MURWILLUMBAH COMMERCIAL: A MARKET ON THE RISE
As we move further through 2026, the South Murwillumbah commercial property market continues to demonstrate strong resilience, adaptability, and long-term growth. Investor confidence remains steady, supported by ongoing infrastructure investment, improved flood-resilience planning, and the Tweed Shire's robust economic fundamentals.
The industrial sector remains the primary driver of local activity Demand from logistics, manufacturing, and trade-based businesses consistently outpaces the supply of modern facilities. South Murwillumbah’s strategic position near the Queensland border and its relative affordability compared to the southern Gold Coast continue to attract owner-occupiers and investors alike.
Highlighting this industrial boom, the Quarry Business Park has now finished construction and is over 50% sold, with land registrations set for this quarter Similarly, other new local industrial projects such as the highly anticipated units at The Bloc and The Summit on Lundberg Drive are currently experiencing swift pre-sales.
More broadly, the market is continually strengthened by significant infrastructure initiatives Projects linked to flood mitigation, employment land planning, and the South Murwillumbah Master Plan are successfully guiding the precinct's long-term evolution. Collectively, these initiatives are increasing business confidence and cementing South Murwillumbah as a vital industrial and employment hub within the Northern Rivers economy.
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NorthernNSWsawthebiggeststructuralshiftin2025.
Totalsalesvalue: 149M (-18% YOY)
Numberof transactions: 75 deals (+74% YOY)
This confirms a repricedmarket, not a distressed one.
DealSizeTrends
The sub-@2M segment was dominant
Interpretation:
This reflects investor preference for liquid, manageable asset sizes - especially strata industrial and neighbourhood retail Transaction Value vsVolume
Figure 3: The Influx of Deals < $2M Between 2023-2025
Figure 4: Southern Gold Coast & Northern New South Wales Buyer Composition
An overview of retail, rent, and investment expectations for 2026, considering2025'sreview.
Industrial
Rents likely to have modest increases but remain high
Vacancy to stay very tight
Construction costs limit new supply → ongoing landlord advantage
Office
Modest rent growth expected
Suburban office to outperform CBD-style formats
Retail
Essential-service retail remains strong
Tourism-lead retial to recover significatnly in second half of 2026
Investment
Yield stabilisation now largely complete
Expect Higher deal volume in 2026
Sub-$2M assets to remain most liquid
Increased interest in development sites if infrastructure timelines progress
From the RWC Corporate Desk
Topfivecommercialpropertypredictionsfor2026
Livingsectorsbecomethenewinstitutionaldarling
Build-to-rent will enter the institutional mainstream in 2026 as investors seek residential exposure with defensive, inflation-linked income Student accommodation, co-living and modern boarding houses will gain traction amid housing undersupply, while government support accelerates capital deployment. As commercial and residential lines blur, major super funds and offshore investors will validate the sector’s maturity.
Retailsresurgencecontinuestosurprise
Retail is set to sustain its recovery through 2026, supported by limited new supply and stabilising consumer spending. Neighbourhood, supermarket-anchored, and experience-led centres will outperform, benefiting from essential retail demand and experiential trends. Improving foot traffic, rental growth, and renewed investor confidence are expected to drive increased transactions and yield compression, positioning retail as a strong performer in 2026
Constructionsectorreboundunblocksdevelopmentopportunities
After an extended construction slowdown driven by high costs and funding constraints, development activity is expected to cautiously resume in 2026 as feasibility conditions improve. Stabilising construction costs, easing labour pressures and stronger occupier pre-commitments will support selective projects across industrial, premium office and retail sectors While not a boom, this signals a disciplined normalisation of development activity, underpinned by renewed lender confidence
Constructionsectorreboundunblocksdevelopmentopportunities
From 2026, the Sustainable Finance Taxonomy will reshape commercial property finance and valuation. Access to capital will increasingly depend on NABERS ratings, net zero pathways, or proven sustainability improvements Assets with weak ESG credentials will face higher borrowing costs, reduced investor demand, and widening value gaps. Sustainability will become a core pricing driver, with properties that fail to meet evolving standards facing structural devaluation.
Thegreatofficeseperationcontinues
In 2026, the gap between premium and secondary office assets will widen Premium buildings with strong ESG credentials, modern amenities, and prime locations will continue to attract tenants and maintain low vacancies. Well-located, high-quality B-grade assets may benefit from affordability-driven demand, while lower-quality secondary stock risks obsolescence. Vacancy and capital value gaps will grow, amplified by rising sustainability requirements and tenant demand for NABERS-rated spaces, creating a nuanced market beyond a simple A-grade versus secondary divide.
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$102,079,000 $3,191,000 RWT ONLINE AUCTION SUMMARY - 25/26 FY SO FAR...
1,500+ 462
45 OVERALL PERFORMANCE- WITHIN THE LOCAL MARKET
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