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2026 Dairy Data Highlights: Mid-Year Update

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Editor’s Note

In the past, this report was published once a year after all data for the previous year became available. This often required waiting for a small amount of data that is released later in the year. However, much of the annual data included in this report is available much earlier.

To provide members with more timely information, the report will now be released twice each year. A mid-year edition will include all relevant data published to date, while a year-end edition will include complete prior-year data, along with any data revisions by USDA or other applicable agencies.

About Us

The Dairy Economics Team, a collaborative effort between the National Milk Producers Federation (NMPF) and the U.S. Dairy Export Council (USDEC), provides comprehensive market analysis for stakeholders within America’s dairy industry. This specialized team combines the expertise of both organizations to offer unparalleled insights into the ever-evolving dynamics of dairy markets in the United States and around the world.

Leveraging data analytics and industry intelligence, the team produces quality, timely reports to assist dairy farmers,

U.S. Production of Milk, Milkfat and Solids-Not-Fat

Sources: USDA/NASS; USDA/ERS; U.S. Census Bureau

Growth in U.S. Milk Production

Sources: USDA/NASS; USDA/ERS; U.S. Census Bureau

U.S. Milk Cow Numbers, Dairy Farms and Herd Size

Sources: USDA / NASS: Cattle; Milk Production; Farms and Land in Farms.

*Licensed dairy herds beginning in 1995

Farm: Any establishment with at least $1,000 in annual sales of agricultural products.

Dairy: Any farm having one or more milk cows on hand during the year. Discontinued by NASS after 2012.

Licensed dairy: A farm with a public health license to sell milk.

U.S. Dairy Farms and Average Herd Size

Sources: USDA / NASS: Cattle; Milk Production; Farms and Land in Farms.

Dairy Farms and Milk Production by Herd Size

Source: USDA / NASS; Milk Production.

1 Farms are defined as operations with at least one milk cow through 2012, and as licensed dairy herds in 2017.

2 Included in 100-199; greater detail for herd sizes above 100 cows not available prior to 1993.

3 Included in 200-499; greater detail for herd sizes above 200 cows not available prior to 1998.

4 Discontinued by NASS between quinquennial census years after 2012. 2017 from Agricultural Census and NMPF.

FIGURE 3A

Percent of U.S. Dairy Farms by Herd Size

FIGURE 3B

Percent of U.S. Milk Production by Herd Size

Source: USDA / NASS; Milk Production.

U.S. Production Per Cow of Milk, Milkfat

and Solids-Not-Fat

Sources: USDA/NASS; USDA/ERS.

Growth In U.S. Milk Production Per Cow

Sources: USDA/NASS; USDA/ERS.

Structure of the Dairy Industry by State

Milk Production Per Cow by State

¹

Source: USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

and

into ”Other

beginning in

“Other States” beginning in 2025.

Regional Milk Production

Source: USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

Northeast: CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT

Southeast: AL, AR, FL, GA, LA, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA, WV

West: CO, ID, MT, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY

Southwest: AZ, NM, TX

Midwest: IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN

Other States (beginning in 2025): AL, AK, AR, CT, DE, HI, LA, MA, MS, MT, NH, NJ, ND, RI, SC, WV, and WY

Cow Numbers, Licensed Dairy Herds and Herd Size, by State

Source: USDA/NASS: Milk Production.

Milk Production by State

Source: USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

¹ Alaska and Hawaii combined into ”Other States” beginning in 2019. 2 AL, AR,

NH, NJ, ND, RI, SC, WV, and WY combined into “Other States” beginning in

Importance of the Dairy Sector by State, 2024

Sources: USDA/ERS: Farm Income and Wealth Statistics

Producer, Wholesale and Retail Prices of

and Dairy Products

All-Milk Prices by State

Source: USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

¹ Milk prices for Alaska and Hawaii combined into “Other States” beginning in 2019. 2 AL, AR, CT, DE, LA, MA,

and WY combined into “Other States” beginning in 2025.

Select Farm Level Annual Average Milk Prices

Sources: USDA/AMS; USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

Note: Class III and Class IV price at 3.5% milkfat; all others at test. NASS discontinued reporting manufacturing grade and fluid grade milk prices in 2011.

All-Milk Price and Class III Price

Sources: USDA/AMS; USDA/NASS: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income.

Monthly

Seasonality of U.S. All-Milk Price and Milk Production

Jun

Source: USDA/NASS: Prices Received and Milk Production.

