Skip to main content

SUBURB_TALLEBUDGERA VALLEY.pdf (1)

Page 1

T A L L E B U D G E R A

V A L L E Y

PROUDLY PRESENTING PROPERTY MARKET INSIGHTS


MAJOR CITY HOUSE PRICES (% CHANGE) IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS

AUSTRALIA* $1M 2.9%

$ MEDIAN HOUSE PRICE % CHANGE IN PRICE Source: Neoval, Cotality Updated as of August 2026 *VIC and national data sourced from Cotality due to data availability. All other major cities sourced from Neoval.

TALLEBUDGERA VALLEY $2.40M 12.1%


MAJOR CITY UNIT PRICES (% CHANGE) IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS

AUSTRALIA* $740K 2.0%

$ MEDIAN UNIT PRICE % CHANGE IN PRICE Source: Neoval, Cotality Updated as of August 2026 *VIC and national data sourced from Cotality due to data availability. All other major cities sourced from Neoval.

TALLEBUDGERA VALLEY


As of August 2026, the Tallebudgera Valley median house price is approximately $2.40M. This property segment recorded a solid gain of 12.1% compared to this same month last year. Looking back a decade, the median price has experienced a remarkable 213.7% increase from this same month 10 years ago, representing an approximate $1.64M rise in value. This continued upward trajectory for houses maintains its premium position, reflecting stronger growth than many broader regional markets amidst an evolving landscape.


Tallebudgera Valley's median weekly rental rate for houses reached an approximate $1,500 in August 2026, reflecting a solid gain of 11.1% over the past year, or an increase of $150. This same month 10 years ago, rates were an approximate $940 lower, marking a remarkable 167.9% increase and demonstrating a sustained upward trajectory. Unit median weekly rental rates, an approximate $650, also recorded an 8.3% increase year-on-year, adding $50. A longer-term trend for units is not available due to potentially lower rental volumes. This robust growth across both property types represents a stronger trend than many capital city markets, coinciding with continued tightening in rental supply.


Tallebudgera Valley's residential market for the 12 months ending June 2026 reflects a robust premium segment, with no sales recorded below $1M for houses. House sales activity recorded a solid gain, heavily concentrated in the $2M to $3M price bracket (13 sales), representing the market's core. Further significant activity occurred between $1.5M and $2M (6 sales) and notably above $5M (5 sales), reinforcing its luxury appeal. Unit sales remained limited to two transactions in the $1.5M to $2M range, reflecting a high-end, niche offering. This concentrated distribution in higher price tiers suggests a distinct market profile, maintaining its premium position compared to broader regional trends.


New listings in August 2026 in Tallebudgera Valley, QLD, recorded a strong 40% monthly decline from July, reaching 3 properties. This volume represents a significant 200% increase compared to August 2025, a period that saw particularly low vendor activity. However, current figures are 50% lower than those recorded two years prior in August 2024. This recent monthly dip reflects persistent supply constraints, although the substantial annual growth showcases a market with renewed vendor confidence compared to the extreme lows of the prior year, outpacing general trends of easing new listing volumes across broader markets.


Methodology Pricing data

Listing data

Price data is sourced from our research partners at Neoval Research Group, providing comprehensive coverage across all major Australian capital cities and regional markets. Price movements are calculated using median values to ensure accurate representation of typical market performance.

National property listing volumes are sourced from Domain, Australia’s leading property portal, providing comprehensive coverage of new property listings across all markets. National listings: presented as monthly counts spanning the last three years (2023-2025) to identify seasonal patterns and year-over-year trends in property supply. Major city and regional listings: current month data is presented with both monthly percentage change (comparison to previous month) and annual percentage change (comparison to same month in previous year) to highlight both short-term fluctuations and longer-term supply trends.

Why median? The median provides a reliable measure of the “typical” market price by identifying the middle value when all sales are arranged in order. Unlike arithmetic averages, which can be distorted by extreme high or low sales, the median represents the price point where half the properties sold for more and half sold for less. This methodology is particularly valuable when analysing property markets as it reduces the impact of outliers – such as exceptionally expensive waterfront properties or distressed sales – providing a truer reflection of what most buyers and sellers experience in the market. The median effectively captures the centre of the market distribution, making it an ideal measure for tracking genuine price movements over time. Tasmania exception: Due to licensing restrictions, median data from Neoval is not available for Tasmania. For Tasmanian markets, we utilise the Median Sales AVM Value from Cotality, which represents the median (50th percentile) estimated sales value of all properties based on the hedonic imputation method. ABS region segmentation and naming convention Our analysis utilises the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) geographical classification system, employing GCC, SA4, SA3 and SA2 naming conventions as the statistical and computational standard established by the ABS. This hierarchical structure provides a consistent framework for analysing property markets at various geographical scales, from major metropolitan areas down to individual SA2s. The visual representation and practical application of these classifications can be explored through the ABS mapping portal at https://maps.abs.gov.au, which displays the 2021 GCC, SA4, SA3 and SA2 shape files. These are the same shape files and naming conventions used by Neoval in their price modelling computations, ensuring consistency between our data sources and official statistical boundaries. For comparative analysis purposes, the Sunshine Coast and Gold Coast regions are classified alongside GCC Major City regions. This classification reflects their substantial price growth over recent years and their common comparison with major metropolitan markets. Given their economic significance and market characteristics, these regions are considered Major City regions for the purposes of this analysis.

Sales count data Sales count data by price point is sourced from Australian Property Monitors (APM) and Valuer General records, providing transaction data across all fixed price segments for market segmentation analysis. While filtered for residential properties only, some commercial or rural properties may be incorrectly classified as residential in the source data, potentially affecting data precision. Temporal framework All data series are presented on a monthly basis covering the three-year period from 2023 to 2025, enabling identification of seasonal patterns, cyclical trends, and year-over-year comparisons. This timeframe captures the full interest rate cycle from peak rates through to the current cutting cycle, providing context for current market dynamics. All data sources represent substantial market coverage but may not capture 100 per cent of market activity. Price data from Neoval provides broad market representation. Regional variations in data coverage may exist, with metropolitan markets generally providing more comprehensive data. Commentary Generation Methodology The market commentary throughout this report was generated using Google's Gemini 2.5 Flash, a state-of-theart large language model chosen for its exceptional ability to analyse complex datasets and translate them into clear market insights. The model was fed comprehensive data from both our national report along with region specific metrics, enabling it to contextualise local movements within broader market trends. Through multiple iterations of refinement, we optimised the system to provide straightforward, factual descriptions of the data presented in charts and tables, avoiding speculation while highlighting key trends and significant data points. This approach represents our ongoing efforts to deliver consistent, data-driven commentary that accurately reflects underlying market information in accessible language for both property professionals and general readers.


Ray White Group Economics Team

The Ray White Economics team delivers independent research and analysis across residential, commercial, and rural property markets. Led by Chief Economist Nerida Conisbee, the team combines rigorous data analysis with deep market expertise to produce insights that are both credible and accessible.

ATOM GO TIAN JORDAN TORMEY Economist Strategist

Drawing on one of Australia’s largest real estate datasets and a national network of market intelligence, the team tracks the trends, forces, and shifts shaping Australian real estate, helping buyers, sellers, and investors navigate with clarity and confidence.

PAOLO SUMULONG NERIDA CONISBEE Data Scientist Chief Economist

VANESSA RADER Head of Research

KEVIN WANG Content Production Coordinator

ANITA VENKATESH Content Strategy and Production Lead


raywhite.com


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
SUBURB_TALLEBUDGERA VALLEY.pdf (1) by RayWhiteTugun - Issuu