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0 0_1 6 2_ 4- 4 F H R r e p ort s

M o d elli n g w a t e r a v ail a bili t y a n d w a t e r all o c a ti o n s t r a t e gi es i n t h e S c h el d t b asi n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

w w w. ﬂ a n d ers h y dr a uli c sr e s e ar c h. b e

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Dri di, K.; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F.

C o v er fi g ur e © T h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s, D e p art m e nt of M o bilit y a n d P u bli c W or ks, Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h L e g al n oti c e Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h i s of t h e o pi ni o n t h at t h e i nf or m ati o n a n d p ositi o ns i n t his r e p ort ar e s u bst a nti at e d b y t h e a v ail a bl e d at a a n d k n o wl e d g e at t h e ti m e of writi n g. T h e p ositi o ns t a k e n i n t hi s r e p ort ar e t h os e of Fl a n d er s H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h a n d d o n ot r efl e ct n e c ess aril y t h e o pi ni o n of t h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s or a n y of its i nstit uti o ns. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h n or a n y p ers o n or c o m p a n y a cti n g o n b e h alf of Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h is r es p o nsi bl e f or a n y l oss or d a m a g e arisi n g fr o m t h e us e of t h e i nf or m ati o n i n t his r e p ort. C o p yri g ht a n d cit ati o n © T h e G o v er n m e nt of Fl a n d er s, D e p art m e nt of M o bilit y a n d P u bli c W or ks, Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h 2 0 2 1 D/ 2 0 2 1/ 3 2 4 1/ 1 3 5 T his p u bli c ati o n s h o ul d b e cit e d a s f oll o ws: Dri di, K.; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.; P er eir a, F.; N os s e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n: S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M. V ersi o n 2. 0. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p, B el gi u m R e pr o d u cti o n of a n d r ef er e n c e t o t his p u bli c ati o n is a ut h oris e d pr o vi d e d t h e s o ur c e is a c k n o wl e d g e d c orr e ctl y. D o c u m e nt i d e ntifi c ati o n C ust o m er: K e y w or ds ( 3- 5): K n o wl e d g e d o m ai ns: T e xt ( p.): C o nfi d e nti alit y:

Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h H y dr ol o g y, S c h el dt, c ali br ati o n, N A M W at er m a n a g e m e nt > H y dr ol o g y > C o n c e pt u al 85 No A v ail a bl e

A ut h or(s):

N ar a nj o, P.; M ar o y, E.; V el ez, C.

R ef.:

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

M o d els > N u m eri c al m o d elli n g A p p e n di c es ( p.): 326 o nli n e

C o ntr ol Na me R e vis er(s):

Pr oj e ct l e a d er:

Si g n at ur e N oss e nt, J.;

P er eir a, F.

G et e k e n d d o or: Jiri N o s s e nt ( Si g n at ur e) G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 8 1 0: 3 0: 0 5 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

G et e k e n d d o or: F er n a n d o P er eir a ( Si g n at G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 2 1 3: 3 9: 1 8 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

A p pr o v al H e a d of Di visi o n:

F- W L- P P 1 0- 2 V ersi o n 7 V ali d as fr o m 3/ 0 1/ 2 0 1 7

M ost a ert, F.

G et e k e n d d o or: Fr a n k M o st a ert ( Si g n at ur e G et e k e n d o p: 2 0 2 1- 0 7- 0 2 1 3: 1 1: 0 1 + 0 2: 0 R e d e n:I k k e ur dit d o c u m e nt g o e d

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A bstr a ct T h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt a n d M e us e b asi ns will b e us e d i n or d er t o p erf or m l o w fl o w f or e c asts a n d c al c ul at e cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. Wit hi n t h e c urr e nt s u bt as k is i n v esti g at e d w hi c h is t h e m ost a p pr o pri at e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e s u b c at ch m e nts of t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n i n or d er t o m e et t his pr er e q uisit e. T his s u b r e p ort d es cri b es t h e c ali br ati o n a n d e v al u ati o n of t h e V H M m o d el, a l u m p e d c o n c e pt u al m o d el f or c o nti n u o us r ai nf all -r u n off si m ul ati o n ( Will e ms P., 2 0 1 4) d ev el o p e d b y t h e H y dr a uli cs Di visi o n i n K U L e u v e n i n B el gi u m. T h e o pti miz ati o n d uri n g c ali br ati o n is p erf or m e d b as e d o n a n a ut o m ati c pr o c e d ur e, f oll o w e d b y a vis u al c o ntr ol. D uri n g t h e o pti miz ati o n r o uti n e t h e p ar a m et er s ets ar e s el e ct e d b as e d o n 2 crit eri a: ( 1) a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al f l o w at e a c h ti m e st e p, a n d ( 2) l o g arit h mi c N as h-S ut cliff effi ci e n c y. T h e first crit eri o n ai ms t o m o d el t h e gl o b al fl o w p att er n, t h e l att er f o c us es m ai nl y o n t h e l o w fl o ws. O v er all, t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e c ali br at e d V H M m o d els is si mil ar c o m p ar e d t o t h e ot h er l u m p e d r ai nf all r u n off m o d els alr e a d y c ali br at e d: P D M, N A M a n d W E T S P A. T h e s u m m ariz e d r es ults f or e a c h of t h e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e st u d y ar e a, all o w t h e us er t o g et i nsi g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e V H M m o d el f or e a c h of t h e i n v ol v e d s u b c atc h m e nts . B as e d o n t his i nf or m ati o n a n d t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e N A M, P D M a n d W E T S P A m o d els, t h e us er c a n m a k e a w ell -gr o u n d e d d e cisi o n o n w hi c h m o d el t o us e f or t h e c o nsi d er e d o bj e cti v e.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

III

F- W L -P P 1 0 -2 V ersi o n 7 V ali d as fr o m 3/ 0 1/ 2 0 1 7

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C o nt e nts A bstr a ct ............................................................................................................................................................ III C o nt e nts ............................................................................................................................................................ V List of t a bl es .................................................................................................................................................... VIII List of fi g ur es .................................................................................................................................................... I X 1

I ntr o d u cti o n............................................................................................................................................... 1 1. 1

O bj e cti v es ............................................................................................................................................ 1

1. 2

Str u ct ur e of t h e r e p ort ........................................................................................................................ 1

C at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 2 2. 1

G e n er al ................................................................................................................................................ 2

2. 2

G a u g e d c at c h m e nts ............................................................................................................................ 4

2. 3

U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ........................................................................................................................ 5

I n p ut d at a pr e pr o c essi n g........................................................................................................................... 6 3. 1

T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d ................................................................................................................... 6

3. 2

Pr e ci pit ati o n ........................................................................................................................................ 6

3. 3

E v a p otr a ns pir ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 7

R ai nf all -r u n off m o d elli n g m et h o d ol o g y .................................................................................................... 8 4. 1

Str u ct ur e of t h e V H M h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el .......................................................................................... 8

4. 2

V H M p ar a m et ers d es cri pti o n .............................................................................................................. 9

C ali br ati o n str at e g y ................................................................................................................................. 1 0 5. 1

O pti miz ati o n al g orit h m ..................................................................................................................... 1 0

5. 2

O bj e cti v e f u n cti o n ............................................................................................................................. 1 0

5. 4

I m pl e m e nt ati o n i n P yt h o n ................................................................................................................ 1 3

V H M m o d el c ali br ati o n ............................................................................................................................ 1 4 6.1

M o d el c o nfi g ur ati o n ......................................................................................................................... 1 4

6. 2

M o d el e v al u ati o n .............................................................................................................................. 1 4

6. 3

IJz er b asi n .......................................................................................................................................... 1 5

6. 3. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 1 5

6. 3. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 1 6

6. 4

Br u gs e P ol d ers .................................................................................................................................. 2 2

6. 4. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 2 2

6. 4. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 2 2

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 5

G e nts e K a n al e n ................................................................................................................................. 2 8

6. 5. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 2 8

6. 5. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 2 8

6. 6

B e n e d e ns c h el d e ................................................................................................................................ 3 2

6. 6. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 3 2

6. 6. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 3 2

6. 7

L ei e .................................................................................................................................................... 3 8

6. 7. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 3 8

6. 7. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c es ................................................................................................................. 3 9

6. 8

B o v e ns c h el d e .................................................................................................................................... 4 4

6. 8. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 4 4

6. 8. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 4 4

6. 9

D e n d er b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................... 5 0

6. 9. 1

C o nt e xt ....................................................................................................................................... 5 0

6. 9. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ................................................................................................................... 5 0

6. 1 0

Dijl e a n d Z e n n e .............................................................................................................................. 5 6

6. 1 0. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 5 6

6. 1 0. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 5 6

6. 1 1

D e m er b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................ 6 2

6. 1 1. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 6 2

6. 1 1. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 6 3

6. 1 2

N et e b e k k e n ................................................................................................................................... 7 0

6. 1 2. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 7 0

6. 1 2. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 7 0

6. 1 3

M a as b e k k e n .................................................................................................................................. 7 6

6. 1 3. 1

C o nt e xt ................................................................................................................................... 7 6

6. 1 3. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e ............................................................................................................... 7 7

S u m m ar y .................................................................................................................................................. 8 2

C o n cl usi o ns a n d r e c o m m e n d ati o ns ........................................................................................................ 8 3

R ef er e n c es ............................................................................................................................................... 8 4

A p p e n di x 1

List of o pti miz e d p ar a m et ers f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ........................................................... A 1

A p p e n di x 2

List of tr a nsf err e d p ar a m et ers f or u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ..................................................... A 3

A p p e n di x 3

Ijz er....................................................................................................................................... A1 9

A p p e n di x 4

Br u gs e P ol d ers ...................................................................................................................... A5 7

A p p e n di x 5

G e nts e K a n al e n .................................................................................................................... A7 9

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 6

B e n e d e ns c h el d e ................................................................................................................... A8 6

A p p e n di x 7

L ei e ....................................................................................................................................... A9 7

A p p e n di x 8

B o v e ns c h el d e ..................................................................................................................... A1 1 3

A p p e n di x 9

D e n d er ................................................................................................................................ A1 3 4

A p p e n di x 1 0

Dijl e a n d Z e n n e ................................................................................................................... A1 6 3

A p p e n di x 1 1

D e m er ................................................................................................................................. A1 9 5

A p p e n di x 1 2

N et e .................................................................................................................................... A2 5 1

A p p e n di x 1 3

M e us e ................................................................................................................................. A2 7 9

A p p e n di x 1 4

G e o gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w c ali br ati o n .................................................................................... A3 2 3

A p p e n di x

Fi n al v ersi o n

1 5 G e o gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w v ali d ati o n .................................................................................... A3 2 5

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

VII

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

List of t a bl es T a bl e 1 – List of g a u gi n g st ati o ns o n t h e S c h el dt a n d its tri b ut ari es f or c ali br ati o n of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els ... 4 T a bl e 2 – C at c h m e nts c ali br at e d j oi ntl y b as e d o n o n e g a u gi n g st ati o n ............................................................ 5 T a bl e 3 – N u m b er of r ai n g a u g es p er h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n ................................................................................ 6 T a bl e 4: V H M p ar a m et ers a n d o pti miz ati o n b o u n d ari e s ................................................................................ 1 3 T a bl e 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n ................................ 1 7 T a bl e 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ul ts f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n .................................. 1 7 T a bl e 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers ............................. 2 3 T a bl e 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers ............................... 2 3 T a bl e 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n ............................ 2 9 T a bl e 1 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n ........................... 2 9 T a bl e 1 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n ............... 3 3 T a bl e 1 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n ................. 3 3 T a bl e 1 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n ................................... 3 9 T a bl e 1 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n ..................................... 3 9 T a bl e 1 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n .................... 4 5 T a bl e 1 6 – O v e r vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n ..................... 4 5 T a bl e 1 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n .............................. 5 1 T a bl e 1 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n ............................... 5 1 T a bl e 1 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns ............... 5 7 T a bl e 2 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns ................. 5 7 T a bl e 2 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n ............................... 6 5 T a bl e 2 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n ................................ 6 5 T a bl e 2 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n .................................. 7 1 T a bl e 2 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n ................................... 7 1 T a bl e 2 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e M e us e b asi n ............................... 7 7 T a bl e 2 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e M e us e b asi n ................................ 7 7

VIII

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

L ist of fi g ur es Fi g ur e 1 – M a p of g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e S c h el dt b asi n, M e us e, t h e Br u gs e p ol d ers a n d t h e IJz er.................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Fi g ur e 2 – Str u ct ur e of t h e V H M m o d el ( Will e ms, P., 2 0 1 4) ............................................................................. 8 Fi g ur e 3 – All e v al u at e d c a n di d at es (i n di vi d u als) a n d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt) ................ 1 1 Fi g ur e 4 – R es c al e d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt) .................................................................... 1 2 Fi g ur e 5 – C at c h m e nts a n d fl o w m et eri n g st ati o n o n t h e IJz er b asi n ............................................................. 1 6 Fi g ur e 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................ 1 8 Fi g ur e 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................ 1 8 F i g ur e 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k .......................................... 1 9 Fi g ur e 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e 1 9 9 6-2 0 0 8) ..................................................................................... 1 9 Fi g ur e 1 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( 1 9 9 6-2 0 0 8) .................................................................................... 2 0 Fi g ur e 1 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................ 2 0 Fi g ur e 1 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................ 2 1 Fi g ur e 1 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g tr a nsiti o n e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ............................................................................... 2 1 Fi g ur e 1 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers .................... 2 2 Fi g ur e 1 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ..................................................................................................... 2 4 Fi g ur e 1 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) .................................................................................................... 2 4 Fi g ur e 1 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M al d e g e m .......................................................... 2 5 Fi g ur e 1 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d s i m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 2 6 Fi g ur e 1 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3 ) ......................................................................... 2 6 Fi g ur e 2 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p ................................ 2 7 Fi g ur e 2 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt ............................ 2 8

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 2 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( 1 9 9 3 -2 0 1 0) ....................................................................................... 2 9 Fi g ur e 2 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( 1 9 9 3 -2 0 1 0) ...................................................................................... 3 0 Fi g ur e 2 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ............................................................. 3 0 Fi g ur e 2 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ............................................................. 3 1 Fi g ur e 2 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c tr a nsiti o n e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ............................................................. 3 1 Fi g ur e 2 7 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt .......................... 3 2 Fi g ur e 2 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 3 4 Fi g ur e 2 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 3 4 Fi g ur e 3 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ............................. 3 5 Fi g ur e 3 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez e l e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)............................................................................... 3 6 Fi g ur e 3 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ................................................................. 3 6 Fi g ur e 3 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ................................... 3 7 Fi g ur e 3 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt ............................................... 3 8 Fi g ur e 3 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 4 0 Fi g ur e 3 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................................................................. 4 0 Fi g ur e 3 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, M e n e n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ...................................... 4 1 Fi g ur e 3 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................... 4 2 Fi g ur e 3 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................... 4 2 Fi g ur e 4 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ................................................. 4 3 Fi g ur e 4 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt ............................... 4 4 Fi g ur e 4 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c a t c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 99 9, st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3) .................................................. 4 6 Fi g ur e 4 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3) .................................................. 4 6

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 4 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit ........................................ 4 7 Fi g ur e 4 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c a li br ati o n p eri od 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................... 4 8 Fi g ur e 4 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................... 4 8 Fi g ur e 4 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d ur i n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c a li br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 12 0 1 3) ................................................................................................................................................................ 4 9 Fi g ur e 4 8 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt .......................................... 5 0 Fi g ur e 4 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d ) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................................ 5 2 Fi g ur e 5 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ....................................................................................... 5 2 Fi g ur e 5 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 , st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e ............................................... 5 3 Fi g ur e 5 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9) ...................................................................... 5 4 Fi g ur e 5 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9) ....................................................................... 5 4 Fi g ur e 5 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n .............................................. 5 5 Fi g ur e 5 5 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e c at c h m e nt ............................ 5 6 Fi g ur e 5 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s ] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) ( 2 0 0 1-2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 5 8 Fi g ur e 5 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , stati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) ( 2 0 0 1-2 0 1 3) ......................................................................... 5 8 Fi g ur e 5 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) ............................... 5 9 Fi g ur e 5 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ........................................................................................... 6 0 Fi g ur e 6 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3) ........................................................................................... 6 0 Fi g ur e 6 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es ................................................ 6 1 Fi g ur e 6 2 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e m er c at c h m e nt ........................................... 6 3 Fi g ur e 6 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Vel p; R a ns b er g ( 1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 3) ......................................................................................................... 6 6 Fi g ur e 6 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b e r g ( 1 9 9 7-2 0 1 3) ......................................................................................................... 6 6 Fi g ur e 6 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g ................................................................ 6 7

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 1 3) ........................................................................... 6 7 Fi g ur e 6 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ................................................... 6 8 Fi g ur e 6 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h a r g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al .................. 6 9 Fi g ur e 6 9 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e N et e b a si n .............................................................. 7 0 Fi g ur e 7 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................ 7 2 Fi g ur e 7 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................ 7 2 Fi g ur e 7 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts .............................................................................................................................................................. 7 3 Fi g ur e 7 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e n t V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( 2 0 0 3 -2 0 1 5) ........................................................................................... 7 4 Fi g ur e 7 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k , P ull e ( 2 0 0 3-2 0 1 5) ........................................................................................... 7 4 Fi g ur e 7 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, s t ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ul l e ................................................ 7 5 Fi g ur e 7 6 – S u b c at c h m e nt s a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e M e us e b asi n ........................................................... 7 6 Fi g ur e 7 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ....................................................................................................... 7 8 Fi g ur e 7 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) .......................................................................................... 7 8 Fi g ur e 7 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h a r g e [ m 3/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis .............................................................. 7 9 Fi g ur e 8 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3) ............................................................................................................. 8 0 Fi g ur e 8 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d) ................................................................................................. 8 0 Fi g ur e 8 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ...................................................................... 8 1

XII

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

I ntr o d u cti o n

1. 1

O bj e cti v es

1. 2

Str u ct ur e of t h e r e p ort

I n a first s e cti o n, t h e a d dr ess e d c at c h m e nts ar e d efi n e d a n d r eli a bl e g a u gi n g st ati o ns s el e ct e d ( S e cti o n 2 ). S e c o n d, r ai nf all a n d e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ar e t h e n i nt er p ol at e d f or t h e s el e ct e d c a t c h m e nts, a c c or di n g t o t h e T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d ( S e cti o n 3 ). T h e g e n er al str u ct ur e a n d p ar a m et ers of t h e V H M m o d el ar e o utli n e d i n S e cti o n 4 w hil e t h e c ali br ati o n str at e g y a n d b asi c l o gi c b e hi n d t h e a ut o m at e d c ali br ati o n al g orit h m ar e e x pl ai n e d i n S e cti o n 5 . O n c e all V H M m o d els f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d, fl o w is si m ul at e d f or 4 7 y e ars ( 1 9 6 7 2 0 1 3). U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts ar e si m ul at e d usi n g p ar a m et ers of a n e ar b y c at c h m e nt wit h si mil ar c h ar a ct eristi cs. R es ults ar e s y nt h etiz e d i n S e cti o n 6 a n d d et ail e d i n t h e a p p e n di c es . S e cti o n 7 pr es e nts c o n cl usi o ns of t h e c ali br ati o n a n d s o m e r e c o m m e n d ati o ns t o c o nsi d er w h e n usi n g t h e c ali br at e d V H M m o d els i n t h e n e xt st e ps of t h e pr oj e ct.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n

2. 1

G e n er al

T h e i n p uts of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el ar e dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es at t h e u p p er b o u n d ari es a n d e ntri es of tri b ut ari es i n t h e m o d ell e d w at er n et w or k. T his r ai nf all r u n off dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d b y m e a ns of o n e of t h e a b o v e m e nti o n e d h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els ( N A M, P D M, V H M, W ets p a) . A p art fr o m t h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt as s u c h, t h e IJz er b asi n a n d t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u g s e P ol d ers ar e als o i n cl u d e d i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el a n d t h er ef or e als o i n cl u d e d t o t his st u d y. T h e m a p o n Fi g ur e 1 s h o ws t h e m ai n ri v er b asi ns i n cl u d e d i n t h e w ater all o c ati o n m o d el. I n t his r e p ort, r es ults will b e str u ct ur e d g e o gr a p hi c all y p er b asi n. T h e d e v el o p m e nt of h y dr ol o gi c al V H M m o d els f or t h e M e us e b asi n, w hi c h is als o i n cl u d e d i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el, is s u bj e ct t o a disti n ct r e p ort ( M ar o y et al., 20 2 1 ). D eli n e at e d h y dr ol o gi c al s u b c at c h m e nts f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el w er e c oll e ct e d i n 2 0 1 0 b as ed o n p ast m o d elli n g st u di es ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1) a n d u p d at e d wit h i n t h e fr a m e w or k of t h e pr es e nt st u d y. Fi g ur e 1 s h o ws a n o v er vi e w of t h e d eli n e at e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. F or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts , w h er e a tim e s eri es of m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e is a v ail a bl e, t h e V H M m o d el s ar e c ali br at e d . S o m e of t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el ar e s u b di vi d e d i n diff er e nt s u b c at c h m e nts t o distri b ut e t h e i nfl o w o v er t h e m o d ell e d ri v er str et c h es. E a c h of t h es e s u b c at c h m e nts i n h erits t h e p ar a m et ers of t h e m ai n g a u g e d c at c h m e nt. A n e x a m pl e of t his is t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t h e m e as uri n g st ati o n t h e M e n e n, w hi c h is s u b di vi d e d i nt o 2 7 s u b c at c h m e nts. T h e c at c h m e nt its elf is c ali br at e d o n t h e dis c h ar g e ti m es eri es of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n t h e M e n e n. Wit hi n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el t h e r ai nf all r u n off of e a c h of t h es e 2 7 s u b c at c h m e nts is c al c ul at e d b as e d o n its p arti c ul ar i nt er p ol at e d r ai nf all - a n d e v a p o r ati o n s eri es a n d li n k e d i n di vi d u all y t o t h e a p pr o pri at e m o d ell e d w at er c o urs e. F or m or e d et ail a b o ut t h e c h oi c es a n d m et h o d ol o g y of c at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n, pl e as e s e e D e B o e c k et al. ( 2 0 1 1) 1 . Un g a u g e d m o d els i n h erit V H M p ar a m et ers fr o m si mil ar n ei g h b ori n g c at c h m e nts. All c at c h m e nts of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el r e c ei v e d a u ni q u e i nf or m ati v e c o d e, as d efi n e d i n t h e pr e vi o us p h as e of t h e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1). E a c h c o d e c o nsists of 1 2 c h ar a ct ers, r el ati v e t o t h e c at c h m e nt l o c ati o n, m ai n w at er c o urs e a n d g a u gi n g st ati o n: • • • • •

C h ar a ct er 1 : r e gi o n w h er e t h e c at c h m e nt is l o c at e d ( V: Fl a n d ers; W: W all o ni a; N: N et h erl a n ds; F: Fr a n c e) C h ar a ct ers 2 a n d 3 : n u m b er of t h e Fl e mis h h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n t o w hi c h t h e c at c h m e nt b el o n g s. C h ar a ct ers 4, 5 a n d 6 : i niti als of t h e m ai n w at er c o urs e C h ar a ct ers 7, 8 a n d 9 : first t hr e e di gits of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n c o d e ( or 3 l ett er i niti als) f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts, a n d “ 0 0 0 ” f or u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts. C h ar a ct ers 1 0, 1 1 a n d 1 2 : t hr e e di git-s uffi x t h at e ns ur e c at c h m e nt c o d e diff er e ntiati o n.

W L 2 0 1 1 R 7 2 4 _ 0 4 c _r e v 2 _ 1 _ D O 3. d o c 2

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 1 – M a p of g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nt s of t h e S c h el dt b asi n, M e us e, t h e Br u gs e p ol d ers a n d t h e IJz er. Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

2. 2

G a u g e d c at c h m e nts

T a bl e 1 lists t h e g a u g e d st ati o n s us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e r ai nf all -r u n off m o d els. C at c h m e nts t h at w er e c ali br at e d j oi ntl y ar e list e d i n T a bl e 2 . T a bl e 1 – List of g a u gi n g st ati o ns o n t h e S c h el dt a n d it s tri b ut ari es f or c ali br ati o n of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els G a u gi n g st ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

C at c h m e nt I D

Ar e a ( k m²)

G a u g e d y e ar s

4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k

V01 H A N488180

7 8, 6

1 9 9 4 -2 0 1 6

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 9 9 9

3 9 3, 0

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

6 3, 4

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 4

4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e

V01KE M492060

7 3, 9

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 5

4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m

V01 M AR496120

7 6, 1

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2 - P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n

V01P OP491030

8 4, 9

1 9 8 4 -2 0 1 6

4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

V 0 1SS V4 9 9 14 0

1 6, 1

1 9 9 0 -2 0 0 9

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – E d e; M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5, 5

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HE R426010

7 7, 3

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 – K er k e b e e k ; Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2, 7

1 9 8 3 -2 0 0 8

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 4, 0

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

1 0 6, 8

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 0

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k ; Li ez el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2, 6

1 9 6 6 -2 0 1 6

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k ; M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7, 3

1 9 6 6 -2 0 1 6

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e; M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1, 8

1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 6

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1, 9

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr o z e b e k e

V05 M A N401230

2 5 8, 4

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 59 9 9

5 2 1 7, 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 4

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

4 8, 7

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

1 1 2, 1

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 6

L 5 4 1 2 – R h os n es ; A m o u gi es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

1 6 1, 9

2 0 1 2 -2 0 1 6

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 – B ell e b e e k ; Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

8 8, 7

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 – M ar k; Vi a n e

V07 M AR289015

1 7 3, 9

1 9 7 6 -2 0 1 6

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6, 4

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

2 3, 1

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 4

2 7 0 8 -1 0 5 0 D e n dr e; L essi n es

W 0 7 D E NL E S 9 9 9

5 1 1, 8

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k ; El e wijt

V08B AR111370

6 9, 9

1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 4

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 – Dijl e ; Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 8 6, 9

1 9 7 4 -2 0 1 4

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 – Z u u n b e e k ; St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 6

2 3 7 1 -1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e ; R o n q ui er es

W 0 8S A M R O N0 0 0

1 3 3, 6

1 9 8 9 -2 0 1 6

L 5 6 7 0 – S e n ett e ; R o n q ui er es

W 0 8 S E NL 5 6 0 1 0

7 0, 4

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 6

1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e ; T u biz e

W 0 8SE NT U B0 3 0

2 1 5, 9

1 9 7 5 -2 0 1 6

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 – D e m er ; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5, 1

1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 6

1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0, 4

1 9 6 9 -2 0 1 3

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 – H e r k; K er mt

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4, 6

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 6

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0, 1

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M G a u gi n g st ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

C at c h m e nt I D

Ar e a ( k m²)

G a u g e d y e ar s

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L OS 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5, 2

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

V09 M A N161040

1 0 2, 9

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 1

1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

V09 M O T144270

3 3, 6

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 0

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6, 8

1 9 6 9 -2 0 1 6

1 4 1 1 0 1 0 2 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4, 7

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 6

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

V09Z W A148120

9 6, 2

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k ; V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2, 6

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 4

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e N et e ; G e el-Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

2 4 3, 5

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10K NE052000

5 8 4, 7

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 6

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M ol e n b e e k ; P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 4

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi m p; Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 4

1 9 8 9 -2 0 0 7

T a bl e 2 – C at c h m e nts c ali br at e d j oi ntl y b as e d o n o n e g a u gi n g st ati o n

St ati o n ( c o d e - w at er c o ur s e; l o c ati o n)

J oi nt c o d e

C at c h m e nts

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - IJz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 F01YSE4680 00

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e, Menen

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 0 0 1

F05 BEC386023

F05 DE U386090

V 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 1 8 0

F05 BEC386025

F05 DE U386110

F 0 5 L OI 3 8 6 0 3 5

F05 B O U386005 F05 DE U386120

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 0 0

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 1 7

F05 DE U386130

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 0

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 2 0

F05 DE U386140

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 5

F05 DE U386040 F05 DE U386150

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 1 5

F05 DE U386050 F05 DE U386160

F05 M AR386070

F 0 5 D E U 3 8 6 0 6 0 F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 1 8 F 0 5 M A R 3 8 6 1 0 0 F 0 5 D E U 3 8 6 0 8 0 F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 3 0 W 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 7 0 32580122 B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F06 B OS325001:

F06 B OS325000 F06E R C325030

W 06 B OS 3250 95

F06 B OS325 015 F06 H O G 3250 70 W 06 B OS 3251 05 F06 B OS325 016 F06 R H O 3 2506 0 W 06 B OS 3251 15 F 0 6 B OS 3 2 5 0 1 7 F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 0

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 0

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 5 0 1 8 F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 5

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 5

F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 1 9 F 0 6S EL 3 2 5 0 4 0

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 9 0

F 0 6E C A 3 2 5 0 5 0 F 0 6SE N 3 2 5 0 1 0

2. 3

U n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts

T h e V H M p ar a m et ers f or t h e u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e m o d ell e d ar e a, ar e i n h erit e d fr o m n ei g h b ori n g g a u g e d c at c h m e nts. T h e li n k b et w e e n t h e u n g a u g e d a n d t h e c orr es p o n di n g g a u g e d c at c h m e nt is m a d e b as e d o n t h e c at c h m e nt c h ar a ct eristi cs (s oil, sl o p e, c o n c e ntr ati o n ti m e, l a n d us e).

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

I n p ut d at a pr e pr o c essi n g

3. 1

T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d

I nt er p ol at e d pr e ci pit ati o n w as pr o d u c e d f or e a c h c at c h m e nt a c c or di n g t o t h e T hi ess e n p ol y g o n m et h o d, usi n g H y dr @ (I M D C, 2 0 1 0). R ai nf all a n d e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ar e i nt er p ol at e d usi n g w ei g hts i n v ers el y pr o p orti o n al t o t h e dist a n c e t o t h e w e at h er st ati o n, usi n g m e as ur e m e nts a v ail a bl e f or e a c h ti m e st e p. B e c a us e of t h e l ar g e s c al e a n d t h e l o n g t er m n at ur e of ti m e s eri es us e d i n t his st u d y, a d ail y ti m e st e p is us e d. F or c o nsist e n c y r e as o ns, c ali br ati o n is als o b as e d o n d ail y ti m e s eri es. B ot h m et e or ol o gi c al a n d dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es ar e t h us s a m pl e d at a d ail y ti m e st e p.

3. 2

Pr e ci pit ati o n

T hi ess e n pr e ci pit ati o n n e e d e d t o b e c al c ul at e d f or all d eli n e at e d s u b c at c h m e nts ( S e cti o n 2 ). S o ur c e d at a c o nsist s h er e b y of r ai nf all m e as ur e m e nts fr o m 1 9 6 7 t o 2 0 1 3, s pr e a d o v er t h e e ntir e m o d el ar e a a n d ar o u n d. T h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt e xt e n ds o v er Fr a n c e, Fl a n d ers, W all o ni a a n d t h e N et h erl a n ds. Pr e ci pit ati o n d at a w as t h us g at h ere d fr o m i nst a n c es i n B el gi u m, N et h erl a n ds a n d Fr a n c e. F or B el gi u m, pr e ci pit ati o n d at a w as g at h er e d fr o m K MI ( T h e R o y al M et e or ol o gi c al i nstit ut e) a n d S P W ( P u bli c S er vi c es of W all o ni a). F or Fr a n c e, d at a w as g at h er e d fr o m M ét é o Fr a n c e. Cr oss es o n Fi g ur e 1 s h o w us e d r ai nf all m et eri n g st ati o ns o n a n d ar o u n d t h e S c h el dt b asi n ( M ét é o Fr a n c e a n d K MI). Si n c e t h e pr e vi o us N A M c ali br ati o n st u d y i n Fl a n d ers ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1), r eli a bilit y of t h e r ai nf all i nt er p ol ati o n w as gr e atl y i n cr e as e d f or t h e Fr e n c h L ei e a n d B o v e ns c h el d e ( dis c uss e d i n Mi c hi els e n et al., 2 0 2 1) . D u e t o a d diti o n al d at a fr o m t h e Fr e n c h w e at h er st ati o ns, t h e a m o u nt of r ai n g a u g es f or t h e t h e B o v e ns c h el d e a n d L ei e (i n cl u di n g t h e Fr e n c h p art) i n cr e as es t o 4 6 r ai n g a u g es a n d 3 0 r es p e cti v el y (T a bl e 3 ).

T a bl e 3 – N u m b er of r ai n g a u g es p er h y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n

H y dr o gr a p hi c b asi n

S urf a c e ar e a ( k m²) 2

B e n e d e ns c h el d e B o v e ns c h el d e Br u gs e P ol d ers D e m er D e n d er Dijl e e n Z e n n e G e nts e K a n al e n Ijz er L ei e N et e

1 704 5 947 1 046 2 334 1 384 2 450 917 1 046 3 886 1 673

N u m b er of s u b c at c h m e nts ( g a u g e d a n d u n g a u g e d) 24 33 24 36 17 49 29 18 39 20

N u m b er of r ai n g a u g es 21 46 13 29 17 37 11 9 30 24

B e k k e n b e h e er pl a n n e n Vl a a n d er e n( A N O N., 2 0 0 9) 6

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3. 3

E v a p otr a ns pir ati o n

W h er e as t h er e is a l ot of pr e ci pit ati o n i n p ut d at a, it d o es n’t a p pl y f or e v a p or ati o n d at a. T hi ess e n e v a p or ati o n d at a is v er y s c ar c e. As a n e x a m pl e, f or t h e e ntir e p eri o d (fr o m 1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3), t h er e w as o nl y o n e a cti v e P E st ati o n i n Fr a n c e, l o c at e d i n L a n gr es, 1 0 k m o utsi d e t h e s o ut h er n m ost p art of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h e e v a p or ati o n p er c at c h m e nt w as c al c ul at e d b as e d o n i nt er p ol ati o n of P E d at a w hi c h w as alr e a d y a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e S c h el dt b asi n ( a c o m bi n ati o n of U c cl e a n d H er e nt als d at a). All i nt er p ol at e d e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ti m es eri es ar e pr a cti c all y i d e nti c al b e c a us e of t h eir g e o gr a p hi c al pr o xi mit y.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

R ai nf all -r u n off m o d elli n g m et h o d ol o g y

T h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el us e d w hi c h is i n v esti g at e d i n t his s u b r e p ort is t h e c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all -r u n off V H M m o d el . V H M is a r ai nf all-r u n off l u m p e d m o d el str u ct ur e d e v el o p e d b y t h e H y dr a uli cs Di visi o n i n K U L e u v e n i n B el gi u m ( Wil l e ms P., 2 0 1 4). F or e a c h c at c h m e nt, dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d b as e d o n a u ni q u e s et of p ar a m et ers usi n g i nt er p ol at e d r ai nf all a n d p ot e nti al e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ti m e s eri es as i n p ut. A d es cri pti o n of V H M M is o utli n e d b el o w.