Seasonality of Milk Supply and Price, 2025

Source: USDA/NASS: Prices Received and Milk Production.

Average Annual Dairy Product Prices, National Dairy Product Sales Report

Source: USDA AMS National Dairy Products Sales Report

1 CME price through 1995

2 Cheese prices: National Cheese Exchange through 1995

3 USDA AMS Central (Low/Med) through 1995

Monthly Prices of Dairy Products on Chicago Mercantile Exchange

Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange

Annual Retail Prices for Select Dairy Products

Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.

¹ Source: USDA / ERS Agricultural Outlook; all dairy. Beginning 2011, NMPF estimate.

2 No government reporting for October

Farm

Value of Milk as Percent of Retail Value

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor.

Cost of Milk Production Indicators

Milk

Production Costs and Returns by Herd Size, 20251

Source: USDA / ERS.

1 Milk cost of production estimates based on 2021 USDA ARMS data from milk producers, with subsequent updates based upon annual price changes.

2 Income from renting or leasing dairy stock to other operations; renting space to other dairy operations; co-op patronage dividends associated with the dairy; assessment rebates, refunds, and other dairy-related resources; and the fertilizer value of manure production.

3 Costs for third party organic certification

4 Machinery and equipment, housing, manure handling, feed storage structures, and the dairy breeding herd.

Share of Cash Expenses by Size of Operation

Source: USDA / ERS. Does not show allocated overhead costs, except hired labor.

U.S. Milk Production Costs and Returns

Source: USDA / ERS.

¹ Income from renting or leasing dairy stock to other operations; renting space to other dairy operations; co-op patronage dividends associated with the dairy; assessment rebates, refunds, and other dairy-related resources; and the fertilizer value of manure production.

² Costs for third party organic certification

³ Machinery and equipment, housing, manure handling, feed storage structures, and the dairy breeding herd.

Monthly Milk-to-Feed Price Ratio1

18

Monthly Dairy Margin Coverage/Margin Protection Program Calculated Feed Cost ($ per Cwt. of milk)2

10

Average Annual Dairy Margin Coverage/Margin Protection Program Calculated Feed Cost

FIGURE 11

Monthly Dairy Margin Coverage/Margin Protection Program Calculated Feed Cost

Sources: USDA / NASS and USDA / AMS.

Monthly Dairy Margin Coverage/Margin Protection Program

Source: USDA / NASS and USDA / AMS.

¹ Margin as defined in the 2014 and 2018 farm bills.

FIGURE 12

Average Annual Dairy Margin Coverage/Margin Protection Program Margin

13

Dairy Margin Coverage Margin

Sources: USDA / NASS and USDA / AMS.

FIGURE

Average Prices Received for Livestock

Average

Price Received for Replacement Milk Cows

Sources: USDA / NASS and USDA / AMS.

Average Prices Received for Crops

Source: USDA / NASS: Agricultural Prices. Prices are season averages for crop years.

1 Marketing years beginning: June (barley and oats); September (soybeans, corn, and May (hay).

2 Prior to 1990, all hay. Soybean meal prices are calendar year averages of high protein soybean meal at Decatur-Central Illinois as reported by USDA/AMS.

Crop Production

Source: USDA / NASS: Crop Production Annual.

Scope of Federal Milk Marketing Orders

Federal

Milk Marketing Order Statistics by Market, 2025

Source: USDA / AMS

Measures of Growth in Federal Milk Marketing Orders

Source: USDA / AMS, Dairy Market Statistics.

¹ Includes California order, effective November 1, 2018

Sales and Butterfat Content of Fluid Milk Products in Federal Milk Marketing Orders1

Source: USDA/AMS, Federal Milk Order Market Statistics, NMPF Calculations

¹ Fluid milk products: plain and flavored whole, lowfat and skim milk, buttermilk and drinkable yogurt, including organic products. Beginning 2015, estimated U.S. sales.

Average Butterfat Content of Fluid Milk Products1

Source: USDA/AMS, Federal Milk Order Market Statistics, NMPF Calculations

¹ Fluid milk products: plain and flavored whole, lowfat and skim milk, buttermilk and drinkable yogurt, including organic products. Beginning 2015, estimated U.S. sales.

Dairy Product Consumption and Production

Annual Total Utilization of Dairy Products

Source: NMPF and USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook

Excludes exports beginning 1995

¹ Excludes whey values

²Includes skim milk powder

Per Capita Total Utilization of Dairy Products

Source: NMPF and USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook

Excludes exports beginning 1995.

