 3 1. 0 4), (' C K 2. C', 2 8. 5 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 9), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 3 9 2 7 2 4. 3 5

2 2 1 4 9 3 2 4. 6 9 3

R el Err

1. 3 %

1 2. 8 %

R MSE

1 7 8 7 3 4 7. 9 0 9

2 6 0 8 6 7 6 9. 8 6 7

0. 5 7 9

0. 6 4 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 7 3

0. 5 9 5

N S _r el

0. 6 8

- 0. 7 8 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A72

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A73

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A74

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 7 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 " ( L EIE B E K K E N)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

A 75

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A76

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V05 H E U403210

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

91912331

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 7. 7 3), (' S M m a x. C', 1 4 2. 3 9), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 7 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 0 2 1. 6 5), (' C KI F. C', 1 4 8. 2 9), (' C K 1. C', 3 4. 0 8), (' C K 2. C', 2 9. 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

9 8 9 6 5 0 6. 1 0 1

3 0 2 1 7 0 3 2. 5 2 9

R el Err

- 3. 6 %

- 5. 8 %

R MSE

1 1 1 8 1 7 4 5. 3 4 4

3 7 4 4 4 4 4 6. 5 8 8

0. 7 6 4

0. 8 0 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 7 3

0. 6 9 2

N S _r el

- 1 7. 8 8 6

- 5. 7 5 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A77

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A78

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A79

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A80

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V05 M A N401230

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

258441818

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 4. 0 3), (' S M m a x. C', 4 0 0. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 6 4), (' C K B F. C', 3 5 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 7 5 0. 0), (' C K 1. C', 4 4. 1), (' C K 2. C', 2 8. 9 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 4 8), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 7)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

7 3 4 3 7 1 4. 3 8 3

3 7 7 5 2 3 4 6 9. 4 7 3

R el Err

0. 2 %

- 3 5. 6 %

R MSE

9 3 5 9 2 0 4. 1 6 6

4 1 8 8 5 3 1 6 7. 7 4 3

0. 6 4 4

0. 6 1 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 0 4

- 1. 3 4 9

N S _r el

- 1. 5 0 1

- 2. 0 1 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A81

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A82

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A83

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A84

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A85

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

2981779554

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 2. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 4 1 5. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5), (' C K B F. C', 1 1 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 2 7 0. 0), (' C K 1. C', 4 4. 0), (' C K 2. C', 3 2. 0), (' TI F. C', 0. 6), (' T O F. C', 0. 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 0 5 2 8 9 6 5 9. 0 1 2

1 7 7 0 5 9 8 7 2. 2 1 7

R el Err

- 1. 0 %

- 0. 6 %

R MSE

2 2 0 3 4 3 6 1 8. 3 2 7

2 0 2 0 4 9 7 6 6. 1 9 3

0. 7 7 9

0. 7 9 2

N S _l o g

0. 7 3 1

0. 7 4 7

N S _r el

0. 6 6 3

0. 6 7 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A86

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A87

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A88

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 8 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 " ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

A 89

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A90

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W06 R H OL54100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

161928446

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 5. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 5 9 8. 3 6), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 4 5 7. 6 8), (' C KI F. C', 7 4 9. 8 4), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 2 5), (' C K 2. C', 1 7. 3 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 9 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

9 6 1 9 3 4 8. 4 0 5

1 6 3 5 3 0 0 0. 4 2 2

R el Err

2 8. 4 %

4 9. 6 %

R MSE

1 2 8 9 6 6 8 1. 0 7

1 9 0 4 5 0 5 1. 0 1 8

0. 5 2 2

0. 5 0 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 1 1

0. 4 6 9

N S _r el

- 0. 0 9 5

- 0. 7 4 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A91

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A92

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A93

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A94

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V06 M A A347160

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

48678191

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 5. 7 1), (' S M m a x. C', 4 7 1. 2 2), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8 6), (' C K B F. C', 3 3 8 6. 6 5), (' C KI F. C', 8 0 0. 9 8), (' C K 1. C', 2 1. 4 2), (' C K 2. C', 2 0. 7 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 2 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 9), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 8 5)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