4. 1

Str u ct ur e of t h e V H M h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el

T h e V H M m o d el is “t o p -d o w n ”, l u m p e d, c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all -r u n off m o d el. T h e t er m “t o p-d o w n ” r ef ers t o t h e fl e xi bilit y of s etti n g t h e m o d el str u ct ur e, or w h et h er a d a pti n g t h e m ulti pl e w or ki n g h y p ot h es es m et h o d, i nst e a d of usi n g pr e-d efi n e d m o d el c o n c e pt u aliz ati o n. T his m o d el us es a n e m piri c al a n d st e p-wis e t e c h ni q u e t h at is b as e d o n a d at a -b as e d a n al ysis of r es p o ns e c h ar a ct eristi cs aft er t h e e x a mi n ati o n of t h e v ari o us m o d el c o m p o n e nts st e p b y st e p. Fi g ur e 2 b el o w s h o ws t h e g e n er al str u ct ur e of t h e V H M m o d el. Af t er t h e tr a nsf or m ati o n of t h e o bs er v e d r ai nf all s eri es i nt o a si n gl e ti m e s eri es of r ai nf all i n p ut, t his l att er is s e p ar at e d i nt o diff er e nt fr a cti o ns; t h e m ai n s eri es t h at c o ntri b ut es t o t h e q ui c k r u n off fl o w 𝑥𝑥 𝑄𝑄 𝑄𝑄 c a n b e di vi d e d i nt o a n o v erl a n d fl o w p orti o n 𝑥𝑥 𝑂𝑂 𝑄𝑄 a n d a n i nt erfl o w p orti o n 𝑥𝑥 𝐼𝐼𝑄𝑄 . W hil e 𝑥𝑥 𝑆𝑆 𝑄𝑄 is t h e s eri es t h at c o n c er ns t h e sl o w fl o w r u n off, t h e 𝑥𝑥 𝑈𝑈 𝑄𝑄 c o n c er ns t h e s oil m oist ur e st or a g e p orti o n. T h e t ot al r u n off 𝑥𝑥 𝑇𝑇 𝑄𝑄 is t h e s u m of t h e q ui c k a n d t h e sl o w fl o w p orti o ns (Will e ms, P., 2 0 1 4) .

Fi g ur e 2 – Str u ct ur e of t h e V H M m o d el (Will e ms, P., 2 0 1 4)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

4. 2

V H M p ar a m et ers d es cri pti o n 1.

M a xi m u m s oil m oist ur e st or a g e S M m a x

S M m a x [ m m] d efi n es t h e m a xi m u m s oil m oist ur e s t or a g e w hi c h is t h e t ot al a m o u nt of w at er t h at is st or e d i n t h e s oil wit hi n t h e pl a nts’ r o ot z o n e. D e p e n di n g o n t h e s oil t e xt ur e a n d t h e cr o p r o oti n g d e pt h, t his p ar a m et er v ari es wit hi n 5 0 a n d 5 0 0 m m. 2.

M a xi m u m s oil e v a p or ati o n S M e v a p

S M e v a p [ m m] or m a xi m u m s oil e v a p or ati o n, is t h e m a xi m u m q u a ntit y of w at er t h at c a n b e e v a p or at e d fr o m t h e s oil. It v ari es fr o m 0 t o 1 0 0 m m. 3. S oil fr a cti o n p ar a m et ers c 1, c 2 a n d c 3 T o d et er mi n e t h e s oil m oist ur e st or a g e fr a cti o n, t h e s oil fr a cti o ns p ar a m et ers ar e d et er mi n ati v e t o est a bl is h a n e q u ati o n b et w e e n s oil m oist ur e a n d s oil m oist ur e fr a cti o n. T h e y us u all y v ari es b et w e e n 0 a n d 1, h o w e v er, d e p e n di n g o n t h e c at c h m e nts, t h e y c a n r e a c h hi g h er or l o w er v al u es. 4. O v erl a n d fl o w fr a cti o n p ar a m et ers c O F 1, c O F 2 T h es e p ar a m et ers ar e t h e s urf a ce r u n off s e p ar ati o n pr o c ess p ar a m et ers t h at ar e us e d t o d et er mi n e t h e o v erl a n d r u n off fr a cti o n. T h e y v ari es b et w e e n 0 a n d 1. 5. I nt erfl o w fr a cti o n p ar a m et er cI F 1, cI F 2 I n a n al o g y wit h t h e o v erl a n d fl o w fr a cti o n p ar a m et ers, cI F a n d t h e f a ct ors t h at e x pr e ss t h e i nt erfl o w fr a cti o n i n f u n cti o n of t h e s oil m oist ur e c o nt e nt. T h e y als o v ari es b et w e e n 0 a n d 1. 6.

B as efl o w ti m e c o nst a nt C K B F

C K B F [ h o urs] d et er mi n es t h e s h a p e of t h e h y dr o gr a p h i n dr y p eri o ds ( e x p o n e nti al d e c a y). It c a n b e esti m at e d fr o m h y dr o gr a p h re c essi o n a n al ysis. C K B F v al u es r a n g e fr o m 5 0 0 t o 5 0 0 0 h o urs. 7.

I nt erfl o w ti m e c o nst a nt C KIF

C KI F [ h o urs] d et er mi n es, t o g et h er wit h S M m a x , t h e a m o u nt of i nt erfl o w. It is t h e d o mi n a nt r o uti n g p ar a m et er of t h e i nt erfl o w. R a n g e is 2 0 t o 5 0 0 h o urs. 8.

O v erl a n d fl o w ti m e c o nst a nt C K OF

C K B F [ h o urs] d et er mi n es, t o g et h er wit h S M m a x, t h e a m o u nt of o v erl a n d fl o w. It is t h e d o mi n a nt r o uti n g p ar a m et er of t h e o v erl a n d fl o w. R a n g e is 4 t o 5 0 h o urs.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C ali br ati o n str at e g y

5. 1

O pti miz ati o n al g orit h m

T h e al g orit h m us e d f or o pti miz ati o n of V H M p ar a m et ers is t h e N o n -d o mi n at e d S orti n g G e n eti c Al g orit h m II or N S G A II (K al y a n m o y et al. 2 0 0 2) . T his al g orit h m is s uit a bl e f or o pti miz ati o n pr o bl e ms wit h m ulti pl e o bj e cti v e f u n cti o ns. V ari a bl e v al u es ar e g e n er at e d i n t h e first it er ati o n. E a c h s ol uti o n, t h at is t o s a y a n arr a y of v ari a bl e v al u es, is c all e d a n i n di vi d u al. A p o p ul ati o n is a gr o u p of N s ol uti o ns i n e a c h it er ati o n. I n t h e f oll o wi n g it er ati o ns t h e cr e at e d i n di vi d u als ar e g oi n g t o b e “ c hil dr e n ” of t h e pr e vi o us p o p ul ati o n, t h at is t o s a y t h e y ar e g oi n g t o i n h erit “f e at ur es ” fr o m c o u pl es of i n di vi d u als c h os e n i n t h e pr e vi o us p o p ul ati o n a c c or di n g t o s p e cifi e d s el e cti o n a n d cr oss o v er t e c h ni q u es. T h e us er c a n c h o os e t o r a n d o ml y m ut at e t h e c hil dr e n f e at ur es w h e n a n offs pri n g is cr e at e d. T h e al g orit h m will t h e n p erf or m t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e s ol uti o ns t hr o u g h t h e P ar et o c o m p aris o n, t h at is t o s a y a s ol uti o n d o mi n at es, or is b ett er t h a n, a n ot h er s ol uti o n if it is b ett er t h a n or e q u al t o t h e ot h er s ol uti o n i n all o bj e cti v es a n d stri ctl y b ett er i n a t l e ast o n e o bj e cti v e. A c o m bi n e d p o p ul ati o n R of p ar e nt a n d c hil dr e n p o p ul ati o n is f or m e d; t h e i n di vi d u als i n it ar e s ort e d a c c or di n g t o n o n -d o mi n ati o n. Si n c e all pr e vi o us a n d c urr e nt p o p ul ati o n m e m b ers ar e i n cl u d e d i n R, t h e elitis m is e ns ur e d. T h e b est N s ol uti o ns will b e t h e p o p ul ati o n of t h e n e xt it er ati o n.

5. 2

O bj e cti v e f u n cti o n

A ut o m ati c c ali br ati o n is c o nsists of o pti mizi n g ( 1) a gr e e m e nt b et w e e n t h e a v er a g e si m ul at e d a n d o bs er v e d c at c h m e nt r u n off ( o v er all v ol u m e err or) a n d ( 2) o v er all a gr e e m e nt of t h e s h a p e of t h e h y dr o gr a p h. T o ass ess t h es e t w o as p e cts, e v al u ati o n is b as e d o n t h e f oll o wi n g g o o d n ess-of -fit i n d e x es: 1. 2.

A bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p (t o mi ni miz e), a n d L o g arit h mi c N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y (t o m a xi miz e).

T h es e t w o o bj e cti v es ar e s uit e d f or N S G A -II o pti miz ati o n b e c a us e t h e y ar e c o ntr a di ct or y f or a n u m b er of m o d el p ar a m et ers. A r e d u c e d n u m b er of o bj e cti v es (t w o) f a cilit at es a n d f ast e ns t h e al g orit h m c o n v er g e n c e w hil e e ns uri n g g o o d o v er all p erf or m a n c e of t h e m o d el. It i s als o i m p ort a nt t h at t h es e o bj e cti v es b e c o ntr a di ct or y i n or d er f or t h e o pti m u m t o b e w ell d efi n e d. T h er e ar e g e n er all y tr a d e -offs b et w e e n p erf or m a n c e f or hi g h a n d l o w fl o ws. T h er ef or e, fi n al m a n u al a n d vis u al c h e c ks will c o m pl et e p erf or m a n c e e v al u ati o n w it h p ossi bl e f o c us o n l o w or hi g h fl o w. T h e effi ci e n c y E pr o p os e d b y N as h a n d S ut cliff e ( 1 9 7 0) is d efi n e d as o n e mi n us t h e s u m of t h e a bs ol ut e s q u ar e d diff er e n c es b et w e e n t h e pr e di ct e d a n d o bs er v e d v al u es n or m aliz e d b y t h e v ari a n c e of t h e o bs er v e d v al u es d uri n g t h e p eri o d u n d er i n v esti g ati o n. It is c al c ul at e d as f oll o ws: 𝑥𝑥 = 1 −

∑ ∑

𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 = 1 ( 𝑄𝑄 𝑄𝑄

− 𝑥𝑥 𝑂𝑂 ) 2

𝑆𝑆 𝑄𝑄= 1 � 𝐼𝐼 𝑄𝑄

− 𝑥𝑥� �

E q. 1

wit h O o bs er v e d a n d P pr e di ct e d v al u es. T o r e d u c e t h e s e nsiti vit y t o e xtr e m e v al u es, t h e N as h -S ut cliff e effi ci e n c y E is als o c al c ul at e d wit h l o g arit h mi c v al u es of O a n d P. T hr o u g h l o g arit h mi c tr a nsf or m ati o n of r u n off v al u es, t h e p e a ks ar e fl att e n e d a n d t h e l o w fl o ws ar e k e pt m or e or l ess at t h e s a m e l e v el. As a r es ult, t h e i nfl u e n c e of l o w fl o w v al u es is i n cr e as e d i n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

c o m p aris o n t o t h e fl o o d p e a ks, r es ulti n g i n a hi g h er s e nsiti vit y of l o g N S E t o s yst e m ati c m o d el o v er - or u n d er pr e di cti o n ( Kr a us e et al. 2 0 0 5). T h e s e c o n d o bj e cti v e of t h e al g orit h m i s mi ni mizi n g t h e a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d v al u e s at e a c h ti m e st e p ( d a y). T his e ns ur es t h at t h e w at er b al a n c e r e m ai ns s atisf a ct or y t hr o u g h o ut t h e si m ul ati o n ( all y e ars si m ul at e d). T h e t w o g o o d n ess -of -fit st atisti cs c a n b e r e pr es e nt e d i n 2 di m e nsi o ns t o r e pr es e nt t h e s et of s ol uti o ns e v al u at e d b y t h e a l g orit h m. T h e b est p airs c o nstit ut e t h e P ar et o fr o nt. I n or d er t o s el e ct o n e si n gl e b est s ol uti o n, t h e t w o p erf or m a n c e i n d e x es w er e n or m aliz e d ( or r es c al e d) a cr oss t h e e x pl or e d r a n g e ( E q. 2): wit h x mi n s et t o z er o f or t h e a bs ol ut e err or, a n d x m a x s et t o 1 f or t h e l o g arit h mi c N S E. 𝑥𝑥 ′

𝑄𝑄 − 𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 𝑂𝑂 𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 𝐼𝐼 𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 − 𝑆𝑆 𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 𝑈𝑈

E q. 2

T his n or m aliz ati o n r es ult e d i n v al u es b et w e e n 0 a n d 1 f or t h e a bs ol ut e err or a n d b et w e e n -1 a n d 1 f or t h e N S E. Th e fi n al s ol uti o n w as t h e n s el e ct e d a m o n g t h e fi n al P ar et o fr o nt, l o o ki n g at t h e mi ni m u m E u cli di a n dist a n c e t o t h e or eti c al o pti m u m: l o g N S E = 1 a n d A bs ol ut e Err or = 0 ( E q. 3). 𝑄𝑄 = � ( 𝑥𝑥 𝑇𝑇 − 𝑄𝑄 𝐴𝐴 ) 2 + ( 𝑦𝑦 𝐵𝐵 − 𝑦𝑦 𝐴𝐴 ) 2

E q. 3

A n e x a m pl e o f P ar et o fr o nt a n d fi n al s el e cti o n is s h o w n i n Fi g ur e 3 a n d Fi g ur e 4 .

Fi g ur e 3 – All e v al u at e d c a n di d at es (i n di vi d u als) a n d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 4 – R es c al e d fi n al p o p ul ati o n of s ol uti o ns ( P ar et o fr o nt)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

5. 4

I m pl e m e nt ati o n i n P yt h o n

T h e P yt h o n v ersi o n of t h e N S G A II al g orit h m w as a d a pt e d f or h y dr ol o gi c al o pti miz ati o n p ur p os es usi n g a g e n er al fr a m e w or k s u p p orti n g t hr e e r ai nf all -r u n off m o dels: N A M, P D M, V H M a n d W ets p a . D es cri pti o n of h o w t h e V H M m o d el a n d t h e ot h er l u m p e d m o d els ar e b ei n g i m pl e m e nt e d i n P yt h o n c a n b e f o u n d i n V a nst e e n kist e et al. ( 2 0 1 1) a n d Tr a n et al. ( 2 0 1 4 a, b). T h e c ali br ati o n P yt h o n s h ell c urr e ntl y s u p p orts t h e f oll o w i n g: -

O pti miz ati o n of ( o n e or all) m o d el p ar a m et ers f or a gi v e n c ali br ati o n p eri o d, E v al u ati o n of m o d el p ar a m et ers f or a gi v e n v ali d ati o n p eri o d, Pl otti n g r es ults of v ari o us alt er n ati v e p ar a m et er s ets o n t h e s a m e pl ot or s e p ar at el y (f or e x a m pl e, t h e fi n al po p ul ati o n g e n er at e d b y t h e al g orit h m), G e n er ati n g a ut o m ati c r e p orts of c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n as W or d d o c u m e nt, M a n u al c ali br ati o n f or a gi v e n c ali br ati o n p eri o d.

T h e first r ai nf all -r u n off c o n c e pt u al m o d el us e d i n t his s u bt as k is V H M. As a g e n er al r ul e , all t w el v e p ar a m et ers, e x c e pt C 3, w er e o pt i miz e d. T h e e x pl or e d p ar a m et er s p a c e is d efi n e d b y b o u n d ari es i n T a bl e 4 . T h er e ar e n o bi bli o gr a p hi c al s o ur c es t h at h a v e r e c o m m e n d ati o ns a b o ut t h e V H M p ar a m et ers, h o w e v er, w e w er e b as e d o n t h e pr e vi o us r es e ar c h es r es ults a n d t h e p ast e x p eri e n c e. I n s o m e p arti c ul ar c as es, t h e o pti m u m w as n ot w ell d efi n e d or t h e al g orit h m c o ul d n ot c o n v er g e i n r e as o n a bl e r a n g e a n d t h es e b o u n d ari es w er e a dj ust e d. C at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a w as c o nsi d er e d r eli a b l e a n d w as n ot o pti miz e d. W h e n e v er o pti miz ati o n w as n ot d eli v eri n g g o o d r es ults, b o u n d ari es w er e n arr o w e d d o w n usi n g m a n u al c ali br ati o n .

T a bl e 4 : V HM p ar a m et ers a n d o pti miz ati o n b o u n d ari es

P ar a m et er s

S M max

S Meva p

L o w er b o u n d ar y

0, 5

0, 1

U p p er b o u n d ar y

Fi n al v ersi o n

c OF1

c O F2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

-4

-6

6. 5

120

2400

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6 V H M m o d el c ali br ati o n 6. 1

M o d el c o nfi g ur ati o n

I n m ost c as es a n d w h e n d at a w er e a v ail a bl e, a c ali br ati o n p eri o d of 1 3 y e ars w as us e d, pr ef er a bl y fr o m J a n u ar y 2 0 0 1 t o D e c e m b er 2 0 1 3. N e v ert h el ess, diff er e nt ti m e s eri es w er e s el e ct e d w h e n a v ail a bl e d at a w er e i ns uffi ci e nt or u nr eli a bl e, c h o osi n g 1 3 y e ars of c ali br ati o n if p ossi bl e. F o ur wi n d o ws of t y pi c al e v e nts w er e s el e ct e d f or vis u al e v a l u ati o n: • • • •

1 1/ 2 0 0 2 -0 4/ 2 0 0 3 ( hi g h fl o w) – 6 0 6/ 2 0 0 8 -1 1/ 2 0 0 8 (tr a nsiti o n) – 6 0 2/ 2 0 0 5 -1 1/ 2 0 0 5 (l o w fl o w) – 1 0 1 1/ 2 0 1 0 -0 4/ 2 0 1 1 (r e c essi o n) – 6

m o nt hs m o nt hs m o nt hs m o nt hs

T h e c ali br at e d p ar a m et ers w er e v ali d at e d f or t h e e ntir e ti m e s eri es of a v ail a bl e d at a ( als o o utsi d e of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d). N or m all y t his p eri o d r a n g es fr o m 1 9 6 7 t o 2 0 1 3 . Adj ust m e nts f or a c ert ai n c at c h m e nt ar e r e p ort e d i n t h e c at c h m e nt-s p e cifi c p ar a gr a p hs b el o w. W e h a v e t o n ot e t h at all t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts h a v e b e e n m a n u all y c ali br at e d w it h t h e “ V H M b uil d a n d c ali br ati o n t o ol ” b y “ K. U. L e u v e n – H y dr a uli cs L a b or at or y ”, b ef or e t h at t h e p ar a m et ers c a n b e o pti miz e d b y t h e a ut o m ati c c ali br ati o n. I n f a ct, t h e i niti al v al u es of t h e m o d el p ar a m et ers c a n aff e ct t h e r es ult e d o n e a n d t h e q u alit y of th e o ut p ut m o d el. At t h e e n d, w e c h os e t h e m et h o d ol o g y t h at gi v es b ett er o bj e cti v es a n d b ett er vis u al r es e m bl a n c e t o t h e g a u g e d r ai nf all.

6. 2

M o d el e v al u ati o n

W hil e t h e o pti miz ati o n is li mit e d t o t w o o bj e cti v es, l o g arit h mi c N S E a n d a bs ol ut e err or, it c a n b e i nt er esti n g t o l o o k at t h e ot h er i n d e x es list e d w h e n e v al u ati n g t h e fi n al r es ults. F or e x a m pl e: -

N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y R el ati v e err or ( n e g ati v e or p ositi v e) or bi as Kli n g -G u pt a effi ci e n c y ( G u pt a et al. 2 0 0 9 a n d Kli n g et al. 2 0 1 2) R el ati v e N as h -S ut cliff eff i ci e n c y

𝑥𝑥

𝑄𝑄 𝑄𝑄𝑥𝑥

= 1 −

∑

𝑆𝑆 𝑄𝑄= 1

�

∑

𝑄𝑄 𝐴𝐴= 1

�

𝑂𝑂 𝑄𝑄 − 𝑥𝑥 𝐼𝐼 𝑄𝑄 𝑥𝑥 𝑥𝑥 𝑈𝑈 − 𝑄𝑄� 𝑥𝑥 𝑇𝑇

�

E q. 4

Si n c e t his w or k f o c us es o n l o w fl o ws, m or e i m p ort a n c e is gi v e n t o l o g arit h mi c N S E. H o w e v er, hi g h N S E v al u es s h o ul d als o b e s o u g ht i n or d er t o e ns ur e g o o d e n o u g h p erf or m a n c e f or hi g h er fl o ws as w ell, as m u c h as p ossi bl e. A n e x a ct a gr e e m e nt b et w e e n si m ul ati o n a n d o bs er v ati o ns m ust n ot b e e x p e ct e d b e c a us e of diff er e nt err or s o ur c es ( err ors i n m et e or ol o gi c al i n p ut d at a, err ors i n m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e, err ors i n h er e nt t o t h e m o d el str u ct ur e). C ali br ati o n c a n o nl y mi ni miz e t h os e err ors d u e t o n o n -o pti m al p ar a m et er v al u es . N S E a n d l o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 7 c a n b e c o nsi d er e d g o o d. V al u es b el o w z er o m e a n t h at t h e pr e di cti v e p o w er of t h e m o d el is w ors e t h a n t h e m e as ur e d a v er a g e. C o nsi d eri n g d e vi ati o n of t h e m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es a n d err ors i n t h e m et e or ol o gi c al i n p uts, N S E v al u es ar e n ot e x p e ct e d t o b e a b o v e 0. 8 ( Will e ms, 2 0 0 7).

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Vis u al e v al u ati o n of t h e fit b et w e e n si m ul at e d a n d o bs er v e d t ot al dis c h ar g e is als o t a k e n i nt o c o nsi d er ati o n t o s el e ct t h e fi n al s ol uti o n, wit h a f o c us o n g o o d a gr e e m e nt of si m ul ati o ns f or l o w fl o ws. W h e n us ef ul, N as h -S ut cliff e effi ci e n c y ( n o n -l o g arit h mi c) w as als o t a k e n i nt o a c c o u nt f or e v al u ati n g t h e fi n al s et of c a n di d at es ( w h e n ot h er fit n ess i n d e x es w er e e q ui v al e nt f or e x a m pl e). A p art fr o m t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d, t h es e g o o d n ess -of -fit st atisti cs w er e c al c ul at e d o n t h e e ntir e ti m e s eri es of a v ail a bl e d at a ( als o o utsi d e of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d) i n or d er t o v ali d at e c ali br at e d p a r a m et ers w h e n e v er m or e t h a n 1 3 y e ars of d at a w as a v ail a bl e. T h e f oll o wi n g s e cti o n s y nt h etiz es t h e m ai n r es ults a n d c o n cl usi o ns of t h e V H M c ali br ati o n i n e a c h ri v er b asi n. D et ail e d gr a p hs a n d c al c ul at e d st atisti cs, f or c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o ds, ar e gi v e n f or e a c h g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n A n n e x 3 t o A n n e x 1 2 . T h e fi n al s ets of p ar a m et ers f or e a c h c ali br at e d P D M m o d el a n d f or e a c h tr a ns p os e d V H M m o d el ar e s u m m ariz e d i n A n n e x 1 .

6. 3

IJz er b asi n

6. 3. 1

C o nt e xt

Alt h o u g h t h er e is n o i nt er a cti o n b e t w e e n t h e S c h el dt c at c h m e nt a n d t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt , t h e l att er is i n cl u d e d i n t h e r e gi o n al w at er all o c ati o n m o d el f or t h e s a k e of c o m pl et e n ess. T h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a o f t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt is of 1 1 0 1 k m² fr o m w hi c h a b o ut o n e t hir d is l o c at e d i n Fr a n c e ( W L, 2 0 0 6). T his r e pr es e nts 1, 6 % of t h e t ot al st u d y ar e a ( S c h el dt b asi n + IJz er, e x cl u di n g t h e M e us e). O n t h e Fr e n c h si d e, t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es ar e t h e P e e n e B e c q u e, t h e S al e B e c q u e a n d t h e H erz e el e. I n Fl a n d ers, t h e P o p eri n g e v a art, t h e K e m m el b e e k, t h e I e p er -IJz er C a n al wit h t h e I e p erl e e a n d M artj e ns v a art, St e n e nsl uis v a art, H o ut e nsl uis v a art a n d H a n dz a m e v a art ar e t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es of t h e IJz er. N ot e t h at t h es e tri b ut aries ar e all dis c h ar gi n g fr o m t h e ri g ht b a n k of t h e IJz er Ri v er. T h er e ar e 8 g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt , c o v eri n g 7 8 6 k m² ( 7 0 % of t h e IJz er c at c h m e nt ar e a). S u b c at c h m e nts V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0 ar e l o c at e d u pstr e a m of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n R o es br u g g e. Fi g ur e 5 s h o ws t h e c at c h m e nts a n d c orr es p o n di n g m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5 – C at c h m e nts a n d fl o w m et eri n g st ati o n o n t h e IJz er b a si n

6. 3. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 5 a n d T a bl e 6 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d s u bc at c h m e nts of t h e IJz er b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e s u bc at c h m e nts V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e i n this c at c h m e nt ) a n d V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 ( w orst mo d el p erf or m a n c e i n t his c at c h m e nt) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 6 t o Fi g ur e 1 3 ). F or m or e d et ail e d res ults o n t h e r e m ai ni n g s u b c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 3 . W hil e s o m e c at c h m e nts r e a c h e d g o o d v al u es of N S E, L o g N S E a n d R el Err ( V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 , V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 … ), V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , o n t h e o p p osit e, s h o w e d t h e w orst i n di c at ors a m o n g t h es e l att er. It w as als o t h e c as e wit h t h e ot h er m o d els P D M a n d N A M; w hi c h m a y b e e x pl ai n e d b y t h e c o m pl e x h y dr ol o gi c al sit u a ti o n of t h e c at c h m e nt, i nfl u e n c e d b y t h e pr es e n c e of str u ct ur es a n d di v ersi o ns. D e s pit e t h e v ari a bilit y of t h es e i n di c at ors fr o m o n e c at c h m e nt t o a n ot h er, t h e c orr el ati o n b et w e e n t h e g a u g e d s eri es a n d t h e si m ul at e d o n es ar e vis u all y g o o d. R e m ar ks o n t h e di s c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts: F or t h e c at c h m e nt F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 , t h e p eri o d fr o m 1 9 9 6 t o 2 0 05 w as dis c ar d e d (f or b ot h c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n) d u e t o u nr eli a bl e hi g h o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e v al u es. T h e m e as ur e d b as e fl o w is i n d e e d u n n at ur all y hi g h d uri n g t his p eri o d a n d m ost li k el y d u e t o a l oss of m e as ur e m e nt q u alit y or c h a n g e of g a u gi n g p ar a m et er s of t h e st ati o n, t h at w er e u n a c c o u nt e d f or. T his e x cl usi o n r es ults i n a r e d u cti o n of t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d t o 9 y e ars. T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d s el e ct e d f or t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 is 1 9 9 6-2 0 0 8 si n c e t h e dis c h ar g e d at a aft er 2 0 0 8 is n ot tr ust w ort h y. F or t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 t h er e is n ot o bs er v e dis c h ar g e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of t h e y e ar 2 0 0 9. M or e o v er, t h e g a u gi n g d e vi c e f or t his c at c h m e nt i n M er k e m w as r e pl a c e d i n 2 0 0 5 r es ulti n g i n a s hift i n t h e dis c h ar g e ti m e s eri es. T h er ef or e, d at a b ef or e mi d -2 0 0 5 w as dis c ar d e d fr o m

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

c ali br ati o n as w ell as it is n ot c o nsist e nt wit h t h e ti m e s eri es b ef or e. B e c a us e y e ars of d at a ar e r el ati v el y s c ar c e f or t his c at c h m e nt , y e ars 2 0 0 5 -2 0 0 8 ar e us e d f or v ali d ati o n h o w e v er, d es pit e t h eir l o w er q u alit y. T a bl e 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt s i n t h e IJz er b asi n A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

48810102 H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k

V01 H A N488180

7 8. 6

0. 7 0 2

0. 7 3 4

1. 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 ( V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0)

3 9 3. 0 0 7

0. 5 2 2

0. 6 0 5

-3. 3

2 0 0 5 -2 0 1 3

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

6 3. 4 2 3

0. 5 5 5

0. 4 4 7

-2. 1

1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 8

4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 -K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e

V01KE M492060

7 3. 8 9 3

0. 5 7 5

0. 4 8 4

2. 2

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m

V01 M A R496120

7 6. 1 3 7

0. 6 7 3

0. 6 0 5

-1. 9

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2 -P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n

V01P OP491030

8 4. 8 6 8

0. 5 8 5

0. 6 1 7

-1. 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

3. 6

4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

V 01SS V 499140

1 6. 0 9 5

0. 6 0 8

0. 6 2 3

1 9 9 6 -2 0 0 5

< 2004: 11 > = 2 0 0 4 : 2. 5

< mi d -2 0 0 8 : 1 0 > = mi d -2 0 0 8 : 2

T a bl e 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ult s f or g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e IJz er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art; K ort e m ar k

V01 H A N488180

7 8. 6

0. 7 1 2

0. 7 3 6

3. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ijz er; R o es br u g g e H ari n g e

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 ( V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0 a n d F 0 1 Y S E 4 6 8 0 0 0)

3 9 3. 0 0 7

0. 6 9 8

0. 5 2 9

7. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

6 3. 4 2 3

0. 4 8 7

0. 5 0 1

-2 7. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 -K e m m el b e e k; B o ezi n g e

V01KE M492060

7 3. 8 9 3

0. 5 6 2

0. 4 8 1

1 0. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a ns b e e k; M er k e m

V01 M A R496120

7 6. 1 3 7

0. 6 7 9

0. 5 9 6

2. 8

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2 -P o p eri n g e v a art; O ost vl et er e n

V01P OP491030

8 4. 8 6 8

0. 5 7 4

0. 5 7 8

-1 4. 9

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

V 01SS V 499140

1 6. 0 9 5

0. 5 9

0. 6 0 1

-2. 4

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k ( V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0)

Fi g ur e 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - H a n dz a m e v a art ; K ort e m ar k

4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0)

Fi g ur e 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e 1 9 9 6- 2 0 0 8)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 1 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e ( 1 9 9 6- 2 0 0 8)

Fi g ur e 1 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m ³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 1 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m ³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

Fi g ur e 1 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m ³/s] d uri n g tr a nsiti o n e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 , st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui ds c h ot e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 4

Br u gs e P ol d ers

6. 4. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers h as a n ar e a of 1 0 4 6 k m², w hi c h is 4 % of t h e t ot al ar e a of s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el . T h e Br u gs e P ol d ers c at c h m e nt is li mit e d b y t h e N ort h S e a i n t h e N ort h a n d b y t h e D ut c h b or d er i n t h e N ort h e ast. T h e m ai n ri v ers of t h e b asi n ar e t h e c a n al c o n n e cti n g G e nt a n d O ost e n d e ( K a n a al G e nt- Oost e n d e) , t h e d e vi ati o n c a n al ( Afl ei di n gs k a n a al) of t h e L ei e a n d t h e L e o p ol d c a n al. T h es e artifi ci al c a n als c o n d u ct w at er fr o m t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt t o w ar d s t h e s e a. A d diti o n all y , s e v er al l o c al p ol d er w at er c o urs es fl o w i nt o t h es e c a n als ( D e B o e c k et al. 2 0 1 1 ). I n t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers, f o ur g a u g e d c at c h m e nts a c c o u nt f or 2 9 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a ( Fi g ur e 1 4 ).

