Q2 2022 Q3 2023
HINSDALE HINSDALE LOCAL REAL LOCAL REAL ESTATE GUIDE ESTATE GUIDE
METHODOLOGY Overview of Terms and Hinsdale Submarkets CLOSED: closed transaction reflecting the final sales price (does not include any seller credits) CONTRACTED: contingent or pending transaction reflecting the latest asking price CONTRACT TIME: number of days between the first list date and the contracted date (does not include time from contract to close) HOME INVENTORY: number of homes currently available for sale MEDIAN: middle value of a given dataset (all report values are medians, which are less impacted by outliers than averages) PRICE DISCOUNTS: percentage difference between the initial list and recorded sale price
NORTHWEST (Rte. 83 to N. York Rd. / N. Garfield St. and Ogden Ave. to W. Chicago Ave.)
CENTRAL WEST (Rte. 83 to S. Garfield St. and W. Chicago Ave. to W. 55th St.)
NORTHEAST (Hwy. 294 to N. York Rd. / N. Garfield St. and Ogden Ave. to E. Chicago Ave.)
CENTRAL EAST Hwy. 294 to S. Garfield St. and E. Chicago Ave. to E. 55th St.
SOUTH (South of 55th St.)
PRICE PER SQ. FT: ratio of the median price to the median sq. footage of a closed transaction as a relative price measure Note: All figures represent detached single-family homes unless otherwise specified. Price range data based on the village of Hinsdale. Submarket figures based on the approximate areas identified on map above and may not include every home within village limits.
2
MARKET SUMMARY “Seller’s Market” Continues into the Fall with Very Low Home Inventory
Closed Homes (Q3)
Lower Activity
New Home Listings (Q3)
11%
Contracted Homes (Q3)
Fewer Available Homes
Home Inventory (September)
28%
“Seller’s market” with 15+ year low of available homes this time of year
Short Market Times
List to Contract Days (Q3)
A couple weeks or less across price ranges and submarkets; Central East and <$500K longer
Narrow Price Discounts
Sale Price Discounts (Q3)
Most homes selling at a small discount to asking price; <$500K and $2M+ have more negotiability
Flattening Sale Prices
Sale Price / Price Per Sq. Ft. (Q3)
Relative sale price growth slowing with significant variability; below last summer’s highs
39%
30%
3
NEW LISTINGS By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Listings declined over 10% in Q3 with declines across price ranges, except $1M – $2M July and September both down 15% with August up 5% year-over-year Homes priced $1.5– $2M doubled in the quarter
<$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
400
Continued softness in new listings across most price ranges limiting home availability 300
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%) '23
'22
%
<$500K
2
12
-83%
$500K - $999K
22
35
-37%
$1M - $1.49M
25
22
14%
$1.5M - $1.99M
32
16
100%
$2M - $2.99M
6
11
-45%
$3M+
6
8
-25%
200
100
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Price Range
110 (-35%) 84 (-35%) 83 (+24%) 47 (-13%) 21 (-32%) 15 (-50%) 4
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Only the North submarkets were higher during the quarter (other areas down 35%+ for new listings) All Hinsdale areas continuing to show declines over the last 12 months Central West was the only remaining submarket with 100+ new listings for the last 12 months until this quarter
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
300 250 200
'23
'22
%
Northwest
28
19
47%
Northeast
20
18
11%
Central West
18
29
-38%
Central East
12
19
-37%
South
4
9
-56%
150 93 (-36%) 84 (-11%) 67 (-9%) 58 (-29%)
100 50
28 (-36%) 0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Submarket
5
CONTRACTED HOMES By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contracted homes were down almost 40% in Q3 across price ranges; only homes priced $3M+ avoided a decline (flat) No contracts for homes <$500K during the quarter (often below land value); homes priced $2M – $3M still higher over the last 12 months
<$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
200
Contract activity is constrained with fewer listings and low inventory 150
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%) '23
'22
%
<$500K
0
3
-100%
$500K - $999K
10
24
-58%
$1M - $1.49M
9
10
-10%
$1.5M - $1.99M
9
12
-25%
$2M - $2.99M
4
6
-33%
$3M+
4
4
0%
100 78 (-38%) 57 (-42%)
50
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Price Range
30 (+3%) 29 (-41%) 11 (-50%) 10 (-52%)
6
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contract activity was lower across all submarkets, except the Northeast Central West chart-topping increases began in 2019 and continued to mid-2021 before large declines South Hinsdale has consistently lower contracted home activity over time (also fewer listings and closings)
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
200
150
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%) 100
Submarket
'23
'22
%
Northwest
7
11
-36%
Northeast
9
6
50%
Central West
10
17
-41%
42 (-46%) 40 (-15%) 32 (-47%)
Central East
5
13
-62%
14 (-52%)
South
3
6
-50%
72 (-33%)
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
50
7
