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Tokyo Retail Market Dynamics Q2 2026

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• Arisingstockmarketisdeemed tohavestimulateddomestic consumption

• Threebuildingsadded tothedevelopment pipeline inGinzaand Omotesando scheduledforcompletion in2027-2029

• Rentalvaluesandcapitalvaluescontinue togrowalbeitataslowerpace

Salesofluxurygoods atdepartment storesinTokyo remained robustinAprilandMay.Withforeign visitorarrivalscontinuing todecline inthe sameterm, arisingstockmarketisdeemed tohavestimulateddomestic consumption.

Occupier demand fromluxurybrandsremained healthyinQ22026.Notablenew openings included Hunting World specialisinginapparelon Omotesando. Inaddition, F&BSmith&Wollenskyopened onanupper flooronChuo-dori inGinza.

Nonewsupplywasintroduced totheprimeretailmarketofGinzaandOmotesando inTokyo inQ22026.Development projects confirmed inQ2 included theMatsuzawaBuildingNewConstruction (GFA1,400sqm),duein2027,theGinzaTrade BuildingRedevelopment Project (GFA20,000 sqm),duein2029along Chuo-dori, andtheOmotesando IDevelopment Project (GFA1,500sqm), duein2028onOmotesando.

Rents reached JPY112,686per tsubopermonth inQ22026,up3.2%q-o-q and12.9%y-o-y. Growthmoderated slightly.Whilenew store openings byluxurybrandshavelargelyruntheircourse,prime spacescontinue toattractbidderswhentheycome onto themarket.Capital valuesincreased by3.8%q-o-q and12.2%y-o-yinQ2.Rentalgrowthcontinued tounderpin capitalvalueappreciation ascapratesremained stable.However, noactualinvestment transactionswere recorded intheprime retailmarketinTokyo duringthequarter.

Outlook

Intheleasingmarket,thetightsupply-demand balanceisexpected tocontinue onthebackoflimitedsupplyofprime spacessustaining upwardpressureon rentgrowth. However, growthisexpected toslowasdemand fromluxurybrandsappearstohavepeaked. Inthe investment market,capratesareexpected toremain stablefortheforeseeablefuture.Onthisbasis,capitalvaluesareprojected tocontinue increasingmoderately, primarilysupported byrentalgrowth.

Fundamentals

Grossrent JPY112,686per tsubop.m.

Rentgrowth Y-o-Y 12.9%

Stage inrental cycle GrowthSlowing

Note:FinancialindicatorsarefortheprimeretailmarketsofGinzaandOmotesando. DataisonanNLAbasis.RetailsalesgrowthfiguresareforTokyoPrefecture.

LuxuryGoodsSales

Source:JapanDepartmentStoresAssociation

Note:Luxurygoodsrefertoart,jewellery,andprecious metals

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