Skip to main content

TMX Industrial Property Market Snapshot Q2 26

Page 1

QUARTER 2 2026

Industrial Property Market Snapshot

AU ST R A L I A & N EW Z E A L A N D Q U A R T E R LY U P D AT E


TMX TRANSFORM

National Industrial Property Market Overview AU ST R A L I A & N EW Z E A L A N D Q 2 2 0 2 6

Western Australia

Queensland

Rental – Slight Increase in face rents​ Incentives – Remain stable​ Land Supply – Owner-occupied land leads to constraint​ Building Supply – Lowest in many years​ Demand – Slight increase in Q2

Rental – Slight increase in majority of Queensland markets​ Incentives – Holding firm from last quarter​ Land Supply – Highly constrained in all markets​ Building Supply – Easing again this quarter​ Demand – Strong levels of enquiry and activity across markets

New South Wales Rental – Steady​ Incentives – Moving higher to between 17.5% and 25%​ Land Supply – Concentrated in Outer West and Aerotropolis​ Building Supply – Specs completing H2 2026 increasing supply​ Demand – Large corporates active; renewals attractive

New Zealand South Australia Rental – Remain stable across the state Incentives – Remain stable for prime industrial​ Land Supply – Becoming more constrained​ Building Supply – Slight increase in vacancy​ Demand – Slowing slightly over Q2

2

Victoria

Rental - Stable​ Incentives – Slight increase​ Land Supply – Remains in short supply​ Building supply – Long term increase​ Demand – In recovery phase

Rental – Face rents holding ​ Incentives – Stabilising West/ North and growing Southeast​ Land Supply – Remains constrained ​ Building Supply – Deferrals of speculative stock​

Data in the following pages is based on industrial buildings > 5,000sqm Prime: Buildings less than 10 years old with internal clearances at or above 13.7m. Buildings showcase design excellence offering ESFR sprinklers, a combination of docks/on-grade doors and sufficient truck articulation for loading/unloading. Secondary: Buildings generally older than 10 years old but still functional with internal clearances up to 12.6m at the ridge. Buildings typically don’t have high sustainability ratings and may have limitations with warehouse access (no. docks/ on grade doors) and restricted heavy vehicle maneuverability on site.


TMX TRANSFORM

State of the Market As we move through 2026, Australia's industrial property market continues to demonstrate resilience despite ongoing economic uncertainty While occupiers remain active, decision-making is more measured than in recent years, with a stronger focus on operational efficiency, network optimisation, workforce access and long-term flexibility. One of the most notable themes this quarter is this growing connection between property decisions and broader business strategy. Industrial real estate is no longer viewed simply as a lease event; it is increasingly linked to supply chain performance, customer service outcomes, automation, sustainability and future growth. The cost of waiting is also becoming increasingly evident. Many occupiers approaching lease expiry are finding renewal costs significantly higher than expected, prompting a reassessment of whether to renew, relocate or undertake a broader network review. The message for occupiers remains clear: quality options are becoming increasingly constrained, and delaying key property decisions is unlikely to result in better outcomes. At TMX, we continue to work with occupiers, developers and investors to translate these market dynamics into practical property and supply chain strategies.

Stefanie Frawley Executive Director, Property

Jane Goodman Research Manager, Property

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

3


V I CTO R I A - M E LB O U R N E

Victoria M E L B O U R N E P R O P E RT Y M A R K E T OV E RV I EW

West

North

South East

Altona

Tullamarine/Melbourne Airport

Dandenong South

Truganina

Epping

Cranbourne West

Laverton

Campbellfield

Keysborough

Deer Park

Somerton

Clayton

Tarneit

Craigieburn Mickleham

North

West

Melbourne CBD

South East

* Key industrial suburbs only listed

4


V I CTO R I A - M E LB O U R N E

Victoria Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot Incentives have stabilised, with face rents remaining broadly steady

