What was the first? Temperature or CO2?
Dedicated to prof. Murry Salby
presentation
the
the
conference
Agenda Agenda
1) Introduction 1) Introduction - Vostok (Pettit et al. 1999) - Vostok (Pettit et al. 1999) - M. Salby lectures 2011 - 2018 - M. Salby lectures 2011 - 2018
2) Henry´s law 2) Henry´s law
3) Two hypotheses - Salby
3) Two hypotheses - Salby
4) Conclusion 4) Conclusion
Introduction Introduction
- Borehole Vostok analysis (Pettit et al. 1999) Borehole Vostok analysis (Pettit et al. 1999)
Introduction Introduction
- Prof. Murry Salby (1951-2022) Prof. Murry Salby (1951-2022)
- Physics of the Atmosphere and Climate (2012): (2012):
- The present carbon cycle (1 GtC/year) ≈ 4 GtCO The present carbon cycle (1 GtC/year) ≈ 4 GtCO2 2/year) /year)
Carbon cycle is based on photosynthesis annual cycle and Henry´s law: „The partial pressure of the gas above the water surface is the same as below it“.
Introduction Introduction
- Prof. Murry Salby (1951-2022) Prof. Murry Salby (1951-2022)
- Lectures: Sydney 2011, Edinburgh 2013, London 2015, Lectures: Sydney 2011, Edinburgh 2013, London 2015, 2016, Hamburg 2018 : 2016, Hamburg 2018 : T =
2) Henry´s law 2) Henry´s law
The partial pressure of the gas above the water surface is the same as below it.
water surface temperature increasing gas pressure rising
- Salby - Salby Δ ΔT
IPCC
CO2 Mauna Loa
3) Two hypotheses 3) Two hypotheses
- Salby - Salby Δ ΔT ≈ dCO T ≈ dCO2 2/dt, /dt,
(Concentration of CO (Concentration of CO2 2 is integral of anomalous temperature) is integral of anomalous temperature)
3) Two hypotheses 3) Two hypotheses
- Salby - Salby Δ ΔT ≈ dCO T ≈ dCO2 2/dt, /dt,
(Concentration of CO (Concentration of CO2 2 is ≈ to integral of anomalous temperature) is ≈ to integral of anomalous temperature)
3) Two hypotheses 3) Two hypotheses
3) Two hypotheses 3) Two hypotheses
- Salby - Salby Δ ΔT ≈ dCO T ≈ dCO2 2/dt, /dt, - IPCC dCO - IPCC dCO2 2 /dt ≈ dT/dt /dt ≈ dT/dt - Salby - Salby Δ
Henry´s law is conirmed Henry´s law is conirmed IPCC hypothesis was rejected IPCC hypothesis was rejected
Conclusion Conclusion
- The global temperature (mainly temperature of The global temperature (mainly temperature of global ocean) manages the CO global ocean) manages the CO2 2 concentration rate. concentration rate.
- The CO The CO2 2 concentration is proportional to the integral concentration is proportional to the integral of anomalous temperature. of anomalous temperature.
- Therefore the CO Therefore the CO2 2 concentration is delayed behind concentration is delayed behind the temperature variations. the temperature variations.
- M. Salby is right – the M. Salby is right – the increasing of CO increasing of CO2 2 concentrations is of nature origin concentrations is of nature origin. .
- Anthropogenic „climate warming“ is negligible. Anthropogenic „climate warming“ is negligible.
- IPCC IPCC hypothese about „anthropogenic climate hypothese about „anthropogenic climate warming“ is wrong and warming“ is wrong and was rejected was rejected. .
Thanks for your attention Thanks for your attention