6 6 6 6 4 9 3. 7 2 4

7 6 6 1 9 5 8 7. 4 2 8

R el Err

- 1. 0 %

- 2 7. 4 %

R MSE

7 9 3 0 8 1 0. 0 4 4

9 1 2 1 7 6 0 7. 4 8 1

0. 4 4 3

0. 4 4 4

N S _l o g

0. 4 3 6

0. 3 2 2

N S _r el

0. 5 3

0. 5 3 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A95

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A96

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A97

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A98

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V06Z W A342190

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

112117540

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 2. 3 3), (' S M m a x. C', 9 5. 7 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 1), (' C K B F. C', 1 9 8 6. 2 1), (' C KI F. C', 2 8 7. 7 5), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 4 4), (' C K 2. C', 2 3. 1 4), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

4 6 7 0 3 5 5. 4 1 4

3 6 3 1 3 4 5 0. 8 9 7

R el Err

- 1. 1 %

4. 7 %

R MSE

5 7 6 6 9 1 7. 7 4 9

4 0 2 5 5 3 2 2. 2 7 6

0. 6 3

0. 5 9 1

N S _l o g

0. 6 2

0. 5 3 8

N S _r el

0. 6 6 1

- 2 4. 9 5 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A99

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A100

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A101

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A102

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F06 B O S325999

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

5217586196

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 5. 8 3), (' S M m a x. C', 4 6 6. 2 6), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 8 5 8. 1), (' C KI F. C', 4 3 4. 8 9), (' C K 1. C', 3 9. 8), (' C K 2. C', 2 7. 3 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 9 0 3 2 1 9 5 3. 0 4 8

3 7 9 1 1 2 6 0 1. 7 2

R el Err

- 2. 9 %

- 2. 6 %

R MSE

4 3 4 3 9 0 3 4 8. 2 0 4

4 2 6 8 0 8 4 3 9. 5 7 2

0. 6 7 5

0. 6 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 7

0. 6 2 8

N S _r el

0. 6 6 3

0. 6 6 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A103

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A104

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A105

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 9 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 " ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

A 106

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A107

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M A R289015

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

173908791

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 2. 8), (' S M m a x. C', 4 5 8. 5 4), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 0 6. 5 9), (' C KI F. C', 4 2 4. 2 6), (' C K 1. C', 2 5. 7), (' C K 2. C', 2 9. 5 4), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 1 0 3 8 4 1 3. 1 8 7

4 1 7 6 8 3 9 5. 8 5 4

R el Err

- 0. 3 %

5. 5 %

R MSE

1 3 9 4 8 0 6 8. 3 1 6

4 8 9 3 5 1 9 5. 7 1

0. 7 5 2

0. 7 7 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 2

0. 5 8 5

N S _r el

0. 1 1 1

- 1 1. 3 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A108

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A109

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A110

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A111

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M O E282100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

46367171

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 4. 8 9), (' S M m a x. C', 7 7. 0 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 8 3 3. 4 7), (' C KI F. C', 2 4 5. 3 6), (' C K 1. C', 2 8. 4 6), (' C K 2. C', 3 0. 4 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 4 5), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 9 9 3 8 0 7. 8 1

1 0 7 8 8 6 6 9. 0 0 4

R el Err

- 2. 5 %

5. 8 %

R MSE

5 1 3 4 5 4 9. 3 9 3

1 1 6 3 8 0 6 5. 4 8 4

0. 5 3 2

0. 5 8 4

N S _l o g

0. 7 3 7

0. 6 6 7

N S _r el

0. 7 3 5

0. 7 0 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A112

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A113

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A114

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A115

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A116

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M O G288020

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

23093628

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 2 4. 9), (' S M m a x. C', 7 0 0. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 6), (' C K B F. C', 2 4 4 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 1 9 0 0. 0), (' C K 1. C', 3 0. 0), (' C K 2. C', 3 0. 0), (' TI F. C', 0. 5 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 6 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 1 4 2 2 8 8. 1 5 8

4 4 7 8 0 2 4. 3 7 3

R el Err

0. 6 %

- 6. 4 %

R MSE

1 3 5 9 5 0 4. 1 4 6

5 2 0 2 7 5 4. 7 7

0. 6 4 3

0. 6 1 7

N S _l o g

0. 5 6 9

0. 4 8 4

N S _r el

- 0. 4 4 4

- 0. 7 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A117

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A118

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A119

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A120

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A121

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W07 D E NL E S999

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

511840662

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 2. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 8 5 0. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5), (' C K B F. C', 3 3 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 5 5 0. 0), (' C K 1. C', 3 9. 9 1), (' C K 2. C', 3 8. 1 5), (' TI F. C', 0. 5 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 6 6), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 7 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 7 8 8 9 7 0 2. 2 0 5