CLOSED HOMES By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Closed homes were down 30% for the quarter; homes priced $1.5M – $3M showed increases Very difficult to close on a home for under $500K (averaging a little over one home per month) given land value in Hinsdale Closed homes likely to see continued declines with limited contracts and low availability
<$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
250
200
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
150
'23
'22
%
<$500K
2
3
-33%
$500K - $999K
17
33
-48%
$1M - $1.49M
12
24
-50%
$1.5M - $1.99M
12
10
20%
$2M - $2.99M
12
8
50%
$3M+
4
6
-33%
100 82 (-41%) 50
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Price Range
54 (-51%) 34 (-41%) 31 (-11%) 16 (-41%) 8 (-62%)
8
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Closed activity was mostly lower in Q3 across Hinsdale submarkets; Northeast was higher (two homes) and South flat Northwest decline was the largest during the quarter and last 12 months South Hinsdale is less than half of any other area over the last 12 months
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
200
150
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%) 100
Submarket
'23
'22
%
Northwest
10
19
-47%
Northeast
10
8
25%
Central West
21
31
-32%
42 (-53%) 41 (-27%) 36 (-49%)
Central East
9
14
-36%
16 (-50%)
South
5
5
0%
74 (-37%)
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
50
9
HOME INVENTORY By Price Range
Sept. Quarter End (YoY%)
Available homes declined almost 30% on already very low inventory Overall home inventory is down 75% from September 2020 Limited inventory expected to continue driving “seller’s market” conditions
<$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
125
100
Sept. Trends (Relative%) 75 75% 50%
27%
8% 16%
8% 10% 18% 22%
27%
10% 16% 19% 22%
30% 8%
26% 7%
22% 2%
'21
'22
'23
25%
35%
0%
10%
33% 9%
'19
'20
<$500K $1M – $1.49M $2M – $2.99M
12% 7% 16%
28%
50
24%
$500K – $999K $1.5M – $1.99M $3M+
25
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
100%
5% 7% 15%
14 (+8%) 12 (-20%) 11 (-39%) 8 (-27%) 4 (-43%) 1 (-80%) 10
By Submarket
Sept. Quarter End (YoY%)
Home inventory is down materially across submarkets; Northwest was higher with more listings and fewer contracts / closings Central West is currently a much smaller proportion of available homes than usual
Sept. Trends (Relative%) 100%
8% 22%
9% 27%
13% 22%
10% 21%
26%
22% 18% 24%
31%
29%
12% 20%
18% 23%
'19 Northwest
'20 '21 Northeast
'22
Central East
South
75% 50% 25% 0%
20% 25%
7% 23% 16% 16% 39%
'23 Central West
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
100
75
50
25
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Low inventory expected to persist over the coming months
Northwest
17 (+21%) 10 (-23%) 7 (-61%) 7 (-36%) 3 (-50%) 11
CONTRACT TIME By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Days between listing date and contract signing varied by price range, but were slightly higher overall from a low day count Homes priced $500K – $2M went under contract in 10 days or less in Q2 whereas other ranges were 3 weeks or more Overall contract times remain short, but days are increasing
<$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
350 300 250
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
200 '23
'22
%
<$500K
69
27
156%
$500K - $999K
5
7
-29%
$1M - $1.49M
9
6
50%
$1.5M - $1.99M
10
13
-23%
$2M - $2.99M
22
40
-45%
$3M+
23
11
109%
150 100 50 0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Price Range
65 (+150%) 24 (-47%) 22 (+57%) 12 (+9%) 10 (-17%) 8 (+14%) 12
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contract times were mixed in Q3 with Central East taking the longest Central East and South are taking 3x longer to contract compared to other areas during the last 12 months Only the North submarkets remain lower over the last 12 months
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
200
150
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%) '23
'22
%
Northwest
5
6
-17%
Northeast
11
7
57%
Central West
5
6
-17%
Central East
32
37
-14%
South
17
13
31%
100
50
0
36 (+125%) 33 (+14%)
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Submarket
11 (-8%) 10 (-29%) 10 (+25%) 13
PRICE DISCOUNTS By Price Range Closed price discounts were flat overall in the quarter; under $500K sold at a significant discount on only two transactions Homes priced $500K – $2M are still selling for full asking price or a slight premium Price discounts expected to remain narrow generally due to limited home availability
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%) <$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+ 100% (+1%) 98% (-2%) 98% (0%) 96% (0%)
100% 95%
93% (-1%)
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
90%
'23
'22
%
<$500K
84%
84%
0%
$500K - $999K
100%
99%
1%
$1M - $1.49M
100%
98%
2%
$1.5M - $1.99M
101%
100%
1%
$2M - $2.99M
95%
97%
-2%
$3M+
92%
93%
-2%
85% 80% 75% 70%
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Price Range
89% (-5%)
14