Vacancy trending upward across Melbourne as new speculative supply is delivered

Continued deferral of speculative development projects

Location remains key for occupier decision makers

Flight to quality remains prevalent Occupiers continue to focus on network transformation and operational efficiency

Net Face Rents ($/sqm)

Incentives (%)

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

VIC Core Markets

Prime

Secondary

Prime

Secondary

$/sqm

1-3 ha

3 ha +

West

145-155

115-135

25-35

20-30

35-45

750-950

500-700

North

145-155

115-125

25-30

10-20

30-40

600-800

450-650

South East

165-175

130-145

25-30

10-20

45-55

800-1,000

600-900

Victoria Average Prime Rent/Time

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

5


N E W S O U T H WA L E S - S Y D N E Y

New South Wales SY D N E Y P R O P E RT Y M A R K E T OV E RV I EW

North West

Outer West

Inner West

Marsden Park

Wetherill Park

Homebush

Seven Hills

Eastern Creek

Chullora

Glendenning

Kemps Creek

Silverwater

North West Inner West Sydney

Outer West South West

South Outer South West

Outer South West

South West

South

Ingleburn

Milperra

Alexandria

Minto

Prestons

Mascot

Smeaton Grange

Moorebank

Matraville

* Key industrial suburbs only listed

6


N E W S O U T H WA L E S - S Y D N E Y

New South Wales Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot Incentives continue to rise as landlords seek to maintain face rents

Economic rents continue to increase as development costs remain elevated and cap rates soften

Land values are supported by short supply of tradeable land across Sydney. Data centres demand continues to underpin land pricing

Increased activity from data centres suppliers, automotive, and parcel logistics companies

Vacancy concentrated in existing stock across core Western Sydney locations

Net Face Rents ($/sqm) NSW Core Markets

Outgoings growth is showing signs of moderation but remains a key occupier focus

Incentives (%)

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

Prime

Secondary

Prime

Secondary

$/sqm

1-3 ha

3 ha +

Inner West

280 – 350

240 – 270

15 – 20

12.5 – 20

60-80

2,000-2,500

2,000-2,300

Outer West

230 – 265

180 – 210

17.5 – 25

17.5 – 25

45-70

1,350-1,550

1,300-1,500

North West

240 – 270

180 – 220

15 – 22.5

15 – 22.5

45-65

1,350-1,550

1,300-1,500

South West

240 – 300

200 – 235

15 – 20

12.5 – 20

50-70

1,500-2,000

1,500-1,800

Outer South West

210 – 250

160 – 200

17.5 – 25

17.5 – 25

45-65

1,150-1,350

1,100-1,300

South

350 - 500

260 - 330

15 – 20

15 – 20

80-130

3,000-3,250

2,500-2,700

New South Wales Average Prime Rent/Time

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

7


QUEENSLAND - BRISBANE

Queensland B R I S BA N E P R O P E RT Y M A R K E T OV E RV I EW

West

North

Trade Coast

Wacol

Banyo

Eagle Farm

Carole Park

Geebung

Brisbane Airport

Redbank

Northgate

Pinkenba

Bundamba

Brendale

Murarrie

Swanbank

North Lakes

Port of Brisbane

North Trade Coast

Brisbane

South & Logan West

Yatala

South & Logan

Yatala

Acacia Ridge

Yatala

Archerfield

Stapylton

Willawong

Ormeau

Logan Motorway Corridor* Crestmead 8

*Key industrial suburbs only listed *Logan Motorway Corridor includes Heathwood, Larapinta, Berrinba, Parkinson, Meadowbrook, Kingston


QUEENSLAND - BRISBANE

Queensland Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot The Queensland economy is outperforming the rest of Australia, driving strong industrial demand

Land scarcity limits development, pushing values higher in core precincts

Incentives hold firm as landlords maintain confidence, despite rate pressure

Supply pipeline easing, guiding tenants to pre-lease commitments Prime yields between 5.50% - 6.50%