1 7 1 3 8 3 0 6. 1 5 5

R el Err

- 1. 0 %

0. 3 %

R MSE

2 1 9 5 4 4 4 4. 8 7 8

2 1 8 6 7 1 7 7. 4 7 8

0. 6 1 9

0. 6 2

N S _l o g

0. 5 6 5

0. 5 6 8

N S _r el

0. 7 4 8

0. 7 4 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A122

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9, st ati o n L e s s i n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9, st ati o n L e s s i n e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A123

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9, st ati o n L e s s i n e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9, st ati o n L e s si n e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A124

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 9 9 9, st ati o n L e s si n e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A125

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

5. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A126

5. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 B EL285070

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

88641710

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 5. 4 3), (' S M m a x. C', 5 0 6. 1 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 5), (' C K B F. C', 3 5 6 2. 6 3), (' C KI F. C', 5 4 5. 6 3), (' C K 1. C', 3 1. 5 4), (' C K 2. C', 3 0. 6 4), (' TI F. C', 0. 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 5)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 5 7 2 4 4 0. 4 4 1

3 2 0 4 5 7 1 9. 3 1 1

R el Err

0. 6 %

- 7. 1 %

R MSE

3 1 6 5 2 5 5. 9 3 5

3 4 7 2 0 0 1 8. 2 8 1

0. 6 0 3

0. 5 2 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 5

0. 5 3 3

N S _r el

0. 6 1 6

- 2 3. 1 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A127

5. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A128

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A129

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 1 0 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0 " ( DIJ L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

A 130

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A131

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

861413000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 4. 7 9), (' S M m a x. C', 2 7 6 1. 1 9), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 1 7), (' C K B F. C', 1 7 4 4. 7), (' C KI F. C', 4 6 2. 7), (' C K 1. C', 2 1. 8 3), (' C K 2. C', 3 8. 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

6 4 8 8 2 5 0 3. 5 6 4

8 8 1 6 2 3 3 2 7. 2 3 1

R el Err

3. 1 %

2 5. 0 %

R MSE

7 5 7 4 2 5 7 1. 2 3 8

9 6 9 0 5 6 1 3 8. 8

0. 3 8 9

0. 1 7 8

N S _l o g

0. 2 8 6

0. 1 0 2

N S _r el

0. 2 0 1

- 0. 0 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A132

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A133

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A134

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A135

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V08Z U U233100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

64771005

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 8. 9 6), (' S M m a x. C', 5 8 7. 1 3), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 4 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 8 7 3. 6 9), (' C KI F. C', 5 6 2. 5 6), (' C K 1. C', 3 2. 0 2), (' C K 2. C', 3 3. 8 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 8 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

5 1 8 6 2 6 9. 6 8 9

4 6 0 9 3 5 3 4. 1 0 6

R el Err

- 0. 0 %

2 2. 4 %

R MSE

6 4 3 0 3 2 4. 0 4 7

5 0 5 3 4 1 2 2. 7 3

0. 5 7 9

0. 6 0 6

N S _l o g

0. 5 1

0. 4 8 3

N S _r el

- 0. 2 0 5

- 2. 3 9 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A136

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A137

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A138

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A139

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S A M R O N000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

134097000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 2. 7 6), (' S M m a x. C', 1 5 2 8. 9 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 7 5 8. 9 9), (' C KI F. C', 5 0 1. 1 2), (' C K 1. C', 4 3. 3 2), (' C K 2. C', 1 6. 9 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 4)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 8 9 5 6 2 6. 2 3

4 8 0 4 5 0 4 7. 5 7 2

R el Err

1. 3 %

- 1 1. 5 %

R MSE

5 4 7 9 8 3 8. 2 4 3

5 0 6 9 6 7 6 6. 1 9 2

0. 6 6 6

0. 6 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 7 6

0. 5 3 7

N S _r el

0. 7 8 5

0. 8 0 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A140

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A141

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st at i o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A142

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A143

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A144

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S E NL56010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

