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2025 End-of-Year Sales Comps Report

Page 1


2025: End of Year

SOUTHEAST

COMPS REPORT

PRESENTED BY

Kyle Stonis, CCIM

Senior Vice President (770) 329-5065

kyle.stonis@matthews.com

License No. 265771 (GA)

Pierce Mayson

Senior Vice President (770) 241-2232

pierce.mayson@matthews.com

License No. 306418 (GA)

Jeff Enck

Senior Vice President (404) 849-1631

jeff.enck@matthews.com

License No. 210921 (GA)

Boris Shilkrot

Associate Vice President (205) 561-8744

boris.shilkrot@matthews.com

License No. 391741 (GA)

GROCERY-ANCHORED ASSETS

While grocery-anchored retail continues to hold serve in terms of desirability and sound fundamentals, 2025 saw the number of individual grocery-anchored transactions drop significantly, especially in regard to tier 1 grocers, like Publix. An overall lack of product resulted in a major drop in Publix sales, cutting the number of trades in half YOY, down to just 27 across the Southeast. Publix, was again the most active buyer of its own centers, maintaining a roughly 40% purchase rate in 2025. The grocer continues to be aggressive in outbidding the investment community and/ or exercising on the assets it wants to own. Meanwhile, Food Lion sales were up 300% from 2024, as second-tier grocers helped to fill the dearth of available product in the absence of mainstream tier 1 grocers like Publix and Kroger. Whole Foods assets, too, saw the most trades (in the Southeast) in several years, with nine transactions; two of which topped $80 million.

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

$24,492,500 $290.00 6.30% Publix & Dollar Tree The Sigmund Companies, Broadland Real Estate, Triland Commercial Alidade Capital

$53,000,000

$83,000,000

$27,200,000 $226.00 6.10%

$71,930,000

$30,000,000

$24,000,000 $359.00 5.00%

$24,000,000 $320.00 5.00%

*Newly Constructed/Remodeled (2022-2025) **Included Outparcels

END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

END OF YEAR

$5,818,500

$3,066,000

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

Sprouts Farmers Market

The Fresh Market

$40,500,000

$81,000,000

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

2025: END OF YEAR

END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

2025: END OF YEAR

END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

Constructed/Remodeled (2021-2025)

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

*Newly Constructed/Remodeled (2022-2025)

$8,300,000

Trader Joe’s
Trader Joe’s, HomeGoods, Michaels, Old Navy, Ulta, Five Below & Cost Plus World Market Tabani Group

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

COMMUNITY CENTERS

As we outlined in our Mid-Year Report, the first half of 2025 saw the undeniable return of institutional money into the retail sector, underscored by the elevated activity of the investment advisors. Larger assets and portfolio sales have seen a major uptick as capital inflow has made retail the most desirable major CRE sector. Along with the increased competition, came significant cap rate compression in the big box/community center space, dropping almost 100 BPs YOY, to an average cap rate of 7.88%.

Given the lack of groceryanchored product in the market in 2025, an emerging trend has been the pivot of traditional grocery-anchored funds and private buyers, widening their acquisition parameters to include strong community center product and even larger neighborhood (essential services) retail. With community center pricing seemingly having stabilized at a more palatable exit cap for the private ownership sector, 2026 could see a much more privately driven market on the sale side, bolstering transaction volume compared to 2025.

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

$71.00 8.00% Locke Supply Co., Harbor Freight, Dollar General & Advance Auto Parts

$72.00 8.00% Goodwill, Aaron's, Harbor Freight, Dollar Tree & Save-A-Lot

$71.00 8.60% Ross Dress for Less, Dollar Tree, Tractor Supply & Goodwill

$152.00

PetSmart, Rack Room Shoes & Target(S)

$138.00 7.50% JC Penney(GL), Cinepolis(GL), Dick's Sporting Goods, Best Buy, Ross Dress for Less, Ashley HomeStore, Michaels & PetSmart

$142.00 7.70% Marshall’s, Ross Dress for Less, Five Below, Old Navy & Target(S) Halpern Enterprises

$142.00 7.20% T.J. Maxx, Ross Dress for Less, Dollar Tree & Aarons

$81.00

Hobby Lobby, Barnes & Noble, Belk, Carousel Cinemas, Dillards(S) & JC Penney(S)

$333.00 7.20% T.J. Maxx, HomeGoods, Five Below, Goodwill & Ross Dress for Less

$372.00 5.30% Nordstrom Rack, T.J. Maxx, HomeGoods, Golf Galaxy & Total Wine Regency Centers

$105.00 8.70% Michaels, Planet Fitness, T.J. Maxx, Big Lots, bealls Morrison Investment Group

Creek Partners, Sarofim

Community Centers END OF YEAR 2025 Transactions

$136.00 8.70% T.J. Maxx, PetSmart, OfficeMax, Dick's Sporting Goods, pOpshelf & Lowe's(S)

$143.00 9.00% Dick's Sporting Goods, Best Buy, Barnes & Noble, Regal Cinemas & Dillards

$90.00 9.30%

bealls, Dollar General & Tractor Supply Company

$121.00 9.10% Hamrick's, Urban Air, Ollie's Bargain Outlet & Crunch Fitness

$157.00 8.20% Five Below, Planet Fitness, Aaron's, Citi Trends & Aldi(S)

SOUTHEAST COMPS REPORT

Kyle Stonis, CCIM

Senior Vice President (770) 329-5065

kyle.stonis@matthews.com

License No. 265771 (GA)

Pierce Mayson

Senior Vice President (770) 241-2232

pierce.mayson@matthews.com

License No. 306418 (GA)

Jeff Enck

Senior Vice President (404) 849-1631

jeff.enck@matthews.com

License No. 210921 (GA)

Boris Shilkrot

Associate Vice President (205) 561-8744

boris.shilkrot@matthews.com

License No. 391741 (GA)

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