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Roadmap to Prosperity Economic Dashboard | September 2026

Page 1

Total Total

1.4% 1.4%

Construction Construction

3.5% 3.5%

Manufacturing Manufacturing

1.1% 1.1%

-4.0% Information -4.0% Information

Financial Activities Activities Financial

1.4% 1.4%

Other Services Services Other

1.9% 1.9%

Government Government

-0.5% -0.5%

Education/Health Services Services Education/Health

3.5% 3.5%

Leisure/Hospitality Services Services Leisure/Hospitality

September 2026

1.0% 1.0%

Natural Resources Resources Natural

0.0% 0.0%

Professional/Business Services Services Professional/Business

DASHBOARD

2.3% 2.3%

Trade/Transportation/Utilities Trade/Transportation/Utilities

12% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 0% 0% -2% -2% -4% -4% -6% -6% -8% -8% -10% -10% -12% -12% THREE ESSENTIAL INSIGHTS: -14% -14% 2000 2004 2008 2012 2000 2004 2008 2012

0.9% 0.9%

1.4% The Road to Prosperity Dashboard1.4% tracks Utah’s economic outlook. 0.3% The Dashboard, which is updated0.3% monthly, provides essential insights, tracks timely and leading measures, and shares salient indicators.

1

2016 2016

U.S. Utah U.S. Utah Utah’s median home sales price

held constant from July to August yet fell 0.4% year-over.

Utah’s year-to-date median home sales price rose 1.2%, while August’s year-over median home sales price fell 0.4%. This marks the first year-over decline in nearly three years. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain home price growth.

2020 2020

2

Utah’s nominal nonresidential construction value rose 26.8% year-todate through July.

Job Change Year-Over Percentage Change August 2026

4.9% 4.9%

0.6% 0.6%

3.2% 3.2%

5.1% 5.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 4.8%

3.5% 3.5%

5.1% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9%

2.2% 2.2%

4.7% 4.7%

3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.3%

4.4% 4.4%

5.0% 5.0% 3.2% 3.2%

0.6% 0.6%

-0.5% -0.5%

3.2% 3.2%

1.0% 1.0%

4.3% 4.3% 3.7% 3.7%

3.3% 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 4.7% 4.0% 3.3% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2%

4.3% 4.3% 2.7% 2.7%

0.1% 0.1% -1.0% -1.0%

4.4% 4.4%

2.0% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9%

4.0% 4.0%

U.S. inflation increased to 3.7% in September, a four-month high.

Energy prices remained elevated, growing 20.4% over the previous year. Higher energy costs contribute to price increases of other goods and services. Excluding food and energy, prices rose 2.6% over the year.

Nominal residential construction value increased 4.3%, while the value of alterations and repairs grew 6.5% year-to-date. Data center construction contributed to the significant increase in nonresidential construction value.

Unemployment Rate August 2026

3.2% 3.2%

3

2024 2024

4.5% 4.5%

1.3% 1.3%

CT 5.1% 5.1% CT DE 4.7% 4.7% DE MA 4.3% 4.3% MA MD 4.1% 4.1% MD NH 2.8% 2.8% NH NJ 4.3% 4.3% NJ RI 3.7% 3.7% RI VT 2.6% 2.6% VT

0.2% 0.2%

0.1% 0.1%

1.2% 1.2%

0.1% 0.1%

0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5%

1.5% 1.5%

1.3% 1.3%

0.6% 0.6%

0.3% 0.3%

0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%

1.0% 1.0%

Note: Estimates are seasonally adjusted. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

U TA H C H A M B E R

5.1% 5.1%

0.8% 0.8%

0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% -0.5% -0.2% -0.5% -0.2% 1.2% 1.2% -0.8% -0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.8% 0.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% -0.2% 1.0% -0.2% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5%

0.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%

U.S. 4.1% 4.1% U.S. UnemploymentRate Rate 2.0% 2.0% Unemployment

0.4% 0.4%

0.3% 0.3% -0.1% -0.1%

0.6% 0.6%

CT 1.1% 1.1% CT DE 0.2% 0.2% DE MA 0.4% 0.4% MA MD -0.2% -0.2% MD NH 0.4% 0.4% NH NJ NJ RI RI

0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

VT -0.2% -0.2% VT U.S. 0.3% 0.3% U.S.