Fi g ur e 1 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e c at c h m e nt of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers

6. 4. 2

M o d el p er f or m a n c e

T a bl e 7 a n d T a bl e 8 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns of t h e s u b c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0 ( b est p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0 ( w orst p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w (Fi g ur e 1 5 t o Fi g ur e 2 0 ): Str u ct ur e of t h e V H M m o d el . F or mor e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 4 . A p art fr o m t h e l o g N S E of V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, t h e e v al u ati o n p ar a m et ers f or all of t h e c at c h m e nts ar e q uit e s atisf yi n g e v e n if w e c o nsi d er t h e v ali d ati o n r es ul ts. T his c a n b e d u e t o t h e f a ct t h at all of t h es e c at c h m e nts h a v e s m all ar e as. R e m ar k s o n t h e d at a : V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a aft er 2 0 0 7, c o ns e q u e ntl y t h e p eri o d 1 9 9 5-2 0 0 7 w as s el e ct e d f or t h e c ali br ati o n.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M T a bl e 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d er s

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5. 4 8 9

0. 7 2 2

0. 6 3 1

0. 8

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

<2013: 7 2013: 10

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HE R426010

7 7. 2 7 2

0. 6 5 4

0. 5 4 9

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

2011 & 2013 : 13 Ot h er y e ars: 5

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2. 7 1 9

0. 6 9 1

0. 6 2 7

0. 6

1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 7

< 2000: 3 >=2000: 11

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 3. 9 8

0. 6 4 7

0. 6 1 6

-1. 1

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 3 : 1 3 Ot h er y e ars : 7. 5

NSE

T a bl e 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ult s f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Br u gs e P ol d er s

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

V02E DE442120

4 5. 4 8 9

0. 7 2 5

0. 5 9 2

-5. 1

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

V02 HE R426010

7 7. 2 7 2

0. 6 6 2

0. 5 9 5

-4. 8

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt -Mi c hi els

V02KE R422030

6 2. 7 1 9

0. 6 4 2

0. 6 0 7

-6. 2

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 - Ri vi er b e e k; O ost k a m p

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

6 3. 9 8

0. 6 3 9

0. 5 5 2

-6

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0)

Fi g ur e 1 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 1 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 1 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 – M al d e g e m

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p (V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 )

Fi g ur e 1 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 1 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 2 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 , st ati o n4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H erts b er g e b e e k; O ost k a m p

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 5

G e nts e K a n al e n

6. 5. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt, c o v ers a cl ust er of c a n als a n d t h eir r es p e cti v e c at c h m e nts a n d h as a s urf a c e ar e a of 9 1 7 k m² ( D e B o e c k 2 0 1 1). T h e c at c h m e nt r e pr es e nts 4 % of t h e t ot al m o d el ar e a of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el . T h e G e nts e K a n al e n b asi n is li mit e d W est b y t h e Br u gs e P ol d ers, E ast b y t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e a n d S o ut h b y t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt . T h e D ut c h b or d er st a n ds i n t h e N ort h of t h e b asi n. B ot h t h e L e o p ol d c a n al a n d t h e G e nt-T er n e uz e n c a n al dis c h ar g e i nt o t h e W est ers c h el d e ( W est er n S c h el dt) i n t h e N et h erl a n ds. T h er e is o nl y o n e g a u g e d c at c h m e nt wit hi n t h e b asi n of t h e G e nts e K a n al e n : 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 o n t h e P o e k e b e e k i n N e v el e. D uri n g t h e pr e vi o us st u d y t h e dis c h ar g e at t h e M ol e n b e e k i n P ui v el d e w as c h e c k e d, b as e d o n pr oj e ct s p e cifi c dis c h ar g e d at a of t h e Si g m a pl a n u p d at e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1) . T his st ati o n is n ot a p er m a n e nt dis c h ar g e st ati o n a n d c o ns e q u e ntl y n o n e w c ali br ati o n is p ossi bl e f or t his s u b c at c h m e nt. C at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts ar e s h o w n o n t h e m a p i n Fi g ur e 2 1 . T h e g a u g e d a n d r e c ali br at e d ar e a of t h e b asi n a m o u nts f or 1 2 % of t h e t ot a l s urf a c e ar e a of t h e b asi n.

Fi g ur e 2 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e G e nt s e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt

6. 5. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 9 a n d T a bl e 1 0 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d s u bc at c h m e nts of t h e G e nts e K a n al e n c at c h m e nt f or t h e v ali d ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n p eri o d. T h e s u bc at c h m e nt s h o ws a c orr e ct p erf or m a n c e f or t h e v ali d ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n p eri o d wit h v al u es of N S E a n d L o g N S E a b o v e 0. 6. Gr a p hs of t h e si m ul ati o n of t h e s u b c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 2 2 a n d Fi g ur e 2 3 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 5 .

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a : t h e P o e k e b e e k (V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 ) dis c h ar g e w as n ot m e as ur e d fr o m 1 8/ 0 1/ 2 0 0 1 t o 2 9/ 1 1/ 2 0 0 4 a n d aft er 2 0 0 9. H e n c e, t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d st arts as s o o n as 1 9 9 3 as t o i n cl u d e 1 3 y e ars of d at a. T a bl e 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nts e K a n al e n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

1 0 6. 8 3 7

0. 7 2 3

0. 6 4 5

-0. 7

1 9 9 3 -2 0 1 0

< 1995: 9 >= 1995: 6

T a bl e 1 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e G e nt s e K a n al e n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

G a u g e d y e ar s

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

V03P OE446000

1 0 6. 8 3 7

0. 7 2 7

0. 6 6 9

8. 1

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0)

Fi g ur e 2 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( 1 9 9 3- 2 0 1 0)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 2 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( 1 9 9 3- 2 0 1 0)

Fi g ur e 2 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 2 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi g ur e 2 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c tr a nsiti o n e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v e l e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 6

B e n e d e ns c h el d e

6. 6. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e c at c h m e nt of t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e is 1 7 0 4 k m² a n d b el o n gs t o t h e m ai n S c h el dt c at c h m e nt. It c o v ers t h e F l e mis h p art of t h e ti d al ri v ers i n t h e S c h el dt est u ar y, e x c e pt t h e c at c h m e nts c orr es p o n di n g t o t h e m ai n tri b ut ari es i n t his r e a c h (N et e, D e m er, Dijl e, Z e n n e a n d D e n d er ). T h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt a c c o u nts f or 8 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. A b o ut 6 % of t h e s urf a c e ar e a of t h e b asi n is g a u g e d. D uri n g t h e pr e vi o us st u d y t h e dis c h ar g e at t h e Le d e b e e k i n B or mt w as c h e c k e d, b as e d o n pr oj e ct s p e cifi c dis c h ar g e d at a of t h e Si g m a pl a n u p d at e pr oj e ct ( D e B o e c k et al., 2 0 1 1) . T his st ati o n is n ot a p er m a n e nt dis c h ar g e st ati o n a n d c o ns e q u e ntl y n o n e w c ali br ati o n is p ossi bl e f or t his s u b c at c h m e nt.

Fi g ur e 2 7 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt

6. 6. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 1 a n d T a bl e 1 2 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 2 5 t o Fi g ur e 2 7). F or b ot h of t h e c at c h m e nt, t h e l o w fl o ws ar e o v er -esti m at e d a n d t h e sl o p es i n t h e r e c essi o n d o n’t m at c h wit h t h e g a u g e d o n es. T h es e r es ults w er e o bt ai n e d e v e n t h o u g h w e a i m t o d efi n e t h e a d e q u at e m o d el p ar a m et ers b y m a n u al c ali br ati n g b ef or e t h e o pti miz ati o n.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M T a bl e 1 1 – O v e r vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b asi n

R el Err( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2. 5 6 2

0. 5 6

0. 6 6 7

0. 4

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

< 2007: 10 >=2007: 6

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7. 3 0 1

0.669

0. 6 5 7

0. 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

NSE

l o gN S E

T a bl e 1 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B e n e d e ns c h el d e b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, L i ez el e

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3 2. 5 6 2

0. 6 1 2

0. 5 7

1 2. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

V04 M O M037100

6 7. 3

0. 6 5 1

0. 5 6 7

1 5. 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n (V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 )

Fi g ur e 2 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 2 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 3 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 , st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0)

Fi g ur e 3 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 3 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 3 3 – M e as u r e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li ez el e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 7

L ei e

6. 7. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e L ei e c at c h m e nt, b ei n g p art of t h e i nt er n ati o n al “ L ei e a n d D e ûl e ” b asi n , h as a n ar e a of 3 8 8 6 k m² of w hi c h 9 8 2 k m² is sit u at e d i n Fl a n d ers. I n G h e nt, t h e L ei e c o nfl u e n c es wit h t h e S c h el dt. T h e s u b c at c h m e nts of t h e L ei e c o u nt f or 1 8 % of t h e t ot al st u d y ar e a. I n Fr a n c e, t h e L ei e ( or L ys i n Fr e n c h) is c o n n e ct e d t o t h e C a n al d e N e uf oss é a n d t h e C a n al d’ Air e à l a B a ss é e, b ot h p art of t h e c a n al s yst e m b et w e e n D ui n k er k e a n d D e n ai n. T his c a n al c o nstit ut es t h e E ast -W est li n k b et w e e n t h e S c h el dt, t h e D e ûl e, t h e L ei e a n d t h e N ort h S e a. T h e D u n k er q u e -D e n ai n c a n al is s u p pli e d wit h w at er o f t h e S c h el d e a n d its tri b ut ar y, t h e S c ar p e. S o m e of t h e w at er fl o wi n g fr o m t h e S c h el dt i n t h e c a n al s yst e m, fl o ws b a c k t o t h e L ei e t hr o u g h t h e c a n alis e d D e ûl e. T his i nt er a cti o n of ri v ers a n d c a n als l e a ds t o a n e nl ar g e d c o m pl e xit y r e g ar di n g t h e c ali br ati o n of a h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t his c at c h m e nt. Fi g ur e 3 4 s h o ws t h e l o c ati o n of t h e fl o w g a u g es us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e N A M m o d els o n t h e L ei e b asi n.

Fi g ur e 3 4 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt

T h e r e c ali br ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n M e n e n o n t h e L ei e (st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2) , is d o n e f or t his 1 bi g g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt. H o w e v er, t h e fi n al r u n off f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el is si m ul at e d s e p ar at el y f or t h e 2 2 s u b c at c h m e nts s e p ar at el y, t o b e a bl e t o distri b ut e t h e fl o w o v er t h e c o m pl e x c a n al s yst e m d es cri b e d a b o v e. Wit h t hr e e g a u gi n g st ati o ns i n M e n e n, H e ul e a n d O ostr oz e b e k e , 8 5, 6 % of t h e L ei e b asi n is c o v er e d b y dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 7. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c es

T a bl e 1 3 a n d T a bl e 1 4 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e L ei e b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d . Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 3 5 t o Fi g ur e 3 9 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 7 . I n p ar a gr a p h 3. 2 it w as alr e a d y m e nti o n e d t h at r efi n e m e nt of t h e pr e ci pit ati o n d at a i n t h e L ei e c at c h m e nt si g nifi c a ntl y i m pr o v es t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m M e n e n, c o m p ar e d t o t h e first v ersi o n of t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el (s e e Mi c hi els e n et. al, 2 0 2 1 ). E v e n t h o u g h w e o bt ai n e d r e all y g o o d v al u es of t h e e v al u ati o n p ar a m et ers f or t h e c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 , t h e l o w fl o w in t h e c ali br at e d m o d el is o v er esti m at e d c o m p ari n g t o t h e g a u g e d o n e. H o w e v er, f or hi g h fl o w a n d r e c essi o n, t h e y ar e q uit e cl os e t o t h e g a u g e d fl o w. D es pit e t h e f a ct t h at t h e o bt ai n e d e v al u ati o n p ar a m et ers f or V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 ar e l o w er t h a n t h e o n es f or t h e first c at c h m e nts, t h e vis u aliz ati o n of t h e c ali br at e d l o w fl o w i n di c at es a g o o d c orr el ati o n wit h t h e g a u g e d o n e. R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a : T h e c a t c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 h as u nr eli a bl e o bs er v e d d at a f or s o m e p eri o ds. T h er e is a h ol e i n t h e d at a fr o m 1 9 7 8 t o A u g ust 1 98 2, a n d t h e n fr o m 1 9 9 6 t o 2 0 0 4. I n 2 0 0 5 a n d t h e s e c o n d p art of 2 0 0 6, dis c h ar g e v al u es w er e esti m at e d b as e d o n t h e a cti vit y of t h e w eir 1 k m u pstr e a m. Fr o m t h e e n d of 2 0 0 7 ( 0 9/ 1 1/ 2 0 0 7) o n, d at a als o g et t h e “ U ” d at a q u alit y fl a g. D at a is t h er ef or e l ess r eli abl e d uri n g t his p eri o d a n d w as e x cl u d e d fr o m b ot h c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n. C ali br ati o n w as p erf or m e d o n t h e c o nti n u o us p eri o d of 1 9 8 3 - 19 9 5, pr ef err e d t o a m or e r e c e nt b ut dis c o nti n u e d p eri o d. T a bl e 1 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r e s ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b a si n

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. di st a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m) Irr el e v a nt gi v e n t h e siz e of t h e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1. 7 8

0. 7 9 4

0. 8 0 1

-0. 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1. 9 1 2

0. 7 6 1

0. 6 6 2

-2. 9

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e ( L 0 5 _ 4 0 9)

V05 M A N401230

2 5 8. 4 4 2

0. 7 4 9

0. 7 5 8

-0. 1

1 9 8 3 -1 9 9 5

NSE

<2004: 6 >=2004: 10 8

T a bl e 1 4 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e L ei e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

2 9 8 1. 7 8

0. 8

0. 8 1 4

-0. 6

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

V05 HE U403210

9 1. 9 1 2

0. 7 5

0. 6 2 3

-6

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e

V05 M A N401230

2 5 8. 4 4 2

0. 7 1

0. 6 1 9

-2. 7

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2, L ei e t e M e n e n ( F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9)

Fi g ur e 3 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ai l y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e , M e n e n ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 3 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e , M e n e n ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 3 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 8 6 8 0 1 2 2 – L ei e , M e n e n ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O ostr oz e b e k e ( V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 )

Fi g ur e 3 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 3 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 4 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 8

B o v e ns c h el d e

6. 8. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n e xt e n ds o v er Fr a n c e, W all o ni a a n d Fl a n d ers. T his b asi n h as a n ar e a of a p pr o xi m at el y 5 7 6 k m². B ef or e it e nt ers Fl a n d ers i n S pi er e -H el kij n, t h e S c h el d t h as a l e n gt h of 1 2 4 k m a n d a c orr es p o n di n g u pstr e a m c at c h m e nt of 5 3 8 0 k m² i n Fr a n c e a n d W all o ni a. T h e B o v e ns c h el d e b a si n a c c o u nts f or 3 0 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. T h e B oss uit-K ortrij k c a n al c o n n e cts t h e B o v e ns c h el d e t o t h e L ei e, w h er e as t h e S pi er e k a n a al li n ks t h e B o v e ns c h el d e t o t h e D e ûl e. Fi g ur e 4 1 s h o ws t h e l o c ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nts a n d m e as uri n g p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n. A ct u all y, t h e s u b c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m fr o m t h e st ati o n i n B oss uit ( 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2) c a n b e s e e n as o n e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nt . H o w e v er, as st at e d b ef or e, t h e dis c h ar g e is si m ul at e d s e p ar at el y f or e a c h s u b c at c h m e nt t o g e n er at e i n p ut f or t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el. T h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a c o nsi d er e d g a u g e d is t h us 9 7 % (Fi g ur e 4 1 ).

Fi g ur e 4 1 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e c at c h m e nt

6. 8. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 5 a n d T a bl e 1 6 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns of t h e c at c h m e nts F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 ( b est p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ( w orst p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w (Fi g ur e 4 2 t o Fi g ur e 4 7 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 8 . T h e b est p erf or m a n c e p ar a m et ers of V H M f or F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1 a n d V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 w er e a c hi e v e d. H o w e v er, V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 s h o w e d p o or r es ults i n t h e v ali d ati o n wit h N S E a n d L o g N S E ar o u n d 0, 4. F or F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1 , t h e w at er v ol u m e d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n is q uit e u nst a bl e a n d n o n-c orr el at e wit h t h e g a u g e d d at a. H o w e v er, t h e vis u a liz ati o n d e m o nstr at es b a d q u alit y of t h e d at a f or t his c at c h m e nt w hi c h c a n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

c a us e t his i nst a bilit y. L o g N S E f or V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 c o ul d n’t b e c al c ul at e d e v e n t h o u g h w e alt er e d t h e i niti al s et of p ar a m et ers. F or t his c at c h m e nt, t h e w at er v ol u m e c orr es p o n ds w ell t o t h e g a u g e d v ol u m e. T h e pi cs a n d t h e l o w fl o ws w er e w ell si m ul at e d. R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: T h e st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e i n B oss uit ( F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1) o nl y h as r e c or ds fr o m 1 3/ 0 9/ 2 0 0 1 o n w ar ds. T h e c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 o nl y h as o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m J a n u ar y 2 0 0 0 o n w ar ds. Usi n g t h e us u al 2 0 0 1-2 0 1 3 p eri o d f or c ali br ati o n, t h er e is t h er ef or e o nl y o n e y e ar of e xtr a d at a f or v ali d ati o n. Dis c h ar g e of t h e M a ar k e b e e k i n Eti k h o v e ( V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ) w as esti m at e d i n 2 0 0 5 a n d dis c h ar g es a bo v e 1 2 m 3 /s ar e m ostl y esti m at e d. I n N e d erz w al m (V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 ), s us pi ci o us d at a w as r e m o v e d i n 1 9 8 2; m or e o v er, d at a r e c or ds st art t o b e m or e u nst a bl e a n d r e g ul arl y i nt er p ol at e d fr o m A u g ust 2 0 1 2 o n w ar ds. T h er ef or e, t h e y e ar 2 0 1 3, w h er e t h e m ost r e c or ds w e r e missi n g or i nt er p ol at e d, is e x cl u d e d fr o m b ot h c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o ds. T a bl e 1 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 59 9 9

5217.6

0. 7 1 7

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

4 8. 7

0. 5 8

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

112.1

0. 6 3 9

L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi es - R h os n es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

161.9

NSE

0. 5 5 4

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali b r ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

0. 6 2 5

-4. 4

2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3

Irr el e v a nt gi v e n t h e siz e of t h e b asi n

-0. 4

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

-1. 5

2 0 0 0 -2 0 1 2

2 0 1 2 -2 0 1 3

< 1999: 3 1999 -2000: 6 2000 -2009: 13 > = 2 0 0 9 : 5. 5

0. 6 7 7

0. 3 8 1

-0. 8

T a bl e 1 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e B o v e ns c h el d e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit

F 0 6 B OS 3 2 59 9 9

5217.6

0. 7 1 9

0. 6 3 7

-5. 3

2 0 0 2 -2 0 1 3

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

V06 M A A347160

48.7

0. 5 5

-1 7. 5

1 9 7 2 -2 0 1 2

3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d erz w al m

V06Z W A342190

112.1

0. 4 5 5

0. 4 8 7

2. 3

1 9 7 3 -2 0 1 3

L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi es - R h os n es

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

161.9

0. 5 5 1

0. 3 9 8

-1. 2

2 0 1 2 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B os s uit (F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9 )

Fi g ur e 4 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 9 9 9, st ati o n 3 2 5 8 0 1 2 2 - B o v e ns c h el d e; B oss uit ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 2- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e (V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 )

Fi g ur e 4 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c alibr ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 4 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 4 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 , st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 9

D e n d er b e k k e n

6. 9. 1

C o nt e xt

T h e D e n d er b asi n h as a n ar e a of 1 3 8 4 k m² a n d e xt e n ds o v er W all o ni a a n d Fl a n d ers . T h e u pstr e a m p art ( 6 7 5 k m²) is l o c at e d i n W all o ni a a n d t h e l o w er p art ( 7 0 9 k m²) i n Fl a n d ers. T h e D e n d er b asi n a c c o u nts f or 6 % of t h e t ot al c at c h m e nt of t h e st u d y ar e a. Wit h 5 g a u gi n g st ati o ns us e d f o r m o d el c ali br ati o n, t h e p orti o n of g a u g e d c at c h m e nts i n t his b asi n a c c o u nts f or 6 1 % of t ot al c at c h m e nt ar e a. T h e g a u gi n g st ati o n i n L essi n es is us e d t o c ali b r at e a h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el f or t h e c at c h m e nt u pstr e a m of t his g a u gi n g st ati o n. I n t h e w at er all o c ati o n m o d el, t his c at c h m e nt is di vi d e d i nt o 3 s u b c at c h m e nts.

Fi g ur e 4 8 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt

6. 9. 2

M o d el p erf or m a n c e

T a bl e 1 7 a n d T a bl e 1 8 pr es e nt t h e g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e D e n d er c at c h m e nt f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 4 9 t o Fi g ur e 5 3 ). F or m or e d et ail e d res ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 9 . D es pit e t h e f a ct t h at V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 h as b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e, t his l att er d o es n’t r efl e ct w ell t h e l o w fl o w; it o v er esti m at es it. T h e gr a p hs f or all t h e t y p es of c ali br at e d fl o ws ar e n ot c o nsi d er e d c o nti g u o us t o t h e g a u g e d fl o ws. H o w e v er, t h e c ali br at e d fl o ws f or V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ar e a bs ol ut el y cl os e t o t h e g a u g e d o n e, w hi c h c a n b e e x pl ai n e d d u e t o t h e f a ct t h a t t h at is n’t s o m a n y a n d hi g h pi c ks i n t h e g a u g e d l o w fl o w of t his c at c h m e nt.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: F or t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 o n t h e M ol e n b e e k i n Er p e M er e (V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0 ), hi g h dis c h ar g e v al u es ar e u nr eli a bl e a b o v e 5 m 3/s fr o m 1 9 9 9 t o 2 0 0 3 a n d i n 2 0 0 5. Dis c h ar g e d at a w as dis c ar d e d fr o m 2 7/ 1 0/ 2 0 0 9 u ntil 1 5/ 0 6/ 2 0 1 1 i n t h e WI S KI s eri es. C o ns e q u e ntl y, t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d w as li mit e d t o 2 0 0 9. Y e ars 2 0 1 2 a n d 2 0 1 3 h a v e a l ot of missi n g d at a a n d i nt er p ol at e d v al u es a n d s h o w a n u n us u al hi g h -b as efl o w b e h a vi or. T h e y w er e t h er ef or e e x cl u d e d fr o m b ot h v ali d ati o n a n d c ali br ati o n. F or dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts i n G er a ar ds b er g e n ( V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0) , t h e y e ars aft er 2 0 0 9 h a v e b e e n d el et e d d u e t o t h e e xist e n c e of u nr eli a bl e m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e d at a a n d t h er ef or e t h e c ali br ati o n s eri es st arts i n 2 0 0 7. I n 1 9 9 9, hi g h dis c h ar g e v al u es w er e esti m at e d ( a b o v e 2. 7 m 3/s). I n 2 0 0 0 a n d 2 0 0 1, hi g h v al u es w er e esti m at e d wit h l o w er a c c ur a c y. Fr o m 2 0 0 0 t o 2 0 0 2, l o w fl o ws m e as ur e m e nts h a d t o b e c orr e ct e d b e c a us e t h e g a u g e di d n ot m e as ur e lo w l e v els a d e q u at el y. T h e dis c h ar g e d at a i n L essi n es st art i n 1 5/ 0 1/ 2 0 0 8 f or c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4 . C ali br ati o n t h er ef or e li mit e d t o 2 0 0 8-2 0 1 3. V ali d ati o n will h a p p e n i n O v er b o el a r e f or b ot h W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4 a n d V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 . T a bl e 1 7 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

88.7

0. 6 9 7

0. 6 8 6

0. 5

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e

V07 M A R289015

1 7 3, 9

0. 6 8 7

0. 5 3 4

-0. 1

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

< 2003: 12 2003 – 2011 : 10 >=2011: 2

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6. 4

0. 5 1 1

0. 7 0 9

-0. 5

1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9

< 2004: 10 >= 2004: 5

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

2 3. 0 9 4

0. 5 4 5

0. 5 0 5

0. 4

1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 9

< 2009: 3 >= 2009: 15

2 7 0 8 1 0 0 2 – D e n d er, L essi n es

W 0 7 D E NL E S 0 0 4

5 1 1. 8 4

0. 5 2

0. 5 3 8

-0. 1

2 0 0 8 -2 0 1 3

Irrel e v a nt gi v e n t h e siz e of t h e b asi n ( m a x 1 6 k m)

T a bl e 1 8 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e n d er b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

8 8. 6 4 2

0. 5 9 4

0. 5 6 6

-6. 9

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k, Vi a n e

V07 M A R289015

1 7 3. 9

0. 6 9 4

0. 4 8 2

8. 4

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 3

2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

V07 M OE282100

4 6. 3 6 7

0. 4 9 1

0. 6 7 1

4. 8

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

V07 M O G288020

2 3. 1

0. 5 2 5

0. 4 5

-8. 9

1 9 8 6 -2 0 1 3

2 6 8 8 0 1 2 2 – D e n d er, O v er b o el ar e

W07 DE N O V B005

7 9 9. 2

0. 5 1 8

0. 5 3 7

-0. 8

2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k , Vi a n e (V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 )

Fi g ur e 4 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at ch m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 5 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 , st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, Ess e n e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n (V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 )

Fi g u r e 5 2 – M e as ur e d ( r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 9)

Fi g ur e 5 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m u l ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n ( 1 9 9 7- 2 0 0 9)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar ds b er g e n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 1 0 Dijl e a n d Z e n n e 6. 1 0. 1 C o nt e xt T h e Dijl e b asi n str et c h es o v er Fl a n d ers ( 5 5 %) a n d W all o ni a ( 4 5 %) a n d h as a n ar e a of a b o ut 1 2 9 0 k m². T h e Z e n n e b asi n ( c a. 1 1 6 0 k m²) s pr e a ds a cr oss W all o ni a ( 5 0 %), Br uss els ( 1 4 %) a n d Fl a n d ers ( 3 6 %). I n t ot al, t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi n a c c o u nt s f or 1 1 % of t h e t ot al ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. C at c h m e nts a n d g a u gi n g st ati o ns ar e r e pr es e nt e d at Fi g ur e 5 5 . Fi v e st ati o ns ar e l o c at e d o n t h e Z e n n e o n its tri b ut ari es b ef or e t h e c o nfl u e n c e wit h t h e Dijl e, m e as uri n g dis c h ar g e f or 4 3 % of t h e Z e n n e c at c h m e nt. T h e dis c h ar g e of t h e Dijl e is m e as ur e d b y o n e st ati o n i n Wils el e ( 6 7 % of t h e c at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a is g a u g e d).

Fi g ur e 5 5 – S u b c at c h m e nt s a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e c at c h m e nt

6. 1 0. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e T a bl e 1 9 a n d T a bl e 2 0 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e Dijl e a n d t h e Z e n n e b asi ns f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns f or t h e c at c h m e nts V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 5 6 t o Fi g ur e 6 1 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 1 0 . B esi d es t h e m e di c or e v al u es of t h e e v al u ati o n p ar a m et ers o bt ai n e d aft er t h e c ali br ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0 , it is cr u ci al t h at t his m o d el is c o nsi d er e d t h e w orst o n e i n t his b asi n. N ot o nl y t h e b as e fl o w i n t h e l o w fl o ws a n d tr a nsiti o n ar e o v er esti m at e d, b ut als o t h e m o d el u n d er esti m at e t h e fl o ws i n all t h e ot h er p arts a n d it d o es n’t g et t o t h e pi c ks W h e n it c o m es t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , t h e si m ul ati o n d o es n’t all o w us t o vi e w t h e s h a p e of t h e fl o w gr a p h d uri n g t h e l o w fl o w p eri o d. B ut w h e n w e l o o k at t h e hi g h fl o w a n d t h e c u m ul ati v e fl o w, w e ca n d e d u ct t h at it is a m o d el t h at is w ell f u n cti o ni n g a n d g a v e us g o o d r es ults.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: T h e B ar e b e e k c at c h m e nt ( V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0) o nl y h as m e as ur e d dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m 0 2/ 0 1/ 1 9 9 7 t o 0 4/ 1 1/ 2 0 0 4. T his e ntir e p eri o d w as us e d f or c ali br ati o n. T h e c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a aft er 2 0 1 0. A 1 3 -y e ar c ali br ati o n p eri o d w as t h er ef or e s el e ct e d fr o m 1 9 9 8 t o 2 0 1 0. F or V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 , m ost of dis c h ar g e r e c or ds w er e esti m at e d or s us p e ct fr o m A u g ust 2 0 0 5 t o M a y 2 0 0 6. It is s us p e ct i n t h e s u m m er of 1 9 9 4 a n d 2 0 0 8 as w ell as 2 0 0 9 (J u n e t o N o v e m b er). M e as ur e d fl o w is als o s us pi ci o usl y c o nst a nt i n t h e s pri n g o f 2 0 0 3 wit h a l ot of r e p e at e d r e c or ds fr o m A pril t o D e c e m b er 2 0 0 3. T his p eri o d s e e ms t h er ef or e l ess tr ust w ort h y. Dis c h ar g e of t h e Dijl e ( V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0 ) is m e as ur e d b y a V M M st ati o n i n Wils el e, w h er e m e as ur e m e nts ar e k n o w n t o b e dist ur b e d b y pl a nt gr o wt h. C o rr e cti o ns w er e m a d e b y t h e V M M t o a c c o u nt f or t his eff e ct b ut wit h li mit e d a c c ur a c y. D at a q u alit y is p o or or s us p e ct o n m ost y e ars u ntil 2 0 1 3. T h er ef or e, t h e r ai nf all a n d p ot e nti al e v a p otr a ns pir ati o n ti m es eri es w er e e x c e pti o n all y e xt e n d e d i n or d er t o h a v e t w o y e ars a n d a h alf of r eli a bl e d at a ( 2 0 1 3 -mi d 2 0 1 5). T a bl e 1 9 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt)

V08B A R111370

7 0. 0

0. 7 4 1

0. 7 5 5

1. 1

1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 4

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 6 1, 4

0. 6 0 5

0. 1 3 7

1. 2

2 0 1 3 -2 0 1 5

Irr el e v a nt gi v e n t h e siz e of t h e b asi n ( m a x 1 2)

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

0. 6 0 3

0. 4 9 2

2 2. 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

< 2007: 12 2007 -2009: 10 > 2009: 10

2 3 7 1 -1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er es

W08S A M R O N000

1 3 4, 0

0. 6 9 3

0. 7 7 3

0. 4

1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0

< 2008: 4 2008 -2010: 8 > 2010: 5

L 5 6 7 0 - Se n ett e, R o n q ui er es

W08SE N R O N010

7 0, 4

0. 5 6 6

0. 3 6 1

-6. 7

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

< 2002: 2 2 0 0 2 -2 0 0 6 : 8 > 2006: 11

1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e

W08SE NT U B030

2 1 5, 9

0. 6 7 1

0. 6 2 1

-0. 3

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

T a bl e 2 0 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e Dijl e a n d Z e n n e b asi ns

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e

V08B A R111370

7 0. 0 8

0. 6 9 5

-0. 1 9 1

0. 0 1 4

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wils el e

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8 6 1, 4

0. 5 9 5

0. 7 3 7

- 2. 6

1 9 7 4 -2 0 1 3

2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et ersl e e u w

V08Z U U233100

6 4, 8

0. 5 8 6

0. 4 8

2 9. 8

1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 3

2 3 7 1 -1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er es

W08S A M R O N000

1 3 4. 0 9 7

0. 7 1

0. 6 5

-0. 0 9 2

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es

W08SE N R O N010

7 0, 4

0. 5 1 2

0. 3 7 6

-1 5. 6

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 3

1 9 5 1 -1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u biz e

W08SE NT U B030

2 1 5. 9 1 1

0. 6 5 2

0. 6 1 2

-3. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) (V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 )

Fi g ur e 5 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 5 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt) ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 , st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k, H ofst a d e ( El e wijt)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es (W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0 )

Fi g ur e 5 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 6 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n ett e, R o n q ui er es ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0,

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 -S e n et t e, R o n q ui er es

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 1 1 D e m er b e k k e n 6. 1 1. 1 C o nt e xt T h e D e m er b asi n h as a n ar e a of 2 3 3 4 k m². Fr o m t h at, 1 9 1 9 k m² is l o c at e d i n Fl a n d ers, t h e r est b ei n g i n W all o ni a. It c o ntri b ut es f or 1 0 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h e n a vi g a bl e ri v ers i n t his c at c h m e nt ar e t h e D e m er a n d t h e Al b ert c a n al. Wit h 1 0 g a u gi n g st ati o ns, 8 0, 3 % of t h e c at c h m e nts i n t h e D e m er is g a u g e d. T h es e st ati o ns ar e list e d i n R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or a diff er e nt p eri o d t h a n us u al ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). Y e ars 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 3 h a v e b e e n d el et e d fr o m t h e si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 d u e u nr eli a b l e (s us pi ci o usl y hi g h) m e as ur e d b as e fl o w. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 h as p orti o ns of dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts wit h m o d er at e t o p o or q u alit y, or missi n g v al u es fr o m A u g ust 2 0 1 0, r es ulti n g i n t h e y e ars 1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 0 b ei n g us e d f or c ali br ati o n. N ot e t h at d at a i n 2 0 0 1 a n d b ef or e is u n c h e c k e d a n d t h er ef or e m or e u n c ert ai n. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of 2 0 1 1 a n d b et w e e n 1 1/ 0 5/ 2 0 0 3 -3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 4, s o t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d 1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0 h as b e e n us e d. I n t h e c as e of t h e H er k i n K er mt/ S p al b e e k ( V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ), d at a is c h e c k e d fr o m 2 0 0 2 u ntil 2 0 1 6, wit h t h e e x c e pti o n of 2 0 1 0. T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is t h er ef or e c h os e n fr o m 2 0 0 3 t o 2 0 1 3 i n or d er t o e ns ur e m a xi m u m r eli a bilit y d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n. T h e y e ars b ef or e ar e us e d f or v ali dati o n n e v ert h el ess. T h er e is n o o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a f or V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 aft er 2 0 1 0. Hi g h dis c h ar g e v al u es ar e esti m ati o ns a b o v e 3 m 3 /s fr o m 2 00 0 t o 2 0 0 1 i n cl u d e d. M e as ur e m e nts st art t o b e u nst a bl e i n 2 0 0 8 a n d it is u n c h e c k e d b ef or e 1 9 9 7, s o t h e p eri o d c h o s e n f or c ali br ati o n is 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 7. V ali d ati o n c a n b e p erf or m e d usi n g t h e st ati o n l o c at e d i n Ti elt, sli g htl y u pstr e a m (st ati o n L 0 9 _ 1 4 A wit h a s urf a c e ar e a of a p pr o xi m ati v el y 2 6. 6 k m2 ). I n r ef er e n c e t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 , t h er e is n o dis c h ar g e d at a in L u m m e n ( Z w art e b e e k) b et w e e n 1 9 9 7 a n d 2 0 0 1. M or e o v er v al u es ar e missi n g or s us p e ct fr o m 2 0 0 8 o n. T h er ef or e, c ali br ati o n p eri o d is s el e ct e d b et w e e n 2 0 0 1 a n d 2 0 0 8 t o e ns ur e c o nti n u o us r eli a bl e o bs er v ati o ns. N ot e t h at t h er e is u n c ert ai nt y ass o ci at e d wit h a c orr e cti o n f or t h e eff e ct of pl a nt gr o wt h o n o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e ( dis c h ar g e w as c orr e ct e d t o b e l o w er t h a n a ct u al m e as ur e m e nts i n t h e s u m m er of 20 0 2 a n d 2 0 0 3). V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 r ef ers t o t h e b asi n of t h e Z w art W at er ri v er, g a u g e d i n M ol e nst e d e ( L 0 9 _ 1 4 7). D at a i s c h e c k e d wit h g o o d q u alit y si n c e 2 0 0 2. N ot e t h at t h e s e c o n d h alf of 2 0 0 7 is esti m at e d. F or t h e Z w art e b e e k dis c h ar g e i n L u m m e n ( V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ), v al u es ar e s us p e ct f or m ost of 2 0 1 1 a n d l ess t h a n g o o d q u alit y st arti n g A pril 2 0 1 2. T h er ef or e t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is li mit e d t o 2 0 0 1-2 0 0 8. T a bl e 2 1 a n d d e pi ct e d o n Fi g ur e 6 2 .