70364773

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 9. 5 4), (' S M m a x. C', 9 6 5. 6), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 1), (' C K B F. C', 1 9 8 9. 8), (' C KI F. C', 4 5 0 6. 1 7), (' C K 1. C', 3 0. 9 5), (' C K 2. C', 1 8. 1 5), (' TI F. C', 0. 7 8), (' T O F. C', 0. 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

6 7 2 3 9 9 1. 5 4 8

3 8 2 0 0 0 0 0. 0 6 2

R el Err

- 1. 3 %

- 1 2. 0 %

R MSE

8 0 3 3 4 7 2. 7 1 2

4 5 1 2 9 1 0 4. 5 3 4

0. 6

0. 5 5 8

N S _l o g

0. 4 5 1

0. 3 3 5

N S _r el

0. 0 7 6

0. 3 4 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A145

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A146

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N L 5 6 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A147

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

5. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A148

5. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S E NT U B030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

215911078

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 3 5), (' S M m a x. C', 3 2 5. 5 6), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8 3), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 3 6. 3), (' C KI F. C', 4 8 3. 2 4), (' C K 1. C', 2 9. 5), (' C K 2. C', 2 9. 6 4), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

7 2 5 6 1 3 9. 1 4 4

6 7 3 1 6 9 5 6. 3 5

R el Err

- 0. 3 %

- 5. 6 %

R MSE

8 5 4 0 4 7 0. 2 4 3

7 7 0 1 9 5 1 0. 4 0 5

0. 6 5 3

0. 6 5 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 8 5

0. 6 4 2

N S _r el

0. 8 3 9

0. 8 2 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A149

5. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A150

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1- 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A151

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

6. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A152

6. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V08 B A R111370

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

70079800

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 4. 8 3), (' S M m a x. C', 4 5 2. 2 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 7), (' C K B F. C', 1 1 3 8. 9 9), (' C KI F. C', 3 6 9. 5 9), (' C K 1. C', 3 6. 5 8), (' C K 2. C', 3 0. 8 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

1 9 4 5 0 0 8. 8 2 5

1 8 2 6 4 3 2. 6 2 5

R el Err

0. 8 %

0. 2 %

R MSE

2 5 6 3 1 3 3. 2 3 4

2 4 7 4 8 4 6. 7 7 5

0. 7 6

0. 7 6 1

N S _l o g

0. 8 0 2

N S _r el

0. 7 9 7

0. 7 9 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A153

6. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A154

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A155

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 1 1 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 " ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

A 156

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA R A METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to tal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A157

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 H E R163010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

274602221

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 9. 2 6), (' S M m a x. C', 1 6 7 5. 5 2), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 7), (' C K B F. C', 3 3 0 8. 7 1), (' C KI F. C', 4 3 7. 6 4), (' C K 1. C', 3 2. 2 9), (' C K 2. C', 3 6. 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

6 9 2 0 5 6 2. 0 0 4

4 7 4 2 0 6 2 6. 3 8 6

R el Err

0. 2 %

- 4. 9 %

R MSE

8 3 6 4 2 8 2. 8 7 6

5 1 1 4 3 3 9 6. 6 1 7

0. 6 2 3

0. 6 0 2

N S _l o g

0. 6 0 7

0. 6 0 9

N S _r el

0. 6 8 7

0. 5 1 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A158

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A159

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A160

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A161

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 H UL147150

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

80130245

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 0. 4), (' S M m a x. C', 3 5. 0), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 7), (' C K B F. C', 8 0 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 3 0. 0), (' C K 1. C', 5 0. 0), (' C K 2. C', 4 4. 4 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 0 1), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 1), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 1 9 8 0 0 9 6. 0 3 8

1 3 2 7 7 7 8 4. 3 4 3

R el Err

- 1 3. 0 %

- 0. 2 %

R MSE

4 0 6 3 2 4 8 9. 1 6 1

2 0 1 2 0 1 7 9. 1 7 3

0. 4 6 4

0. 5 8 6

N S _l o g

0. 4 7 4

0. 5 4 1

N S _r el

0. 7 4 6

0. 6 4 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A162

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A163

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A164

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A165

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09L O S143300

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

15176294

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 1. 2 9), (' S M m a x. C', 1 0 8 7. 4 7), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 5 9), (' C K B F. C', 1 2 3 4. 3 5), (' C KI F. C', 4 8 5. 2 9), (' C K 1. C', 2 5. 2 7), (' C K 2. C', 1 6. 4 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 5 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 7), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 6 6)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

