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The Cunningham Group - September 2023 Market Report | San Francisco Bay Area

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September 2023

San Francisco Bay area

Jump to Alameda Report Alameda

Contra Costa

Jump to Contra Costa Report

Jump to Napa Report Napa

San Francisco County

Jump to San Francisco County Report

San Mateo

Jump to San Mateo Report

Santa Clara

Jump to Santa Clara Report

Jump to Solano Report

Jump to Sonoma Report

Jump to Marin Report Southern/Central Marin

Solano
Sonoma

What’syourhome reallyworthin today’smarket?

That's the question you should be asking yourself.

Our market is incredibly diverse and rapidly changing. Values vary not just by neighborhood but by street. Your home isn't necessarily worth what your neighbors' home is. It's the current market that sets the value of your home.

So, do you know what your home is worth in today's market?

Icanhelp...

Contact me for a confidential, no obligation assessment of your home's value.

MortgageRates:Past,Present, andPossibleFuture

If you’re hoping to buy a home this year, you’re probably paying close attention to mortgage rates. Since mortgage rates impact what you can afford when you take out a home loan – and affordability is a challenge today – it’s a good time to look at the big picture of where mortgage rates have been historically compared to where they are now. Beyond that, it’s important to understand their relationship with inflation for insights into where mortgage rates might go in the near future.

Giving Context to the Sticker Shock

Freddie Mac has been tracking the 30-year fixed mortgage rate since April of 1971. Every week, they release the results of their Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which averages mortgage application data from lenders across the country (see graph below):

Looking at the right side of the graph, mortgage rates have increased significantly since the start of last year. But even with that rise, today’s rates are still below the 52-year average. While that historical perspective is good context, buyers have gotten used to mortgage rates between 3% and 5%, which is where they’ve been over the past 15 years.

That’s important because it explains why the recent jump in rates might have you feeling sticker shock even though they’re close to their long-term average. While many buyers have adjusted to the elevated rates over the past year, a slightly lower rate would be a welcome sight. To determine if that’s a realistic possibility, it’s important to look at inflation

Where Could Mortgage Rates Go in the Future?

The Federal Reserve has been working hard to lower inflation since early 2022. That’s significant because, historically, there’s been a connection between inflation and mortgage rates (see graph below):

This graph shows a pretty reliable relationship between inflation and mortgage rates. Looking at the left side of the graph, each time inflation moves significantly (shown in blue), mortgage rates follow suit shortly after (shown in green).

The circled portion of the graph points out the most recent spike in inflation, with mortgage rates following closely behind. As inflation has moderated a bit this year, mortgage rates haven’t yet made a similar move. That means, if history is any guide, the market is waiting for mortgage rates to follow inflation and head back down. It’s impossible to accurately predict where mortgage rates will go for sure, but moderating inflation means mortgage rates going down in the near future would fit a well-established trend.

Source: Keeping Current Matters

1

Home Concierge's secret weapon is our local project directors, who visit and personally manage each of our projects. When the agent reached out with a tight deadline, project director Azary Khalfan took it in stride and immediately called on her local vendors and subcontractors. Our in-house designer, Samantha Black, worked quickly over the holidays to design a new kitchen while Azary ordered finishes for other parts of the home. Ingenuity, strong vendor connections, and hard work transformed the kitchen in 17 days! The home sold for over $400,000 over asking in just one week.

BEFORE AFTER

Tips to Harden Your Home During Wildfires

Source: Cal Fire

ROOF

Build your roof or re-roof with materials such as composition, metal, clay, or tile Remove any vegetative debris from the roof.

VENTS

Remove all openings with 1/16-inch to 1/4-inch metal mesh Do not use fiberglass or plastic mesh because they can melt and burn

EAVES + SOFFITS

Eaves should be boxed in and protected with ignition-resistant or non-combustible materials.

WINDOWS

Install dual-paned windows with one pane of tempered glass to reduce the chance of breakage in a fire.

WALLS

Use ignition-resistant materials, such as stucco, fiber cement, wall siding, fire retardant, treated wood, etc.

DECKS

Create an ember-resistant zone around and under all decks and clear debris from under your deck.

FENCES

Separate your fences from your house or upgrade the last 5 feet of the fence to a non-combustible material.