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 2 – S u b c at c h m e nt s a n d m e as ur e m e nt p oi nts i n t h e D e m er c at c h m e nt

6. 1 1. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or a diff er e nt p eri o d t h a n us u al ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). Y e ars 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 3 h a v e b e e n d el et e d fr o m t h e si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 d u e u nr eli a bl e (s us pi ci o usl y hi g h) m e as ur e d b as e fl o w. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 h as p orti o ns of dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts wit h m o d er at e t o p o or q u alit y, or missi n g v al u es fr o m A u g ust 2 0 1 0, r es ulti n g i n t h e y e ars 1 9 9 7-2 0 1 0 b ei n g us e d f or c ali br ati o n. N ot e t h at d at a i n 2 0 0 1 a n d b ef or e is u n c h e c k e d a n d t h er ef or e m or e u n c ert ai n. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of 2 0 1 1 a n d b et w e e n 1 1/ 0 5/ 2 0 0 3 -3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 4, s o t h e c al i br ati o n p eri o d 1 9 9 8-2 0 1 0 h as b e e n us e d. I n t h e c as e of t h e H er k i n K er mt/ S p al b e e k (V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ), d at a is c h e c k e d fr o m 2 0 0 2 u ntil 2 0 1 6, wit h t h e e x c e pti o n of 2 0 1 0. T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is t h er ef or e c h os e n fr o m 2 0 0 3 t o 2 0 1 3 i n or d er t o e ns ur e m a xi m u m r eli a bilit y d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n. T h e y e ars b ef or e ar e us e d f or v ali d ati o n n e v ert h el ess. T h er e is n o o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a f or V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 aft er 2 0 1 0. Hi g h dis c h ar g e v al u es ar e esti m ati o ns a b o v e 3 m 3 /s fr o m 2 0 0 0 t o 2 0 0 1 i n cl u d e d. M e as ur e m e nts st art t o b e u nst a bl e i n 2 0 0 8 a n d it is u n c h e c k e d b ef or e 1 9 9 7, s o t h e p eri o d c h os e n f or c ali br ati o n is 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 7. V ali d ati o n c a n b e p erf or m e d usi n g t h e st ati o n l o c at e d i n Ti elt, sli g htl y u pstr e a m (st ati o n L 0 9 _ 1 4 A wit h a s urf a c e ar e a of a p pr o xi m ati v el y 2 6. 6 k m2 ). I n r ef er e n c e t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 , t h er e is n o dis c h ar g e d at a i n L u m m e n ( Z w art e b e e k) b et w e e n 1 9 9 7 a n d 2 0 0 1. M or e o v er v al u es ar e missi n g or s us p e ct fr o m 2 0 0 8 o n. T h er ef or e, c ali br ati o n p eri o d is s el e ct e d b et w e e n 2 0 0 1 a n d 2 0 0 8 t o e ns ur e c o nti n u o us r eli a bl e o bs er v ati o ns. N ot e t h at t h er e is u n c ert ai nt y ass o ci at e d wit h a c orr e cti o n f or t h e eff e ct of pl a nt gr o wt h o n o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e ( dis c h ar g e w as c orr e ct e d t o b e l o w er t h a n a ct u al m e as ur e m e nts i n t h e s u m m er of 2 0 0 2 a n d 2 0 0 3).

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 r ef ers t o t h e basi n of t h e Z w art W at er ri v er, g a u g e d i n M ol e nst e d e ( L 0 9 _ 1 4 7). D at a is c h e c k e d wit h g o o d q u alit y si n c e 2 0 0 2. N ot e t h at t h e s e c o n d h alf of 2 0 0 7 is esti m at e d. F or t h e Z w art e b e e k dis c h ar g e i n L u m m e n ( V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ), v al u es ar e s us p e ct f or m ost of 2 0 1 1 a n d l ess t h a n g o o d q u alit y st arti n g A pril 2 0 1 2. T h er ef or e t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is li mit e d t o 2 0 0 1-2 0 0 8. T a bl e 2 1 a n d T a bl e 2 2 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e D e m er b asi n f or t h e c ali br ati o n a n d v ali d ati o n p eri o d. Gr a p hs of t h e c at c h me nts wit h c o d e V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 (w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 6 3 t o Fi g ur e 6 8). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er c at c h m e nts, s e e A n n e x 1 1 . Asi d e fr o m V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 a n d V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 , t h e c at c h m e nts i n t his b asi n s h o w e d g o o d e v al u ati o n p ar a m et ers of t h e m o d el, d es pit e t h e f a ct of t h e dis pr o p orti o n alit y of t h e ar e as of t h es e c at c h m e nts fr o m o n e t o a n ot h er. W h e n t h e l o w fl o ws ar e w ell si m ul a t e d f or V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 , t h e si m ul at e d fl o ws d uri n g t h e tr a nsiti o n a n d t h e hi g h fl o ws p eri o d ar e o v er esti m at e d c o m p ari n g t o t h e g a u g e d o n es. W h e n it c o m es t o V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 , t h e si m ul at e d c u m ul ati v e t ot al fl o w is q uit e hi g h er t h a n t h e g a u g e d o n e fr o m 1 9 9 8 t o 2 01 0. T his r efl e cts t h e p o or p erf or m a n c e of t h e m o d el si n c e it o v er esti m at es t h e b as e fl o w a n d it c a n b e e x pli citl y vi e w e d d uri n g 1 9 9 9. R e m ar ks o n t h e d at a: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or a diff er e nt p eri o d t h a n us u al ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). Y e ars 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 3 h a v e b e e n d el et e d fr o m t h e si m ul ati o n of t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 d u e u nr eli a bl e (s us pi ci o usl y hi g h) m e as ur e d b as e fl o w. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 h as p orti o ns of dis c h ar g e m e as ur e m e nts wit h m o d er at e t o p o or q u alit y, or missi n g v al u es fr o m A u g ust 2 0 1 0, r es ul ti n g i n t h e y e ars 1 9 9 7-2 0 1 0 b ei n g us e d f or c ali br ati o n. N ot e t h at d at a i n 2 0 0 1 a n d b ef or e is u n c h e c k e d a n d t h er ef or e m or e u n c ert ai n. T h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a a v ail a bl e fr o m t h e b e gi n ni n g of 2 0 1 1 a n d b et w e e n 1 1/ 0 5/ 2 0 0 3 -3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 4, s o t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d 1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0 h as b e e n us e d. I n t h e c as e of t h e H er k i n K er mt/ S p al b e e k (V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ), d at a is c h e c k e d fr o m 2 0 0 2 u ntil 2 0 1 6, wit h t h e e x c e pti o n of 2 0 1 0. T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is t h er ef or e c h os e n fr o m 2 0 0 3 t o 2 0 1 3 i n or d er t o e ns ur e m a xi m u m r eli a bilit y d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n. T h e y e ars b ef or e ar e us e d f or v ali d ati o n n e v ert h el ess. T h er e is n o o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e d at a f or V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 aft er 2 0 1 0. Hi g h dis c h ar g e v al u es ar e esti m ati o ns a b o v e 3 m 3 /s fr o m 2 0 0 0 t o 2 0 0 1 i n cl u d e d. M e as ur e m e nts st art t o b e u nst a bl e i n 2 0 0 8 a n d it is u n c h e c k e d b ef or e 1 9 9 7, s o t h e p eri o d c h os e n f or c ali br ati o n is 1 9 9 7 -2 0 0 7. V ali d ati o n c a n b e p erf or m e d usi n g t h e st ati o n lo c at e d i n Ti elt, sli g htl y u pstr e a m (st ati o n L 0 9 _ 1 4 A wit h a s urf a c e ar e a of a p pr o xi m ati v el y 2 6. 6 k m 2 ). I n r ef er e n c e t o t h e c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 , t h er e is n o dis c h ar g e d at a i n L u m m e n ( Z w art e b e e k) b et w e e n 1 9 9 7 a n d 2 0 0 1. M or e o v er v al u es ar e missi n g or s us p e ct fr o m 2 0 0 8 o n. T h er ef or e, c ali br ati o n p eri o d is s el e ct e d b et w e e n 2 0 0 1 a n d 2 0 0 8 t o e ns ur e c o nti n u o us r eli a bl e o bs er v ati o ns. N ot e t h at t h er e is u n c ert ai nt y ass o ci at e d wit h a c orr e cti o n f or t h e eff e ct of pl a nt gr o wt h o n o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e ( dis c h ar g e w as c or r e ct e d t o b e l o w er t h a n a ct u al m e as ur e m e nts i n t h e s u m m er of 2 0 0 2 a n d 2 0 0 3). V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 r ef ers t o t h e b asi n of t h e Z w art W at er ri v er, g a u g e d i n M ol e nst e d e ( L 0 9 _ 1 4 7). D at a is c h e c k e d wit h g o o d q u alit y si n c e 2 0 0 2. N ot e t h at t h e s e c o n d h alf of 2 0 0 7 is esti m at e d. F or t h e Z w art e b e e k dis c h ar g e i n L u m m e n ( V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ), v al u es ar e s us p e ct f or m ost of 2 0 1 1 a n d l ess t h a n g o o d q u alit y st arti n g A pril 2 0 1 2. T h er ef or e t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d is li mit e d t o 2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 8.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M T a bl e 2 1 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5, 8

0. 7 1 9

0. 6 6 2

-0. 2

1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0

1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0. 3 9 5

0. 7 1 3

0. 6 2 7

-0. 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

Irr el e v a nt gi v e n t h e siz e of t h e c at c h m e nt ( m a x 1 0)

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( S p al b e e k)

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4. 6 0 2

0. 6 0 7

0. 5 4 7

-1. 2

2 0 0 3 -2 0 1 2

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art W at er ( affl u e nt of D e H ul p e); M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0. 1 3

0. 4 0 3

0. 0 1 7

-1. 6

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L ost i n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5. 1 7 6

0. 2 5

0. 2 4 3

1 8. 8

1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 0

< 2000: 8 >= 2000: 4

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; Lu m men

V09 M A N161040

1 0 3. 0 8 1

0. 6 6 6

0. 6 1 5

-0. 2

1 9 9 8 -2 0 1 0

1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

V09 M OT144270

3 3. 5 9

0. 6 4 7

0. 5 0 9

1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 7

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6. 8 0 1

0. 7 2 5

0. 6 5 7

0. 5

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

1 4 1 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4. 7 3 9

0. 6 7 5

0. 5 8

2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3

< 2001: 10 >= 2001: 2

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; Lu m men

V09Z W A148120

9 6. 5 1 5

0. 6 3 7

0. 4 8

3. 2

2 0 0 1 -2 0 0 8

T a bl e 2 2 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e D e m er b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H ass elt

V09 DE M136000

2 5 5. 8 8 2

0. 6 5 4

0. 5 5

-1. 3

1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3

1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H a l e n

V09 GET152080

8 0 0, 4

0. 6 6 1

0. 5 8

6. 3

1 9 6 9 -2 0 1 2

1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

V09 HE R163010

2 7 4, 6

0. 5 9 4

0. 4 9 8

1 9 7 7 -2 0 1 3

1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e nst e d e

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

8 0, 1

0. 4 3 6

0. 1 0 1

1 0. 3

1 9 8 7 -2 0 1 3

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

1 5, 2

0. 2 6 5

0. 2 9 9

6. 7

1 9 8 7 -2 0 1 2

1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

V09 M A N161040

1 0 3, 1

0. 6 6 9

0. 5 6 9

0. 7

1 9 8 4 -2 0 0 9

1 4 A - M ott e; Ti elt

V09 M OT14 A100

3 3, 6

0. 5 2 5

0. 2 0 8

-1 3

2 0 0 9 -2 0 1 3

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

9 6. 8 0 1

0. 6 7 1

0. 5 9 4

1 9 6 7- 2 0 1 3

1 4 1 - R ots el a ar ; Wi n g e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

6 4, 7

0. 5 7 9

0. 5 8 5

3. 9

1 9 8 7 -2 0 1 3

1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

V09Z W A148120

9 6, 5

0. 5 4 5

0. 3 3 6

-9. 7

1 9 8 3 -2 0 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g (V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 )

Fi g ur e 6 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g ( 1 9 9 7- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 6 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m³] o n V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g ( 1 9 9 7- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a ns b er g

1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al (V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 )

Fi g ur e 6 6 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e ) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 0 1 3)

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al ( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 6 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h a r g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L osti n g; W ez e m a al

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 1 2 N et e b e k k e n 6. 1 2. 1 C o nt e xt T h e N et e c at c h m e nt r e a c h es o v er 1 6 7 3 k m² a n d is l o c at e d i n N ort h -E ast of Fl a n d ers. It c a n b e di vi d e d i nt o t w o c at c h m e nts c orr es p o n di n g t o t h e m ai n ri v ers: Kl ei n e N et e a n d Gr ot e N et e. T h es e t wo ri v ers fl o w t o g et h er i n Li er, w h er e t h e y c oi n ci d e i n t h e B e n e d e n -N et e . T his fl o ws t o g et h er wit h t h e Dijl e t o b e c o m e t h e R u p el. T h e N et e b asi n a c c o u nts f or 8 % of t h e t ot al s urf a c e ar e a of t h e S c h el dt b asi n. T h er e ar e 5 g a u gi n g st ati o ns us e d f or c ali br ati o n of t h e r ai nf all -r u n off m o d els, c o v eri n g 6 3 % of t h e N et e c at c h m e nt s urf a c e ar e a.

Fi g ur e 6 9 – S u b c at c h m e nts a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e N et e b asi n

6. 1 2. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e T a bl e 2 3 a n d T a bl e 2 4 pr es e nt g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e N et e b asi n. Gr a p hs of si m ul ati o ns of t h e c at c h m e nts wit h c o d e V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ( w orst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w (Fi g ur e 7 0 t o Fi g ur e 6 2 ). F or m or e d et ail e d r es ults o n t h e ot h er s u b c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 1 2 . T h e m o d el p erf or m a n c e is s atisf a ct or y f or m ost of t h e c at c h m e nts i n t h e N et e b asi n, wit h N S E a n d L o g N S E v al u es a b o v e 0. 6 0 a n d R el ati v e err or v al u es l o w er t h a n ± 2 (i. e. V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 , V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ). H o w e v er, it is n e c ess ar y t o hi g hli g ht t h e diffi culti es f o u n d i n s o m e of t h e c at c h m e nts. It is k n o w n t h at wit hi n t his c at c h m e nt s e v er al w at er c o urs es ar e li a bl e t o a b u n d a nt v e g et ati o n, w hi c h c a us es c h a n g es i n t h e q( h) r el ati o ns hi ps at t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n. T his l e a ds t o m or e u n c ert ai nti es i n t h e g a u g e d dis c h ar g es. Alt h o u g h t h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0 pr es e nts g o o d st atisti c al r es ults f or t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( T a bl e 2 3 ), t h er e is a t e n d en c y t o u n d er esti m at e l o w fl o ws.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

F or t h e c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 , e v e n t h o u g h t h e N S E a n d N S E _l o g r e a c h e d v al u es hi g h er t h a n 0. 7, w e f o u n d t h e c ali br at e d m o d el o v er esti m ati n g t h e fl o w b et w e e n F e br u ar y 2 0 0 5 a n d J ul y 2 0 0 5, a n d u n d er esti m ati n g it b et w e e n t h e p eri o d J ul y 2 0 0 5 a n d D e c e m b er 2 0 0 5. B ut w h e n it c o m es t o V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 , t h e l o w fl o ws ar e w ell si m ul at e d a n d s h o w g o o d c orr el a ti o n wit h t h e g a u g e d fl o ws. A l ot of d at a ar e missi n g d uri n g t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d f or V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 , w hi c h a ut o m ati c all y aff e cts t h e p erf or m a n c e of t his m o d el. T h e c ali br ati o n of t h e l o w fl o w p eri o d di d n’t t a k e pl a c e, n ot all o wi n g us t o e v al u at e h o w t his m o d el p erf or m. Als o, t h e si m ul at e d fl o w d uri n g t h e tr a nsiti o n p eri o d is v er y u nst a bl e d u e t o t h e dist ur b a n c e of t h e g a u g e d d at a. D at a r e m ar ks: S o m e c at c h m e nts ar e c ali br at e d f or diff er e nt p eri o ds as t h e n or m all y us e d ( 2 0 0 1 -2 0 1 3). T h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k i n V orst ( V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0) d o es n ot h a v e dis c h ar g e d at a fr o m 2 0 0 8 a n d d uri n g t h e y e ars 1 9 9 7 a n d 1 9 9 8, s o t h at t h e p eri o d s el e ct e d f or t h e c ali br ati o n of t his c at c h m e nt is s h ort er ( 1 9 9 9-2 0 0 7). T h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d of t h e c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 is 2 0 0 3-2 0 1 3 si n c e t h er e is n ot d at a a v ail a bl e i n 2 0 0 2. T h e c at c h m e nt wit h c o d e V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 d o es n ot h a v e d at a fr o m 2 3/ 0 4/ 2 0 1 0 t o 1 1/ 1 0/ 2 0 1 1 a n d fr o m 0 1/ 0 1/ 2 0 0 4 t o 3 1/ 1 2/ 2 0 0 6. R ai nf all w as r e c or d e d i n H o ut h ulst, cl os est t o t h e c at c h m e nt, st arti n g i n J u n e 2 0 0 8 o nl y. R ai nf all d at a b ef or e t h e n is t h er ef or e l ess r eli a bl e. A c o nti n u o us p eri o d of 1 3 is t h us us e d fr o m 1 9 9 1 t o 2 0 0 3. A c c or di n g t o t h e g a u gi n g st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst ( V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0), t h e c ali br ati o n p eri o d o nl y l asts until t h e y e ar 2 0 0 7 d u e t o u n a v ail a bilit y of dis c h ar g e d at a. T a bl e 2 3 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b a si n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

A p pr o x. dist a n c e t o r ai n g a u g e o v er c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( k m)

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2, 6

0. 7 3 8

0. 6 5 6

-0. 4

1 9 9 9 -2 0 0 7

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

2 4 3, 5

0. 7 1 6

0. 6 8 3

-2

2 0 0 3 -2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10K NE052000

5 8 4, 7

0. 7 5 6

0. 7 2

-0. 2

2 0 0 1 - 20 1 3

1 0 ( l ar g e b asi n)

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

0. 6 1 3

0. 6 5 8

1. 1

1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 3

< 2001: 8 >= 2001: 6 2010: 12

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 7

0. 6 2 5

0. 5 9 9

0. 6

1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 7

< 2008: 8 >= 2008: 2

T a bl e 2 4 – O v er v i e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e N et e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V orst

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

6 2. 6 2 1

0. 5 7 5

0. 3 2 9

-1 6. 7

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

V10 G NE076999

3 5 9. 8 8 5

0. 6 8 4

0. 5 9 5

-4. 5

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

V10K NE052000

5 8 4. 6 6 9

0. 7 7 2

0. 6 9 8

-1. 4

1 9 6 7 -2 0 1 3

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

V10 M OP062140

7 7, 3

0. 6 4 7

0. 6 4 5

1 5. 7

1 9 8 7 -2 0 1 3

8 2 1 0 1 0 2 – Wi e k e v orst

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

6 5, 7

0. 5 6 7

0. 5 2 9

1 3. 6

1 9 9 0 -2 0 0 7

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0)

Fi g ur e 7 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 7 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e (V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 )

Fi g ur e 7 3 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ul l e ( 2 0 0 3- 2 0 1 5)

Fi g ur e 7 4 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m³] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( 2 0 0 3- 2 0 1 5)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7 5 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m³/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 1 3 M a as b e k k e n 6. 1 3. 1 C o nt e xt T h e M e us e b asi n is t h e s e c o n d bi g g est h y dr o gr a p hi c distri ct of B el gi u m ( a b o ut 2 0. 4 5 0 k m² i n Vis é). T h e M e us e ri v er h as its s o ur c e i n Fr a n c e i n P o uill y-e n B assi g n y a n d e nt ers B el gi u m i n A gi m o nt. T h e g a u gi n g st ati o n of C h o oz, l o c at e d i n Fr a n c e, is t h e cl os est t o t h e W all o o n b or d er. T h e m ai n tri b ut ari es of t h e W all o o n M e us e ar e t h e S a m br e ( a b o ut 2. 7 0 0 k m²), m e eti n g t h e M e us e i n N a m ur, a n d t h e O urt h e ( a b o ut 3. 6 0 0 k m²) i n Li è g e. Fi g ur e 1 ( o n t h e n e xt p a g e) s h o ws a m a p of t h e M e us e b asi n i n W all o ni a, wit h a first s el e cti o n of fl o w m e as uri n g st ati o ns ( y ell o w d ots) a n d t h eir c orr es p o n di n g c at c h m e nts. T h e c at c h m e nt d eli n e ati o n w a s b as e d o n t h e GI S r es o ur c es of t h e W all o o n r e gi o n ( S P W). T h e s urf a c e ar e a c al c ul at e d b as e d o n t h es e p ol y g o ns m at c h es cl os el y t h e d at a p u blis h e d b y S P W o n t h e “I nf o cr u e ” w e bsit e f or e a c h c at c h m e nt ( w h e n a v ail a bl e). S e v e n st ati o ns w er e us e d t o c ali br at e t h e diff er e nt tri b ut ari es ( T a bl e 1 ). C h o oz st ati o n (l o c at e d i n Fr a n c e) is c o nsi d er e d t o m e as ur e t h e e nt eri n g fl o w of t h e M e us e at t h e Fr e n c h b or d er, w hi l e S olr e st ati o n is r e c or di n g t h e e nt eri n g fl o w f or t h e S a m br e. T h e st ati o n i n Pr of o n d e vill e o nl y pr o vi d es w at er l e v el m e as ur e m e nts a n d will b e us e d as c o ntr ol. T h e st ati o n i n A m a y will als o b e us e d as d o w nstr e a m c o ntr ol. A si m ul at e d ti m e s eri es f or A m a y c a n b e c o nstr u ct e d, a g gr e g ati n g t o g et h er all si m ul ati o n r es ults fr o m t h e 5 c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m A m a y (' F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2', ' W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9', ' W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0', ' W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0') a n d u n g a u g e d z o n e u pstr e a m A m a y (' W 1 1 M A A 0 0 3 0').

Fi g ur e 7 6 – S u b c at c h m e nt s a n d m e as ur e p oi nts f or t h e M e us e b asi n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

6. 1 3. 2 M o d el p erf or m a n c e 3 T a bl e 2 5 a n d b asi n. Gr a p hs W11 H OY5990 r es ults o n t h e

T a bl e 2 6 pr es e nt t h e g e n er al p erf or m a n c e st atisti cs f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nts of t h e N et e of si m ul ati o ns of t h e c at c h m e nts wit h c o d e W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5 ( b est m o d el p erf or m a n c e) a n d ( worst m o d el p erf or m a n c e) ar e pr es e nt e d b el o w ( Fi g ur e 7 7 t o Fi g ur e 8 2 ). F or mor e d et ail e d ot h er s u b c at c h m e nts is r ef err e d t o A n n e x 1 3.

W hil e t h e si m ul at e d c u m ul ati v e t ot al fl o w f or W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0 is r e all y cl os e t o t h e g a u g e d o n e, t h e si m ul at e d l o w fl o w is n ot c orr es p o n d a nt t o t h e g a u g e d o n e. I n f a ct, t h er e ar e m a n y sl o pes t h at w er e n’t s u p p os e d t o h a p p e n. F or t h e c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5 , t h e o v er all si m ul at e d fl o ws ar e si mil ar t o t h e g a u g e d o n es. F or s e v er al s u b c at c h m e nts, li mit e d ti m e s eri es of o bs er v e d dis c h ar g e ar e a v ail a bl e. N o v ali d ati o n is t h er ef or e p ossi bl e o n disti n c t y e ars of d at a f or t h os e st ati o ns. T his is t h e c as e f or W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0 , W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0 a n d W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9 . C o ntr ol st ati o ns d o w nstr e a m ( Pr of o n d e vill e a n d A m a y) ar e t h us us ef ul t o v ali d at e t h e m o d els of t h e s u b c at c h m e nts m or e u pstr e a m. T a bl e 2 5 – O v er vi e w of c ali br ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e M e us e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

C ali br ati o n p eri o d

C h o oz, M e us e

F11 M A A8702

10120

0. 7 0 5

0. 7 6 4

-0. 7

2002 – 2013

M o eli n g e n, B er wij n

W11 BE R551010

128

0. 6 2 2

0. 6 4 6

0. 3

1994-2006

M ar c hi n, H o y o u x

W11 H OY5990

242

0. 4 5 6

0. 6 8 8

-0. 1

2001 – 2013

W a nz e, M e h ai g n e

W11 ME H5820

3 5 5. 8

0. 6 0 4

0. 5 7 9

-1. 7

2004 – 2013

A n gl e ur, O urt h e

W11 O UR5805

3607

0. 7 0 6

0. 8 0 3

0. 6

2001 – 2013

S alzi n n e, S a m br e

W11S A M7319

2636

0. 7 2 8

0. 6 3 6

-0. 5

2007 -2012

T a bl e 2 6 – O v er vi e w of v ali d ati o n r es ults f or g a u g e d c at c h m e nts o n t h e M e us e b asi n

G a u gi n g st ati o n

C at c h m e nt c o d e

Ar e a ( k m²)

NSE

l og NSE

R el Err ( %)

V ali d ati o n p eri o d

C h o oz, M e us e

F11 M A A8702

10120

0. 7 0 5

0. 7 7 5

2. 5

1990 – 2013

M o eli n g e n, B er wij n

W11 BE R551010

128

0. 5 1 1

0. 3 0 4

5. 5

1992 -2013

M ar c hi n, H o y o u x

W11 H OY5990

242

0. 4 5

0. 6 8 3

-0. 8

2001 -2013

W a nz e, M e h ai g n e

W11 ME H5820

12585

0. 6 1 8

0. 6 4

-1 4. 6

2001 -2013

A n gl e ur, O urt h e

W11 O UR5805

3607

0. 7 0 6

0. 7 9

1. 9

1974 -2013

S alzi n n e, S a m br e

W11S A M7319

2636

0. 7 1 3

0. 6 0 7

-1. 8

2007 -2013

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A n gl e ur, O urt h e (W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5 )

Fi g ur e 7 7 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis( 2 0 0 1- 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 7 8 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7 9 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bis

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

M ar c hi n, H o y o u x (W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0 )

Fi g ur e 8 0 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

Fi g ur e 8 1 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e dis c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 8 2 – M e as ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y dis c h ar g e [ m 3/s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nts o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

S u m m ar y

As st at e d b ef or e, t h e c o m pr e h e nsi v e r es ults f or e a c h of t h e c ali br at e d s u b c at c h m e nts, ar e att a c h e d fr o m A n n e x 3 t o A n n e x 1 2 . I n t h es e A n n e x es t h e c ali br ati o n s u m m ar y, gr a p hs a n d st atisti cs ar e list e d. T o gi v e a q ui c k o v er vi e w of t h e o v er all r es ult f or t h e c ali br at e d h y dr ol o gi c al V H M m o d els, a g e o gr a p hi c al s u m m ar y is gi v e n i n A n n e x 1 3 a n d A n n e x 1 5 . B as e d o n t h e st atisti cs f or e a c h of t h e V H M m o d els, a r e cl assifi c ati o n is p erf or m e d t o r es ult i n a q u ot ati o n f or t h e o v er all m o d el p erf or m an c e . T his q u ot ati o n is t h e n i n c or p or at e d i n a g e n er al m a p f or t h e st u d y ar e a.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C o n cl usi o ns a n d r e c o m m e n d ati o ns

T h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b a si n will b e us e d i n or d er t o p erf or m l o w fl o w f or e c asts a n d c al c ul at e cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e g o a l of t his s u bt as k of t h e pr oj e ct ‘M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n’, is t o d efi n e t h e m ost a p pr o pri at e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el of t h e S c h el dt b asi n i n or d er t o m e et t his pr er e q uisit e. T h er ef or e, diff er e nt h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or e a c h of t h e s u b c at c h m e nts i n t h e st u d y ar e a ar e s et u p a n d e v al u at e d o n t h eir a p pr o pri at e n ess f or l o w fl o w f or e c asti n g a n d cli m at e c h a n g e s c e n ari os. T h e r e g ar d e d m o d els ar e N A M ( © D HI), P D M ( ©I n n o v yz e), V H M ( © Wi ll e ms, P.) a n d W ets p a ( © V U B). T his s u br e p ort c o v ers t h e r e c ali br ati o n a n d e v al u ati o n of t h e V H M m o d els. H y dr ol o gi c al V H M m o d els f or t h e g a u g e d c at c h m e nt s (i. e. c at c h m e nts u pstr e a m of a g a u gi n g st ati o n) w er e r e c ali br at e d w h er e b y t h e f o c us is m ai nl y o n l o w fl o ws. A sli g ht m o difi c ati o n i n t h e c ali br ati o n pr o c e d ur e f or V H M w as i ns ert e d. A m a n u al c ali br ati o n r o u n d, b as e d o n t h e vis u al o bs er v ati o n, w as i ntr o d u c e d t o s c a n f or i niti al p ar a m et ers. T h e V H M m a n u al c ali br ati o n t o ol, d e v el o p e d b y K. U. L e u v e n - H y dr a ul i cs L a b or at or y, all o w e d t o p erf or m a n i niti al (s e nsiti vit y) a n al ysis of t h e p ar a m et ers t o q u a ntif y t h eir i nfl u e n c e o n t h e fl o w s eri es. T his st e p all o w e d t o i d e ntif y k e y p ar a m et ers f or c ali br ati o n, a n d t o esti m at e ri g ht i nt er v als f or t h e p ar a m et ers. S u bs e q u e ntl y, t h e a ut o m ati c o pti miz ati o n pr o c e d ur e f oll o w e d b y a vis u al c o ntr ol w as c arri e d o ut . D uri n g t h e o pti miz ati o n r o uti n e t h e b est p ar a m et ers s et is s el e ct e d f or e a c h c at c h m e nt b as e d o n 2 crit eri a: ( 1) a bs ol ut e err or o n c u m ul at e d t ot al fl o w at e a c h ti m e st e p, a n d ( 2) l o g arit h mi c N as h -S ut cliff effi ci e n c y. T h e first crit eri o n ai ms t o m o d el t h e gl o b al fl o w p att er n, t h e l att er f o c us es m ai nl y o n t h e l o w fl o ws. As a r es ult, f or e a c h of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al c at c h m e nts, t h e V H M p ar a m et ers ar e u p d at e d. As t h e fi n al p erf or m a n c e of t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el is dir e ctl y d e p e n d e nt o n its h y dr ol o gi c al i n p ut, it is i m p ort a nt t o h a v e i nsi g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h es e h y dr ol o gi c al i n p ut m o d els. T his is als o t h e c as e w h e n usi n g t h e h y dr ol o gi c al ( e. g. V H M) m o d els as i n p ut f or si m ul ati o ns wit h t h e w at er b al a n c e m o d el. T h e s u m m ariz e d r es ults f or e a c h of t h e g a u g e d s u b c at c h m e nts wit hi n t h e st u d y ar e a, all o w t h e us er t o g et i nsi g ht i n t h e p erf or m a n c e of t h e V H M m o d el f or e a c h of t h e i n v ol v e d s u b c at c h m e nts. B as e d o n t his i nf or m ati o n a n d t h e e v al u ati o n of t h e P D M, N A M a n d W ets p a m o d els, t h e us er will b e a bl e t o m a k e a w ell -gr o u n d e d d e cisi o n o n w hi c h m o d el t o us e f or t h e c o nsi d er e d o bj e cti v e. T h er ef or e, t his s u m m arizi n g r e p ort s h o ul d b e c o ns ult e d b y a n y us er a p pl yi n g t h e c orr es p o n di n g V H M m o d els. I n t his w a y, t h e us er g ai ns i nsi g ht i n t h e u n c ert ai nti es a n d p erf or m a n c e of t h e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or e a c h of t h e c o nsi d er e d s u b c at c h m e nts.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

R ef er e n c es

D HI. 2 0 0 9. MI K E 1 1, A M o d elli n g S yst e m f or Ri v ers a n d C h a n n els, R ef er e n c e E n vir o n m e nt, H ors h ol m, D e n m ar k.