6 4 7 8 9 6. 7 3 3

1 1 4 2 4 0 5 9. 6 6

R el Err

2. 4 %

3 7. 9 %

R MSE

7 3 0 3 5 3. 3 9

1 2 9 4 3 1 1 5. 8 7 8

0. 6 6 2

0. 3 1 9

N S _l o g

0. 5 1 5

0. 2 9 5

N S _r el

- 1. 2 2 5

- 1 3. 5 6 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A166

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A167

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A168

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A169

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 M A N161040

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

103081000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 3. 6 3), (' S M m a x. C', 3 5 3. 6 9), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 4), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 9 6. 5 5), (' C KI F. C', 4 8 3. 9 3), (' C K 1. C', 3 5. 1 1), (' C K 2. C', 3 1. 3 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 2 5), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 6), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

5 1 1 2 3 2 1. 3 4 9

7 0 6 1 7 8 9. 3 3 6

R el Err

- 0. 2 %

- 0. 8 %

R MSE

6 8 5 6 9 8 3. 9 2 7

8 0 7 6 6 9 1. 9 5 7

0. 6 2 8

0. 6 5 9

N S _l o g

0. 5 0 7

0. 5 1

N S _r el

0. 4 9 6

0. 5 2 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A170

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A171

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A172

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A173

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

5. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A174

5. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 M OT144270

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

33590217

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 6. 6 4), (' S M m a x. C', 3 8 2. 5 3), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 4 8 0 8. 5 5), (' C KI F. C', 4 8 0. 5 3), (' C K 1. C', 3 3. 4 8), (' C K 2. C', 3 3. 1 1), (' TI F. C', 0. 0 1), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 3), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 5 8 7 3 5 1. 8 8 6

1 3 0 5 0 7 0 3. 5 1 3

R el Err

- 1. 5 %

- 9. 6 %

R MSE

3 2 9 7 4 7 6. 3 3 8

1 5 0 6 4 3 3 8. 0 8 2

0. 6 5 1

0. 5 9 5

N S _l o g

0. 4 5 2

0. 3 8 9

N S _r el

- 2. 2 1 6

- 1. 1 4 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A175

5. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A176

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A177

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A178

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

6. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A179

6. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 V EL145100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

96801128

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 7 3), (' S M m a x. C', 5 1 9. 6 8), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3), (' C K B F. C', 1 7 4 4. 6 8), (' C KI F. C', 6 3 5. 0), (' C K 1. C', 2 4. 5 7), (' C K 2. C', 2 6. 1 5), (' TI F. C', 0. 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 3 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 3 6)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 2 3 7 2 4 2. 4 7 9

1 1 3 7 7 8 5 5. 9 1 9

R el Err

2. 2 %

- 1. 3 %

R MSE

3 8 6 1 5 9 6. 4 4 8

1 2 4 5 5 8 6 5. 5 5 1

0. 6 7 4

0. 6 6 7

N S _l o g

0. 7 0 3

0. 6 6 9

N S _r el

0. 7 7

- 0. 2 3 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A180

6. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A181

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A182

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

7. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A183

7. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

64739169

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 0. 8 2), (' S M m a x. C', 1 4 9 1. 1 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 5), (' C K B F. C', 1 3 6 1. 8 6), (' C KI F. C', 3 4 6. 3 4), (' C K 1. C', 8. 5 7), (' C K 2. C', 1 7. 5 7), (' TI F. C', 0. 4 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 9), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 5 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 5 0 3 4 2 0. 4 8 4

6 5 5 8 0 8 5. 1 4

R el Err

2. 0 %

0. 4 %

R MSE

4 4 0 5 4 2 6. 5 0 1

7 7 9 8 7 5 5. 6 8 4

0. 7 2 5

0. 6 7 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 6

0. 6 3 3

N S _r el

- 1 2. 0 6 9

- 6. 2 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A184

7. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A185

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 - R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 - R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A186

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

8. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A187

8. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09Z W A148120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

96514800

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 7. 1 1), (' S M m a x. C', 6 0 7. 2 7), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 9 3 4. 5), (' C KI F. C', 1 3 6. 4 1), (' C K 1. C', 2 5. 9 4), (' C K 2. C', 3 4. 8 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 1), (' T O F. C', 0. 5 7), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 8)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