¹ Excludes whey values

Share of Total Utilization by Product

Source: NMPF; Shares are based on a milk equivalent, total solids basis. Includes exports.

¹ Excludes whey values

² Includes skim milk powder

Share of Total Utilization by Product

Source: NMPF; Shares are based on a milk equivalent, total solids basis. Includes exports.

Fluid Milk Sales by Product

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook. Includes conventional and organic milk. Total includes miscellaneous fluid milk products, beginning 2003.

Per Capita Fluid Milk Sales, Select Products

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook. Includes conventional and organic milk. Total includes miscellaneous fluid milk products, beginning 2003.

Sales of Cream and Other Products

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook and NMPF.

Note: Light and heavy cream no longer separated, beginning 2000. Cream and half and half no longer separated, beginning 2002. Total includes miscellaneous fluid milk products, beginning 2003. Fluid cream no longer reported, beginning 2019.

Per Capita Sales of Fluid Milk

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook and NMPF.

Cheese Production, Select Varieties

Source: USDA / NASS: Dairy Products

Per Capita Cheese Consumption, Select Varieties

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook Tables and NMPF

Production of Butter, NFDM and Other Products

Source: USDA / ERS: Dairy Products. ¹ Cottage cheese curd production.

Per

Capita Consumption of Butter, Cottage Cheese, NFDM and Other Products

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook and NMPF.

Production of Frozen Dairy Products

Source: USDA / NASS: Dairy Products.

¹ Excludes mellorine-based frozen desserts. Includes frozen yogurt prior to 1989 and nonfat ice cream prior to 1995.

² Excludes ice cream mix, frozen yogurt mix and sherbet mix.

Per Capita Consumption of Frozen Dairy Products

Source: USDA / ERS: Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Situation and Outlook and NMPF

Note: USDA combines per capita consumption of lowfat and nonfat ice cream into ice cream (reduced fat).

1 Includes frozen yogurt, other frozen dairy, and water/juice ices

Cheese, Butter and NFDM Production, by State

Source: USDA / NASS: Dairy Products

Note: States not shown when fewer than 3 plants reported or individual plant operations could be disclosed.

¹ Does not include 599 million lbs. of protein-standardized skim milk powders or 7 million lb. of dry skim milk produced for animal feed uses.

Production Share of Manufactured Products by Region

Source: USDA / NASS: Dairy Products

Note: Some states with large production are not reported to avoid violating confidentiality.

West: AL, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY

Central: AL, AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MN, MS, MO, NE, ND, OH, OK, SD, TN, TX, WI

Atlantic: CT, DE, FL, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, NC, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV

Plants Processing Dairy Products and Volume Per Plant, Select Years

¹ Cottage cheese, curd.

² Yogurt, plain and flavored (non-frozen).

³ Canned evaporated and condensed whole milk.

⁴ Thousand Gallons, Hard regular ice cream.

⁵ Thousand Gallons, Hard regular and lowfat frozen yogurt.

⁶ Thousand Gallons, Hard sherbet.

⁷ Nonfat dry milk for food use, excludes protein-standardized skim milk powders.

⁸ Dry skim powders.

⁹ Dry whole milk.

¹⁰ 40% or more protein by weight.

¹¹ Dry whey for human consumption.

¹² Whey protein concentrate for human consumption.

¹³ 90% or more protein by weight.

Commodity Credit Corporation Net Outlays by Commodity, Fiscal Year

Source: USDA/ERS, Agricultural Outlook Tables; USDA Budget Summary annual publications.

¹ Does not include $8.5 billion dollars in Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP) payments during Fiscal Year 2020. CFAP payments were not CCC outlays but supplemental funding under the Office of the Secretary of Agriculture. Dairy’s share of the $30.6 billion dollars of total CFAP payments during fiscal years 2020 and 2021 was $3.0 billion dollars, or 9.9% of the total.

2 USDA estimated budget outlays

Dairy Share Of Total Commodity Credit Corporation Outlays

Source: USDA/ERS, Agricultural Outlook Tables; USDA Budget Summary annual publications.