M a n u al. D HI

W at er &

I M D C ( Fr a n k e n, T.; S m ets, S.; P er eir a, F.; M ost a ert, F.), 2 0 1 0. Bijst a n d m o d eli nstr u m e nt ari u m h y dr ol o gi e: O p m a a k t o ol b o x h y dr ol o gis c h e m o d ell eri n g: G e br ui k ers h a n dl ei di n g. V ersi e 2 _ 0. W L R a p p ort e n, 7 0 6 _ 1 5 b. W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m e n I M D C: A nt w er p e n, B el gi ë K al y a n m o y D e b, A mrit Pr at a p, S a m e er A g ar w al, a n d T. M e y ari v a n. 2 0 0 2. A F ast Elitist M ulti -o bj e cti v e G e n eti c Al g orit h m: N S G A -II. I E E E Tr a ns a cti o ns o n E v ol uti o n ar y C o m p ut ati o n, 6( 2): 1 8 2 - 1 9 7, A pril 2 0 0 2. Kr a us e, P.; B o yl e, D. P. a n d B äs e F. 2 0 0 5. C o m p aris o n of diff er e nt effi ci e n c y crit eri a f or h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el ass ess m e nt, A d v a n c es i n G e os ci e n c es , 5, 8 9– 9 7. Li u, Y. a n d D e S m e dt, F. 2 0 0 4. W et S p a E xt e nsi o n, A GI S -b as e d H y dr ol o gi c M o d el f or Fl o o d Pr e di cti o n a n d W at ers h e d M a n a g e m e nt, D o c u m e nt ati o n a n d Us er M a n u al, D e p art m e nt of H y dr ol o g y a n d H y dr a uli c E n gi n e eri n g, Vrij e U ni v ersit eit Br uss el, 1 2 6 p. M a ds e n, H. 2 0 0 0. A ut o m ati c c ali br ati o n of a c o n c e pt u al r ai nf all – r u n off m o d el usi n g m ulti pl e o bj e cti v es, D HI W at er & E n vir o n m e nt , Ag er n All e ´ 1 1, D K-2 9 7 0 H ørs h ol m, D e n m ar k. M ar o y, E.; Mi c hi el s e n, S.; V el ez, C.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt, J.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n: S u b r e p ort 4 -2 – D e v el o pi n g a r ai nf all -r u n off m o d el of t h e M e us e – N A M M e us e. V ersi o n 1. 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -2. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p , B el gi u m. Mi c hi el s e n, S.; D e gr a n d e, L.; El y a h yi o ui, J.; V er e y c k e n, K.; P er eir a, F.; V a n d er ki m p e n, P.; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). M o d ell eri n g v a n w at er b es c hi k b a ar h ei d e n w at er all o c a ti estr at e gi e ë n i n h et S c h el d estr o o m g e bi e d: D e elr a p p ort 1 – V er b et er e n v a n h et m o d eli nstr u m e nt ari u m. V ersi e 1. 1. W L R a p p ort e n, 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 1. W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m: A nt w er p e n M o or e, R.J. 2 0 0 7. T h e P D M r ai nf al -r u n off m o d el, H y dr ol o g y a n d E art h S yst e m S ci e n c es , 1 1( 1), 4 8 3-4 9 9. N as h, J. E. a n d S ut cliff e, J. V. , 1 9 7 0. Ri v er fl o w f or e c asti n g t hr o u g h c o n c e pt u al m o d els, P art I - A dis c ussi o n of pri n ci pl es, J. H y dr ol., 1 0, 2 8 2 – 2 9 0. Tr a n, Q. Will e ms, P.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt J; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). Eff e ct of cli m ate c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of n a vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u b r e p ort 7 – D e v el o p m e nt of a fr a m e w or k f or fl e xi bl e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d elli n g. V ersi o n 1. 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 3 0 _ 7. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p, B el gi u m. Tr a n, Q. Will e ms, P.; P er eir a, F.; N oss e nt J; M ost a ert, F. ( 2 0 2 1). Eff e ct of cli m at e c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of n a vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u b r e p ort 8 – I m pl e m e nt ati o n a n d t esti n g of a fr a m e w or k f or fl e xi bl e h y dr ol o gi c al m o d elli n g. V ersi o n 1. 1. F H R R e p orts, 0 0 _ 1 3 0 _ 8. Fl a n d ers H y dr a uli cs R es e ar c h: A nt w er p, B el gi u m.

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

V a nst e e n ki st e, T.; P er eir a, F.; Will e ms, P. a n d M ost a ert, F. . 2 0 1 1. Eff e ct of cli m at e c h a n g e o n t h e h y dr ol o gi c al r e gi m e of n a vi g a bl e w at er c o urs es i n B el gi u m: S u br e p ort 2 – Cli m at e c h a n g e i m p a ct a n al ysis b y c o n c e pt u al m o d els. W L R a p p ort e n, pr oj e ct 7 0 6 _ 1 8, W at er b o u w k u n di g L a b or at ori u m & K U L e u v e n, D e c e m b er 2 0 1 1, 5 7 p. W L ( 2 0 0 6). O p m a a k v a n e e n Mi k e 1 1 m o d el v a n d e IJz er. 4 4 p. Will e ms, P. 2 0 1 4 P arsi m o ni o us R ai nf all -r u n off M o d el C o nstr u ctio n S u p p ort e d b y Ti m e S eri es Pr o c essi n g a n d V ali d ati o n of H y dr ol o gi c al E xtr e m es – P art 1: St e p wis e M o d el -Str u ct ur e I d e ntifi c a ti o n a n d C ali br ati o n A p pr o a c h. J. H y dr ol. 5 1 0, 5 7 8 – 5 9 0 p.

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 List of o pti miz e d p ar a m et ers f or g a u g e d c a t c h m e nts C at c h m e nt

Ar e a

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F06 B OS325001

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F11 M A A8702

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-6

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1 1. 6 0 7

8 6. 4 7 7

1 5 1 2. 0 7 8

V01 H A N488180

78558940

3 8 6. 0 4 3

1 9 7. 9 9 7

2. 2 6 2

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63423128

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V01 KE M492060

73892930

4 2 6. 1 3 8

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2. 3 9 5

1. 7 6

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1 4. 4

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V01 M AR496120

76136621

3 9 6. 8 3 1

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4. 9 5 3

-5. 3 7 8

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V01P OP491030

84868207

4 3 4. 2 2 3

1 8 2. 3 4 8

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V 01SS V 499140

16095000

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2. 9 7 9

1 2. 5 1 2

5 2. 4 4 8

7 1 9. 3 4 9

V02E DE442120

45489177

4 3 2. 4 3 9

1 9 8. 3 3 5

2. 9 2 6

1. 0 4 2

-7. 8 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 3 5

4. 9 6 2

1 3. 2 3 4

7 1. 8 5 4

8 7 5. 4 5 3

V02 HER426010

77272201

4 7 4. 9 0 3

2 4 6. 0 5 3

2. 3 5 3

0. 7 8 3

-7. 4 8 4

4. 1 6 5

-4. 4 3 8

4. 3 5 4

1 0. 3 7

7 2. 6 2 4

1 3 1 8. 3 1

V02 KE R422030

62718738

3 7 9. 3 3 4

3 1 2. 6 4 4

2. 7 0 9

0. 9 9 1

-8. 3 6 3

0. 8 5 7

-2. 8 8 7

1 6. 5 9 5

6 7. 1 3 5

1 4 8 7. 4 0 5

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

63980423

4 0 6. 9 2 9

2 0 0. 9 1 8

2. 1 5 6

0. 7 4 1

-6. 0 2 2

3. 0 9 7

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1 2

1 4. 8 6 9

6 6. 7 6

1 4 9 7. 4 1

V03P OE446000

1. 0 7 E + 0 8

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 3 8 1

3. 3 1 6

1. 1 5 1

-9. 5 7 1

3. 0 2 9

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8 4

1 2. 7 2 6

7 5. 9 6 2

9 4 5. 3 1

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

32561957

4 1 3. 5 7 3

2 4 8. 0 5 9

2. 1 5 6

0. 6 6 2

-9. 3 7 8

3. 1 4 5

-4. 5 5 3

4. 3 2 7

1 2. 4 4 3

2 8. 5 2 2

1 1 9 9. 1 4 8

V04 M O M037100

67301328

5 3 2. 4 3 9

1 5 9. 8 9 2

1. 9 8 4

0. 8 2 7

-4. 5 8 8

1. 6 3 6

-2. 8 2

2. 4 2 5

1 1. 6 5 1

6 2. 1 8

9 3 2. 5 9 6

V05 HE U403210

91912331

3 2 5. 8 4 7

2 0 6. 1 5 5

3. 2 7 7

1. 0 8 6

-5. 9 0 6

1. 7 7 1

-3. 9 7 6

1 2. 0 9

7 7. 6 9

7 0 0. 1 3 5

V05 M A N401230

2. 5 8 E + 0 8

4 4 0. 5 3

1 7 7. 6 1 4

2. 0 7 3

0. 9 4 6

-4. 4 8 6

4. 9 7 5

-3. 2 4 2

1 2. 6 8 8

4 8. 9 9

7 6 3. 4 1 2

V06 M A A347160

48678191

5 2 4. 4 9 8

1 7 5. 3 6

2. 3 1

0. 9 0 3

-3. 5 8 4

3. 6 7 1

-6

1 2. 2 4 6

6 2. 5 8 3

6 7 3. 1 4 3

V06Z W A3421 90

1. 1 2 E + 0 8

4 4 8. 2 4 7

1 6 8. 1 4 4

2. 1 1 4

1. 4 2 2

-3. 7 2

2. 1

-4. 1 2

2. 9 9 3

1 4. 3 4 2

5 9. 7 0 1

7 0 7. 3 7 3

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

88641710

4 4 5. 7 7 3

2 1 6. 2 1 4

2. 1 2 4

0. 6 7

-5. 3 4 7

4. 5 1 8

-4. 9 4 9

4. 5 8 4

1 4. 2 8 2

6 2. 7 2 7

1 1 5 6. 9 8 9

V07 M AR289015

1. 7 4 E + 0 8

4 1 0. 7 3 7

1 7 0. 8 4 5

2. 2 3 3

0. 9 1 6

-4. 5 9 3

-4. 3 5 1

2. 8 9

1 0. 7 8 8

5 8. 3 9 5

1 1 5 4. 7 6 9

V07 M OE282100

46367171

3 5 0. 3 9

1 6 1. 7 6 5

3. 4 1 3

2. 2 2 3

-6. 6 6 8

-5. 3 8 4

3. 6 1 2

1 6. 5 1 4

8 2. 3 6 1

1 3 3 9. 9 1 1

V07 M O G288020

23093628

5 3 7. 9 5 3

1 9 3. 1 1

2. 1 2 2

0. 5 8 4

-5. 3 4 7

4. 9 2 4

-4. 2 5 3

2. 9 9 1

1 4. 1 3 7

6 0. 6 3 7

6 8 3. 2 3 6

V08B AR111370

70079800

4 0 9. 7 2 5

2 8 6. 7 0 3

2. 1

0. 6 4 7

-5. 9 2 8

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9 3

7 5. 4 3

1 2 2 2. 5 9 6

V 0 8 DIJ 0 9 3 4 0 0

8. 6 1 E + 0 8

4 6 4. 1 4 1

1 5 8. 5 3 5

1. 7 8 1

0. 1

-3. 3 1 8

1. 0 5 5

-2. 7 8 4

0. 7 1 2

1 1. 8 7 6

6 4. 3 3 9

7 0 3. 7 3 5

V08Z U U233100

64771005

4 0 6. 2 8 8

1 5 6. 1 6 5

2. 0 9 4

0. 6 7 8

-5. 1 0 1

-4. 1 8 4

2. 9 9 2

1 2. 7 8 3

5 7. 9 1 2

7 8 0. 7 8 7

Fi n al v ersi o n

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

c OF2

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ar e a

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

V09 DE M136000

2. 5 6 E + 0 8

477605

260394

1. 9 3 2

0. 4 4 6

-5. 1 5 3

3. 0 3 4

-3. 9 5 4

2. 7 2 5

1 4. 9 9 4

5 5. 7 6 7

1 1 9 9. 9 3 2

V09 GET152080

8E+08

4 0 9. 1 2 2

1 5 8. 8 0 4

1. 9 7 2

0. 4 9 3

-5. 7 9 7

1. 6 0 3

-3. 9 7 9

8. 7 8 3

5 7. 4 7 7

1 8 0 2. 8

V09 HER163010

2. 7 5 E + 0 8

4 9 9. 4 1 2

1 6 8. 0 0 5

1. 9 7 4

0. 5 6 2

-6

-4. 0 3 2

1 4. 7 1 1

5 9. 3 5 9

9 1 5. 5 2 8

V 0 9 H UL 1 4 7 1 5 0

80130245

4 5 5. 9 6 8

2 2 4. 4 2 7

2. 6 7 4

2. 8 5 9

-4. 7 9 2

4. 7 8 9

-3. 0 1 8

1. 2 7 9

1 2. 9 4 8

6 5. 7 1 7

1 2 4 5. 0 1 5

V 0 9L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0

15176294

5 0 5. 9 8 5

1 7 8. 8 4 2

2. 0 5 4

0. 3 3

-5. 6 1 1

3. 9 6 2

-4. 5 4 1

2. 5 6 9

1 4. 0 5 3

9 0. 5 7 9

1 2 4 8. 2 4 5

V09 M A N161040

1. 0 3 E + 0 8

4 1 8. 7 3 3

1 5 6. 6 5 4

1. 8 9 2

0. 7 1 3

-4. 2 3 4

4. 0 3 3

-3. 2 8 7

0. 8 2 9

1 3. 1 6 2

8 6. 9 9 7

1 0 5 0. 4

V09 M OT144270

33590217

4 7 3. 1 5 8

1 6 8. 3 3 7

1. 9 4 7

0. 7 8 1

-5. 0 1 8

4. 7 7 1

-3. 9 1 1

5. 0 3 4

1 2. 4 8 2

6 5. 5 0 1

1 1 9 8. 0 0 4

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

96801128

4 1 5. 1 6

2 1 3. 3 8 5

2. 1 3 2

0. 6 3 2

-6. 5 0 6

5. 1 0 5

-4. 1 5 5

3. 8 0 4

9. 9 4 8

8 1. 7 4 9

1 4 9 8. 3 6 4

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

64739169

4 7 1. 2 9 2

1 6 5. 3 7 4

1. 9 9 1

0. 5 6 6

-4. 0 5 9

3. 5 5 8

-4. 0 5 7

2. 8 9 6

1 0. 5 3 6

8 1. 9 5 9

7 2 2. 8 9 1

V09Z W A148120

96514800

4 5 1. 6 1 7

1 5 8. 4 7 6

1. 8 2

0. 4 7 7

-5. 2 8 9

-3. 5 8 5

2. 8 5 2

1 5. 0 1 6

4 9. 6 2 2

7 2 4. 8 1 2

V 1 0 GL A 0 8 6 0 2 0

62621236

4 1 7. 7 6 6

2 5 3. 3 9 4

1. 6 5 5

0. 2 2 5

-7. 8 4 6

4. 4 9 9

-4. 4 5 7

4. 4 9 9

1 4. 3 7 7

8 3. 5 5 2

1 5 0 3. 0 0 4

V10 G NE076999

3. 6 E + 0 8

4 3 6. 3 0 6

2 3 3. 7 3

1. 8 3 4

0. 5 3 8

-5. 9 5 1

2. 3 7 7

-3. 7 5 3

1 3. 8 7 5

6 6. 5 8 1

1 6 2 2. 9 9 9

V10K NE052000

5. 8 5 E + 0 8

4 7 4. 6 4 6

2 0 2. 3 5 1

2. 1 0 1

1. 0 8 8

-6

0. 7 7 9

-3. 0 9 1

1 4. 0 8 2

5 6. 3 0 5

1 1 0 3. 0 1

V10 M OP062140

77319091

4 2 6. 3 5 8

2 1 0. 6 3 3

2. 1 8 1

0. 6 8 8

-5. 9 7 7

0. 1

-4. 1 5 7

1 0. 6 4 8

6 2. 2 3 7

6 6 7. 1 9 9

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

65701200

4 4 6. 8 5 2

1 4 5. 6 0 7

1. 9 6 9

0. 5 5 1

-4. 9 2 5

3. 4 2

-3. 6 3 5

1 1. 0 0 4

8 8. 5 9 2

8 7 2. 1 1 5

W 0 6 R H OL 5 4 1 0 0

1. 6 2 E + 0 8

4 8 2. 8 7 6

1 5 6. 5 9 3

1. 9 5 8

0. 4 6 6

-3. 7 9 3

2. 7 1 1

-3. 4 3 3

2. 0 6 4

1 1. 9 1 7

8 8. 2 4 5

7 3 9. 9 8

W 0 7 D E NL E S 0 0 4

5. 1 2 E + 0 8

4 5 7. 1 0 2

1 5 3. 7 8 1

1. 9 5 2

0. 4 6 3

-4. 6 9 3

1. 0 9 1

-3. 4 9 8

2. 8 6 7

1 2. 5 4 6

8 3. 7 6 4

1 0 8 5. 7 4 7

W08S A M R O N00 0

1. 3 4 E + 0 8

5 0 2. 8 6

1 6 2. 7 4

1. 9 3 8

0. 5 2 1

-3. 7 9 6

2. 5 5 7

-3. 7 0 3

1 3. 1 8 7

8 5. 8 0 7

1 3 2 4. 2 6 6

W08SE N R O N0 10

70364773

6 2 0. 9 8 8

1 4 2. 6 3 1

1. 9 5 1

0. 5 7

-3. 8 9 7

2. 6 4 2

-3. 4 7 3

2. 7 6 1

1 0. 5 2 5

5 8. 0 5 8

1 1 8 3. 9 1 7

W08SE NT U B030

2. 1 6 E + 0 8

4 5 6. 4 7 3

1 8 9. 1 5 7

2. 3 8 9

1. 2 2 7

-6. 4 9 6

7. 3 9 7

-4. 0 5 9

4. 5 1 1

1 4. 2 3 5

5 5. 6 3 9

1 7 5 0. 8 8

W11 BE R551010

1. 2 8 E + 0 8

3 2 1. 1 9 6

2 4 2. 1 4 9

2. 3 9 5

1. 0 0 6

-6. 0 3 8

6. 7 7 7

-4. 6 6 7

2. 5 9

1 3. 9 5 9

6 2. 9 5 9

1 2 2 3. 5 3 4

W11 H OY5990

2. 4 2 E + 0 8

6 0 1. 3 7 4

1 4 4. 4 6 1

1. 9 6 2

0. 7 9

-5. 4 3 9

-4. 9 3 7

1 3. 6 4 3

7 7. 3 8 8

1 1 9 3. 8 9 9

W 1 1J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0

4. 6 5 E + 0 8

5 2 2. 0 2 9

1 5 9. 0 3

1. 8 7 8

0. 1

-4. 0 1 6

0. 5 5 8

-6

0. 4 1 7

1 4. 3 9 5

6 0. 2 8

1 1 0 1. 5 2 8

W11 M A A P R OF

1. 2 6 E + 1 0

4 4 7. 8 9 6

1 9 2. 0 9 2

3. 0 4 9

2. 1 3 3

-6

-3. 7 2 3

1 4. 2 7 4

6 9. 6 9 7

1 1 4 8. 3 9 4

W11 ME H5820

3. 5 6 E + 0 8

3 9 6. 6 7

1 6 9. 9 2 3

2 0. 3 5

0. 4 4 7

-5. 2 5

3. 1 3 2

-4. 2 4 5

2. 9 1 9

1 2. 3 6 6

8 2. 4 9 5

1 0 7 4. 6 5 9

W11 O U R5805

3. 6 1 E + 0 9

4 7 2. 9 1 3

1 3 4. 8 4 1

2. 2 5 2

1. 6 4 6

-5. 8 8 5

4. 3 9 7

-3. 1 2 7

1 1. 8 2 5

7 0. 3 1 8

7 5 2. 4 4

W11S A M73 19

2. 6 4 E + 0 9

4 2 1. 9 4 9

2 5 3. 8 6 5

2. 6 5 5

0. 9 9 3

-6

0. 2 9

-3. 3 8 7

1 2. 9 1 9

8 7. 5 9 4

1 8 3 6. 6 8 8

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

c OF2

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 2 List of tr a nsf err e d p ar a m et ers f or u n g a u g e d c at c h m e nts C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

F 0 1YSE 4 6 8 0 0 0

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

F05 A A A000010

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

361120000

3 9 8. 4

2 0 6. 3

2. 9 5

1. 2 0

-8. 4 8

6. 2 1

-4. 6 5

5. 0 0

1 3. 4

105

1808

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

248452728

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 A A A571000

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

374113103

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

13.9

883

F05BEC386023

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

80086039

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05BEC386025

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

68930969

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05B O U386005

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

255392628

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 1 7

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

36547273

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 2 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

226006473

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386040

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

448818370

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386050

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

74083951

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386060

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

116669136

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U3 860 80

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

57192180

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386090

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

12829199

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386110

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

16919150

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386120

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

39450392

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386130

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

21724484

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386140

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

7480581

4 2 4. 0

233.4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386150

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

39193251

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386160

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

27005232

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 HE M000020

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

134010959

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 1 8

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

102249474

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 3 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

188699853

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

13.9

883

F 0 5 L OI 3 8 6 0 3 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

113093218

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 0 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

375288119

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

75860338

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

28126242

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 1 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

168458564

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 M AR386070

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

200520118

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 M AR386100

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

26635692

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

F 06 B OS 3 250 00

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

F 06 B OS 3 250 15

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

775406341

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

107626587

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 16

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

142957003

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 17

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

33675779

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 18

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

16911203

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 19

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

36767530

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06EC A325050

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

191873673

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06ERC325030

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

167654904

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06 H O G325070

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

208230656

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 R H O 3 2 5 0 6 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

80974476

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

464156652

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

805680274

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2.18

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6 S EL 3 2 5 0 4 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

201664095

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6SE N 3 2 5 0 1 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

599787214

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

N03BR A000160

W11BER551010

55104620

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

N11 M A A000060

V09 M OT144270

12970329080

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V01 H A N000160

V01 M AR496120

92888613

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

31890879

3 9 8. 4

2 0 6. 3

2. 9 5

1. 2 0

-8. 4 8

6. 2 1

-4. 6 5

5. 0 0

1 3. 4

105

1808

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 0 9 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3609701

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 1 0 0

V05 HE U403210

24028123

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 1 1 0

V05 HE U403210

6682382

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 1IJ Z 0 0 0 0 2 0

V01KE M492060

46105467

4 2 6. 1

1 6 4. 2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V01KE M000070

V01KE M492060

12910514

4 2 6. 1

164.2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V01 M AR000130

V01 M AR496120

27537367

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V01P OP000040

V01 M AR496120

34370958

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V01P OP000050

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

14704818

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 1SS V 0 0 0 1 5 0

V01 M AR496120

49650230

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V 0 2 A FL 0 0 0 1 4 0

V02E DE442120

20916085

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02BR U000110

W11BER551010

5853310

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 2I V A 0 0 0 2 2 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

23089888

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2J A B 0 0 0 0 4 0

V02KE R422030

24576621

3 7 9. 3

3 1 2. 6

2. 7 1

0. 9 9

-8. 3 6

0. 8 6

-5. 0 4

5. 0 0

1 6. 6

1487

V02K AT000100

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

11553682

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V02K G O000000

V03P OE446000

159793077

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V02K G O000080

V02E DE442120

V02K WE000050

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

11937762

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

16546999

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 7 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

46643041

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

31449434

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 9 0

W11BER551010

35092186

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V02 M OE000160

V02E DE442120

44401888

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02 N O O000150

V02E DE442120

9234592

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02 N W G000210

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

12358385

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2 RI V 0 0 0 0 7 0

V02E DE442120

5447570

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 2ST E 0 0 0 0 9 0

V02KE R422030

27293881

3 7 9. 3

3 1 2. 6

2. 7 1

0. 9 9

-8. 3 6

0. 8 6

-5. 0 4

5. 0 0

1 6. 6

1487

V 0 2ST E 0 0 0 1 1 5

W11BER551010

17760000

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 2 Z UI 0 0 0 0 6 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

24223288

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 2 Z UI 0 0 0 1 3 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

45783008

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 2 Z WI 0 0 0 2 0 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

34471720

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3.00

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 3 A FL 0 0 0 0 1 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

41215066

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 3 A FL 0 0 0 0 7 0

V02E DE442120

56667175

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 B OS 000 200

V02E DE442120

26155768

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 D UR000290

V02E DE442120

6434651

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 GE N000030

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

38982516

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V03 H O N000250

V02E DE4421 20

20326328

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 K AL 0 0 0 0 2 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

43880593

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 3 K AL 0 0 0 1 8 0

V02E DE442120

32685177

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 K EI 0 0 0 2 8 0

V02E DE442120

28337740

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03K G O000050

V02E DE442120

12903199

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03K GT000080

W11BER551010

46966621

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V03K GT000100

V05 HE U403210

70017789

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V03KR U000120

V02E DE442120

5007912

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L A N 0 0 0 1 9 0

V02E DE442120

14793221

432.4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 LI E 0 0 0 0 6 0

V02E DE442120

9399755

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L P K 0 0 0 1 3 0

V02E DE442120

40778180

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L P K 0 0 0 1 4 0

V04 M O M037100

50278956

5 3 2. 4

1 5 9. 9

1. 9 8

0. 8 3

-4. 5 9

1. 6 4

-2. 8 2

2. 4 3

1 1. 7

933

V03 M OP000260

V02E DE442120

31902535

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 RI E 0 0 0 0 4 0

V07 M O G288020

6140607

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V03R O D000110

V02E DE442120

V 0 3SL E 0 0 0 0 9 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

6937269

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

44159840

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 3S PL 0 0 0 2 1 0

V02E DE442120

5101420

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3ST E 0 0 0 2 4 0

V02E DE442120

10519358

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 V AL 0 0 0 2 2 0

V02E DE442120

19542165

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 WEE000230

V02E DE442120

24038269

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3ZS B 0 0 0 1 7 0

V03P OE446000

37827245

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V03Z WS0 001 50

V02E DE442120

34937521

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 6 0

V06Z W A3 421 90

184850804

4 4 8. 2

1 6 8. 1

2. 1 1

1. 4 2

-3. 7 2

2. 1 0

-4. 1 2

2. 9 9

1 4. 3

707

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 7 0

W11BER551010

18766706

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

67663418

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 8 5

W11BER551010

28326405

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 9 0

V09 DE M136000

361066506

4 7 7. 6

2 6 0. 4

1. 9 3

0. 4 5

-5. 1 5

3. 0 3

-3. 9 5

2. 7 3

1 5. 0

1200

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 2 0 0

V07 M AR289015

180989113

4 1 0. 7

1 7 0. 8

2. 2 3

0. 9 2

-4. 5 9

5. 0 0

-4. 3 5

2. 8 9

1 0. 8

1155

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 2 1 0

W11BER551010

37352188

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V04 D UR000080

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

13115959

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V04 D UR00009 0

V09 M OT144270

12911826

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 4L E D 0 0 0 0 4 5

V02E DE442120

10731840

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4L E D B O R 0 4 0

V02E DE442120

33815271

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4L O K 0 0 0 0 6 0

V09 M OT144270

12937291

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V04R UP000150

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

28627814

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 0 0

V09 M OT144270

21348172

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 1 0

V09 HER163010

232467654

4 9 9. 4

1 6 8. 0

1. 9 7

0. 5 6

-6. 0 0

5. 0 0

-4. 0 3

3. 0 0

1 4. 7

916

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 2 0

V03P OE446000

42342683

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 3 0

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

55558393

4 7 1. 3

1 6 5. 4

1. 9 9

0. 5 7

-4. 0 6

3. 5 6

-4. 0 6

2. 9 0

1 0. 5

723

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 7 0

V09 HER163010

97843094

4 9 9. 4

1 6 8. 0

1. 9 7

0. 5 6

-6. 0 0

5. 0 0

-4. 0 3

3. 0 0

1 4. 7

916

V 0 4 V LI 0 0 0 1 4 0

V09 M A N161040

65737530

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

V 0 4 Z EL 0 0 0 0 5 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

24207851

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 4 ZI E 0 0 0 1 2 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

52125854

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V04Z W A0 001 30

V08B AR111370

20223736

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

- 5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V05 G A V000260

V05 HE U403210

137842273

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 5 G EL 0 0 0 2 0 0

V05 HE U403210

47783349

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V05 HE U000220

V09 M OT144270

16883706

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 1 9 0

V01KE M492060

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 4 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

108826195

4 2 6. 1

1 6 4. 2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V09 M OT144270

21304814

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 5 0

V09 M OT144270

29836282

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 8 0

V03P OE446000

97730942

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 9 0

V02E DE442120

47172616

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 3 0 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

39155357

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 1 8 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

82706606

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

V05 M A N000270

V 0 1SS V 4 9 9 1 4 0

13017615

4 3 1. 6

175.3

2. 1 7

1. 0 9

-4. 5 3

5. 0 0

-3. 8 9

2. 9 8

1 2. 5

719

V 0 6 B EI 0 0 0 1 5 0

V07 M O G288020

19134016

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V06KBK000130

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

8261974

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V06 M A A000170

V07 M O G288020

4955439

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 1 4 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

56084506

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

87618176

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 2 1 0

V05 HE U403210

81083174

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 2 2 0

V02 HER426010

77342171

4 7 4. 9

2 4 6. 1

2. 3 5

0. 7 8

-7. 4 8

4. 1 7

-4. 4 4

4. 3 5

1 0. 4

1318

V06Z W A0 002 00

V09 M OT144270

867129

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 7 B EL 0 0 0 0 8 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

11538072

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V07 DE N000025

V07 M O G288020

27908996

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V07 DE N000060

V01 M AR496120

73022161

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V07 DE N000110

V05 HE U403210

97824902

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V07 GR A000090

V09 M OT144270

28283573

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V07 M OE000120

V07 M O G288020

8585990

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 0 3 0

V08B AR111370

53711139

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

-5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 0 5 0

V07 M OE282100

52610014

3 5 0. 4

1 6 1. 8

3. 4 1

2. 2 2

-6. 6 7

1 0. 0 0

-5. 3 8

3. 6 1

1 6. 5

1340

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 1 3 0

V09 M OT144270

22215247

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 7 W OL 0 0 0 0 4 0

V05 HE U403210

49430997

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V08 A AB000360

V01 M AR496120

60451204

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V08 BEY000240

V09 M OT144270

6114323

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08BR O000175

V07 M O G288020

6262734

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08BR U000180

W11BER551010

16024099

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 DIJ 0 0 0 4 3 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

16839367

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 8 DIJ 0 0 0 4 5 5

V09 M OT144270

9419886

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08 DR O000230

V07 M O G288020

1754271

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 8 GL A 0 0 0 4 5 0

V09 M OT144270

V08 GR O000070

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

29900000

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

W11BER551010

13748809

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 H AL 0 0 0 0 8 0

W11BER551010

10431011

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 H AR000250

W11BER551010

4183063

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 HER000120

V07 M O G288020

15606705

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 8 L EI 0 0 0 4 2 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

61999329

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 8L O B 0 0 0 3 0 0

W11BER551010

1727027

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8L O T 0 0 0 1 1 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

16677869

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V08 M A A000190

W11BER551010

25513368

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 M A A000320

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

41562062

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

V08 M AR000270

W11BER551010

2655242

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 MEC000390

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

2184480

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V08 MEC000440

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

21167200

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V08 M OB000090

V08B AR111370

52906589

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

-5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V 0 8 M OJ 0 0 0 2 2 0

W11BER551010

24744883

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 NEE000140

V07 M O G288020

24418401

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08P AR000210

V07 M O G288020

10526023

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 8S AS 0 0 0 3 5 0

V09 M OT144270

11122038

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8ST A 0 0 0 0 6 0

V07 M O G288020

8939127

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08T A N000290

W11BER551010

8645642

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T A N000330

W11BER551010

1728251

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T A N000340

W11BER551010

4308051

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T R A000280

W11BER551010

6403090

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 UKK000160

V09 M OT144270

16556510

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8 VI L 0 0 0 3 1 0

W11BER551010

2859650

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 VL E 0 0 0 1 5 0

W11BER551010

4942825

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 08 V OR000170

W11BER551010

4176350

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 VR O000460

V10 M OP062140

125593344

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V08 V U N000435

V09 M OT144270

25988270

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08 WEE000410

V09 M OT144270

68292349

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8 W OL 0 0 0 2 6 0

W11BER551010

46369269

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 W OL B R U 2 0 0

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

49508996

4 7 1. 3

1 6 5. 4

1. 9 9

0. 5 7

-4. 0 6

3. 5 6

-4. 0 6

2. 9 0

1 0. 5

723

V08Z U U00 013 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

25927026

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 9 AL B 0 0 0 0 1 0

V09 M OT144270

V 0 9 AL B 0 0 0 0 2 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

9868911

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 M OT144270

678840

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09BE G000160

V09 M OT144270

52288450

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 DE M000030

V09 M A N161040

111804714

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

V09 DE M000050

W11 O UR5805

17224252

4 7 2. 9

1 3 4. 8

2. 2 5

1. 6 5

-5. 8 9

4. 4 0

-3. 1 3

3. 0 0

1 1. 8

752

V09 DE M000070

W11BER551010

15263780

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 9 GL A 0 0 0 2 4 0

V09 M OT144270

13893219

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0.78

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 H EI 0 0 0 2 9 0

V09 M OT144270

11779955

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 HER000060

V09 M OT144270

17904828

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 HER000075

V09 M OT14427 0

4063569

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 H UL 0 0 0 1 7 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