GUTTERS

Keep rain gutters clear or enclose rain gutters to prevent accumulation of plant debris

DRIVEWAY

Driveways should be built and maintained in accordance with state and local codes to allow fire and emergency vehicles to reach

CHIMNEY

Close the fireplace during fire season when the chimney is not being used.

PATIO COVER

Use the same ignitionresistant materials for patio coverings as a roof

DECKS

Have a fire extinguisher and tools such as a shovel, rake, bucket, and hose available for fire

BroughtToYouBy:

Alam

What's in the

There were 1625 sing providing 1.1 months new listings, and 652 price of $1.2m. The m was 106.1%, with an a market.

There were 762 condo sale, providing 1 6 mo were 341 new listings median price of $712k percentage was 101% on the market.

Single-Family Homes

860

New Listings

1.1 Months of Inventory

652

Sold Listings

$1.2M

Median Sale Price

106.1%

Median Sale vs List

18

Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from Broker Metrics, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

341

New Listings

230

Sold Listings

1.6

Months of Inventory

$712K

Median Sale Price

101%

Median Sale vs List

25 Avg Days on Market

AlamedaCounty

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has remained at $1 2m since last August 2022

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has decreased from $725k last August 2022, to $712k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went down from 26 days last August 2022, to 18 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went down from 26 days last August 2022, to 25 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has increased from 101% last August 2022, to 106 1% a year later

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has decreased from 100.1% last August 2022, to 101% a year later.

Contra Costa

What's in the Contra Costa data?

There were 1,134 single-family homes for sale, providing 1.9 months of inventory. There were 793 new listings, and 308 homes sold at a median price of $839k. The median overbid percentage was 101 7%, with an average of 18 days on the market.

There were 368 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 2.2 months of inventory. There were 238 new listings and 74 units sold at a median price of $600k. The median overbid percentage was 100%, with an average of 23 days on the market

Single-Family Homes

793 New Listings

308 Sold Listings

1.9 Months of Inventory

$839K Median Sale Price

101.7%

Median Sale vs List

18 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

238 New Listings 2.2

ContraCosta

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has decreased from $850k last August 2022, to $839k as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $588k last August 2022, to $600k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went down from 25 days last August 2022, to 18 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went up from 21 days in August 2022, to 23 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has increased from 100% last August 2022, to 101 7% a year later

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022.

Napa County

What's in the Napa County data?

There were 271 single-family homes for sale, providing 3.9 months of inventory. There were 77 new listings, and 69 homes sold at a median price of $1.1m. The median overbid percentage was 100%, with an average of 54 days on the market

There were 22 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 2.4 months of inventory. There were 7 new listings and 9 units sold at a median price of $665k. The median overbid percentage was 100%, with an average of 33 days on the market.

Single-Family Homes

77 New Listings

69 Sold Listings

3.9 Months of Inventory

$1.1M Median Sale Price

100% Median Sale vs List

54 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has increased from $1m last August 2022, to $1 1m as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has decreased from $715k last August 2022, to $665k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went up from 49 days last August 2022, to 54 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went down from 58 days in August 2022, to 33 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has increased from 96.5% last August 2022, to 100% a year later.

San Francisco County

What's in the San Francisco County

data?

There were 334 single-family homes for sale, providing 2.1 months of inventory. There were 253 new listings and 120 homes sold at a median price of $1.6m. The median overbid percentage was 103.9%, with an average of 35 days on the market.

There were 588 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 3.6 months of inventory. There were 265 new listings and 136 units sold at a median price of $1.1m. The median overbid percentage was 99%, with an average of 57 days on the market.

Single-Family Homes

253 New Listings

120 Sold Listings

2.1 Months of Inventory

$1.6M Median Sale Price

103.9% Median Sale vs List

35 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

SanFranciscoCounty

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has remained at $1 6m since last August 2022

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $1m last August 2022, to $1.1m as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went up from 26 days last August 2022, to 35 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went up from 50 days in August 2022, to 57 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has decreased from 106 7% last August 2022, to 103 9% a year later

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has decreased from 100% last August 2022, to 99.2% a year later.

SanMateo County

What's in the San Mateo County data?

There were 514 single-family homes for sale, providing 1.9 months of inventory. There were 393 new listings, and 144 homes sold at a median price of $1.6m. The median overbid percentage was 101 1%, with an average of 27 days on the market.

