Commercial Market Insights - Currumbin Waters June 26 (2)

Ray White Tugun Commercial: Currumbin Waters Market Insights

GOLD COAST COMMERCIAL: A MARKET ON THE RISE

As we enter the second half of 2026, the Gold Coast commercial property market continues to demonstrate its strength, resilience, and long-term growth potential. Momentum built over the past year has carried forward, with consistent demand across key sectors and growing confidence from businesses, investors, and developers alike The region’s ongoing expansion, innovation, and infrastructure investment are reinforcing its position as one of Australia’s most compelling commercial markets

Retail and industrial assets remain standout performers. Retail property continues to benefit from strong population growth and a resilient tourism economy, supporting healthy leasing activity and sustained investor interest. Industrial property remains tightly held, underpinned by the continued growth of e-commerce, logistics, and supply-chain driven businesses, with demand outpacing available supply in many precincts

Beyond individual sectors, confidence in the Gold Coast commercial market is being strengthened by major infrastructure investment and sustained population inflows Transport upgrades, urban renewal projects, and large-scale development initiatives are reshaping the city and creating new opportunities across established and emerging commercial hubs.

Looking ahead, 2026 is shaping up to be another strong year for Gold Coast commercial real estate. Whether you are a business owner seeking the right location, an investor pursuing stable income and long-term growth, or a developer looking to capitalise on a maturing market, the opportunities remain compelling. Stay tuned as we continue to share market insights, emerging trends, and opportunities across this dynamic and evolving region

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Ray White Tugun Commercial: Currumbin Waters Market Insights

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Ray White Tugun Commercial: Currumbin Waters Market Insights

WhileCapitalcityofficemarketssawrisingvacancy,theSouthernGoldCoastheldfirm.

Vacancy

Greater Gold Coast office vacancies sit in the 6-6.5% range.

Suburban nodes (Varsity Lakes, Robina, Burleigh Heads) are often below 5% for quality A-grade space.

Rents

Prime suburban office rents increased approx 8-10% across the year.

Limited new supply keeps upward pressure on quality office accomidation

OccupierDemand

Medical & Health

Professional Services

Project/Engineering consultants

Hybrid office/industrial businesses

NDIS & Community services

Burleigh, Robina and Varsity continue to outperform the wider Gold Coast office market

Tenants increasingly favour high-parking, light-filled, suburban office stock over traditional CBD formats.

Industrial continues to be the region's most competitive commercialsector.

Increase

Rents

Prime sub-5,000 m2 stock has moved from an average of $125/m2 in previous years, to an average of $175/m2 in 2025 (See Figure 1)

Vacancy

Sub-2% in key precincts such as Burleigh Heads, Currumbin Waters, Miami, and Tweed Heads South

Most new vacant listings lease within 12-28 days if priced correctly

Yields

Prime yield range: 5.5% - 6.5% (See Figure 2).

Rents have increased ~45% across the cycle, driven by structural undersupply

An overview of retail, rent, and investment expectations for 2026, considering2025'sreview.

Industrial

Rents likely to have modest increases but remain high

Vacancy to stay very tight

Construction costs limit new supply → ongoing landlord advantage

Office

Modest rent growth expected

Suburban office to outperform CBD-style formats

Retail

Essential-service retail remains strong

Tourism-lead retial to recover significatnly in second half of 2026

Investment

Yield stabilisation now largely complete

Expect Higher deal volume in 2026

Sub-$2M assets to remain most liquid

Increased interest in development sites if infrastructure timelines progress

Ray White Tugun Commercial: Currumbin Waters Market Insights

From the RWC Corporate Desk

Topfivecommercialpropertypredictionsfor2026

Livingsectorsbecomethenewinstitutionaldarling

Build-to-rent will enter the institutional mainstream in 2026 as investors seek residential exposure with defensive, inflation-linked income Student accommodation, co-living and modern boarding houses will gain traction amid housing undersupply, while government support accelerates capital deployment. As commercial and residential lines blur, major super funds and offshore investors will validate the sector’s maturity.

Retailsresurgencecontinuestosurprise

Retail is set to sustain its recovery through 2026, supported by limited new supply and stabilising consumer spending. Neighbourhood, supermarket-anchored, and experience-led centres will outperform, benefiting from essential retail demand and experiential trends. Improving foot traffic, rental growth, and renewed investor confidence are expected to drive increased transactions and yield compression, positioning retail as a strong performer in 2026

Constructionsectorreboundunblocksdevelopmentopportunities

After an extended construction slowdown driven by high costs and funding constraints, development activity is expected to cautiously resume in 2026 as feasibility conditions improve. Stabilising construction costs, easing labour pressures and stronger occupier pre-commitments will support selective projects across industrial, premium office and retail sectors While not a boom, this signals a disciplined normalisation of development activity, underpinned by renewed lender confidence

Constructionsectorreboundunblocksdevelopmentopportunities

From 2026, the Sustainable Finance Taxonomy will reshape commercial property finance and valuation. Access to capital will increasingly depend on NABERS ratings, net zero pathways, or proven sustainability improvements Assets with weak ESG credentials will face higher borrowing costs, reduced investor demand, and widening value gaps. Sustainability will become a core pricing driver, with properties that fail to meet evolving standards facing structural devaluation.

Thegreatofficeseperationcontinues

In 2026, the gap between premium and secondary office assets will widen Premium buildings with strong ESG credentials, modern amenities, and prime locations will continue to attract tenants and maintain low vacancies. Well-located, high-quality B-grade assets may benefit from affordability-driven demand, while lower-quality secondary stock risks obsolescence. Vacancy and capital value gaps will grow, amplified by rising sustainability requirements and tenant demand for NABERS-rated spaces, creating a nuanced market beyond a simple A-grade versus secondary divide.

Auction Overview Snapshot

91 1,366 601 $120,410,250 $3,391,000