10167667

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 9L A A 0 0 0 2 2 0

V09 M OT144270

4843899

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 L EI 0 0 0 1 8 0

V09 M OT144270

2290158

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

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1198

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V09 M A N000130

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2369062

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1198

V09 M OT000260

V09 M OT144270

8633853

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1198

V09 M O U000280

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V09 OSS 0 002 30

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12017257

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1198

V 0 9 V EL 0 0 0 1 1 0

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44224342

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1198

V09 V O O000090

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14913966

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1198

V09 V OS 00 020 0

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6343660

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1198

V09 WER000250

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1199

V 0 9 WIJ 0 0 0 1 9 0

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6951100

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1198

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17375263

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1198

V09Z W A0 001 40

V09 M OT144270

24807586

4 7 3. 2

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1198

V09Z W A0 002 10

V10 M OP062140

19313232

4 2 6. 4

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V 1 0 AL B 0 7 6 0 1 5

V10 G NE076999

24539871

4 3 6. 3

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1623

V10BER000100

V09 M OT144270

28572454

4 7 3. 2

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1198

V10BEV000120

V10 M OP0621 40

26918434

4 2 6. 4

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V 1 0 G ES 0 0 0 1 3 0

V09 M OT144270

42189781

4 7 3. 2

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1198

V10 G NE076010

V10 G NE076999

243532847

4 3 6. 3

2 3 3. 7

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3. 0 0

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1623

V10 G O O000080

V10 M OP062140

44302117

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

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V 1 0 KL A 0 7 6 0 3 0

V10 G NE076999

54041574

4 3 6. 3

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1623

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

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V10KRE000110

V09 M A N161040

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53928737

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1050

V09Z W A1 481 20

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725

V10 M OP000150

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32418924

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V10 NET000170

V10 M OP062140

66664720

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V10 NET000180

V09 M A N161040

80302347

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1050

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725

V10T AP000160

V10 M OP062140

46191820

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667

V 1 0 WI M 0 0 0 0 9 0

V09 M OT144270

29330881

4 7 3. 2

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4. 7 7

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1198

V 1 1 AL B 0 0 0 0 4 5

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44990800

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1 4. 0

1224

V11 M A A508050

V10K NE052000

837912122

4 7 4. 6

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1103

V11 V OE000010

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59555900

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1498

V 1 1 WI L 5 0 8 0 5 5

V09 DE M136000

21849142

4 7 7. 6

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1200

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91812026

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883

W 06 B OS 325 09 5

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256772308

4 3 5. 3

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1060

W 06 B OS 325 10 5

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226789872

4 3 5. 3

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1. 9 8

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2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 06 B OS 325 11 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

111071545

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

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1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 0

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275201697

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1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

241293103

4 3 5. 3

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1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 9 0

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273091288

4 3 5. 3

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1060

W06 H AY000110

V05 HE U403210

64102892

3 2 5. 8

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3. 2 8

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1. 7 7

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700

W06R H O000120

V09 M OT144270

7595336

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

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4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

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1198

W 0 7 D E NL E S 0 1 0

W07 DE N O VB005

271049169

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

0. 4 6

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1 2. 5

1086

W 0 7 D O CL ES 0 0 0

W07 DE N O VB005

127972527

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

0. 4 6

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1. 0 9

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1086

W 0 7 D O RL ES 0 0 5

W07 DE N O VB005

196976608

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

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1. 0 9

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1086

W 0 8 H AI 0 0 0 0 5 0

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80826978

4 4 5. 8

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1 4. 3

1157

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53081078

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1324

W 08ZE N 000 040

V07 M O G288020

19240238

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

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-4. 2 5

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1 4. 1

683

W 1 1J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0

W11 ME H5820

463411008

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

-5. 2 5

3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

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1075

W11 M A A0030

W11 ME H5820

503217000

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

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3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

1 2. 4

1075

W11 M A A0040

W11 ME H5820

370820000

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

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3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

1 2. 4

1075

W 1 1S A M 0 0 0 0

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178620000

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

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2. 5 6

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3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

A 10

Ar e a ( m²)

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Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

F 0 1YSE 4 6 8 0 0 0

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

F05 A A A000010

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

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361120000

3 9 8. 4

2 0 6. 3

2. 9 5

1. 2 0

-8. 4 8

6. 2 1

-4. 6 5

5. 0 0

1 3. 4

105

1808

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

248452728

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 A A A571000

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

374113103

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05BEC386023

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

80086039

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05BEC386025

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

68930969

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05B O U386005

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

255392628

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 1 7

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

36547273

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5 CL A 3 8 6 0 2 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

226006473

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386040

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

448818370

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386050

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

74083951

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386060

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

116669136

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386080

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

57192180

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386090

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

12829199

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386110

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

16919150

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386120

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

39450392

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386130

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

21724484

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386140

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

7480581

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386150

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

39193251

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 DE U386160

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

27005232

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 HE M000020

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

134010959

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 1 8

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

102249474

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

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1. 9 2

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3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L A W 3 8 6 0 3 0

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188699853

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

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1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5 L OI 3 8 6 0 3 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

113093218

424.0

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2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 0 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

375288119

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

75860338

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 0 1 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

28126242

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 1 5

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

168458564

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

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1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F05 M AR386070

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

200520118

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3.00

1 3. 9

883

F05 M AR386100

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

26635692

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

F 06 B OS 3 250 00

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

775406341

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 15

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

107626587

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1.98

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 16

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

142957003

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 11

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

F 06 B OS 3 250 17

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

F 06 B OS 3 250 18

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

33675779

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

16911203

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 06 B OS 3 250 19

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

36767530

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06EC A325050

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

191873673

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

12.8

1060

F06ERC325030

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

167654904

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06 H O G325070

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

208230656

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F06R H O325060

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

80974476

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

464156652

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6S C A 3 2 5 0 2 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

805680274

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6 S EL 3 2 5 0 4 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

201664095

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

F 0 6SE N 3 2 5 0 1 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

599787214

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

N03BR A000160

W11BER551010

55104620

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

N11 M A A000060

V09 M OT144270

12970329080

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V01 H A N000160

V01 M AR496120

92888613

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V 0 1 H EI 4 6 8 0 1 0

F 0 1IJ Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

31890879

3 9 8. 4

2 0 6. 3

2. 9 5

1.20

-8. 4 8

6. 2 1

-4. 6 5

5. 0 0

1 3. 4

105

1808

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 0 9 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3609701

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 1 0 0

V05 HE U403210

24028123

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 1I E P 0 0 0 1 1 0

V05 HE U403210

6682382

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 1IJ Z 0 0 0 0 2 0

V01KE M492060

46105467

4 2 6. 1

1 6 4. 2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V01KE M000070

V01KE M492060

12910514

4 2 6. 1

1 6 4. 2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V01 M AR000130

V01 M AR496120

27537367

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V01P OP000040

V01 M AR496120

34370958

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V01P OP000050

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

14704818

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3.15

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 1SS V 0 0 0 1 5 0

V01 M AR496120

49650230

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V 0 2 A FL 0 0 0 1 4 0

V02E DE442120

20916085

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02BR U000110

W11BER551010

5853310

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 2I V A 0 0 0 2 2 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

23089888

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2J A B 0 0 0 0 4 0

V02KE R422030

24576621

3 7 9. 3

3 1 2. 6

2. 7 1

0. 9 9

-8. 3 6

0. 8 6

-5. 0 4

5. 0 0

1 6. 6

1487

V02K AT000100

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

11553682

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V02K G O000000

V03P OE446000

159793077

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V02K G O000080

V02E DE442120

11937762

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02K WE000050

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

16546999

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 7 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

46643041

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

A 12

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

V 0 2L P K 0 0 0 1 9 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

31449434

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1.94

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

W11BER551010

35092186

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V02 M OE000160

V02E DE442120

44401888

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02 N O O000150

V02E DE442120

9234592

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02 N W G000210

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

12358385

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 2 RI V 0 0 0 0 7 0

V02E DE442120

5447570

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 2ST E 0 0 0 0 9 0

V02KE R422030

27293881

3 7 9. 3

3 1 2. 6

2. 7 1

0. 9 9

-8. 3 6

0. 8 6

-5. 0 4

5. 0 0

1 6. 6

1487

V 0 2ST E 0 0 0 1 1 5

W11BER551010

17760000

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 2 Z UI 0 0 0 0 6 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

24223288

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

- 6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 2 Z UI 0 0 0 1 3 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

45783008

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 2 Z WI 0 0 0 2 0 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

34471720

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 3 A FL 0 0 0 0 1 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

41215066

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 3 A FL 0 0 0 0 7 0

V02E DE442120

56667175

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 B OS 000 200

V02E DE442120

26155768

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 D UR000290

V02E DE442120

6434651

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 GE N000030

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

38982516

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V03 H O N000250

V02E DE442120

20326328

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 K AL 0 0 0 0 2 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

43880593

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 3 K AL 0 0 0 1 8 0

V02E DE442120

32685177

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 K EI 0 0 0 2 8 0

V02E DE442120

28337740

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03K G O000050

V02E DE442120

12903199

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03K GT000080

W11BER551010

46966621

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V03K GT000100

V05 HE U403210

70017789

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V03KR U000120

V02E DE442120

5007912

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L A N 0 0 0 1 9 0

V02E DE442120

14793221

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 LI E 0 0 0 0 6 0

V02E DE442120

9399755

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L P K 0 0 0 1 3 0

V02E DE442120

40778180

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3L P K 0 0 0 1 4 0

V04 M O M037100

50278956

5 3 2. 4

1 5 9. 9

1. 9 8

0. 8 3

-4. 5 9

1. 6 4

-2. 8 2

2. 4 3

1 1. 7

933

V03 M OP000260

V02E DE442120

31902535

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3 RI E 0 0 0 0 4 0

V07 M O G288020

6140607

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V03R O D000110

V02E DE442120

6937269

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3SL E 0 0 0 0 9 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

44159840

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 3S PL 0 0 0 2 1 0

V02E DE442120

5101420

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 13

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 3ST E 0 0 0 2 4 0

V02E DE442120

V 0 3 V AL 0 0 0 2 2 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

10519358

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V02E DE442120

19542165

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V03 WEE000230

V02E DE442120

24038269

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 3ZS B 0 0 0 1 7 0

V03P OE446000

37827245

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V03Z WS0 001 50

V02E DE442120

34937521

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 6 0

V06Z W A3 421 90

184850804

4 4 8. 2

1 6 8. 1

2. 1 1

1. 4 2

-3. 7 2

2. 1 0

-4. 1 2

2. 9 9

1 4. 3

707

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 7 0

W11BER551010

18766706

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

67663418

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 8 5

W11BER551010

28326405

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 1 9 0

V09 DE M136000

361066506

4 7 7. 6

2 6 0. 4

1. 9 3

0. 4 5

-5. 1 5

3. 0 3

-3. 9 5

2. 7 3

1 5. 0

1200

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 2 0 0

V07 M AR289015

180989113

4 1 0. 7

1 7 0. 8

2. 2 3

0. 9 2

-4. 5 9

5. 0 0

-4. 3 5

2. 8 9

1 0. 8

1155

V 0 4 B ES 0 0 0 2 1 0

W11BER551010

37352188

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V04 D UR000080

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

13115959

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V04 D UR000090

V09 M OT144270

12911826

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

- 5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 4L E D 0 0 0 0 4 5

V02E DE442120

10731840

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4L E D B O R 0 4 0

V02E DE442120

33815271

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 4L O K 0 0 0 0 6 0

V09 M OT144270

12937291

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V04R UP000150

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

28627814

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 0 0

V09 M OT144270

21348172

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 1 0

V09 HER163010

232467654

4 9 9. 4

1 6 8. 0

1. 9 7

0. 5 6

-6. 0 0

5. 0 0

-4. 0 3

3. 0 0

1 4. 7

916

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 2 0

V03P OE446000

42342683

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 3 0

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

55558393

4 7 1. 3

1 6 5. 4

1. 9 9

0. 5 7

-4. 0 6

3. 5 6

- 4. 0 6

2. 9 0

1 0. 5

723

V 0 4S C H 0 0 0 0 7 0

V09 HER163010

97843094

4 9 9. 4

1 6 8. 0

1. 9 7

0. 5 6

-6. 0 0

5. 0 0

-4. 0 3

3. 0 0

1 4. 7

916

V 0 4 V LI 0 0 0 1 4 0

V09 M A N161040

65737530

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

V 0 4 Z EL 0 0 0 0 5 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

24207851

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 4 ZI E 0 0 0 1 2 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

52125854

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V04Z W A0 001 30

V08B AR111370

20223736

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

-5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V05 G A V000260

V05 HE U403210

137842273

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 5 G EL 0 0 0 2 0 0

V05 HE U403210

47783349

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V05 HE U000220

V09 M OT144270

16883706

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

12.5

1198

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 1 9 0

V01KE M492060

108826195

4 2 6. 1

1 6 4. 2

2. 4 0

1. 7 6

-5. 1 3

4. 6 5

-2. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 4. 4

476

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 4 0

V09 M OT144270

21304814

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 5 0

V09 M OT144270

29836282

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

A 14

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 8 0

V03P OE446000

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 2 9 0

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

97730942

4 0 2. 3

2 1 3. 4

3. 3 2

1. 1 5

-9. 5 7

3. 0 3

-5. 7 9

4. 9 8

1 2. 7

945

V02E DE442120

47172616

4 3 2. 4

1 9 8. 3

2. 9 3

1. 0 4

-7. 8 9

6. 9 2

-5. 7 4

4. 9 6

1 3. 2

875

V 0 5 L EI 0 0 0 3 0 0

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

39155357

4 0 6. 9

2 0 0. 9

2. 1 6

0. 7 4

-6. 0 2

3. 1 0

-3. 5 4

3. 6 1

1 4. 9

1497

V 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 1 8 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

82706606

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

V05 M A N000270

V 0 1SS V 4 9 9 1 4 0

13017615

4 3 1. 6

1 7 5. 3

2. 1 7

1. 0 9

-4. 5 3

5. 0 0

-3. 8 9

2. 9 8

1 2. 5

719

V 0 6 B EI 0 0 0 1 5 0

V07 M O G288020

19134016

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V06KBK000130

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

8261974

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V06 M A A000170

V07 M O G288020

4955439

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 1 4 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

56084506

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 1 8 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

87618176

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 2 1 0

V05 HE U403210

81083174

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V 0 6S C H 0 0 0 2 2 0

V02 HER426010

77342171

4 7 4. 9

2 4 6. 1

2. 3 5

0. 7 8

-7. 4 8

4. 1 7

-4. 4 4

4. 3 5

1 0. 4

1318

V06Z W A0 002 00

V09 M OT144270

867129

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 7 B EL 0 0 0 0 8 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

11538072

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V07 DE N000025

V07 M O G288020

27908996

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V07 DE N000060

V01 M AR496120

73022161

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V07 DE N000110

V05 HE U403210

97824902

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V07 GR A000090

V09 M OT144270

28283573

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V07 M OE000120

V07 M O G288020

8585990

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 0 3 0

V08B AR111370

53711139

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

-5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 0 5 0

V07 M OE282100

52610014

3 5 0. 4

1 6 1. 8

3. 4 1

2. 2 2

-6. 6 7

1 0. 0 0

-5. 3 8

3. 6 1

1 6. 5

1340

V 0 7 M OL 0 0 0 1 3 0

V09 M OT144270

22215247

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 7 W OL 0 0 0 0 4 0

V05 HE U403210

49430997

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

V08 A AB000360

V01 M AR496120

60451204

3 9 6. 8

2 8 1. 0

3. 2 4

1. 1 4

-7. 3 2

4. 9 5

-5. 3 8

4. 9 9

1 3. 4

1068

V08 BEY000240

V09 M OT144270

6114323

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08BR O000175

V07 M O G288020

6262734

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08BR U000180

W11BER551010

16024099

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 DIJ 0 0 0 4 3 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

16839367

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 8 DIJ 0 0 0 4 5 5

V09 M OT144270

9419886

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08 DR O000230

V07 M O G288020

1754271

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 8 GL A 0 0 0 4 5 0

V09 M OT144270

29900000

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08 GR O000070

W11BER551010

13748809

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 H AL 0 0 0 0 8 0

W11BER551010

10431011

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 15

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V08 H AR000250

W11BER551010

V08 HER000120

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

4183063

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V07 M O G288020

15606705

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 8 L EI 0 0 0 4 2 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

61999329

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 8L O B 0 0 0 3 0 0

W11BER551010

1727027

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8L O T 0 0 0 1 1 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

16677869

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

V08 M A A000190

W11BER551010

25513368

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 M A A000320

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

41562062

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

V08 M AR000270

W11BER551010

2655242

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 MEC000390

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

2184480

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V08 MEC000440

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

21167200

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V08 M OB000090

V08B AR111370

52906589

4 0 9. 7

2 8 6. 7

2. 1 0

0. 6 5

-5. 9 3

0. 9 5

-3. 6 9

3. 0 0

1 5. 0

1223

V 0 8 M OJ 0 0 0 2 2 0

W11BER551010

24744883

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 NEE000140

V07 M O G288020

24418401

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08P AR000210

V07 M O G288020

10526023

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V 0 8S AS 0 0 0 3 5 0

V09 M OT144270

11122038

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8ST A 0 0 0 0 6 0

V07 M O G288020

8939127

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V08T A N000290

W11BER551010

8645642

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T A N000330

W11BER551010

1728251

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T A N0003 40

W11BER551010

4308051

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08T R A000280

W11BER551010

6403090

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 UKK000160

V09 M OT144270

16556510

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8 VI L 0 0 0 3 1 0

W11BER551010

2859650

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 VL E 0 0 0 1 5 0

W11BER551010

4942825

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 V OR000170

W11BER551010

4176350

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V08 VR O000460

V10 M OP062140

125593344

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V08 V U N000435

V09 M OT144270

25988270

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V08 WEE000410

V09 M OT144270

68292349

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 8 W OL 0 0 0 2 6 0

W11BER551010

46369269

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 8 W OL B R U 2 0 0

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

49508996

4 7 1. 3

1 6 5. 4

1. 9 9

0. 5 7

-4. 0 6

3. 5 6

-4. 0 6

2. 9 0

1 0. 5

723

V08Z U U00 013 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

25927026

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

V 0 9 AL B 0 0 0 0 1 0

V09 M OT144270

9868911

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 AL B 0 0 0 0 2 0

V09 M OT144270

678840

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09BE G000160

V09 M OT144270

52288450

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

A 16

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V09 DE M000030

V09 M A N161040

V09 DE M000050

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

111804714

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

W11 O UR5805

17224252

4 7 2. 9

1 3 4. 8

2. 2 5

1. 6 5

-5. 8 9

4. 4 0

-3. 1 3

3. 0 0

1 1. 8

752

V09 DE M000070

W11BER551010

15263780

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V 0 9 GL A 0 0 0 2 4 0

V09 M OT144270

13893219

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 H EI 0 0 0 2 9 0

V09 M OT144270

11779955

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 HER000060

V09 M OT144270

17904828

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 HER000075

V09 M OT144270

4063569

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 H UL 0 0 0 1 7 0

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

10167667

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 9L A A 0 0 0 2 2 0

V09 M OT144270

4843899

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 L EI 0 0 0 1 8 0

V09 M OT144270

2290158

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1.95

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9L E U 0 0 0 1 5 5

V07 M O G288020

8272837

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

V09 M A N000130

V09 M OT144270

2369062

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 M OT000260

V09 M OT144270

8633853

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 M O U000280

W11BER551010

4720981

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V09 OSS 0 002 30

V09 M OT144270

12017257

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 V EL 0 0 0 1 1 0

V09 M OT144270

44224342

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 V O O000090

V09 M OT144270

14913966

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 V OS 00 020 0

V09 M OT144270

6343660

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09 WER000250

V 0 4 M OL 0 3 6 1 1 0

3447994

4 1 3. 6

2 4 8. 1

2. 1 6

0. 6 6

-9. 3 8

3. 1 5

-4. 5 5

4. 3 3

1 2. 4

1199

V 0 9 WIJ 0 0 0 1 9 0

V09 M OT144270

6951100

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 0 9 WI N 0 0 0 3 2 0

V09 M OT144270

17375263

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09Z W A0 001 40

V09 M OT144270

24807586

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V09Z W A0 002 10

V10 M OP062140

19313232

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V 1 0 AL B 0 7 6 0 1 5

V10 G NE076999

24539871

4 3 6. 3

2 3 3. 7

1. 8 3

0. 5 4

-5. 9 5

2. 3 8

-3. 7 5

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

1623

V10BER000100

V09 M OT144270

28572454

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V10BEV000120

V10 M OP062140

26918434

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V 1 0 G ES 0 0 0 1 3 0

V09 M OT144270

42189781

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V10 G NE076010

V10 G NE076999

243532847

4 3 6. 3

2 3 3. 7

1. 8 3

0. 5 4

-5. 9 5

2. 3 8

-3. 7 5

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

1623

V10 G O O000080

V10 M OP062140

44302117

4 2 6. 4

210.6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V 1 0 KL A 0 7 6 0 3 0

V10 G NE076999

54041574

4 3 6. 3

2 3 3. 7

1. 8 3

0. 5 4

-5. 9 5

2. 3 8

-3. 7 5

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

1623

V10KRE000110

V09 M A N161040

53928737

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

V 1 0 M OL 0 0 0 0 6 0

V09Z W A1 481 20

40694619

4 5 1. 6

1 5 8. 5

1. 8 2

0. 4 8

-5. 2 9

5. 0 0

-3. 5 9

2. 8 5

1 5. 0

725

V10 M OP000150

V10 M OP062140

32418924

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

Fi n al v ersi o n

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 17

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C at c h m e nt

Ass o ci at e d ga uge d c at c h m e nt

V10 NET000170

V10 M OP062140

V10 NET000180

S M max

S Meva p

c OF1

c OF2

cI F 1

cI F 2

C K OF

C KI F

C K BF

66664720

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V09 M A N161040

80302347

4 1 8. 7

1 5 6. 7

1. 8 9

0. 7 1

-4. 2 3

4. 0 3

-3. 2 9

0. 8 3

1 3. 2

1050

V 1 0 R OL 0 0 0 0 4 0

V09Z W A1 481 20

23571007

4 5 1. 6

1 5 8. 5

1. 8 2

0. 4 8

-5. 2 9

5. 0 0

-3. 5 9

2. 8 5

1 5. 0

725

V 1 0ST E 0 0 0 0 7 0

V09Z W A1 481 20

42571635

4 5 1. 6

1 5 8. 5

1. 8 2

0. 4 8

-5. 2 9

5. 0 0

-3. 5 9

2. 8 5

1 5. 0

725

V10T AP000160

V10 M OP062140

46191820

4 2 6. 4

2 1 0. 6

2. 1 8

0. 6 9

-5. 9 8

0. 1 0

-4. 1 6

3. 0 0

1 0. 6

667

V 1 0 WI M 0 0 0 0 9 0

V09 M OT144270

29330881

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

V 1 1 AL B 0 0 0 0 4 5

W11BER551010

44990800

3 2 1. 2

2 4 2. 1

2. 4 0

1. 0 1

-6. 0 4

6. 7 8

-4. 6 7

2. 5 9

1 4. 0

1224

V11 M A A508050

V10K NE052000

837912122

4 7 4. 6

2 0 2. 4

2. 1 0

1. 0 9

-6. 0 0

0. 7 8

-3. 0 9

3. 0 0

1 4. 1

1103

V11 V OE000010

V 0 9 V EL 1 4 5 1 0 0

59555900

4 1 5. 2

2 1 3. 4

2. 1 3

0. 6 3

-6. 5 1

5. 1 1

-4. 1 6

3. 8 0

9. 9

1498

V 1 1 WI L 5 0 8 0 5 5

V09 DE M136000

21849142

4 7 7. 6

2 6 0. 4

1. 9 3

0. 4 5

-5. 1 5

3. 0 3

-3. 9 5

2. 7 3

1 5. 0

1200

W 0 5L Y S 3 8 6 1 7 0

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

91812026

4 2 4. 0

2 3 3. 4

2. 1 1

0. 8 3

-5. 7 6

1. 9 2

-3. 6 1

3. 0 0

1 3. 9

883

W 06 B OS 325 09 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

256772308

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 06 B OS 325 10 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

226789872

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 06 B OS 325 11 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

111071545

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

275201697

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 8 5

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

241293103

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W 0 6 H AI 3 2 5 0 9 0

F 06 B OS 3 250 01

273091288

4 3 5. 3

1 7 6. 4

1. 9 8

0. 5 4

-5. 6 5

2. 1 8

-3. 8 1

2. 8 7

1 2. 8

1060

W06 H AY000110

V05 HE U403210

64102892

3 2 5. 8

2 0 6. 2

3. 2 8

1. 0 9

-5. 9 1

1. 7 7

-3. 9 8

3. 0 0

1 2. 1

700

W06R H O000120

V09 M OT144270

7595336

4 7 3. 2

1 6 8. 3

1. 9 5

0. 7 8

-5. 0 2

4. 7 7

-3. 9 1

5. 0 3

1 2. 5

1198

W 0 7 D E NL E S 0 1 0

W07 DE N O VB005

271049169

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

0. 4 6

-4. 6 9

1. 0 9

-3. 5 0

2. 8 7

1 2. 5

1086

W 0 7 D O CL ES 0 0 0

W07 DE N O VB005

127972527

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

0. 4 6

-4. 6 9

1. 0 9

-3. 5 0

2. 8 7

1 2. 5

1086

W 0 7 D O RL ES 0 0 5

W07 DE N O VB005

196976608

4 5 7. 1

1 5 3. 8

1. 9 5

0. 4 6

-4. 6 9

1. 0 9

-3. 5 0

2. 8 7

1 2. 5

1086

W 0 8 H AI 0 0 0 0 5 0

V 0 7 B EL 2 8 5 0 7 0

80826978

4 4 5. 8

2 1 6. 2

2. 1 2

0. 6 7

-5. 3 5

4. 5 2

-4. 9 5

4. 5 8

1 4. 3

1157

W 0 8SE N 0 0 0 0 2 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

53081078

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

W 08ZE N 000 040

V07 M O G288020

19240238

5 3 8. 0

1 9 3. 1

2. 1 2

0. 5 8

-5. 3 5

4. 9 2

-4. 2 5

2. 9 9

1 4. 1

683

W 1 1J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0

W11 ME H5820

463411008

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

-5. 2 5

3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

1 2. 4

1075

W11 M A A0030

W11 ME H5820

503217000

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

-5. 2 5

3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

1 2. 4

1075

W11 M A A0040

W11 ME H5820

370820000

3 9 6. 7

1 6 9. 9

2. 0 4

0. 4 5

-5. 2 5

3. 1 3

-4. 2 5

2. 9 2

1 2. 4

1075

W 1 1S A M 0 0 0 0

W 0 8S A M R O N 0 0 0

178620000

5 0 2. 9

1 6 2. 7

1. 9 4

0. 5 2

-3. 8 0

2. 5 6

-3. 7 0

3. 0 0

1 3. 2

1324

A 18

Ar e a ( m²)

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 3 Ijz er

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 19

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0" (I J Z E R)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 (I J z er)

Fi g ur e 2: A n n u al c u m ul at e d di s c h ar g e (r e d) a n d s c al e d pr e ci pit ati o n ( bl u e) a c c or di n g t o r u n off r ati o (t ot al Q/t ot al P) a n d c u m ul ati v e p ot e nti al e v a p otr a n s pir ati o n ( gr e e n) o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A20

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

393007000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 9 8. 4 2), (' S M e v a p', 2 0 6. 2 6), (' c 1', 2. 9 5), (' c 2', 1. 2), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 8. 4 8), (' c O F 2', 6. 2 1), (' cI F 1', - 4. 6 5), (' cI F 2', 5. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 4), (' C KI F', 1 0 5. 2 3), (' C K B F', 1 8 0 7. 6 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 5 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-3. 2 %

4 3. 8 %

-1 5. 2 %

0. 6 0 5

0. 4 6 6

0. 5 6 3

N S _l o g

0. 5 2 2

-0. 6 2 9

0. 6 8 7

N S _r el

0. 0 9 1

0. 3 5 8

0. 1 7 9

K GE

0. 5 2 7

0. 3 8 5

0. 4 6 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

7. 5 %

2 6. 1 %

0. 6 %

0. 6 9 8

0. 4 4 2

0. 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 5 2 9

-0. 2 3

0. 7 0 4

N S _r el

-0. 0 6 1

0. 0 6 1

0. 1 3 4

K GE

0. 6 5 9

0. 4 9 1

0. 6 8 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A21

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A22

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A23

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A24

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 1I J Z 4 6 8 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 6 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Ij z er; H ari n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A25

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A26

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 01 H A N488180

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

78558940

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 8 6. 0 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 9 8. 0), (' c 1', 2. 2 6), (' c 2', 1. 0 1), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 2), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 5. 2 9), (' cI F 2', 2. 5 1), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 2 6), (' C KI F', 1 0 0. 0 9), (' C K B F', 8 3 6. 6 6)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2. 0 %

9. 4 %

-1. 9 %

0. 7 0 3

0. 5 3 4

0. 6 7

N S _l o g

0. 7 3 5

0. 5 2 6

0. 7 3 2

N S _r el

0. 5 6 5

0. 6 1 3

0. 7 1 1

K GE

0. 7 7 8

0. 6 2 8

0. 8 1 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

3. 5 %

1 4. 6 %

-0. 5 %

0. 7 1 2

0. 5 0 6

0. 6 8 9

N S _l o g

0. 7 3 6

0. 4 5 7

0. 7 6 4

N S _r el

0. 5 0 8

0. 4 8 5

0. 7 1 1

K GE

0. 7 8 1

0. 6 4 3

0. 8 1 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A27

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A28

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A29

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 H A N 4 8 8 1 8 0, st ati o n 4 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Kr e k el b e e k; K ort e m ar k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A30

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A31

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

63423128

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 3. 3 3), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 4. 8 8), (' c 1', 1. 9 3), (' c 2', 0. 3 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 5 8), (' c O F 2', 2. 8 2), (' cI F 1', - 3. 6 5), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 5 3), (' C KI F', 5 6. 2 6), (' C K B F', 1 2 0 7. 3 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 6 - 2 0 0 8)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-3. 6 %

1 1. 2 %

-1 5. 9 %

0. 5 5 4

0. 5 5 1

0. 5 9 4

N S _l o g

0. 4 5 2

0. 1 1 7

0. 5 3 3

N S _r el

-7. 6 6 9

-2 6. 8 7 1

0. 7 1 3

K GE

0. 6 6 9

0. 6 5 4

0. 7 1 9

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2 7. 5 %

-5. 9 %

-4 1. 0 %

0. 4 8 7

0. 5 8 8

0. 2 8 4

N S _l o g

0. 5 0 1

0. 3 0 1

0. 1 3 2

N S _r el

-3. 0 8 9

-1 1. 3 7

0. 5 2 9

K GE

0. 5 3 8

0. 6 4 8

0. 4 9 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A32

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A33

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A34

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A35

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1I E P 4 9 5 0 8 0, st ati o n 4 9 5 1 0 1 0 2 - I e p erl e e; Z ui d s c h ot e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A36

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A37

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 01 K E M492060

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

73892930

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 2 6. 1 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 4. 1 9), (' c 1', 2. 4), (' c 2', 1. 7 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 1 3), (' c O F 2', 4. 6 5), (' cI F 1', - 2. 9 8), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 4), (' C KI F', 6 9. 6 5), (' C K B F', 4 7 6. 1 8)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2. 0 %

2 5. 3 %

-5. 7 %

0. 5 7 5

0. 2 5 7

0. 6 0 4

N S _l o g

0. 4 8 4

0. 0 8 6

0. 4 9 6

N S _r el

-2 1. 5 7 2

-1 8. 6 8 3

-1. 0 5 1

K GE

0. 5 8 1

0. 3 0 1

0. 5 6 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 0. 5 %

3 3. 5 %

3. 9 %

0. 5 6 2

0. 2 8 7

0. 5 8 7

N S _l o g

0. 4 8 1

0. 0 6 7

0. 5 3 8

N S _r el

-1 2. 1 9 5

-1 3. 0 7 9

-0. 1 2 6

K GE

0. 5 4 6

0. 3 5 6

0. 5 2 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A38

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A39

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A40

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 K E M 4 9 2 0 6 0, st ati o n 4 9 2 7 0 1 0 2 - K e m m el b e e k; B o e zi n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A41

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A42

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 01 M A R496120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

76136621

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 9 6. 8 3), (' S M e v a p', 2 8 0. 9 5), (' c 1', 3. 2 4), (' c 2', 1. 1 4), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 7. 3 2), (' c O F 2', 4. 9 5), (' cI F 1', - 5. 3 8), (' cI F 2', 4. 9 9), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 4 4), (' C KI F', 8 0. 3 6), (' C K B F', 1 0 6 8. 0 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 0 %

2 1. 8 %

-6. 9 %

0. 6 7 3

0. 4 0 7

0. 7 2 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 0 6

0. 1 8 5

0. 6 5 7

N S _r el

-2. 1 0 5

-2. 5 1 2

0. 3 3 3

K GE

0. 7 4 3

0. 5 8 5

0. 7 7 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2. 8 %

1 3. 9 %

-1. 5 %

0. 6 7 9

0. 4 5 1

0. 7 1 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 6

0. 2 8

0. 6 7

N S _r el

-6. 2 8

-2. 0 9 9

-0. 4 4 5

K GE

0. 7 3

0. 6 4

0. 7 7 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A43

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A44

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A45

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 M A R 4 9 6 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 9 6 1 0 1 0 2 - St. J a n s b e e k; M er k e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A46

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A47

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 01 P O P491030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

84868207

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 3 4. 2 2), (' S M e v a p', 1 8 2. 3 5), (' c 1', 2. 4), (' c 2', 0. 9 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 2 1), (' c O F 2', 4. 4 3), (' cI F 1', - 3. 7 6), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 5 5), (' C KI F', 7 6. 3 9), (' C K B F', 4 4 9. 5 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 5 %

9. 2 %

-8. 8 %

0. 5 8 4

0. 6 2 8

0. 6 1 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 8

0. 1 7 8

0. 6 7 6

N S _r el

-0. 5 0 7

0. 0 3 3

0. 5 4 5

K GE

0. 5 8 1

0. 5 0 5

0. 5 8 9

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 4. 9 %

-2. 5 %

-1 8. 0 %

0. 5 7 4

0. 5 5 8

0. 5 9 4

N S _l o g

0. 5 7 8

-0. 0 5 2

0. 6 6 1

N S _r el

-0. 1 4 4

0. 2 1

-0. 2 3 3

K GE

0. 5 5 2

0. 5 0 4

0. 5 8 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A48

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A49

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A50

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 P O P 4 9 1 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 9 1 1 0 1 0 2- P o p eri n g e v a art; O o st vl et er e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A51

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0" (I J Z ER)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0 (I J z er)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A52