There were 209 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 2.5 months of inventory. There were 124 new listings and 44 units sold at a median price of $995k. The median overbid percentage was 100%, with an average of 35 days on the market

Single-Family Homes

393 New Listings

144 Sold Listings

1.9 Months of Inventory

$1.6M Median Sale Price

101.1%

Median Sale vs List

27 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

SanMateoCounty

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has decreased from $1 8m last August 2022, to $1 6m as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $900k last August 2022, to $995k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went up from 25 days last August 2022, to 27 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market has remained at 35 days since August 2022

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has increased from 100% last August 2022, to 101 1% a year later

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022.

SantaClara County

What's in the Santa Clara County data?

There were 843 single-family homes for sale, providing 1.5 months of inventory. There were 803 new listings, and 278 homes sold at a median price of $1.7m. The median overbid percentage was 103 7%, with an average of 20 days on the market.

There were 399 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 1.6 months of inventory. There were 368 new listings and 95 units sold at a median price of $950k. The median overbid percentage was 102.3%, with an average of 18 days on the market

Single-Family Homes

803 New Listings

1.5 Month of Inventory

278 Sold Listings

$1.7M Median Sale Price

103.7% Median Sale vs List

20 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

1.6

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has increased from $1 6m last August 2022, to $1 7m as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $900k last August 2022, to $950k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went down from 25 days last August 2022, to 20 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went down from 25 days last August 2022, to 18 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has increased from 99 4% last August 2022, to 103 7% a year later

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has increased from 100% last August 2022, to 102.3% a year later.

Sola Cou

What's in t data?

There were 510 providing 1.7 mo new listings, and price of $583k. T was 100%, with market.

There were 57 c sale, providing 2 were 38 new list price of $360k. T was 100%, with market

omes

Median Sale Price 246

Sold Listings

Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

38

Solano

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has decreased from $600k last August 2022, to $583k as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $359k last August 2022, to $360k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went down from 38 days last August 2022, to 28 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went down from 37 days last August 2022, to 31 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has decreased from 100% last August 2022, to 99.7% a year later.

Sonoma County

What's in the Sonoma data?

There were 700 single-family homes for sale, providing 2.4 months of inventory. There were 252 new listings, and 293 homes sold at a median price of $855k. The median overbid percentage was 100%, with an average of 47 days on the market.

There were 61 condo and townhome units for sale, providing 1.6 months of inventory. There were 39 new listings and 33 units sold at a median price of $495k. The median overbid percentage was 101 5%, with an average of 21 days on the market.

Single-Family Homes

252 New Listings

293 Sold Listings

2.4 Months of Inventory

$855K Median Sale Price

100% Median Sale vs List

47 Avg Days on Market

The data, sourced from InfoSparks, includes all single-family homes, condos and townhomes in the California Area above from August 2022 to August 2023. This may include preliminary data, and may vary from the time the data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. DRE# 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

39 New Listings

33 Sold Listings

1.6 Months of Inventory $495K

Sale Price 101.5% Median Sale vs List 21 Avg Days on Market

Sonoma

AUGUST 2022 - AUGUST 2023

Single-Family Homes

Last 12 months, year-over-year.

Condos & Townhomes

Last 12 months, year-over-year

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has increased from $830k last August 2022, to $855k as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $451k last August 2022, to $495k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went up from 39 days last August 2022, to 47 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went down from 37 days in August 2022, to 31 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022.

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has increased from 101.1% last August 2022, to 101.5% a year later.

South Centr Marin

What's in the M

There were 226 single providing 1 6 months o new listings, and 117 h price of $1.5m. The m was 100%, with an ave market.

There were 111 condo sale, providing 2.4 mo were 43 new listings a price of $840k. The m was 100%, with an ave market.

17 Listings s

1.5M an Sale Price

3 ays on Market

single-family homes, condos and 2022 to August 2023. This may the data was gathered. All data is 01995149. Copyright KW Advisors San Francisco | Napa Valley 2023. Each office is independently owned and operated.

Median SalesPrice

Single-Family Homes

The median sales price has decreased from $1 7m last August 2022, to $1 5m as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The median sales price has increased from $831k last August 2022, to $840k as of August 2023.

AVGDays OntheMarket

Single-Family Homes

The average time spent on the market went up from 31 days last August 2022, to 33 days as of August 2023

Condos & Townhomes

The average time spent on the market went up from 38 days in August 2022, to 55 days as of August 2023

Overbids

Single-Family Homes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022

Condos & Townhomes

The overbid percentage has remained at 100% since last August 2022.

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