JobGrowth Growth -1.0% -1.0% Job

1.8% 1.8%

Note: Estimates are not seasonally adjusted. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

ROADMAP TO PROSPERITY COALITION


Le

Job Change Year-Over Percent Change January 2000 – September 2026

Utah Job Change by Industry Year-Over Percent Change September 2026 Total

1.4%

Construction

3.5%

Manufacturing

12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% -12% -14%

1.1%

Information -4.0% Financial Activities

1.4%

Other Services

1.9%

Government

-0.5%

Education/Health Services

3.5%

Leisure/Hospitality Services

1.0%

Natural Resources

0.0%

Professional/Business Services

2.3%

Trade/Transportation/Utilities

1.4% 0.3%

2000

2004

2008

3.1% Cache 3.3% Rich 3.5% Weber 3.3% Davis 3.0% Morgan 3.4% Daggett

$2,000

Residential

$ Millions

2.9% Wasatch

3.7% Duchesne

$1,000

$500

3.7% Uintah

4.9% 2.2%

5.1% $0

3.6%

2020

2021

3.0%

4.3% Emery

3.9% Grand

3.9% Sevier 6.5% 5.2% Beaver Residential Piute Non-residential Wayne Add/Alt/Repairs

-1.0%

$ Millions

Iron

0.6%

7.5% Garfield

-0.5% 1.0%

$1,000 3.3% Washington 1.3%

0.2%

1.2%

0.1%

0.7% $500

0.5%

2.6%

0.3%

0.6%

3.5% -0.1% 0.1% Kane 0.5%

0.1%

1.2%

0.2% -0.5% 0.0%

Unemployment Rate 0.4%

1.3%

0.7%

0.8%

1.8%

7.5% 0.2% -0.2% 1.0% 2024

0.8% 0.1%

2.6%

0.6%

5.0%

2024 4.3% 2025

2026

3.7% 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 4.0% 3.6% 3.5% 4.7% 3.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.1%

4.3%

CT 5.1% DE 4.7% MA 4.3%

69% $600 4.3% 68.3% 68%

NJ 4.3%

MD 4.1% NH 2.8%

4.2%

2.7%

4.5%

$525,000 RI 3.7% VT 2.6% U.S. 66.3% 4.1%

$400

0.7

900

800

600

65%

Unemployment Rate 2.0% 64%

0.8%

-0.2% -0.8% 1.2%

2023

4.7% Utah Median Home Sales Price 3.4% 3.2% 3.4% January 2020 – August 2026 70% 4.4%

66%

0.4%

0.3%

Note: Estimates 1.0% $0 are seasonally adjusted. 2020 of Workforce 2021 2022 1.5% 2023 Source: Utah Department Services

3.7%

CT

1.1%

63%

DE

0.2%

62%

MA 0.4%

61%

MD -0.2% NH 0.4% 2026 2025 NJ 0.1% RI

$200

60%

61.6%

60.2% 2020

$0

0.1%

VT -0.2%

5.1%

63.4%

2020

2021

2021

2022

U.S. 2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

Utah 2024 2023

2025

2026

Job 400

200

0

Source: Utah Association of Realtors

U.S. 0.3%

4.1%

U TA H C H A M B E R Job70% Growth 69% 68%

-1.0%

1.8%

R$6 OADMAP TO PROSPERITY COALITION 900

$5

68.3%

)

5.1%

0.1%

1.5%

-0

3.2%

67% 67.4%

4.3% San Juan

$2

3.2%

2.9%

4.9%

$2,000 2.6%

$1,500 0.6% 3.2%

4.4%

2.0% 2022

3.5% Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy 4.0% Institute 3.8% 5.1%

Sales Price ($ Thousands)

3.6% Sanpete

$4

3.2% 3.2%

4.7% Carbon

3.1% Millard

$6

Add/Alt/Repairs

$1,500

2.8% Summit

3.7% Salt Lake

Non-residential

4.8%

4.3%

Utah

Value of Construction in Utah March 2020 – July 2026

3.2% Juab

2.8%

2024

Utah Unemployment Rate August 2026

3.4% Utah

4.1%

2020

Note: Estimates are not seasonally adjusted. Large year-over job change in April 2021 is inflated due to the high job losses in April 2020. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

3.6% Tooele

4.3%

2016

Note: Estimates are not seasonally adjusted. From March to December 2021, a 2-year change is used due to the drastic changes in employment beginning March 2020. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

3.4% Box Elder

4.7%

2012

U.S.