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 01 S S V499140

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

16095000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 3 1. 5 7), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 5. 2 7), (' c 1', 2. 1 7), (' c 2', 1. 0 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 5 3), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 3. 8 9), (' cI F 2', 2. 9 8), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 5 1), (' C KI F', 5 2. 4 5), (' C K B F', 7 1 9. 3 5)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 3 - 2 0 0 5)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 7 %

2. 3 %

-7. 9 %

0. 6 0 7

0. 5 5 2

0. 6 4 9

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 9

0. 2 9 3

0. 7 2 9

N S _r el

0. 1 9 3

0. 6 2 5

0. 4 2

K GE

0. 5 4 7

0. 4 2 2

0. 5 4 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 4 %

-1 4. 9 %

-6. 9 %

0. 5 9

0. 4 7 7

0. 6 4 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 0 1

0. 3 5 2

0. 6 7 7

N S _r el

0. 1 2 8

0. 5

0. 1 8 1

K GE

0. 5 3

0. 3 6 7

0. 5 4 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A53

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A54

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A55

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 1 S S V 4 9 9 1 4 0, st ati o n 4 9 9 1 0 1 0 2 - St e e n b e e k; M er k e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A56

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 4 Br u gs e P ol d ers

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 57

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A58

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 E D E442120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

45489177

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 3 2. 4 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 9 8. 3 4), (' c 1', 2. 9 3), (' c 2', 1. 0 4), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 7. 8 9), (' c O F 2', 6. 9 2), (' cI F 1', - 5. 7 4), (' cI F 2', 4. 9 6), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 2 3), (' C KI F', 7 1. 8 5), (' C K B F', 8 7 5. 4 5)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 9 %

-8. 3 %

5. 9 %

0. 7 2 2

0. 6 1 7

0. 7 5 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 3 4

0. 5 8 7

0. 6 8 8

N S _r el

-4 4. 3 3 8

-1. 2 7 1

0. 2 2

K GE

0. 7 7 1

0. 5 2 2

0. 8 5 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-5. 1 %

1 1. 9 %

-6. 0 %

0. 7 2 5

0. 6 3 1

0. 7 3 7

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 2

0. 3 2 8

0. 6 3

N S _r el

-2 4. 3 0 6

-3. 8 7 5

-0. 9 9 2

K GE

0. 7 7 9

0. 5 6 5

0. 8 5 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A59

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A60

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A61

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 E D E 4 4 2 1 2 0, st ati o n 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M al d e g e m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A62

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A63

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 H E R426010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

77272201

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 4. 9), (' S M e v a p', 2 4 6. 0 5), (' c 1', 2. 3 5), (' c 2', 0. 7 8), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 7. 4 8), (' c O F 2', 4. 1 7), (' cI F 1', - 4. 4 4), (' cI F 2', 4. 3 5), (' C Q O F', 1 0. 3 7), (' C KI F', 7 2. 6 2), (' C K B F', 1 3 1 8. 3 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 2 %

3 2. 0 %

-1 0. 0 %

0. 6 5 3

0. 5 7 1

0. 6 8 6

N S _l o g

0. 5 4 9

-0. 1 0 7

0. 7 0 9

N S _r el

-0. 0 3 7

0. 2 9 6

0. 2 2 7

K GE

0. 6 6 4

0. 4 7 6

0. 7 1 4

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-4. 8 %

4 6. 3 %

-1 6. 5 %

0. 6 6 2

0. 5 4 1

0. 6 8 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 5

0. 1 5 9

0. 6 7 1

N S _r el

-0. 8 7 4

-1. 3 5

0. 4 3 4

K GE

0. 6 5 8

0. 4 8 1

0. 6 8 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A64

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A65

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A66

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 H E R 4 2 6 0 1 0, st ati o n 4 2 6 1 0 1 0 2 - H ert s b er g e b e e k; O o st k a m p

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A67

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A68

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V02 K E R422030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

62718738

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 7 9. 3 3), (' S M e v a p', 3 1 2. 6 4), (' c 1', 2. 7 1), (' c 2', 0. 9 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 8. 3 6), (' c O F 2', 0. 8 6), (' cI F 1', - 2. 8 9), (' cI F 2', 5. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 6. 5 9), (' C KI F', 6 7. 1 4), (' C K B F', 1 4 8 7. 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 7)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

6 1 3. 5 %

7 2 4. 2 %

5 9 8. 4 %

-5 3. 9 1 8

-7 3. 2 2 8

-6 9. 6 6 9

N S _l o g

-2. 3 3 1

-4. 6 0 6

-3. 6 8 6

N S _r el

-1 7 4. 4 3 1

-5 1. 0 2 7

-9 2 1. 9 7 1

K GE

-7. 6 9 9

-1 0. 3 5 2

-7. 4 3 7

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

5 5 8. 0 %

7 5 5. 3 %

5 2 1. 8 %

-4 2. 6 5 8

-6 6. 1 0 5

-5 4. 2 2 7

N S _l o g

-1. 9 1 9

-4. 0 0 7

-3. 0 8 5

N S _r el

-1 4 6. 6 0 9

-1 0 9. 8 9 4

-4 8 7. 8 5

K GE

-6. 8 5 8

-9. 7 5 3

-6. 6 2 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A69

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A70

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A71

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A72

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 K E R 4 2 2 0 3 0, st ati o n 4 2 2 0 1 0 2 - K er k e b e e k, Si nt- Mi c hi el s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A73

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0" ( B R U G S E P O L D E R S)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0 ( Br u g s e P ol d er s)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A74

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

63980423

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 0 6. 9 3), (' S M e v a p', 2 0 0. 9 2), (' c 1', 2. 1 6), (' c 2', 0. 7 4), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0 2), (' c O F 2', 3. 1), (' cI F 1', - 3. 5 4), (' cI F 2', 3. 6 1), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 8 7), (' C KI F', 6 6. 7 6), (' C K B F', 1 4 9 7. 4 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 5 %

3 0. 3 %

-1 3. 3 %

0. 6 4 9

0. 5 1 8

0. 6 5 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 6

-0. 0 1

0. 7 2 9

N S _r el

-4. 9 2 2

0. 6 0 1

0. 6 3

K GE

0. 6 1 2

0. 4 4 3

0. 5 9 9

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-6. 0 %

4 7. 0 %

-2 0. 3 %

0. 6 3 9

0. 5 0 7

0. 6 2 4

N S _l o g

0. 5 5 2

0. 0 0 5

0. 6 4 4

N S _r el

-3. 4 1 8

-2. 0 1 3

0. 6 2 6

K GE

0. 5 9 1

0. 4 4 3

0. 5 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A75

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A76

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A77

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 2 RI V 4 2 5 0 2 0, st ati o n 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 2- Ri vi er b e e k; O o st k a m p

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A78

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 5 G e nts e K a n al e n

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 79

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0" ( G E N T S E K A N A L E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0 ( G e nt s e K a n al e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A80

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V03 P O E446000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

106836849

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 0 2. 3), (' S M e v a p', 2 1 3. 3 8), (' c 1', 3. 3 2), (' c 2', 1. 1 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 9. 5 7), (' c O F 2', 3. 0 3), (' cI F 1', - 5. 7 9), (' cI F 2', 4. 9 8), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 7 3), (' C KI F', 7 5. 9 6), (' C K B F', 9 4 5. 3 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 3 - 2 0 0 9)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

1 6. 7 %

-4. 9 %

0. 7 2 4

0. 5 7 9

0. 6 9 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 4 5

0. 3 3 8

0. 6 5 8

N S _r el

-5. 1 4 8

-3. 4 5 6

0. 1 3 7

K GE

0. 6 7 2

0. 5 6 5

0. 5 9 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

8. 1 %

4 9. 0 %

-2. 6 %

0. 7 2 7

0. 5 0 2

0. 6 9 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 6 9

0. 3 3

0. 6 5 9

N S _r el

-2. 9 0 1

-2. 1 2 6

0. 1 7 8

K GE

0. 6 8 7

0. 5 1 6

0. 6 1 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A81

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A82

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A83

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A84

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 3 P O E 4 4 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 4 4 6 5 6 1 2 2 - P o e k e b e e k; N e v el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A85

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 6 B e n e d e ns c h el d e

A 86

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0" ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A87

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V04 M OL036110

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

32561957

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 1 3. 5 7), (' S M e v a p', 2 4 8. 0 6), (' c 1', 2. 1 6), (' c 2', 0. 6 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 9. 3 8), (' c O F 2', 3. 1 5), (' cI F 1', - 4. 5 5), (' cI F 2', 4. 3 3), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 4 4), (' C KI F', 2 8. 5 2), (' C K B F', 1 1 9 9. 1 5)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

2 7. 5 %

-1 3. 7 %

0. 5 5 9

0. 5 4

0. 5 0 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 6 8

0. 2 9 3

0. 5 7 4

N S _r el

0. 7 4 2

0. 4 0 7

0. 7 7

K GE

0. 6 1 4

0. 5 9 7

0. 5 7

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 2. 5 %

8 5. 0 %

-9. 3 %

0. 6 1 2

0. 3 5 8

0. 5 7 4

N S _l o g

0. 5 7

-0. 1 6 6

0. 6 1 9

N S _r el

-0. 7 0 8

-2. 3 3

0. 7 6 5

K GE

0. 7 0 4

0. 2 7 4

0. 6 8 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A88

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A89

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A90

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O L 0 3 6 1 1 0, st ati o n 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e M ol e n b e e k, Li e z el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A91

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0" ( B E N E D E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0 ( B e n e d e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A92

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V04 M O M037100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

67301328

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 3 2. 4 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 9. 8 9), (' c 1', 1. 9 8), (' c 2', 0. 8 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 5 9), (' c O F 2', 1. 6 4), (' cI F 1', - 2. 8 2), (' cI F 2', 2. 4 2), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 6 5), (' C KI F', 6 2. 1 8), (' C K B F', 9 3 2. 6)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 1 %

5 2. 4 %

-2 0. 2 %

0. 6 7

0. 4 7 8

0. 5 4 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 3

0. 1 3 7

0. 5 9 6

N S _r el

0. 4 1 1

-0. 1 7 3

0. 8 0 1

K GE

0. 6 3 4

0. 4 8

0. 5 3 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 5. 6 %

8 2. 0 %

-1 1. 0 %

0. 6 5 1

0. 2 0 4

0. 6 4 4

N S _l o g

0. 5 6 7

-0. 1 9 5

0. 7 4 3

N S _r el

-0. 4 3 1

-2. 0 7

0. 8 2 1

K GE

0. 6 4 2

0. 2 2 8

0. 5 8 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A93

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A94

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A95

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 4 M O M 0 3 7 1 0 0, st ati o n 3 7 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e M ol e n b e e k, M al d er e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A96

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 7 L ei e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 97

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A98

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

2981779554

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 2 4. 0), (' S M e v a p', 2 3 3. 4 4), (' c 1', 2. 1 1), (' c 2', 0. 8 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 7 6), (' c O F 2', 1. 9 2), (' cI F 1', - 3. 6 1), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 8 9), (' C KI F', 4 6. 1 4), (' C K B F', 8 8 3. 1 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 3 %

9. 5 %

-1 0. 4 %

0. 7 9 4

0. 6 9 5

0. 7 4 9

N S _l o g

0. 8 0 3

0. 5 3 7

0. 8 4 6

N S _r el

0. 7 9 6

0. 6 4 4

0. 8 9 8

K GE

0. 7 4 6

0. 7 2

0. 6 6 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 6 %

1 1. 0 %

-8. 3 %

0. 8

0. 6 8 5

0. 7 4 8

N S _l o g

0. 8 1 4

0. 5 3 1

0. 8 4 5

N S _r el

0. 8 0 2

0. 6 3 7

0. 8 9 3

K GE

0. 7 5 2

0. 7 2 7

0. 6 7 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A99

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A100

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A101

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 5 L EI 3 8 6 9 9 9, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A102

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A103

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V05 H E U403210

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

91912331

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 2 5. 8 5), (' S M e v a p', 2 0 6. 1 6), (' c 1', 3. 2 8), (' c 2', 1. 0 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 9 1), (' c O F 2', 1. 7 7), (' cI F 1', - 3. 9 8), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 0 9), (' C KI F', 7 7. 6 9), (' C K B F', 7 0 0. 1 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 9 %

1 7. 8 %

-8. 4 %

0. 7 6 1

0. 7 3 5

0. 7 0 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 6 2

0. 3 1 8

0. 7 0 4

N S _r el

-2 7. 6 8

-4 7. 7 1 6

0. 6 3 4

K GE

0. 6 9 8

0. 6 7 2

0. 6 0 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-6. 0 %

1. 6 %

-8. 9 %

0. 7 5

0. 7 0 6

0. 7 0 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 3

0. 2 4 2

0. 7 2 4

N S _r el

-9. 2 3 5

-1 9. 0 4 5

0. 7 0 5

K GE

0. 6 8 3

0. 7 4 2

0. 6 2 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A104

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A105

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A106

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 H E U 4 0 3 2 1 0, st ati o n 4 0 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H e ul e b e e k; H e ul e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A107

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0" ( L EI E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0 ( L ei e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A108

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V05 M A N401230

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

258441818

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 0. 5 3), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 7. 6 1), (' c 1', 2. 0 7), (' c 2', 0. 9 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 4 9), (' c O F 2', 4. 9 7), (' cI F 1', - 3. 2 4), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 6 9), (' C KI F', 4 8. 9 9), (' C K B F', 7 6 3. 4 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 8 3 - 1 9 9 5)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 5 %

2 6. 1 %

-1 7. 6 %

0. 7 4 8

0. 6 8 6

0. 7 0 2

N S _l o g

0. 7 5 7

0. 5 5 3

0. 7 4 7

N S _r el

0. 1 2 4

0. 6 0 5

0. 7 0 3

K GE

0. 6 9

0. 6 1 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 7 %

3 3. 7 %

-2 2. 2 %

0. 7 1

0. 5 5 6

0. 6 4 9

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 9

0. 0 9 6

0. 6 2 9

N S _r el

-0. 9 4 7

-2. 1 1 4

0. 5 2 3

K GE

0. 7 0 3

0. 5 3 5

0. 6 1 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A109

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A110

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A111

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 5 M A N 4 0 1 2 3 0, st ati o n 4 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n d el; O o str o z e b e k e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A112

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 8 B o v e ns c h el d e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 113

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A114

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F06 B O S325001

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

5217586196

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 3 5. 3), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 6. 4 4), (' c 1', 1. 9 8), (' c 2', 0. 5 4), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 6 5), (' c O F 2', 2. 1 8), (' cI F 1', - 3. 8 1), (' cI F 2', 2. 8 7), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 7 7), (' C KI F', 6 1. 4), (' C K B F', 1 0 6 0. 4 5)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-4. 5 %

1 4. 9 %

-1 6. 4 %

0. 7 1 8

0. 2 1 7

0. 6 9 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 6

0. 0 0 6

0. 7 3 3

N S _r el

0. 6 7 4

-0. 1 4 4

0. 8 3 6

K GE

0. 7 0 9

0. 6 0 9

0. 6 4 4

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-5. 3 %

1 3. 8 %

-1 6. 7 %

0. 7 1 9

0. 2 9 8

0. 6 9 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 3 7

0. 0 5 4

0. 7 3 2

N S _r el

0. 6 7 7

-0. 0 2 9

0. 8 3 5

K GE

0. 7 0 3

0. 6 2 2

0. 6 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A115

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A116

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A117

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 0 6 B O S 3 2 5 0 0 1, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A118

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A119

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V06 M A A347160

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

48678191

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 2 4. 5), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 5. 3 6), (' c 1', 2. 3 1), (' c 2', 0. 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 5 8), (' c O F 2', 3. 6 7), (' cI F 1', - 6. 0), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 2 5), (' C KI F', 6 2. 5 8), (' C K B F', 6 7 3. 1 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 4 %

1 4. 0 %

-1 2. 6 %

0. 5 8

0. 3 4 6

0. 5 7 2

N S _l o g

nan

0. 1 3 8

N S _r el

-i nf

0. 6 4 4

K GE

0. 6 5 5

0. 4 9 9

0. 6 1 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 7. 5 %

-2. 8 %

-2 5. 6 %

0. 5 5

0. 3 9 8

0. 5 2 1

N S _l o g

nan

-0. 2 9 4

N S _r el

-i nf

0. 4 8 7

K GE

0. 6 1 5

0. 6 4 3

0. 5 6 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A120

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A121

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A122

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 M A A 3 4 7 1 6 0, st ati o n 3 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - M a ar k e b e e k; Eti k h o v e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A123

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A124

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V06Z W A342190

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

112117540

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 8. 2 5), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 8. 1 4), (' c 1', 2. 1 1), (' c 2', 1. 4 2), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 7 2), (' c O F 2', 2. 1), (' cI F 1', - 4. 1 2), (' cI F 2', 2. 9 9), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 3 4), (' C KI F', 5 9. 7), (' C K B F', 7 0 7. 3 7)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 0 - 2 0 1 2)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 0 %

2 3. 6 %

-1 3. 9 %

0. 4 8 9

0. 3 8 6

0. 3 6 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 7

0. 2 3 8

0. 5 9 1

N S _r el

0. 6 7

0. 6 1 9

0. 7 7 3

K GE

0. 4 2 9

0. 3 7 4

0. 2 8 4

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2. 3 %

8. 5 %

-8. 2 %

0. 4 5 5

0. 2 3 6

0. 3 9 5

N S _l o g

0. 4 8 7

0. 1 2 8

0. 5 7 3

N S _r el

-3 2. 2 9 5

-6. 0 5 7

0. 6 9 4

K GE

0. 4 3 7

0. 2 8 7

0. 3 4 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A125

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A126

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A127

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 6 Z W A 3 4 2 1 9 0, st ati o n 3 4 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w al m; N e d er z w al m

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A128

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0" ( B O V E N S C H E L D E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0 ( B o v e n s c h el d e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A129

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W06 R H OL54100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

161928446

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 8 2. 8 8), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 6. 5 9), (' c 1', 1. 9 6), (' c 2', 0. 4 7), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 7 9), (' c O F 2', 2. 7 1), (' cI F 1', - 3. 4 3), (' cI F 2', 2. 0 6), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 9 2), (' C KI F', 8 8. 2 5), (' C K B F', 7 3 9. 9 8)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 9 %

5 0. 4 %

-2 7. 1 %

0. 5 5 5

0. 2 2 8

0. 5 3

N S _l o g

0. 3 8 3

-0. 6 0 3

0. 4 9 7

N S _r el

-0. 6 8 8

-1. 7 0 1

0. 7 7 4

K GE

0. 5 7 4

0. 1 1

0. 4 6 7

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 2 %

4 8. 0 %

-2 6. 8 %

0. 5 5 1

0. 2 4 4

0. 5 2 8

N S _l o g

0. 3 9 8

-0. 5 2

0. 5

N S _r el

-0. 6 7

-1. 7 3 8

0. 7 8 1

K GE

0. 5 6 6

0. 1 4 9

0. 4 6 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A130

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A131

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A132

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 6 R H O L 5 4 1 0 0, st ati o n L 5 4 1 2 A m o u gi e s - R h o s n e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A133

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 9 D e n d er

A 134

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A135

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 B EL285070

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

88641710

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 5. 7 7), (' S M e v a p', 2 1 6. 2 1), (' c 1', 2. 1 2), (' c 2', 0. 6 7), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 3 5), (' c O F 2', 4. 5 2), (' cI F 1', - 4. 9 5), (' cI F 2', 4. 5 8), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 2 8), (' C KI F', 6 2. 7 3), (' C K B F', 1 1 5 6. 9 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 1 %

1 0. 1 %

-5. 9 %

0. 7 0 7

0. 5 1 9

0. 7

N S _l o g

0. 6 9 9

0. 4 3 5

0. 6 8

N S _r el

0. 7 3

0. 6 1 7

0. 8

K GE

0. 7 7 3

0. 4 9 3

0. 7 5 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-6. 1 %

1 3. 7 %

-1 1. 9 %

0. 6 0 1

0. 4 7

0. 5 8 1

N S _l o g

0. 6 0 5

0. 2 9 1

0. 5 9 4

N S _r el

-4 2. 6 2

-1 5. 3 4

0. 5 5 1

K GE

0. 6 6 9

0. 4 7 2

0. 6 8 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A136

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A137

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A138

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 B E L 2 8 5 0 7 0, st ati o n 2 8 5 1 0 1 0 2 - B ell e b e e k, E s s e n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A139

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A140

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M A R289015

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

173908791

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 1 0. 7 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 0. 8 4), (' c 1', 2. 2 3), (' c 2', 0. 9 2), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 5 9), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 4. 3 5), (' cI F 2', 2. 8 9), (' C Q O F', 1 0. 7 9), (' C KI F', 5 8. 4), (' C K B F', 1 1 5 4. 7 7)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 4 %

3 1. 0 %

-1 4. 5 %

0. 6 8 8

0. 0 1 7

0. 7 1 7

N S _l o g

0. 5 3 2

-0. 3 3 8

0. 6 7

N S _r el

-0. 1 2 4

-0. 4 8 8

0. 7 2 8

K GE

0. 7 7 1

0. 3 1 9

0. 7 6 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

8. 4 %

5 2. 1 %

-1 2. 1 %

0. 6 9 4

0. 3 3 8

0. 7 1 7

N S _l o g

0. 4 8 2

-0. 1 6 9

0. 6 7 9

N S _r el

-1 7. 0 6

-3 2. 5 8 5

0. 4 7 9

K GE

0. 7 5 5

0. 3 6 3

0. 7 5 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A141

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A142

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A143

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M A R 2 8 9 0 1 5, st ati o n 2 8 9 7 0 1 0 2 - M ar k e, Vi a n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A144

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A145

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M O E282100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

46367171

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 5 0. 3 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 1. 7 6), (' c 1', 3. 4 1), (' c 2', 2. 2 2), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 6 7), (' c O F 2', 1 0. 0), (' cI F 1', - 5. 3 8), (' cI F 2', 3. 6 1), (' C Q O F', 1 6. 5 1), (' C KI F', 8 2. 3 6), (' C K B F', 1 3 3 9. 9 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 9)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

2 6. 2 %

-1 0. 6 %

0. 5 1 1

0. 3 3 1

0. 3 9 5

N S _l o g

0. 7 0 9

0. 2 8 1

0. 6 2 4

N S _r el

0. 7 3 6

0. 4 9 5

0. 8 3 4

K GE

0. 4 9 2

0. 5 2 1

0. 3 1 9

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

8. 4 %

2 3. 4 %

0. 4 %

0. 5 5 6

0. 3 8 5

0. 4 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 9 1

0. 3 3 6

0. 6 6 2

N S _r el

0. 7

0. 6 5 2

0. 8 0 5

K GE

0. 5 8 1

0. 6 0 6

0. 4 0 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A146

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A147

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A148

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A149

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O E 2 8 2 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, Er p e M er e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A150

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A151

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V07 M O G288020

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

23093628

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 3 7. 9 5), (' S M e v a p', 1 9 3. 1 1), (' c 1', 2. 1 2), (' c 2', 0. 5 8), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 3 5), (' c O F 2', 4. 9 2), (' cI F 1', - 4. 2 5), (' cI F 2', 2. 9 9), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 1 4), (' C KI F', 6 0. 6 4), (' C K B F', 6 8 3. 2 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 9)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 3 %

9 1. 2 %

-2 5. 5 %

0. 5 4 3

0. 2 2 6

0. 4 9 9

N S _l o g

0. 5

-0. 3 7 5

0. 6 0 7

N S _r el

-2. 3 1 4

-5. 1 3

0. 7 5 3

K GE

0. 5 8 5

0. 0 1 6

0. 4 7 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-8. 9 %

5 5. 4 %

-2 6. 9 %

0. 5 2 5

0. 1 4 8

0. 5 0 6

N S _l o g

0. 4 5

-0. 1 3 8

0. 5 4 4

N S _r el

-2. 5 0 8

-5. 8 7 7

0. 7 2 7

K GE

0. 5 9 4

0. 2 4 7

0. 5 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A152

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A153

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A154

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A155

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M o l e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 7 M O G 2 8 8 0 2 0, st ati o n 2 8 8 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, G er a ar d s b er g e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A156

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4" ( D E N D E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4 ( D e n d er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A157

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W07 D E NL E S004

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

511840662

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 5 7. 1), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 3. 7 8), (' c 1', 1. 9 5), (' c 2', 0. 4 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 6 9), (' c O F 2', 1. 0 9), (' cI F 1', - 3. 5), (' cI F 2', 2. 8 7), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 5 5), (' C KI F', 8 3. 7 6), (' C K B F', 1 0 8 5. 7 5)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 8 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 0 %

6 9. 2 %

-3 2. 1 %

0. 5 1 9

-0. 3 9 4

0. 3 7 7

N S _l o g

0. 5 3 6

-0. 8 0 9

0. 4 7 2

N S _r el

0. 6 4 6

-0. 1 8 6

0. 8 3 9

K GE

0. 4 6 6

0. 2 0 7

0. 3 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 8 %

6 8. 1 %

-3 2. 8 %

0. 5 1 8

-0. 3 8 5

0. 3 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 5 3 7

-0. 7 9 1

0. 4 6

N S _r el

0. 6 5

-0. 1 7 4

0. 8 3 6

K GE

0. 4 6 3

0. 2 1 2

0. 3 0 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A158

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A159

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A160

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A161

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 7 D E N L E S 0 0 4, st ati o n L e s si n e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A162

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 0 Dijl e a n d Z e n n e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 163

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A164

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V08 B A R111370

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

70079800

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 0 9. 7 3), (' S M e v a p', 2 8 6. 7), (' c 1', 2. 1), (' c 2', 0. 6 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 9 3), (' c O F 2', 0. 9 5), (' cI F 1', - 3. 6 9), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 5. 0), (' C KI F', 7 5. 4 3), (' C K B F', 1 2 2 2. 6)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 4)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 5 %

2 2. 4 %

-7. 0 %

0. 7 4 2

0. 6 3 2

0. 6 7 8

N S _l o g

0. 7 5 4

0. 6 1 7

0. 7 2 9

N S _r el

0. 7 0 6

0. 6 0 7

0. 8 5 6

K GE

0. 7 3 6

0. 6 1 5

0. 6 8 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 4 %

2 2. 3 %

-7. 2 %

0. 7 4 2

0. 6 3 2

0. 6 7 8

N S _l o g

0. 7 5 4

0. 6 1 8

0. 7 2 7

N S _r el

0. 7 0 7

0. 6 0 8

0. 8 5 6

K GE

0. 7 3 6

0. 6 1 5

0. 6 8 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A165

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A166

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A167

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 B A R 1 1 1 3 7 0, st ati o n 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 2- B ar e b e e k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A168

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A169

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

861413000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

0 8 -0 4 -2 0 1 5

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 6 4. 1 4), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 8. 5 3), (' c 1', 1. 7 8), (' c 2', 0. 1), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 3 2), (' c O F 2', 1. 0 5), (' cI F 1', - 2. 7 8), (' cI F 2', 0. 7 1), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 8 8), (' C KI F', 6 4. 3 4), (' C K B F', 7 0 3. 7 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 1 3 - 2 0 1 5)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 7 %

-0. 3 %

0. 3 %

0. 6 0 6

0. 7 5

0. 7

N S _l o g

0. 1 5 7

0. 4 8

0. 3 2 8

N S _r el

0. 5 8 8

0. 7 7

0. 6 1

K GE

0. 7 2 3

0. 8 6 2

0. 7 8 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 5)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 6 %

-0. 8 %

0. 1 %

0. 5 9 5

0. 7 3 7

0. 7 4 7

N S _l o g

-0. 0 0 4

0. 4 9 4

0. 4 4 2

N S _r el

0. 5 6 9

0. 7 4 7

0. 6 7 2

K GE

0. 7 1 8

0. 8 4

0. 7 9 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A170

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A171

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A172

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 DI J 0 9 3 4 0 0, st ati o n 9 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Dijl e, Wil s el e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A173

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A174

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V08Z U U233100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

64771005

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 7 8

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 0 1

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 0 6. 2 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 6. 1 6), (' c 1', 2. 0 9), (' c 2', 0. 6 8), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 1), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 4. 1 8), (' cI F 2', 2. 9 9), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 7 8), (' C KI F', 5 7. 9 1), (' C K B F', 7 8 0. 7 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

2 5. 5 %

-1 1. 7 %

0. 6 2 7

0. 2 3 6

0. 6 3 2

N S _l o g

0. 5 4 2

-0. 1 3 7

0. 6 0 3

N S _r el

-0. 2 4 1

-0. 8 4 6

0. 6 4 5

K GE

0. 6 6 4

0. 2 2 4

0. 6 6 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 7 8 - 2 0 0 1)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2 9. 8 %

1 1 1. 2 %

6. 0 %

0. 5 8 6

0. 0 8 1

0. 6 3 9

N S _l o g

0. 4 8

-0. 2 3 9

0. 6 8 9

N S _r el

-3. 9 6 6

-4. 4 5 1

0. 2 3 1

K GE

0. 6 8

0. 0 4 6

0. 8 0 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A175

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A176

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A177

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 8 Z U U 2 3 3 1 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Z u u n b e e k, St Pi et er sl e e u w

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A178

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A179

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S A M R O N000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

134097000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 0 2. 8 6), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 2. 7 4), (' c 1', 1. 9 4), (' c 2', 0. 5 2), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 8), (' c O F 2', 2. 5 6), (' cI F 1', - 3. 7), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 1 9), (' C KI F', 8 5. 8 1), (' C K B F', 1 3 2 4. 2 7)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 8 - 2 0 1 0)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 0 %

2 3. 1 %

-1 2. 1 %

0. 6 9 3

0. 5 4 8

0. 7 0 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 8 4

0. 3 3 9

0. 7 5 4

N S _r el

0. 7 7 6

0. 6 2 2

0. 8 9

K GE

0. 6 9 1

0. 6 1 1

0. 6 6 7

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-9. 2 %

3. 8 %

-1 7. 9 %

0. 7 1

0. 5 9 6

0. 7 0 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 5

0. 3 7 3

0. 6 4 3

N S _r el

0. 8 0 7

0. 6 8 7

0. 8 5 8

K GE

0. 7 2 1

0. 7 0 7

0. 6 7 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A180

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A181

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A182

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A183

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S A M R O N 0 0 0, st ati o n 2 3 7 1- 1 0 0 5 0 S a m m e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A184

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A185

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S E N R O N010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

70364773

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 6 2 0. 9 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 4 2. 6 3), (' c 1', 1. 9 5), (' c 2', 0. 5 7), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 3. 9), (' c O F 2', 2. 6 4), (' cI F 1', - 3. 4 7), (' cI F 2', 2. 7 6), (' C Q O F', 1 0. 5 3), (' C KI F', 5 8. 0 6), (' C K B F', 1 1 8 3. 9 2)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-6. 6 %

3 2. 8 %

-2 9. 7 %

0. 5 6 5

0. 3 4 9

0. 5 3 5

N S _l o g

0. 3 6

-0. 2 9

0. 7 0 8

N S _r el

-0. 6 7 8

-3. 2 4 1

0. 7 4 9

K GE

0. 5 1 5

0. 3 9 1

0. 3 9 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 5. 6 %

-9. 7 %

-3 3. 4 %

0. 5 1 2

0. 4

0. 4 4 9

N S _l o g

0. 3 7 6

-0. 0 0 4

0. 4 6

N S _r el

-0. 0 5 2

-1. 3 8 5

0. 7 3 9

K GE

0. 5 0 3

0. 5 1 9

0. 3 8 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A186

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A187

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A188

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N R O N 0 1 0, st ati o n L 5 6 7 0 - S e n ett e, R o n q ui er e s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A189

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0" ( DI J L E/ Z E N N E B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0 ( Dijl e/ Z e n n e b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A190

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W08 S E NT U B030

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

215911078

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 5 6. 4 7), (' S M e v a p', 1 8 9. 1 6), (' c 1', 2. 3 9), (' c 2', 1. 2 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 5), (' c O F 2', 7. 4), (' cI F 1', - 4. 0 6), (' cI F 2', 4. 5 1), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 2 3), (' C KI F', 5 5. 6 4), (' C K B F', 1 7 5 0. 8 8)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 2 %

2 7. 0 %

-1 5. 0 %

0. 6 7

0. 4 6 2

0. 6 3 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 1

0. 2 2 3

0. 6 9 3

N S _r el

0. 8 2 1

0. 6 4 8

0. 8 0 2

K GE

0. 6 1 1

0. 6 1 3

0. 5 4 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-3. 5 %

-7. 2 %

-1 4. 3 %

0. 6 5 2

0. 5 7 8

0. 6 2 1

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 2

0. 4 4 2

0. 6 7 4

N S _r el

0. 7 8 4

0. 8 4 5

0. 7 9 1

K GE

0. 6 2 5

0. 5 7 1

0. 5 5 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A191

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A192

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1 - 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A193

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 0 8 S E N T U B 0 3 0, st ati o n 1 9 5 1- 1 0 0 5 0 Z e n n e, T u bi z e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A194

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 1 D e m er

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 195

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A196

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 D E M136000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

255882000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 7 6 0 5. 0), (' S M e v a p', 2 6 0 3 9 4. 0), (' c 1', 1. 9 3), (' c 2', 0. 4 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 1 5), (' c O F 2', 3. 0 3), (' cI F 1', - 3. 9 5), (' cI F 2', 2. 7 3), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 9 9), (' C KI F', 5 5. 7 7), (' C K B F', 1 1 9 9. 9 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 8 - 2 0 1 0)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

4 0. 7 %

1 0 3. 5 %

3. 2 %

0. 1 2

-1. 1 7 5

0. 7 7 9

N S _l o g

-0. 1 0 6

-1. 5 7 6

0. 7 7 1

N S _r el

-0. 5 8 6

-1. 9 1 4

0. 8 2 1

K GE

0. 5 0 3

-0. 1 3

0. 8 0 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

3 7. 3 %

9 4. 1 %

1. 0 %

0. 2 3 6

-0. 6 9 2

0. 7 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 0 0 4

-1. 0 8 5

0. 7 8 4

N S _r el

-0. 3 3 2

-1. 5 1 2

0. 8 5

K GE

0. 5 7 4

0. 1 1 6

0. 7 6 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A197

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A198

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A199

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A200

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 D E M 1 3 6 0 0 0, st ati o n 1 3 6 1 0 1 0 2 - D e m er; H a s s elt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A201

