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Orthodox swing Republican but most Jews still loyal Democrats Tobin’s analysis: Their membership in ‘credentialed elite’ trumps worries about Israel and antisemitism
JONaTHaN S. TOBIN JNS Editor-in-Chief
This column was posted Tuesday evening before full election results were available. egardless of whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris is named the winner of the 2024 presidential election, there’s one consequence of the contest about which we can already be sure. Amer-
R s
ica’s two major political parties have largely exchanged identities, and this year’s race not only confirmed a trend that has been in motion since 2016 but accelerated it. Yet one of the interesting sidebars to this momentous shift concerns one group that has, for the most part, stood still. Most Jews are
staying exactly where they’ve always been inside the tent of the Democratic Party. The interesting question: How can a group that claims to be largely motivated by what it considers to be the quest for social justice rationalize being on the other side of the political aisle from most working-class Americans?
The odds are that when the various exit polls claiming to break down the numbers are published, they will show that the overwhelming majority of Jews once again voted for the Democrats. While all those polls should be taken with more than a shovel-full of salt, especially those commissioned by either the Demo-
crats or Republicans, there’s little reason to believe that Jewish voters are going to change the habits of a lifetime just at the moment when the party to which most of them feel loyalty has become such a perfect sociological fit. One of the most under-reported See Analysis on page 2
WHO’LL BE PRESIDENT?
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a rally at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Ariz., on Aug. 9. Gage Skidmore, Creative Common
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Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at the Nassau Coliseum in Uniondale, LI, in September. Tim Baker, The Jewish Star