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Deal Capsule Januar 2021 Preview

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Deal Capsule Transactions in Life Sciences & Chemicals January 2021

2020 was an unprecedented year, as economic uncertainties from the COVID19 pandemic shook the deal landscape – including M&A activity in Life Sciences and Chemicals. Yet, the road to recovery has already begun.

CHRISTIAN KLINGBEIL | PARTNER, KPMG IN GERMANY

FIGURE 1: TRENDS IN LIFE SCIENCES M&A

HIGHLIGHTS — Through the COVID19 pandemic, in both sectors, 2020 deal activity went through a phase of shock followed by a recovery in deal volume in H2 2020. — For life sciences, deal volume exceeded that of the record year 2019, whereas with only five announced blockbuster deals, deal value declined by nearly 40% in 2020. Most attractive target therapies were medical devices and oncology. — The chemical sector suffered an even more severe decline after a weak prior year. While deal volume corresponds to that of 2019, deal value more than halved in 2020 with only one quasi-blockbuster deal. Yet, active portfolio management was the key deal driver. — KPMG’s Deal Thermometer indicates a recovering environment for M&A activity in both sectors.

2,130

2,449

610

597

2,611

2,530

2,832

2,768

467

2014

2015

265

222

2016

2017

296

2018

2019

Number of Announced Deals

3,161

2019 vs. 2020 14% 285

(39)%

2020

Deal Value in USD billion

Sources: Thomson One; KPMG, Germany, Analysis

FIGURE 2: TRENDS IN CHEMICALS M&A

1,117

1,133

1,151

215

233

1,127

104

2014

2015

2016

2019 vs. 2020 1,062

967

979

139

100

84

2017

2018

2019

Number of Announced Deals

1% (51)%

68

2020

Deal Value in USD billion

Sources: Thomson One; KPMG, Germany, Analysis

DEAL THERMOMETER 2020

KPMG’s Deal Thermometer signals the environment for M&A deals in chemicals and life sciences. It combines the appetite for deals (changes in forward P/E ratios) with the capacity to fund deals (changes in Net Debt/EBITDA multiples). ‘Hot’ signifies an environment conducive to deal-making.

LIFE SCIENCES DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio) 19.3

DEAL CAPACITY (Net Debt/EBITDA)

19.2 1.4x

31 Dec 2020

DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio) MODERATE

(1)%

CHEMICALS

HOT

20.0 16.2

31 Dec 2020

23% 31 Dec 2021(b)

Note: (a) Forward P/E ratios relate net profit expected for 2021 to market cap in 2020

Sources: Capital IQ; KPMG, Germany, Analysis

1.7x

1.8x

0.9x (37%)

31 Dec 2021(a)

DEAL CAPACITY (Net Debt/EBITDA)

COOL

31 Dec 2020

(6)% 31 Dec 2021(a)

31 Dec 2020

31 Dec 2021(b)

Note: (b) Deal capacity relates net debt expected for 2021 to EBITDA expected in 2021

Sources: Capital IQ; KPMG, Germany, Analysis

© 2021 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a corporation under German law and a member firm of the KPMG global organization of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Limited, a private English company limited by guarantee. All rights reserved.


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