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A202

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 G ET152080

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

800395376

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 0 9. 1 2), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 8. 8), (' c 1', 1. 9 7), (' c 2', 0. 4 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 8), (' c O F 2', 1. 6), (' cI F 1', - 3. 9 8), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 8. 7 8), (' C KI F', 5 7. 4 8), (' C K B F', 1 8 0 2. 8)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 4 %

1 0. 4 %

-1 1. 4 %

0. 7 1 2

0. 4 3 6

0. 7 1 8

N S _l o g

0. 6 2 7

0. 2 3 5

0. 6 8 8

N S _r el

0. 7 0 7

0. 3 0 1

0. 7 8 9

K GE

0. 7 8 2

0. 6 9 1

0. 7 3 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

6. 3 %

3 4. 1 %

-1 3. 4 %

0. 6 6 1

0. 3 1 3

0. 6 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 5 8

0. 0 3 5

0. 6 3 6

N S _r el

0. 6 3 1

0. 2 0 9

0. 7 8 3

K GE

0. 7 9 3

0. 6 2 1

0. 7 8 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A203

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0, st ati o n 1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0, st ati o n 1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A204

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0, st ati o n 1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0, st ati o n 1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A205

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 G E T 1 5 2 0 8 0, st ati o n 1 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - G et e; H al e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A206

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A207

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 H E R163010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

274602221

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 9 9. 4 1), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 8. 0), (' c 1', 1. 9 7), (' c 2', 0. 5 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 4. 0 3), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 7 1), (' C KI F', 5 9. 3 6), (' C K B F', 9 1 5. 5 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 3 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 3 %

1 4. 1 %

-1 3. 7 %

0. 6 0 5

0. 2 6

0. 5 4 9

N S _l o g

0. 5 4

-0. 0 9 4

0. 6 7 2

N S _r el

0. 7 4 1

0. 1 2 1

0. 8 5

K GE

0. 5 6 4

0. 5 9 8

0. 4 5

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 0. 0 %

7 1. 4 %

-1 8. 8 %

0. 5 9 4

0. 2 7 3

0. 5 6 1

N S _l o g

0. 4 9 8

-0. 3

0. 6 8 9

N S _r el

0. 2 6 3

-0. 2 2 3

0. 7 0 7

K GE

0. 5 5 2

0. 3 2 5

0. 4 7 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A208

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A209

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A210

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H E R 1 6 3 0 1 0, st ati o n 1 6 3 1 0 1 0 2 - H er k, K er mt

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A211

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A212

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 H UL147150

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

80130245

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 5 5. 9 7), (' S M e v a p', 2 2 4. 4 3), (' c 1', 2. 6 7), (' c 2', 2. 8 6), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 7 9), (' c O F 2', 4. 7 9), (' cI F 1', - 3. 0 2), (' cI F 2', 1. 2 8), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 9 5), (' C KI F', 6 5. 7 2), (' C K B F', 1 2 4 5. 0 2)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 5 %

-2 0. 0 %

7. 4 %

0. 4 0 4

-0. 0 2 8

0. 5 9 9

N S _l o g

0. 0 2 3

-0. 5 7 1

0. 5 1 1

N S _r el

0. 5 2 7

0. 4 8 1

0. 4 5 9

K GE

0. 6 1 1

0. 2 9 9

0. 5 6 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 0. 3 %

-3. 2 %

1 7. 2 %

0. 4 3 6

0. 2 6 3

0. 5 6

N S _l o g

0. 1 0 1

-0. 2 9 3

0. 5 0 1

N S _r el

0. 3 9 2

0. 5 0 9

0. 3 8 1

K GE

0. 7 0 2

0. 4 8 5

0. 6 6 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A213

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A214

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A215

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 H U L 1 4 7 1 5 0, st ati o n 1 4 7 1 0 1 0 2 - D e H ul p e; M ol e n st e d e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A216

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A217

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09L O S143300

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

15176294

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 0 5. 9 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 7 8. 8 4), (' c 1', 2. 0 5), (' c 2', 0. 3 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 6 1), (' c O F 2', 3. 9 6), (' cI F 1', - 4. 5 4), (' cI F 2', 2. 5 7), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 0 5), (' C KI F', 9 0. 5 8), (' C K B F', 1 2 4 8. 2 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 1 0)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 9. 3 %

4 9. 9 %

4. 9 %

0. 2 5 5

0. 3 8 1

0. 1

N S _l o g

0. 2 4 6

-0. 3 4 1

0. 2 4 8

N S _r el

-2 1. 0 8 1

-2 1. 6 8 4

0. 2 6 1

K GE

0. 5 5 1

0. 4 3 3

0. 4 9 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

6. 7 %

6 5. 6 %

-1 2. 8 %

0. 2 6 5

0. 2 4 9

0. 1 6 8

N S _l o g

0. 2 9 9

-0. 2 3 3

0. 0 7 7

N S _r el

-1 2. 3 3 8

-1 3. 4 1 8

0. 3 4 6

K GE

0. 5 7

0. 3 4 4

0. 5 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A218

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A219

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A220

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A221

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 L O S 1 4 3 3 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L o sti n g; W e z e m a al

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A222

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A223

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 M A N161040

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

103081000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 1 8. 7 3), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 6. 6 5), (' c 1', 1. 8 9), (' c 2', 0. 7 1), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 2 3), (' c O F 2', 4. 0 3), (' cI F 1', - 3. 2 9), (' cI F 2', 0. 8 3), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 1 6), (' C KI F', 8 7. 0), (' C K B F', 1 0 5 0. 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 8 - 2 0 1 0)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 1 %

-2. 0 %

1. 8 %

0. 6 6 6

0. 6 4 6

0. 6 3 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 6

0. 5 9 2

0. 5 5 8

N S _r el

0. 5 9 4

0. 6 6 3

0. 4 9 9

K GE

0. 8 3 2

0. 7 3 3

0. 8 0 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 7 %

1 8. 7 %

-4. 6 %

0. 6 6 9

0. 5 7 2

0. 6 6 3

N S _l o g

0. 5 6 9

0. 4 3 4

0. 5 7 9

N S _r el

0. 5 2 5

0. 3 3 6

0. 6 4 5

K GE

0. 8 3 2

0. 6 9 9

0. 8 1 8

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A224

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A225

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A226

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A227

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M A N 1 6 1 0 4 0, st ati o n 1 6 1 1 0 1 0 2 - M a n g el b e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A228

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A229

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 M OT144270

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

33590217

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 3. 1 6), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 8. 3 4), (' c 1', 1. 9 5), (' c 2', 0. 7 8), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 0 2), (' c O F 2', 4. 7 7), (' cI F 1', - 3. 9 1), (' cI F 2', 5. 0 3), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 4 8), (' C KI F', 6 5. 5), (' C K B F', 1 1 9 8. 0)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 0 7)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2. 5 %

5 0. 5 %

-1 1. 2 %

0. 6 4 5

0. 6 7

0. 6 2 8

N S _l o g

0. 5 0 7

0. 1 9 4

0. 4 4 6

N S _r el

-1. 0 5 5

-1. 6 8 1

0. 7 6 9

K GE

0. 8 0 8

0. 6 5

0. 7 5 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 3. 0 %

1. 5 %

-1 4. 0 %

0. 5 2 5

0. 5 7 3

0. 4 3

N S _l o g

0. 2 0 8

0. 0 3 8

-0. 1 6 6

N S _r el

-0. 3 8 2

-1. 7 5 9

0. 6

K GE

0. 7 2 5

0. 7 5 9

0. 6 9 2

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A230

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A231

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A232

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A233

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 M O T 1 4 4 2 7 0, st ati o n 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 2 - M ott e; Rill a ar

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A234

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A235

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09 V EL145100

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

96801128

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 1 5. 1 6), (' S M e v a p', 2 1 3. 3 8), (' c 1', 2. 1 3), (' c 2', 0. 6 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 5 1), (' c O F 2', 5. 1 1), (' cI F 1', - 4. 1 6), (' cI F 2', 3. 8), (' C Q O F', 9. 9 5), (' C KI F', 8 1. 7 5), (' C K B F', 1 4 9 8. 3 6)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 6 %

3 2. 2 %

-1 2. 3 %

0. 7 2 4

0. 3 6

0. 6 6 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 8

0. 1 3 2

0. 5 9 3

N S _r el

0. 7

0. 0 7 9

0. 7 7 7

K GE

0. 7 7 3

0. 5 4 9

0. 7 1 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 0 %

4 5. 5 %

-1 9. 3 %

0. 6 7 1

0. 5 2 4

0. 6 2 8

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 4

0. 1 9 5

0. 4 7 5

N S _r el

-1. 6 0 5

-2. 5 9 3

0. 7 6 5

K GE

0. 7 7 2

0. 4 0 7

0. 7 5

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A236

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A237

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A238

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 V E L 1 4 5 1 0 0, st ati o n 1 4 5 1 0 1 0 2 - V el p; R a n s b er g

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A239

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A240

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

64739169

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 1. 2 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 5. 3 7), (' c 1', 1. 9 9), (' c 2', 0. 5 7), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 0 6), (' c O F 2', 3. 5 6), (' cI F 1', - 4. 0 6), (' cI F 2', 2. 9), (' C Q O F', 1 0. 5 4), (' C KI F', 8 1. 9 6), (' C K B F', 7 2 2. 8 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 7 %

1 5. 2 %

-7. 2 %

0. 6 7 7

0. 5 3 1

0. 6 8 9

N S _l o g

0. 5 8

0. 2 4 7

0. 5 9 8

N S _r el

-1 3. 5 3 2

-2 8. 0 7 1

0. 7 5 7

K GE

0. 8 0 2

0. 6 2 3

0. 8 0 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

3. 9 %

1 3. 7 %

-2. 8 %

0. 5 7 9

0. 5 9 3

0. 5 5

N S _l o g

0. 5 8 5

0. 4 1 6

0. 4 9 8

N S _r el

-7. 1 9 6

-9. 3 6

0. 6 9

K GE

0. 7 8 7

0. 7 0 1

0. 7 4 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A241

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 - R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A242

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 - R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A243

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 WI N 1 4 1 3 1 0, st ati o n 1 4 1 - R ot s el a ar ; Wi n g e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A244

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0" ( D E M E R B E K K E N)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0 ( D e m er b e k k e n)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A245

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V09Z W A148120

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

96514800

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 5 1. 6 2), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 8. 4 8), (' c 1', 1. 8 2), (' c 2', 0. 4 8), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 2 9), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 3. 5 8), (' cI F 2', 2. 8 5), (' C Q O F', 1 5. 0 2), (' C KI F', 4 9. 6 2), (' C K B F', 7 2 4. 8 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 0 7)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

3. 4 %

2 9. 1 %

-7. 9 %

0. 6 3 7

0. 2 2 9

0. 7 0 2

N S _l o g

0. 4 8 1

0. 0 2 4

0. 6 9 3

N S _r el

0. 1 4 5

-1. 5 9

0. 7 8 8

K GE

0. 8 0 2

0. 5 7

0. 8 3 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-9. 7 %

9. 2 %

-1 6. 2 %

0. 5 4 5

0. 2 5 7

0. 6 5

N S _l o g

0. 3 3 6

0. 2 3 2

0. 3 4 4

N S _r el

-3. 2 9 1

-8. 1 0 1

0. 3 4 4

K GE

0. 7 3 4

0. 4 8 5

0. 8 0 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A246

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A247

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A248

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c a t c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A249

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 0 9 Z W A 1 4 8 1 2 0, st ati o n 1 4 8 1 0 1 0 2 - Z w art e B e e k; L u m m e n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A250

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 2 N et e

Fi n al v ersi o n

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 251

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A252

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V1 0 GL A086020

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

62621236

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 1 7. 7 7), (' S M e v a p', 2 5 3. 3 9), (' c 1', 1. 6 6), (' c 2', 0. 2 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 7. 8 5), (' c O F 2', 4. 5), (' cI F 1', - 4. 4 6), (' cI F 2', 4. 5), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 3 8), (' C KI F', 8 3. 5 5), (' C K B F', 1 5 0 3. 0)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 9 - 2 0 0 7)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

2 3. 4 %

-1 0. 7 %

0. 7 0 6

0. 3 3 9

0. 7 0 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 1 5

0. 0 9 2

0. 7 0 2

N S _r el

0. 7 0 7

0. 3 8

0. 8 3 3

K GE

0. 7 7 6

0. 5 1 2

0. 8 3 2

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 5. 0 %

-2. 3 %

-2 1. 4 %

0. 5 3 6

0. 1 7 4

0. 5 5

N S _l o g

0. 3 2 1

-0. 0 2

0. 3 9 4

N S _r el

-1 2. 0 6 5

-3 8. 2 8 1

0. 2 4

K GE

0. 6 3 1

0. 3 5 9

0. 7 0 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A253

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A254

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A255

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A256

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G L A 0 8 6 0 2 0, st ati o n 8 6 1 0 1 0 2 - Gr ot e L a a k, V or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A257

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A258

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V1 0 G N E076999

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

359885327

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 3 6. 3 1), (' S M e v a p', 2 3 3. 7 3), (' c 1', 1. 8 3), (' c 2', 0. 5 4), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 9 5), (' c O F 2', 2. 3 8), (' cI F 1', - 3. 7 5), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 8 8), (' C KI F', 6 6. 5 8), (' C K B F', 1 6 2 3. 0)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 3 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 2 %

1 4. 3 %

-1 1. 5 %

0. 7 1 4

0. 2 6 2

0. 6 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 7 9

0. 3 0 4

0. 6 1 4

N S _r el

0. 7 3 4

0. 1 2 7

0. 7 9 3

K GE

0. 7 5 8

0. 7 1 5

0. 7 0 7

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-4. 5 %

1 7. 0 %

-1 7. 5 %

0. 6 8 4

0. 3 9 3

0. 6 2 2

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 5

0. 1 3 3

0. 5 8 4

N S _r el

0. 6 0 2

-0. 0 1 2

0. 7 7 1

K GE

0. 7 1 7

0. 6 5 4

0. 7 0 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A259

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A260

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A261

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 G N E 0 7 6 9 9 9, st ati o n 7 6 1 0 1 0 2 Gr ot e N et e/ G e el Z a m m el

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A262

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A263

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V1 0 K N E052000

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

584669408

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 4. 6 5), (' S M e v a p', 2 0 2. 3 5), (' c 1', 2. 1), (' c 2', 1. 0 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0), (' c O F 2', 0. 7 8), (' cI F 1', - 3. 0 9), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 0 8), (' C KI F', 5 6. 3), (' C K B F', 1 1 0 3. 0 1)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 0 %

2 1. 5 %

-1 2. 2 %

0. 7 5 6

0. 5 3

0. 6 9 3

N S _l o g

0. 7 2

0. 5 1 9

0. 6 3 2

N S _r el

0. 7 3 9

0. 2 9 3

0. 7 8 8

K GE

0. 7 4 6

0. 7 0 6

0. 6 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 4 %

1 8. 4 %

-1 2. 0 %

0. 7 7 2

0. 6 5 9

0. 7 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 9 8

0. 5

0. 6 8 9

N S _r el

0. 7 3 4

0. 5 2 3

0. 8 1 6

K GE

0. 7 8 5

0. 7 3 4

0. 7 3 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A264

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A265

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A266

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 K N E 0 5 2 0 0 0, st ati o n 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Kl ei n e N et e; Gr o b b e n d o n k

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A267

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A268

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V1 0 M O P062140

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

77319091

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 2 6. 3 6), (' S M e v a p', 2 1 0. 6 3), (' c 1', 2. 1 8), (' c 2', 0. 6 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 9 8), (' c O F 2', 0. 1), (' cI F 1', - 4. 1 6), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 0. 6 5), (' C KI F', 6 2. 2 4), (' C K B F', 6 6 7. 2)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 4 %

-5. 3 %

-5. 2 %

0. 6 1 4

0. 4 6 1

0. 6 0 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 5 9

0. 4 7 5

0. 7 4 4

N S _r el

-0. 0 8 2

-0. 5 1 7

0. 7 8 1

K GE

0. 6 8 8

0. 4 4 8

0. 6 4 4

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 5. 7 %

3 2. 0 %

6. 5 %

0. 6 4 7

0. 4 3

0. 6 8 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 4 5

0. 4 6 2

0. 7 6 9

N S _r el

-0. 8 0 4

-1. 9 4

0. 7 5 6

K GE

0. 7 3 2

0. 4 9 1

0. 7 0 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A269

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A270

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A271

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 M O P 0 6 2 1 4 0, st ati o n 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 - M ol e n b e e k, P ull e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A272

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0" ( N E T E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0 ( N et e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A273

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

65701200

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 6. 8 5), (' S M e v a p', 1 4 5. 6 1), (' c 1', 1. 9 7), (' c 2', 0. 5 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 9 2), (' c O F 2', 3. 4 2), (' cI F 1', - 3. 6 3), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 0), (' C KI F', 8 8. 5 9), (' C K B F', 8 7 2. 1 2)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 7)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 4 %

-1. 4 %

-0. 2 %

0. 6 2 4

0. 5 5 6

0. 6 8 2

N S _l o g

0. 5 9 9

0. 3 7 3

0. 7 0 9

N S _r el

-1 4. 3 9 6

-2 8. 0 9 5

0. 7 3 9

K GE

0. 7 5 4

0. 5 0 8

0. 8 2 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 3. 6 %

1. 4 %

1 9. 5 %

0. 5 6 7

0. 5 2 3

0. 6 4 2

N S _l o g

0. 5 2 9

0. 3 4 1

0. 6 3 7

N S _r el

-9. 3 1 3

-1 9. 9 8 1

0. 3 5 1

K GE

0. 7 5 3

0. 5 0 8

0. 8 2 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A274

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A275

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A276

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A277

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt V 1 0 WI M 0 8 2 0 5 0, st ati o n 8 2 1 0 1 0 2 - Wi e k e v or st

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A278

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 3

Fi n al v ersi o n

M e us e

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

A 279

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A280

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

F11M A A8702

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

10120000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 8 0. 8 5), (' S M e v a p', 2 2 1. 5 3), (' c 1', 4. 0), (' c 2', 1. 8 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0), (' c O F 2', 0. 0 4), (' cI F 1', - 4. 0 4), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 6 1), (' C KI F', 8 6. 4 8), (' C K B F', 1 5 1 2. 0 8)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-5. 9 %

3 1. 4 %

-1 8. 5 %

0. 6 9 5

0. 2 6 6

0. 4 8 6

N S _l o g

0. 7 6 1

0. 1 3 5

0. 6 1 9

N S _r el

0. 7 3 6

0. 2 1 2

0. 6 6 2

K GE

0. 6 0 9

0. 5 6 5

0. 4 1 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-2. 5 %

3 2. 2 %

-1 5. 2 %

0. 7 0 5

0. 2 8 7

0. 5 2 9

N S _l o g

0. 7 7 5

0. 1 8 3

0. 6 3 7

N S _r el

0. 7 5 4

0. 2 2 9

0. 6 1 3

K GE

0. 6 0 8

0. 5 9

0. 4 3 1

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A281

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2, st ati o n M e u s e, C h o o z( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2, st ati o n M e u s e, C h o o z ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A282

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2, st ati o n M e u s e, C h o o z ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2, st ati o n M e u s e, C h o o z ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A283

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt F 1 1 M A A 8 7 0 2, st ati o n M e u s e, C h o o z

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A284

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0" ( M E U SE)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A285

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W 11 B E R551010

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

128000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 2 1. 2), (' S M e v a p', 2 4 2. 1 5), (' c 1', 2. 4), (' c 2', 1. 0 1), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0 4), (' c O F 2', 6. 7 8), (' cI F 1', - 4. 6 7), (' cI F 2', 2. 5 9), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 9 6), (' C KI F', 6 2. 9 6), (' C K B F', 1 2 2 3. 5 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 4 - 2 0 0 6)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 3 %

0. 5 %

-1. 4 %

0. 6 2 3

0. 5 9 2

0. 5 8 1

N S _l o g

0. 6 4 5

0. 4 8 6

0. 5 9 9

N S _r el

0. 6 0 6

0. 7 2 2

0. 4 8

K GE

0. 7 4 2

0. 7 0 7

0. 7 5 5

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

5. 5 %

1 7. 9 %

-1. 2 %

0. 5 1 1

0. 3 5 7

0. 4 9 4

N S _l o g

0. 3 0 4

-0. 1 8 3

0. 3 8 8

N S _r el

-1 5. 0 6 7

-2 0. 8 6 5

-4. 8 0 4

K GE

0. 6 7 3

0. 5 9 5

0. 6 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A286

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A287

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A288

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A289

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 B E R 5 5 1 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A290

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A291

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W11 H O Y5990

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

242000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 6 0 1. 3 7), (' S M e v a p', 1 4 4. 4 6), (' c 1', 1. 9 6), (' c 2', 0. 7 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 4 4), (' c O F 2', 5. 0), (' cI F 1', - 4. 9 4), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 3. 6 4), (' C KI F', 7 7. 3 9), (' C K B F', 1 1 9 3. 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 4 %

9. 2 %

-1 0. 0 %

0. 4 5 5

0. 0 9 6

0. 3

N S _l o g

0. 6 8 7

0. 1 2 8

0. 7 1 6

N S _r el

0. 8 7 6

0. 4 8

0. 9 3 2

K GE

0. 4 8 2

0. 4 9 3

0. 2 6 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 8 %

8. 5 %

-1 1. 7 %

0. 4 5

0. 0 9

0. 2 9 6

N S _l o g

0. 6 8 3

0. 1 1 8

0. 7 0 7

N S _r el

0. 8 7 5

0. 4 7 8

0. 9 3

K GE

0. 4 7

0. 4 8 6

0. 2 5 4

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A292

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A293

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A294

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 H O Y 5 9 9 0, st ati o n H o y o u x, M ar c hi n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A295

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0" ( M E U SE)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A296

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W 1 1J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

465499442

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 5 2 2. 0 3), (' S M e v a p', 1 5 9. 0 3), (' c 1', 1. 8 8), (' c 2', 0. 1), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 4. 0 2), (' c O F 2', 0. 5 6), (' cI F 1', - 6. 0), (' cI F 2', 0. 4 2), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 3 9), (' C KI F', 6 0. 2 8), (' C K B F', 1 1 0 1. 5 3)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 9 3 - 1 9 9 8)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 9 %

6. 4 %

-5. 3 %

0. 5 0 9

0. 5 0 8

0. 5 8 8

N S _l o g

0. 2 5 4

0. 3 0 5

0. 3 6 4

N S _r el

0. 6 9 2

0. 8 3 5

0. 7 3 6

K GE

0. 6 4 6

0. 5 2

0. 7 2 3

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1 0. 1 %

2. 3 %

-2 1. 3 %

0. 1 8 5

0. 2 2 3

0. 1 8 8

N S _l o g

-0. 0 6 4

-0. 0 0 1

-0. 0 5 8

N S _r el

0. 2 5 3

0. 2 5 2

0. 5 2 1

K GE

0. 4 7 6

0. 5 4

0. 4 5 7

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A297

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A298

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A299

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 J E K 5 5 3 0 1 0, st ati o n u n k o w n

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A300

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M PA RA METE RS F O R CAT C H ME NT " W 1 1 M A A P R O F" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A301

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W11 M A A P R OF

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

12585000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 4 7. 9), (' S M e v a p', 1 9 2. 0 9), (' c 1', 3. 0 5), (' c 2', 2. 1 3), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0), (' c O F 2', 0. 0), (' cI F 1', - 3. 7 2), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 4. 2 7), (' C KI F', 6 9. 7), (' C K B F', 1 1 4 8. 3 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 1 2)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 6 %

9. 9 %

-1 2. 0 %

0. 7 2

0. 5 1 3

0. 5 3 6

N S _l o g

0. 7 7 6

0. 3 9

0. 6 2 2

N S _r el

0. 8 0 7

0. 6 4 9

0. 6 2 8

K GE

0. 6 7 7

0. 6 7 2

0. 4 5 8

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-6. 8 %

6. 5 %

-1 4. 9 %

0. 7 0 7

0. 4 9 6

0. 5 1 2

N S _l o g

0. 7 7

0. 3 8 2

0. 6 1 9

N S _r el

0. 8 0 7

0. 6 3 1

0. 6 2 6

K GE

0. 6 5 6

0. 6 6 5

0. 4 3 9

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A302

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F, st ati o n M e u s e, Pr of o n d e vill e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F, st ati o n M e u s e, Pr of o n d e vill e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A303

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F, st ati o n M e u s e, Pr of o n d e vill e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F, st ati o n M e u s e, Pr of o n d e vill e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A304

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c a t c h m e nt W 1 1 M A A P R O F, st ati o n M e u s e, Pr of o n d e vill e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A305

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A306

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W11 M E H5820

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

355800000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 3 9 6. 6 7), (' S M e v a p', 1 6 9. 9 2), (' c 1', 2 0. 3 5), (' c 2', 0. 4 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 2 5), (' c O F 2', 3. 1 3), (' cI F 1', - 4. 2 5), (' cI F 2', 2. 9 2), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 3 7), (' C KI F', 8 2. 5), (' C K B F', 1 0 7 4. 6 6)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 4 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

2 3 5. 3 %

5 1 9. 3 %

1 2 9. 8 %

-8. 4 4 5

-9 0. 7 8 6

-2. 8 4 2

N S _l o g

-3. 5

-1 8. 7 0 1

-1. 9 2 8

N S _r el

-1 7. 4 1 7

-7 8. 6 8 2

-4. 9 1 9

K GE

-1. 5 9 8

-6. 1 9 6

-0. 3 1 5

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1 6 4. 6 %

3 6 3. 5 %

9 0. 0 %

-3. 8 9 2

-1 6. 9 8 1

-1. 0 3 1

N S _l o g

-2. 3 3 1

-1 0. 2 9 3

-1. 0 7 2

N S _r el

-1 1. 1 1 2

-1 8. 7 6

-2. 9 5 6

K GE

-1. 0 1 5

-3. 4 5 4

-0. 0 3 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A307

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A308

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A309

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A310

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 M E H 5 8 2 0, st ati o n M e h ai g n e, W a n z e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A311

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A312

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W11 O U R5805

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

3607000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 7 2. 9 1), (' S M e v a p', 1 3 4. 8 4), (' c 1', 2. 2 5), (' c 2', 1. 6 5), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 5. 8 8), (' c O F 2', 4. 4), (' cI F 1', - 3. 1 3), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 1. 8 2), (' C KI F', 7 0. 3 2), (' C K B F', 7 5 2. 4 4)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 1 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

0. 6 %

1 3. 5 %

-1 0. 0 %

0. 7 0 6

0. 6 3 5

0. 5 5 3

N S _l o g

0. 8 0 3

0. 5 4 2

0. 6 6 8

N S _r el

0. 8 3 9

0. 7 1 1

0. 7 7 6

K GE

0. 6 3 8

0. 7 1 6

0. 4 6 1

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

1. 9 %

7. 5 %

-2. 8 %

0. 7 0 6

0. 6 2 3

0. 5 8 8

N S _l o g

0. 7 9

0. 5 6 6

0. 6 9

N S _r el

0. 8 2 1

0. 8 7

0. 7 2

K GE

0. 6 5 8

0. 5 9

0. 5 0 6

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A313

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bi s( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bi s ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A314

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bi s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bi s ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A315

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 O U R 5 8 0 5, st ati o n O urt h e, A n gl e ur 2 bi s

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A316

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

C A LI B R A TI O N A N D V A LI D A TI O N OF V H M P A R A M E T E R S F O R C A T C H M E N T " W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9" ( M E U S E)

1. 1 I n p ut d at a

Fi g ur e 1: C u m ul ati v e pr e ci pit ati o n o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9 ( M e u s e)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A317

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 2

M o d el s u m m ar y

m o d el _ str u ct ur e

V H M cl a s si c. L u m p e d

s u b c at c h m e nt _ n a m e

W11 S A M7319

s u b c at c h m e nt _ ar e a [ m 2]

2636000000

V ali d ati o n st art _ d at e

0 1 -0 1 -1 9 6 7

V ali d ati o n e n d _ d at e

3 1 -1 2 -2 0 1 3

fr e q u e n c y

d ail y

O pti m al p ar a m et er s et: [(' S M m a x', 4 2 1. 9 5), (' S M e v a p', 2 5 3. 8 7), (' c 1', 2. 6 5), (' c 2', 0. 9 9), (' c 3', 1. 0), (' c O F 1', - 6. 0), (' c O F 2', 0. 2 9), (' cI F 1', - 3. 3 9), (' cI F 2', 3. 0), (' C Q O F', 1 2. 9 2), (' C KI F', 8 7. 5 9), (' C K B F', 1 8 3 6. 6 9)] T a bl e 1: G o o d n e s s of fit f or c ali br ati o n p eri o d ( 2 0 0 7 - 2 0 1 2)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-0. 5 %

4 4. 3 %

-2 1. 0 %

0. 7 2 8

-0. 0 1 9

0. 6 3 5

N S _l o g

0. 6 3 6

-0. 2 4 5

0. 6 6 3

N S _r el

0. 7 0 4

-0. 3 2 1

0. 8 4 7

K GE

0. 6 6 5

0. 4 5 7

0. 5 2 6

T a bl e 2 : G o o d n e s s of fit f or v ali d ati o n p eri o d ( 1 9 6 7 - 2 0 1 3)

F ull y e ar

S u m m er

Wi nt er

R el Err

-1. 8 %

4 1. 4 %

-2 2. 0 %

0. 7 1 3

0. 0 5 5

0. 5 9 4

N S _l o g

0. 6 0 7

-0. 2 7 2

0. 5 8 5

N S _r el

0. 7 1 8

-0. 2 3 9

0. 8 2 1

K GE

0. 6 5

0. 5 0 1

0. 5 0 3

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A318

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

1. 3

O b s er v e d a n d si m ul at e d ti m e s eri e s f or o pti m u m p ar a m et er s

Fi g ur e 3: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 4: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e ( c ali br ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A319

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 5: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi g ur e 6: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) c u m ul ati v e di s c h ar g e [ m 3] o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e ( v ali d ati o n p eri o d)

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A320

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 7: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e

Fi g ur e 8: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A321

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi e s i n t h e S c h el dt b a si n S u b r e p ort 4- 4 – A n al y s e s of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d el s f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

Fi g ur e 9: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e

Fi g ur e 1 0: M e a s ur e d (r e d) a n d si m ul at e d ( bl u e) d ail y di s c h ar g e [ m 3/ s] d uri n g s p e cifi c l o w a n d hi g h fl o w e v e nt s o n c at c h m e nt W 1 1 S A M 7 3 1 9, st ati o n S a m b er, S al zi n n e

Fi n al r e p ort

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4- 4

A322

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 4

G e o gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w c ali br ati o n

B as e d o n t h e st atisti cs f or e a c h of t h e N A M m o d els, a r e cl assifi c ati o n is p erf or m e d. T h e t a bl e b el o w s h o ws h o w N S E, L o g N S E a n d R el Err ar e c o m bi n e d t o g et a u ni q u e v al u e f or e a c h s u b c at c h m e nt. T his e v al u ati o n r es ults i n t h e m a p w hi c h is i n cl u d e d h er e aft er.

W h e n v al u e

NSE

L og NSE

R el Err

> 0, 6 0, 3 -0, 6 < 0, 3

3 2 1

> 0, 6 0, 3 -0, 6 < 0, 3

3 2 1

<15 5 0 -3 0 >50

3 2 1

C o m bi n ati o ns 3 3 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R e cl assif y v al u e

3 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1

3 2 3 1 2 3 1 3 2 1

C o m bi n ati o n st atisti c s 27 18 12 9 8 6 4 3 2 1

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

R e cl as sifi c ati o n 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1

J u d g e m e nt Good A c c e pt a bl e

Bad

A 323

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A 324

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – A n al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A p p e n di x 1 5 G e o gr a p hi c al o v er vi e w v ali d ati o n B as e d o n t h e st atisti cs f or e a c h of t h e N A M m o d els, a r e cl assifi c ati o n is p erf or m e d. T h e t a bl e b el o w s h o ws h o w N S E, L o g N S E a n d R el Err ar e c o m bi n e d t o g et a u ni q u e v al u e f o r e a c h s u b c at c h m e nt. T his e v al u ati o n r es ults i n t h e m a p w hi c h is i n cl u d e d h er e aft er.

W h e n v al u e

NSE

L og NSE

R el Err

> 0, 6 0, 3 -0, 6 < 0, 3

3 2 1

> 0, 6 0, 3 -0, 6 < 0, 3

3 2 1

<15 5 0 -3 0 >50

3 2 1

C o m bi n at i o ns 3 3 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 1

Fi n al v ersi o n

R e cl assif y v al u e

3 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1

3 2 3 1 2 3 1 3 2 1

C o m bi n ati o n st atisti c s 27 18 12 9 8 6 4 3 2 1

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

R e cl as sifi c ati o n 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1

J u d g e m e nt Good A c c e pt a bl e

Bad

A 325

M o d elli n g w at er a v ail a bilit y a n d w at er all o c ati o n str at e gi es i n t h e S c h el dt b asi n S u b r e p ort 4 - 4 – An al ys es of h y dr ol o gi c al m o d els f or cli m at e c h a n g e m o d elli n g – V H M

A 326

W L 2 0 2 1 R 0 0 _ 1 6 2 _ 4 -4

Fi n al v ersi o n

D E P A R T M E N T M O BI LI T Y & P U B LI C W O R K S Fl a n d ers h y dr a uli c s R es e ar c h B er c h e ml ei 11 5, 21 4 0 A nt w er p T + 3 2 ( 0) 3 2 2 4 6 0 3 5 F + 3 2 ( 0) 3 2 2 4 6 0 3 6 w at er b o u w k u n di gl a b o @ vl a a n d er e n. b e w w w. ﬂ a n d e rs h y d r a uli cs res e a r c h. b e