Flight to quality absorbing spec supply and driving occupier compromise

Net Face Rents ($/sqm) QLD Core Markets

Incentives (%)

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

Prime

Secondary

Prime

Secondary

$/sqm

1 ha +

North

180 – 210

150 – 180

10 – 20

10 – 20

30-40

800-900

Trade Coast

190 – 220

160 – 190

10 – 20

10 – 20

35-45

850-950

South & Logan

160 – 190

130 – 160

15 – 25

15 – 30

25-35

650-750

West & Ipswich

160 – 190

130 – 160

15 – 25

15 – 30

25-35

550-650

Yatala

160 – 190

130 – 160

10 – 20

10 – 20

25-35

700-800

Queensland Average Prime Rent/Time

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

9


SO UTH AUSTRALIA - ADELAIDE

South Australia A D E L A I D E P R O P E RT Y M A R K E T OV E RV I EW

Outer North Edinburgh Direk

Outer North

Inner North Regency Park Wingfield Pooraka

Inner West

Inner North

Adelaide Airport Mile End Torrensville

Inner South Edwardstown Glandore

Adelaide Inner West

St Marys

Outer South

Inner South

Lonsdale * Key industrial suburbs only listed

10

Outer South


SO UTH AUSTRALIA - ADELAIDE

South Australia Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot Incentives remain lower than other major industrial markets

Owner-occupiers dominating market activity

Vacancy increasing modestly, reaching 3% this quarter

Speculative development pipeline slowing

Pre-lease rents continue to rise amid elevated construction costs

Supply constraints driving lease renewal activity

Net Face Rents ($/sqm) SA Core Markets

Prime

Inner North

160 – 165

Outer North

145 – 150

Inner South

170 – 190

Outer South

105 – 115

Inner West

200 – 220

Incentives (%)

Secondary

Prime

125 – 130

5 – 15

120 – 125

10 – 15

140 – 160

0 – 10

90 – 100

0 – 10

155 – 175

0 – 10

Secondary 0 - 10 5 - 15 0-5 0 - 10 0-5

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

$/sqm

1-3 ha

3 ha +

30-35

700-750

500-550

20-25

450-500

200-250

30-35

750-800

600-650

25-30

200-300

180-200

30-35

950-1,000

750-800

South Australia Average Prime Rent/Time

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

11


WESTERN AUSTRALIA - PERTH

Western Australia P E RT H P R O P E RT Y M A R K E T OV E RV I EW

North

Core

East

Wangara

Perth & Jandakot Airport

Forrestdale

Balcatta

Kewdale

Brookdale

Malaga

Welshpool Bibra Lake

North

Perth Core

East South

South Henderson East Rockingham

12

*Key industrial suburbs only listed


WESTERN AUSTRALIA - PERTH

Western Australia Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot Limited availability of tenancies exceeding 5,000sqm

Strong leasing demand driving rental growth in Q2

Land values rising sharply amid contrained supply

Large requirements need greater planning due to supply contraint

Vacancy tightening further quarter-on-quarter

Speculative development activity remains subdued

Net Face Rents ($/sqm)

Incentives (%)

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

WA Core Markets

Prime

Secondary

Prime

Secondary

$/sqm

1-3 ha

3 ha +

North

155 – 165

115 – 125

5 – 10

5 - 10

30 - 35

700 - 750

450 - 500

Core

170 – 175

120 – 135

10 – 15

5 - 15

30 - 35

650 - 750

500 - 600

East

160 – 165

120 – 130

10 – 20

5 - 15

30 - 35

600 - 700

500 - 600

South

140 – 150

100 – 110

10 – 20

5 - 15

25 - 30

500 - 550

400 - 450

Western Australia Average Prime Rent/Time

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

13


NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand Industrial Market Commentary Q2 2026

