Will the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 294,000 in May 2025?
Short answer: Not This Time Latest analysis as of May 13, 2025.
300,000 500,000 700,000 900,000 1,100,000 1,300,000 1,500,000
total payroll 157,780,000
For a 294,000 payroll increase means a Total Payroll of 158,264,000 next month
Forecasting Total Payroll using data starting from June 2020
140,000,000 145,000,000 150,000,000 155,000,000 160,000,000 125,000,000 130,000,000 135,000,000 140,000,000 145,000,000 150,000,000 155,000,000 160,000,000 158,264,000 Recession COVID-19
135,000,000
158,264,000
135,000,000 140,000,000 145,000,000 150,000,000 155,000,000 160,000,000
158,264,000
135,000,000 140,000,000 145,000,000 150,000,000 155,000,000 160,000,000
158,264,000
158,500,000
158,000,000
157,500,000
157,000,000
156,500,000
156,000,000
155,500,000
155,000,000
158,264,000
None of the three models forecast at least 158, 264,000 next month