7 5 2 2 1 7 9. 9 4 1

3 5 7 0 1 5 2 3. 4 5

R el Err

6. 7 %

- 8. 5 %

R MSE

9 5 9 2 7 1 0. 1 4 4

4 0 5 7 1 3 7 1. 6 3

0. 5 9 4

0. 4 5 7

N S _l o g

0. 4 7 8

0. 2 8 6

N S _r el

0. 4

- 1. 9 8 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A188

8. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A189

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A190

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A191

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

9. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A192

9. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 D E M136000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

255882000

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 9. 5 8), (' S M m a x. C', 7 5 1. 1 2), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 5), (' C K B F. C', 2 2 0 0. 0), (' C KI F. C', 5 3 1. 8), (' C K 1. C', 2 7. 2 9), (' C K 2. C', 2 4. 2), (' TI F. C', 0. 3), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 2), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 1 2)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 4 2 8 9 6 5 3. 1 1 5

1 1 9 1 4 2 2 7. 8 4 3

R el Err

5. 0 %

- 0. 7 %

R MSE

2 6 7 4 2 4 8 7. 0 4 7

1 7 2 8 9 4 0 3. 2 0 5

0. 6 8 7

0. 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 5

0. 3 8 9

N S _r el

0. 7 5 6

0. 7 3 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A193

9. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A194

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A195

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A196

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 1 2 R es ults of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n of N A M p ar a m et ers f or c at c h m e nt " V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 " ( N E T E)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

A 197

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 ( N et e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (to ta l Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A198

1. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V10 G N E076999

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

359885327

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 0. 7 1), (' S M m a x. C', 4 1 4. 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2), (' C K B F. C', 1 5 2 5. 8 4), (' C KI F. C', 2 3 2. 1 6), (' C K 1. C', 4 2. 3 7), (' C K 2. C', 3 8. 8), (' TI F. C', 0. 7), (' T O F. C', 0. 0 8), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 4 8 1 5 8 9 4. 1 0 9

1 3 8 4 5 4 4 7 4. 9 4 2

R el Err

- 2. 9 %

- 7. 4 %

R MSE

3 1 1 3 4 4 0 2. 6 1 7

1 5 0 5 9 5 3 7 0. 3 3 6

0. 7 0 9

0. 7 0 1

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 2

0. 5 7 4

N S _r el

0. 7 2 8

0. 6 5 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A199

1. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A200

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A201

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0" ( N E T E)

2. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 ( N et e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A202

2. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V10 K N E052000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

584669408

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 5. 0 3), (' S M m a x. C', 2 4 5. 3 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 3 8), (' C K B F. C', 1 3 2 1. 5 3), (' C KI F. C', 2 7 1. 7 1), (' C K 1. C', 4 0. 2 5), (' C K 2. C', 4 0. 6 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 2), (' T O F. C', 0. 2 4), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 0 8 2 8 9 7 2. 5 4 9

7 7 2 8 0 0 3 1. 5 8 7

R el Err

- 0. 6 %

- 2. 4 %

R MSE

2 5 6 0 6 1 9 0. 4 5 7

8 3 3 8 8 5 4 8. 7 0 9

0. 7 9 9

0. 8 2 1

N S _l o g

0. 8 0 8

0. 7 9 2

N S _r el

0. 8 2 4

0. 8 3 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A203

2. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A204

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A205

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0" ( N E T E)

3. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ( N et e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A206

3. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V10 M O P062140

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

77319091

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 3. 7), (' S M m a x. C', 8 7 2. 8 1), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 1), (' C K B F. C', 1 1 4 9. 2 2), (' C KI F. C', 4 7 1. 7 6), (' C K 1. C', 2 3. 0 7), (' C K 2. C', 3 2. 5 9), (' TI F. C', 0. 6 1), (' T O F. C', 0. 5 3), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 5 5)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

3 2 9 3 1 7 8. 7 7 9

2 7 5 2 7 0 2 8. 3 5 9

R el Err

- 0. 5 %

1 2. 2 %

R MSE

4 3 2 6 7 9 7. 6 7 7

2 8 6 1 3 1 5 5. 9 6 5

0. 5 9 9

0. 6 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 8

0. 6 2 9

N S _r el

- 0. 2 7 4

- 0. 6 6 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A207

3. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A208

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A209

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0" ( N E T E)

4. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 ( N et e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A210

4. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

65701200

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1 0. 1 7), (' S M m a x. C', 1 9 0 3. 0 2), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 5), (' C K B F. C', 1 6 2 2. 5 1), (' C KI F. C', 3 6 7. 8 9), (' C K 1. C', 2 4. 3 2), (' C K 2. C', 2 7. 1 4), (' TI F. C', 0. 7 9), (' T O F. C', 0. 4 6), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 4 3)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

4 2 8 5 4 5 5. 2 0 7

1 3 7 8 9 1 5 1. 0 5 1

R el Err

- 0. 9 %

1 0. 1 %

R MSE

6 4 5 8 7 6 3. 8 2 9

1 5 4 1 8 4 8 2. 7 4 6

0. 5 7 5

0. 5 4 4

N S _l o g

0. 4 7

0. 4 0 4

N S _r el

- 1 1. 3 2

- 7. 2 7 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A211

4. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A212

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A213

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A214

R E S U L T S O F C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N O F NA M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0" ( N E T E)

5. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0 ( N et e)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o a v er a g e r u n off c o effi ci e nt (t otal Q/t ot al P) o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A215

5. 2 S u m m ar y c ali br ati o n m o d el _ str u ct ur e

N A M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V10 GL A086020

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

62621236

st art _ d at e

0 1- 0 1- 1 9 6 7

e n d _ d at e

3 1- 1 2- 2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' U m a x. C', 1. 0), (' S M m a x. C', 2 6 3. 1 5), (' C Q O F. C', 0. 2 1), (' C K B F. C', 1 6 9 4. 6 8), (' C KI F. C', 2 0 1. 2 8), (' C K 1. C', 3 2. 0 7), (' C K 2. C', 2 8. 1 3), (' TI F. C', 0. 0 1), (' T O F. C', 0. 0), (' N A M. T G. C', 0. 0 1)] Fit n e s s c ali br ati o n

Fit n e s s f or all a v ail a bl e p eri o d

A b s Err

2 7 3 7 3 3 8. 5 3 2

5 0 5 0 4 1 0 0. 8

R el Err

- 0. 7 %

- 1 8. 4 %

R MSE

3 8 3 4 0 5 1. 2 8

5 3 3 3 8 3 8 8. 8 6 3

0. 7 0 9

0. 5 7 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 8 6

0. 2 7 8

N S _r el

0. 7 5 6

- 3. 7 1 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A216

5. 3 O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d 1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A217

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A218

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A219

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 1 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – N A M

A p p e n di x 1 3

A 220

C o m p aris o n N A M 2 0 1 0 -2 0 1 6

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -1

Fi n al v ersi o n

V01 H A N488180

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A221

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

V01KE M492060

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A222

V01 M A R496120

V01P OP491030

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A223

V 0 1SS V 4 9 9 1 4 0

V02E DE442120

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A224

V02 HE R426010

V02KE R422030

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A225

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

V03P OE446000

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A226

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

V04 M O M037100

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A227

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

V05 HE U403210

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A228

V05 M A N401230

F06 B OS325999

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A229

V06 M A A347160

V06Z W A342190

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A230

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A231

V07 M A R289015

V07 M OE282100

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A232

V07 M O G288020

W 0 7 D E NL ES 9 9 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A233

V08B A R111370

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A234

V08Z U U233100

W 0 8S A M R O N 00 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A235

W 0 8S E NL 5 6 0 1 0

W 0 8SE NT U B 03 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A236

V09 DE M136000

V09 GET152080

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A237

V09 HE R163010

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A238

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

V09 M A N161040

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A239

V09 M OT144270

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A240

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

V09Z W A148120

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A241

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

V10 G NE076999

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A242

V10 K NE052000

V10 M OP062140

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A243

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 1

A244

D E P A R T E M E N T M O BI LI T EI T & O P E N B A R E W E R K E N W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m B er c h e ml ei 11 5, 21 4 0 A nt w er p e n T + 3 2 ( 0) 3 2 2 4 6 0 3 5 F + 3 2 ( 0) 3 2 2 4 6 0 3 6 w at er b o u w k u n di gl a b o @ vl a a n d er e n. b e w w w. w a t e r b o u w k u n di gl a b o r a t o ri u m. b e