U.S. Dairy Trade

U.S. Dairy Exports by Destination

U.S. Milk and Cream Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Butter Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Cheese Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Nonfat Dry Milk/Skim Milk Powder Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Whole Milk Powder Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Ice Cream Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Yogurt Exports

U.S. Dry Whey Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. High Protein Whey Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

U.S. Lactose Exports

Source: USDA/FAS

Dairy Exports & Domestic Disappearance

Source: USDA/Economic Research Service, U.S. Census Bureau and NMPF.

¹ Total exports per U.S. resident.

² Per capita consumption by U.S. resident population.

³ Total utilization per U.S. resident.

Dairy Exports

Source: USDA/Economic Research Service, U.S. Census Bureau and NMPF.

Dairy Imports

Source: USDA/FAS; U.S. Bureau of the Census; NMPF.

¹ TRQ: Tariff Rate Quota. “Out of quota” includes all corresponding quota-type products entering the U.S. on an out-of-quota dutypaid basis.

² Includes non-cow’s milk cheeses.

³ All cheese, including TRQ and non-TRQ cheese. Totals will not add because in-quota TRQ cheese volumes are determined by Customs and Border Protection using different data.

⁴ Includes products whose composition consists only partly of dairy components.

U.S. Economic Indicators and Other Statistics

Price Indices: Annual Average, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and USDA/NASS, Agricultural Prices

Minutes of Work Required to Purchase Select Dairy Products

Commodity Receipts from Marketings

Source: USDA / ERS: Agricultural Outlook Tables, Cash Receipts data.

Largest U.S. Dairy Cooperatives, 2024

Number and Net Volume of Products, Supplies and Services by

Cooperatives, Select Years

Source: USDA / Rural Business-Cooperative Service, Agricultural Cooperative Statistics

“Other” includes total cooperatives handling beans and peas, nuts, tobacco, wool and other misc.

Number of cooperatives may not add due to overlap. Most recent publication of these statistics is for 2023.

International Milk Production Statistics, 2025

Source: USDA / FAS and UN / FAO.

Glossary

American Cheese

Principally cheddar cheese but includes other varieties such as Colby or Jack. The term does not include Swiss, Muenster, Blue, Italian cheese varieties, and other distinctive types.

Total Utilization

Total utilization is calculated as total domestic disappearance plus exports. Domestic disappearance is calculated as production plus imports less the net change in stocks.

Milk Equivalent

The amount of farm milk represented by a quantity of dairy products. Most often used to aggregate stocks, trade, or removals of various dairy products on a common component basis, such as milkfat, skim solids, or total milk solids.

Milk Sold to Plants and Dealers

A term long used by USDA to mean milk production less that portion utilized on the farm or marketed directly by farmers to consumers.

Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) Program Margin

As defined in the 2018 Farm Bill, the income over feed cost margin is equal to the national monthly all-milk price (reported monthly by USDA NASS) minus average feed costs, computed from a formula using national benchmark prices of corn, soybean meal, and alfalfa hay. Formerly the Margin Protection Program for Dairy (MPP) Margin.

DMC Feed Cost

As defined in the 2018 Farm Bill, the feed cost to be used in calculating premiums is the national average feed cost. It includes the U.S. average corn price/bushel, Central Illinois soybean meal price/ton, and price of alfalfa hay price/ton. Formerly the MPP (Margin Protection Program for Dairy) Feed Cost.

National Average Cost of Feed Calculation

=1.0729 X U.S. average corn price/bushel

+0.00735 X Central Illinois soybean meal price/ton

+0.0137 X Average of U.S. average alfalfa hay price/ton and 5-state average of premium and supreme alfalfa hay (scheduled for recalculation, from January 2020, as 100% of the 5-state dairy quality alfalfa hay price).

Common Conversion Factors

Measures of Milk

1 gallon = 8.62 pounds

1 quart = 2.15 pounds

1 pint = 1.08 pounds

1 liter = 2.28 pounds

Metric System

100 pounds = 11.6 gallons

100 pounds = 46.4 quarts

100 pounds = 92.8 pints

100 pounds = 43.9 liters

Weight Volume

1 kilogram = 2.2046 pounds 1 liter = 1.057 quarts

1 pound = 0.4536 kilogram 1 quart = 0.9464 liter

1 gram = 0.03527 ounce 1 liter = 2.113 pints

1 ounce = 28.35 grams 1 pint = 0.4732 liter

1 metric ton = 2,204.6 pounds 1 liter = 0.2642 gallons 1 gallon = 3.785 liters

Feed Grains

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2026 Dairy Data Highlights: Mid-Year Update by National Milk Producers Federation - Issuu