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Monthly Market Update - September 2021 Edition

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MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE — SEPTEMBER 2021 EDITION

A

Monthly Sales Comparison Greater Victoria - (2018-2021)

1400

1200

Number of Sales

total of 831 properties sold in the greater Victoria Area this past August. This represents an almost 15% drop in sales numbers compared to the same period in 2020. Despite this overall drop in sales numbers, we are experiencing a slight surge in the condominium market here in Victoria. August saw an over 30% increase in condo sales compared to the same period last year. Additionally, we have seen a month to month increase of over 20% in condominium sales from July 2021. Sale of single family detached homes however are down almost 30% from August 2020.

1000

831 800

600

400

200

Lack of inventory remains the primary issue most buyers are presently facing. With

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2018

431

545

688

774

755

708

651

594

533

598

462

375

2019

329

421

640

696

848

740

706

661

616

619

577

402

2020

411

563

608

287

457

808

979

979

989

990

795

631

2021

646

863

1173

1116

1049

942

835

831

only 1,120 active listings available at the end of August 2021. This equates almost 57% fewer properties available at this same time one year ago. Despite these low numbers, our market remains extremely robust with 831 sales this past month.

Absorption Rate

Greater Victoria Area - (2018-2021)

Months of Inventory

7 6

5.7 5.3

5.1

4.7

5

4.7

4.6

4

4.2

4.3

3.4

5.6 5.2 4.3

4.1

4.0 4.0

3.9

3.1

3

1.5

4.3 4.1

4.2 4.0

3.6

3.7

1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

2.4 2.2

2.0

December

November

October

2021

September

2020

August

July

2019

June

2018

May

February

April

January

1.3

1.6

March

1.8

4.1

4.2

2.8

2.5

1.9

4.0

3.8 3.5

2.7

2 1

3.9

Higher than average sales volume and very strong demand have supported strong benchmark pricing throughout the Greater Victoria Area. The luxury market has had a remarkable recovery as out-of-town buyers returned with the provincial travel restrictions having been lifted.

2481 BEACON AVENUE SIDNEY BC V8L1X9 | 1-877-656-0911 REACHUS@HOLMESREALTY.COM | WWW.HOLMESREALTY.COM When you buy or sell a home with Holmes Realty, a portion of the commission goes in support of local charities. Over $250,000 raised!


The absorption rate for the highend luxury market dropped significantly over the past few months as demand has increased incredibly from 5.4 months of inventory over $3M in June of this year, to only 2.5 months in August. The highest priced sale during August 2021 was a luxury Cordova Bay 26 acre equestrian property for over six million dollars. The lowest priced non-strata, non-manufactured, freehold, property in Metchosin sold for $600,000, an 943 sq.ft. home.

August 2021

3

2.50 Months of Inventory

Absorption rates continue to remain incredibly low from a lack of inventory in all of our municipalities. On the Peninsula, the absorption rate was 1.65 months of inventory in North Saanich, 0.79 months of inventory in Sidney, and 1.35 months of inventory in Central Saanich.

Saanich Peninsula Absorption Rates by Price Range

2

0.97

0.84

1

0.59 NO SALES

PAST 3 0.00 MONTHS

0

Under $600K

0.18 $600K to $800K

0.15 $800K to $1M

$1M to $1.5M $1.5 to $2M

$2M to $3M

Over $3M

Absorption Rates - Single Family Detached August 2021

3.00

2.40

2.50

Months of Inventory

The benchmark price for a single family home climbed from $993,100 in July to $1,005,600 last month. Townhouses climbed from $701,500 to $717,100 last month. Finally, condominium benchmarks have jumped from $533,500 in July to $538,800 in August.

2.00

1.65 1.48

1.50

1.35

1.34

1.04 1.00

0.85

0.93

0.84

0.79 0.63

0.50

0.00

0.46

0.45

0.00

2481 BEACON AVENUE SIDNEY BC V8L1X9 | 1-877-656-0911 REACHUS@HOLMESREALTY.COM | WWW.HOLMESREALTY.COM When you buy or sell a home with Holmes Realty, a portion of the commission goes in support of local charities. Over $250,000 raised!


Absorption Rate Greater Victoria Area - (2018-2021)

Months of Inventory

7

5.7

6

5.3

5.1

4.7

5

4.7

4.6

4

4.2

4.3

3.4

5.6 5.2 4.3

4.1

4.0 4.0

3.9

3.1

3

4.1

4.3 4.1

4.2 4.0

3.6

3.7

2.8

2.5

1.5 1.9

4.0

3.8 3.5

2.7

2

1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.3

2.4 2.2

2.0

1.8

1.6

December

November

October

2021

September

2020

August

2019

July

June

2018

May

April

March

February

January

1

3.9

4.2


Monthly Sales Comparison Greater Victoria - (2018-2021) 1400

Number of Sales

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2018

431

545

688

774

755

708

651

594

533

598

462

375

2019

329

421

640

696

848

740

706

661

616

619

577

402

2020

411

563

608

287

457

808

979

979

989

990

795

631

2021

646

863

1173

1116

1049

942

835

831


Active Listings / Number of Sales Greater Victoria - (last 24 months) 3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

Active Listings

Number of Sales


Absorption Rates - Single Family Detached August 2021

3.00

2.40

Months of Inventory

2.50

2.00

1.65 1.48

1.50

1.35

1.34

1.04 1.00

0.85

0.93

0.84

0.79 0.63

0.50

0.00

0.46

0.45

0.00


Absorption Rates - Condominiums August 2021

3.00

2.80

Months of Inventory

2.50

2.00

1.80

1.77 1.50

1.25

1.21 1.00

0.87 0.66

0.50

0.00

0.74

0.64

0.64

0.54


Absorption Rates - Townhouses August 2021

2.00

1.76

1.80

Months of Inventory

1.60

1.40

1.20

1.13

1.00

0.79

0.80

0.71 0.60

0.60

0.43

0.40

0.40

0.21 0.20

0.00

0.67

0.00

0.00

0.00


Absorption Rates - Manufactured Homes August 2021

6.00

Months of Inventory

5.00

5.00

5.00

4.00

3.75

3.00

2.00

1.00

0.23 0.00

4.88


Absorption Rates - Saanich Peninsula August 2021 2

1.65

1.35 1.25 1

0.79

0.64

0

0.71

0.21

n/a

n/a

SINGLE FAMILY CONDOS

TOWNHOMES

North Saanich

Sidney

Central Saanich


Absorption Rates - Saanich Peninsula August 2021 5

5.00

4

3

2

1.65 1.35 1.25

1

0.79 0.64

0.71

n/a

0

SINGLE FAMILY

n/a

CONDOS

North Saanich

0.21 n/a

TOWNHOMES

Sidney

0.23

MANUFACTURED

Central Saanich


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