Market Snapshot Construction costs sitting stable across the country

Vacancy increasing in outer Auckland areas but still tight in central locations

Auckland outgoings remain the highest due to land values, insurance, and rates

Confidence improving after a pause to assess global oil crisis

Increased activity of developers acquiring land

Face rents continue to hold steady across New Zealand markets

Net Face Rents ($/sqm) NZ Core Markets

Incentives (%)

Outgoings

Land rates ($/sqm)

Prime

Secondary

Prime

Secondary

$/sqm

1 ha+

Auckland

240 – 265

175 – 195

3–7

0 – 10

25 - 30

850 - 1,500

Hamilton

155 – 165

110 – 130

3–7

0 – 10

20 - 25

350 - 650

Christchurch

165 – 180

100 – 120

3–7

0–5

20 - 27

350 - 550

*NZ typically itemises rents for warehouse, office, canopy, hardstand, yard and parking. Above rents are normalized to reflect overall GLA, as per AU methodology.

New Zealand Average Prime Rent/Time

14


CLIENT SUCCESS

Client Success Q2 2026

Designed, procured & delivered

Designed, procured & delivered

Location

Acacia Ridge, Queensland

Location

Jandakot, Western Australia

Building area

9,714sqm

Building area

16,587sqm

Procured & delivered

Procured

Location

Archerfield Airport, Queensland

Location

Milperra, New South Wales

Building area

26,000sqm

Building area

2,628sqm

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q2 2026

15


TMX TRANSFORM

End-to-End Portfolio Management Our unique integrated property portfolio service offering allows us to assist with…

Rent & Outgoings

Lease Reviews

Property Negotiations

Repairs & Maintenance

Centralised Platform

Portfolio Management Insights Q2 2026 Opportunities, risks & considerations

Flight to Quality

Monthly CPI

Delayed Decisions

Tenants are abandoning older, inefficient warehouses in favour of prime, modern assets. Businesses are actively seeking facilities with higher internal clearances and better transport access to reduce operational costs. This trend is prompting a closer review of property portfolios to ensure they continue to meet evolving occupier requirements.

Australia’s shift to monthly CPI provides timelier, more frequent inflation tracking, however contract wording needs to be reviewed, as most existing leases still mandate quarterly data. For these legacy contracts, calculations must utilise the updated ABS table to ensure compliance. Conversely, for new leases adopting the monthly index, occupiers should anticipate more rate volatility.

Occupiers are increasingly deferring property decisions to wait for market stability amid compounding pressures like the fuel crisis, rising land tax, and elevated interest rates. As this trend is impacting whole property portfolios, proactive portfolio planning is critical to managing lease events, mitigating risk, and align property strategies with business needs.

Looking ahead to Q3 2026 A comprehensive review of the FY25/26 outgoings wash-ups will be conducted in Q3, evaluating key drivers behind major operating expenditure and statutory cost fluctuations. This analysis will contribute to a growing portfolio knowledge base, supporting client outcomes through enhanced benchmarking and more effective dispute resolution.

16


TMX TRANSFORM

Construction Project Management Managing your construction of an industrial warehouse project, from standard facilities through to automated, purpose-built distribution centers. ategy Str

cu

re

Manage

n sig De

ple

I

m

m e nt

Pr

o

Working with hundreds of clients in your shoes, we’ve found that a lack of in-house expertise to navigate property procurement and construction journeys, can hinder expansion. Through our team of industry specialists with end-to-end capabilities, we support this process, ensuring certainty from the business case, through to project delivery.

End-to-end Support Know your costs

Timeline control

Develop a robust base building to avoid variations and unforeseen costs during construction.

Delivery timeline certainty will ensure clarity on transition timeframe and coordination with operations.

Early access

Ensure optimum quality

Early access to commence operational fit-out to provide financial benefit to minimize ongoing rental payments.

Quality of the build will ensure longevity in the asset for the term of the lease.

