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Fatty Alcohols Market Trends and Forecast

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MARKET RESEARCH BRIEFING · BULK CHEMICALS

Fatty Alcohols Market From palm kernel to performance chemistry — a USD 8.44 billion opportunity by 2030 Global Opportunity Analysis & Industry Forecast, 2021–2030 Prepared for investors, strategy teams & B2B decision-makers

$5.69 B

$8.44 B

4.5%

APAC

Market size

Forecast

CAGR

Largest regional

2020 (base year)

value by 2030

2021–2030

market share

Executive Summary Home & personal-care demand, reinforced by post-COVID hand sanitizer and liquid soap use, sustains steady 4.5% CAGR growth. Asia-Pacific leads, Europe ranks second; consumer preference for bio-based ingredients opens premium niches. High manufacturing cost and palm oil / tallow price swings are the key margin risks to manage. Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC · 01


01 · MARKET LANDSCAPE

Market Size, Share & Ecosystem A USD 2.75 B value pool added over the decade Global market size (USD billion)

+48%

➞

8.44

5.69

4.5%

CAGR, 2021–2030 Base year 2020 · values in USD

Regional market share ranking Asia-Pacific — lion's share; China

#1 soap & detergent hub

Europe — strict detergent chemical

#2 rules

North America — steady rise in

2020

2030F

▲ surfactant demand

Industry ecosystem: feedstock to end-use

SOURCE

PRODUCT

TYPE

APPLICATION

Tropical oils Animal fats Soft oils Petrochemical (ethylene)

C6–C10 C11–C14 C15–C22

Pure Midcut Long chain Short chain

Soaps & detergents Cosmetics & personal care Food & bev · Pharma Textile & leather

Straight-chain primary alcohols (C4–C26) used as non-ionic surfactants, emollients, thickeners & emulsifiers. Dual natural vs. petrochemical routes define cost structure and sustainability positioning.

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC · 02


02 · GROWTH DRIVERS & OPPORTUNITIES

What Is Fuelling Demand Hygiene & personal care pull — bio-based push ▲ DRIVERS

▼ RESTRAINTS

★ OPPORTUNITIES

Home & personal care —

High manufacturing cost

Bio-based shift —

shampoo, conditioner,

compresses producer

consumers move away from

shower gel, deodorants,

margins. Volatile feedstock — palm

toxic petrochemical

lipstick. Post-COVID hygiene — surge in hand sanitizers & liquid soaps. Industrial breadth —

detergents, inks, plasticizers, pharma &

oil, tallow & rapeseed oil

substitutes. R&D-led specialty grades

prices fluctuate. Supply concentration —

and capacity additions.

82% of palm oil from two

plants by Sasol & KLK Oleo.

China build-outs — new

countries.

nutrition.

High-potential segments to watch Cosmetics & Personal Care

Soaps & Detergents

Emollient, thickener & emulsifier role in skincare

Surfactant base for home care; China is the

formulations

manufacturing hub

Tropical-Oil Sourced Grades

Pharma, Food & Nutrition

Natural-route products aligned with bio-based

Diversified, higher-value applications beyond

demand

home care

Feedstock risk: palm oil supply is concentrated Indonesia — 57% (45.5 MMT)

82% from two countries

Malaysia — 25% (20.2 MMT)

Rest of world — 18% Natural-route producers benefit from upstream integration and hedging. World output 81.44 MMT, MY2025/26 (USDA FAS).

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC; USDA FAS · 03


02 · GROWTH DRIVERS & OPPORTUNITIES

Regional Opportunity Map Asia-Pacific leads; Europe and North America follow #2 EUROPE

▲ NORTH AMERICA

#1 ASIA-PACIFIC

Lion's share of demand

REST OF WORLD

Asia-Pacific · Dominant

Europe · Second largest

Cosmetics, personal care & surfactant demand;

Strict regulations on chemicals in detergents

rising incomes in China, Japan, South Korea;

favour compliant, high-purity and bio-based

China leads detergent output.

grades.

North America · Steady rise

Rest of World · Emerging

Demand spike in surfactants, home-cleaning

Coverage spans UAE, Saudi Arabia, South Africa

products and sanitizers during and after COVID-

and Brazil — early-stage pockets for distribution

19.

partnerships.

INVESTOR TAKEAWAY Anchor capacity near Asia-Pacific feedstock and demand; use Europe's regulatory bar to command premiums for certified bio-based grades. Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC · 04


03 · COMPETITIVE SCENARIO

Who Leads & How They Compete Competitive positioning matrix

Value-chain role → integrated

KLK Oleo

Sasol Limited

NATURAL · INTEGRATED

SYNTHETIC · INTEGRATED

VVF LLC

Shell plc BASF SE

Emery Oleochemicals

Kao Corp. NATURAL · SPECIALTY

P&G Chemicals

Univar Solutions

DISTRIBUTION / CHANNEL

Berg+Schmidt ← Natural / oleochemical feedstock

Petrochemical / synthetic route →

Key strategic moves: expansion, partnerships, M&A Company

Strategic move

Type

Date

KLK Oleo

Zhangjiagang, China plant lifted to 500,000 t/yr

Expansion

Jul 2024

Sasol

Nanjing, China alkoxylation plant, ~150 ktpa

Expansion

Jul 2019

Kao Corp.

Apical Kao JV, Indonesia — ~100 kt/yr fatty acids

Joint venture

May 2019

BASF SE

Acies Bio tie-up: fermentation-route fatty alcohols

Partnership

Nov 2024

Emery Oleo.

Asia-Pacific business sold to Edenor Technology

M&A

Nov 2021

Univar Solutions

Acquired by Apollo funds, USD 8.1 B

M&A

Aug 2023

Shell plc

Singapore chemicals park divested to CAPGC

Divestment

Apr 2025

Read-across: Asian capacity build-outs and bio-based R&D partnerships define the leaders, while portfolio reshaping shifts assets toward focused owners.

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC; company releases · 05


04 · LET'S CONNECT

Thank You Connect with our analysts for in-depth insights, custom segment forecasts and strategic guidance on the fatty alcohols value chain.

WEBSITE

www.nextmsc.com

PHONE

+1 857 758 5017

EMAIL

info@nextmsc.com

Click here for the complete report ➞ Full report includes: 2021–2030 segment forecasts · player market shares · SWOT & Porter's Five Forces · value chain analysis

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