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Slightly narrowing discounts in most submarkets reflects some negotiability but competitive market conditions South area saw homes sell above list price during the quarter (also the case in Q2) Buyers and sellers often meeting at 2% – 3% or tighter discount to the original asking price (situation dependent)
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
99% (+2%) 99% (+1%) 98% (-1%) 97% (-1%)
100%
95%
93% (-2%)
90%
'23
'22
%
Northwest
99%
98%
2%
Northeast
97%
97%
0%
Central West
98%
100%
-2%
Central East
96%
95%
1%
South
103%
98%
5%
85%
80%
75%
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Submarket
15
PRICE PER SQ. FT. By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%) <$500K
$500K – $999K
$1M – $1.49M
$1.5M – $1.99M
$2M – $2.99M
$3M+
Homes priced $1M – $1.5M and above $2M saw the largest price increases for the quarter
$700
Relative pricing has been supported by limited home inventory and buyer demand
$600
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
$500
Price Range
'23
'22
%
<$500K
$231
$273
-15%
$500K - $999K
$314
$301
4%
$1M - $1.49M
$314
$286
10%
$1.5M - $1.99M
$338
$341
-1%
$2M - $2.99M
$360
$309
17%
$3M+
$529
$470
13%
$529 (+22%)
$361 (+5%) $355 (+3%) $318 (+11%) $288 (+2%) $239 (-16%)
$400 $300 $200 $100
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Relative prices often increase with absolute prices, which was generally the case in Q3 (and is the case over the last 12 months); most ranges seeing some increases
16
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Hinsdale submarkets experienced mixed price per sq. ft. growth in Q3 (3 areas increased / 2 areas decreased)
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
South moved 35% higher for the quarter (after a large uptick in Q1 and then drop in Q2) as Hinsdale Meadows finishes
$400
Last 12 months range of ~$70 per sq. ft. has widened after a historically narrow period
$350
$349 (+14%) $337 (+4%)
$300
$314 (0%) $311 (+11%) $282 (-6%)
Submarket
'23
'22
%
Northwest
$356
$290
23%
Northeast
$316
$337
-6%
Central West
$365
$335
9%
Central East
$311
$341
-9%
South
$291
$216
35%
$250
$200
$150
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
17
CLOSED SALE PRICES By Submarket Overall sale prices were up meaningfully across Hinsdale, except the Northwest
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Despite the decline in Q3, Northwest has increased the most over the last 12 months Central East remains the highest price area
$2.5M
Closed sale prices should be reviewed with price per sq. ft. to gauge overall trends
$2.3M
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
$2.0M
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
$1.8M $1.5M
Submarket
'23
'22
%
Northwest
$913K
$1.0M
-9%
$1.3M
Northeast
$1.5M
$950K
56%
$1.0M
Central West
$1.6M
$1.3M
24%
Central East
$2.1M
$1.9M
12%
South
$1.6M
$955K
65%
$1.5 M (-3%) $1.3 M (+14%) $1.3 M (+10%) $1.2 M (+22%) $1.0 M (+1%)
$0.8M
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
$0.5M
18
CLOSED SALE VOLUME By Submarket Overall sale volume declined nearly 20% for the quarter and more than 40% over the last 12 months
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
South Hinsdale saw a bounce (nearly doubled) after a very low quarter last year Central West is the largest sale volume area (50%+ bigger than any other submarket)
Northwest
Northeast
Central East
South
Central West
$175M $150M $125M
Jul. – Sept. (YoY%)
$100M Submarket
'23
'22
%
Northwest
$14M
$20M
-30%
Northeast
$12M
$9M
40%
$50M
Central West
$38M
$45M
-15%
$25M
Central East
$18M
$32M
-42%
South
$9M
$4M
99%
$75M
$101 M (-34%) $66 M (-50%) $61 M (-44%) $42M (-24%) $22 M (-42%)
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23
$0M
19
COMPARING HOME TYPES Analyzing Hinsdale Home Types for Q3 2023
Home Type
Single Family
Town Houses
Condos
New Listings
93
11%
5
44%
4
81%
Contracted Homes
36
39%
5
25%
4
71%
Closed Homes
59
30%
7
0%
8
60%
Home Inventory
50
28%
1
75%
3
67%
Contract Time
11 days
10%
12 days
8%
6 days
20%
Price Discounts
98%
0%
95%
0%
107%
7%
Price per Sq. Ft.
$327
2%
$274
6%
$263
18%
Closed Sale Price
$1.4M
25%
$800K
135%
$525K
2% 20
COMPARING SUBURBS Analyzing Western Suburb Markets
Suburb
Median Price
Q3 YoY%
Price / Sq. Ft.
Q3 YoY% Contract Days Q3 YoY%
Burr Ridge
$895K
5%
$245
9%
9
-53%
Clarendon Hills
$750K
16%
$318
25%
10
-17%
Downers Grove
$513K
12%
$252
5%
7
17%
Elmhurst
$511K
-16%
$299
2%
7
-36%
Glen Ellyn
$550K
16%
$281
10%
4
-43%
Hinsdale
$1.4M
25%
$327
2%
11
10%
La Grange
$618K
-1%
$303
4%
4
-33%
Oak Brook
$1.2M
43%
$248
12%
9
-57%
Western Springs
$803K
20%
$304
-2%
8
33%
21
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Compass is a licensed real estate broker and abides by federal, state and local equal housing opportunity laws. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only, is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors, omissions, and changes without notice. Sources include Midwest Real Estate Data LLC. This is not intended to solicit property already listed.
Hinsdale Office One Grant Square #201 Hinsdale, IL 60521