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2020 Annual Market Report | Brian Pybas

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2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

Aptos Capitola Santa Cruz Scotts Valley Soquel


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

A P T O S M A R K E T U P D AT E

SALES BY SEGMENT

T

he Aptos market saw major gains in the Average Sales Price of 18.5% which contributed to the 50% increase in Sales Volume over 2019. This is in part due to a higher concentration of sales at the high end, with double the sales over $2 million and a 50% increase in the number of sales between $1-2 million. A hot end to the year has left Aptos with the lowest Days on Market in 10 years, and a year end inventory down 50% to 0.8 months.

36% 1%

$1,384,662 AV E R AG E S E L L I N G P R I C E

19% vs 2019 21% Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

5% 6% <$1M | 109 $1M-2M | 161 $2M-3M | 18 $3M-5M | 14 $5M+ | 3

$416.8M

301

30

SALES VOLUME

UNITS SOLD

D AY S O N M A R K E T *

50% vs 2019 61%

2

53%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

27% vs 2019 33%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

42% vs 2019 67%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Aptos

Days on Market*

Average vs Median Sales

80

$1.6M

60

$1.3M

40

$1M 20

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Q4 2020

Q4 2019

Closed Sales by Quarter 110

$160M

4.5

82.5

$120M

3

55

$80M

1.5

27.5

$40M

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q3 2020

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q4 2020

Median

Closed Sales Volume by Quarter

6

Q1

Q2 2020

Average

* DOM count was suspended March 17th - May 16th due to COVID-19

Months of Available Inventory

Q1 2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

2020

Q4

3


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

C A P I T O L A M A R K E T U P D AT E

SALES BY SEGMENT

U

nlike the other areas looked at in the county, Capitola saw a decrease in the Average Sales Price year over year by 8% over a strong 2019. Despite this drop, Sales Volume increased by 4% over 2019 due to an increase in the number of sales by 5%. Inventory again appears to be the main factor restricting this market, with Capitola also having a 10-year low Days on Market of 29 days, and year end Months of Inventory reduced 70% from 2019 to 0.7 months.

33% 8%

$1,239,775

<$1M | 22 $1M-2M | 39 $2M-3M | 5 $3M-5M | 0 $5M+ | 0

AV E R AG E S E L L I N G P R I C E

8% vs 2019 20% Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

$81.8M

66

29

SALES VOLUME

UNITS SOLD

D AY S O N M A R K E T *

4% vs 2019 60%

4

59%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

5% vs 2019 33%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

36% vs 2019 17%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Capitola

Days on Market*

Average vs Median Sales

40

$1.4M

30 $1.17M

20

$0.93M

10

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Q4 2019

Q4 2020

Months of Available Inventory

Q2 2020

Average

* DOM count was suspended March 17th - May 16th due to COVID-19

8

Q1 2020

Closed Sales by Quarter

Q3 2020

Q4 2020

Median

Closed Sales Volume by Quarter $40M

30

6

$30M 20

4

$20M

10 2

$10M

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

2020

Q4

5


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

S A N TA C R U Z M A R K E T U P D AT E

SALES BY SEGMENT

A

s with most of the coastal areas in Santa Cruz County, the Santa Cruz market was hampered by low inventory throughout the latter half of the year. This contributed to the market seeing the lowest Days on Market in the last 10 years, and year end Months of Inventory down 40% from 2019 to just 0.9 months. Despite having a lower Number of Sales than in 2019, the Sales Volume for 2020 increased slightly year over year, and was driven by a larger composition of high-end sales in the $2mil+ range.