0.9%

0.3%

5.1%

Trad

Sales Price ($ Thousands)

1.4%

Profe

800

3.0

2.5


0

2020

2021

2022

2023

U.S.

2024

2025

2026

Utah

Consumer Sentiment

U.S. Headline Inflation Consumer Price Index

October 2020 – September 2026

January 2000 – September 2026

Year-Over Percent Change

100

10% 80

$2,000 $2,000

8%$600 $600

Residential Residential Non-residential Non-residential Add/Alt/Repairs Add/Alt/Repairs

71.3 $2,000 $1,500

$ Millions $ Millions $ Millions $ Millions

Residential Non-residential Add/Alt/Repairs Residential Non-residential Add/Alt/Repairs

48.1

40

$1,500 $1,000 $1,500 $1,000

-2%

2020

2021

$500 $500 $0 $02020

2020

2022

2023

U.S.

20212021

2024

Utah

2022 2022

2023 2023

2025

2020

2021

2022

2023

2020 2021 2022 2023 Labor Force Participation Rate 10% January 2020 – August 2026

2024 2024

2026

2025 2025

2024 2024

Source: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers and Zions Bank Consumer Sentiment Survey $0

$525,0003.7% $525,000

$400 $400 0% $200 $200

$1,000 $500 $1,000 $500

$0

$600 $600 4% $400 $400 2%

20

0

Sales Price ($ Thousands) Price ($ Thousands) Sales PriceSales ($ Thousands) Sales Price ($ Thousands)

$2,000 60 $1,500

$525,000 $525,000

6%

2025 2025

2026 2026

2000 2005 2025 2015 2020 2010 $200 $200 $0 $0 Recession 2020 2021 2022 Note: Estimates are not seasonally 2020 2021 adjusted. 2022 2023 2023 2024 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

2026 2026

$0

$0 Bankruptcy Utah Cases 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 January 2020 – August 2026

900900 70%70% 8% 69%69% 68.3% 68.3% 6% 68% 800800 68% 900 70% 900 67.4% 70% 67%67% 67.4% 3.7% 69% 4% 68.3% 69% 66.3% 66%66% 68.3% 66.3% 600600 68% 800 68% 800 65% 2%65%67.4% 67%67.4% 67% 64%64% 400400 66.3% 66% 63.4% 600 66.3% 63.4% 0% 66% 600 63%63% 65% 61.6% 65% 61.6% 62%62% 200200 -2% 64% 400 64% 63.4% 400 61%61% 63.4% 63% 2000 60.2% 2005 2025 2015 2020 2010 63% 60.2% 0 0 60% 61.6% 60% 2020 61.6% 20212021 2022 2023 2024 62% 2020 2020 2022Recession 2023 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026 200200 2020 2021 2021 2022 2022 2023 2023 2024 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026 62% U.S. Utah 61% U.S. Utah 61% 60.2% 0 60% 60.2% Note: are seasonally adjusted. The y-axis starts at 60% to better illustrate2025 changes in2026 the 0 60% Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2020 2021October 2025 2022data were 2023 2024 2026 labor force participation rate. unavailable due to a lapse2025 in BLS appropriations. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

U.S. U.S.

Source: United States Bankruptcy Court

Utah Utah

$6Taxable Utah Retail Sales $6 January 2020 – July 2026

3.03.0 SLC International Airport Passengers January 2020 – August 2026

$5 $5

2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.02.0

$5 $5 $3 $3

Millions

2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5

$4 $4 $2 $2 $3

$1 $1 $2 $2 0 0 $1 0

2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0

$1

1.5 1.5 0.50.5

Millions Millions

$3

Millions

Retail Sales ($ Billions) Retail Sales ($ Billions) Retail Sales ($ Billions) Retail Sales ($ Billions)

$6 $6 $4 $4

1.0

2020 2020

20212021

2022 2022

2023 2023

2024 2024

2026 2025 2026 2025

2021 2021

2022 2022

Source: Utah State Tax Commission

U TA H C H A M B E R

2023 2023

2024 2024

2026 2025 2026 2025

0 0 2020 2020

0.5 0.5

0 2020 2020

1.0

0

0

2020 2020

2021 2021

2021 2021

2022 2022

2022 2022

2023 2023

2023 2023

2026 2024 2026 2024 2025 2025

2026 2024 2025 2026 2024 2025

Source: Salt Lake City International Airport

ROADMAP TO PROSPERITY COALITION


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