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q1 2026

17


TMX TRANSFORM

Indicative Construction Costs All below figures are based on a generic 13.7m high warehouse shell including high level services The latest construction rates are below for your reference, sourced from across our current projects. This quarter has brought some moderation in rates, reflecting increased competitive pressure. This aligns with broader network trends, indicating a tightening in market conditions and greater pricing sensitivity. In contrast, freezer rates have increased in VIC, driven primarily by sustained cost escalation in construction materials and ongoing volatility in key raw inputs. These factors continue to place upward pressure on specialised asset pricing.

Type of Warehouse

VIC Rate/sqm

NSW Rate/sqm

QLD Rate/sqm

Ambient

$1,150

$1,150

$1,225

Temp Control

$1,950

$2,050

$2,250

Freezer

$2,850

$2,950

$3,100

*All figures based on past build rates, not a reliable estimate of future costs. Please speak to our Development Team for more accurate cost indications tailored to your requirements.

Case Study The Southern Hemisphere's largest automated distribution centre. TMX undertook an end-to-end process for Coles, including: - Developing a detailed technical design document and architectural plans. - Property procurement facilitated through a developer tender and selection process - Negotiation of Agreement for Lease - Complete project management including automation

18


TMX TRANSFORM

Supply Chain Solutions Network Design Improve the flow of your products, from source to end consumer.

Supply Chain Strategy

DC Design & Optimisation Design your warehouse solution for now, and in the future.

Take a three-sixty-degree view of your supply chain.

Addressing challenges at all stages of your digital and physical supply chain.

Freight & Logistics Transport your goods from supplier to end customer in the most efficient way.

Merchandise Planning Carefully curated product ranges, and accurate demand and fulfilment plans.

Program Management

Investment Feasibility

Equip your business with systems to support future growth.

Market-based research customised for your needs.

Advanced Manufacturing Create value by systematically eliminating waste and inefficiency.

All underpinned by Simulation

Metaverse

Innovation TMX Database

INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY MARKET SNAPSHOT | ANZ Q1 2026

19


Get in touch with a member of our team

Justin Fried Managing Director APAC justin.fried@tmxtransform.com +61 412 070 858

Stefanie Frawley Executive Director, Property stefanie.frawley@tmxtransform.com +61 402 326 914

Charlotte Jordan Executive Director, Supply Chain charlotte.jordan@tmxtransform.com +61 423 007 839

Nick Ingleby Executive Director, Project Services nick.ingleby@tmxtransform.com +61 448 332 815

DISCLAIMER The opinions, estimates and information given in this publication, or otherwise based on or relating to it, are made by TM Insight Operations Pty Ltd ABN: 41 638 506 340, TMX Global New Zealand Limited NZBN: 9429047249080, TM Insight Asia Pte Ltd UEN: 201820336R, TMX (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Registration No. 0105565078465, TMX GLOBAL SOLUTIONS (MALAYSIA) SDN. BHD Registration No. 202201038479 (1484176A), TMX Global Vietnam Co., Ltd Enterprise Code: 0315853788, TMX GLOBAL UK LIMITED Company Number 14140004, TMX Global North America LLC Employer Identification Number: 93-1462071, trading as TMX Transform and/or its affiliated companies (collectively “TMX”) in their best judgement, in good faith and as far as possible based on data or sources which are believed to be reliable. TMX Transform and each of its officers, employees, consultants, and agents (collectively the “Information Providers”) make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the material in this publication and such material is not intended to be a substitute for obtaining individual advice from TMX or another qualified professional advisor able to provide the relevant services. To the maximum extent permitted by law, each Information Provider expressly disclaims any liability (whether foreseeable or not and whether arising from negligence or otherwise, including indirect, special or consequential loss or damage) for, or based on, or relating to any such information. The recipient agrees that it disclaims and waives, and will not take action in relation to, any rights it may have against any Information Provider in relation to such information. COPYRIGHT TMX Transform all rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means (graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, recording taping, or information retrieval systems) without the written permission of TMX Transform.


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
TMX Industrial Property Market Snapshot Q2 26 by TMXTransform - Issuu