$1,270,799 AV E R AG E S E L L I N G P R I C E

8% vs 2019 19% Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

50%

0.2% 2% 6%

<$1M | 223 $1M-2M | 269 $2M-3M | 32 $3M-5M | 13 $5M+ | 1

$676.1M

532

25

SALES VOLUME

UNITS SOLD

D AY S O N M A R K E T *

3% vs 2019 37%

6

41%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

4% vs 2019 15%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

43% vs 2019 63%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Santa Cruz

Days on Market*

Average vs Median Sales

70

$1.4M

56 $1.17M

42

28 $0.93M

14

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Q4 2019

Q4 2020

Closed Sales by Quarter

Months of Available Inventory

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Average

* DOM count was suspended March 17th - May 16th due to COVID-19

180

3

Q1 2020

Q4 2020

Median

Closed Sales Volume by Quarter $240M

$180M

2.25

120

$120M

1.5

60 0.75

$60M

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

2020

Q4

7


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

S C O T T S VA L L E Y M A R K E T U P D AT E

SALES BY SEGMENT

S

cotts Valley saw a shift in the composition of sales from the lower end to the mid-range of the market where sales in the $1-2 million range increase by 21%. This bumped the Average Sales Price for the area up 4.5% over 2019, which is only half of the county average. Combined with an increase in the Number of Sales of 7.3%, Sales Volume increased by 12% year over year. Months from Inventory increased year over year, which is a break from the trend, but remains tight at 0.9 months.

41% 56%

$1,136,869 AV E R AG E S E L L I N G P R I C E

5% vs 2019 4% Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

<$1M | 54 $1M-2M | 74 $2M-3M | 4 $3M-5M | 0 $5M+ | 0

$150M

132

35

SALES VOLUME

UNITS SOLD

D AY S O N M A R K E T *

12% vs 2019 76%

8

3%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

7% vs 2019 70%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

3% vs 2019 48%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Scotts Valley

Average vs Median Sales

Days on Market*

$1.3M

110

88

$1.1M 66

44

$0.9M 22

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Q4 2020

Q4 2019

Closed Sales by Quarter

Months of Available Inventory

Q2 2020

Average

* DOM count was suspended March 17th - May 16th due to COVID-19

Q3 2020

Q4 2020

Median

Closed Sales Volume by Quarter $70M

60

7

Q1 2020

$53M

5.25

40

$35M

3.5

20 1.75

$18M

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

2020

Q4

9


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

831.624.2300 montereycoastrealty.com Dolores and Seventh Carmel-by-the-Sea

S O Q U E L M A R K E T U P D AT E

SALES BY SEGMENT

I

n Soquel we saw the Average Sales Price increase by 8.5% while the Median Sales Price rose 26%. This was led by a change in the composition of sales from the below $1 million range to $1-2 million range, and an overall increase in sales over $2 million. This shift accounts for the increase in Sales Volume despite a decrease in the years Number of Sales. Once again, we saw the lowest Days on Market in the past 10 years at 31 days, and a slightly reduced Months of Inventory to 1.1 months.

$1,274,833

59% 1% 6% <$1M | 24 $1M-2M | 42 $2M-3M | 4 $3M-5M | 1 $5M+ | 0

AV E R AG E S E L L I N G P R I C E

9% vs 2019 25% Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

$89.2M

70

31

SALES VOLUME

UNITS SOLD

D AY S O N M A R K E T *

4% vs 2019 15%

10

34%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

4% vs 2019 32%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019

39% vs 2019 71%

Q4 2020 vs Q4 2019


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Soquel

Days on Market*

Average vs Median Sales

80

$1.5M

64 $1.23M

48

32 $0.97M

16

Q4 2019

Q1 2020

Q2 2020

Q3 2020

Q4 2019

Q4 2020

Months of Available Inventory

Q2 2020

Average

* DOM count was suspended March 17th - May 16th due to COVID-19

4

Q1 2020

Closed Sales by Quarter

Q3 2020

Q4 2020

Median

Closed Sales Volume by Quarter $32M

30

3

$24M 20

2

$16M

10 1

$8M

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

Q4

2020

Q1

Q2

2019

Q3

2020

Q4

11


2020 ANNUAL MARKET REPORT

Brian Pybas REALTOR®

831.594.9402

Brian@MontereyCoastRealty.com DRE#02003077


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