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January 9-15, 2020
Mathis Report: Wayfair hiring at Cecil Commerce Center PAGE 3
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JACKSONVILLE
Record & Observer
2020 & BEYOND
A JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD AND RECORD & OBSERVER SPECIAL EDITION
JACKSONVILLE
Leaders form nonprofit to scrutinize JEA
Record & Observer JACKSONVILLE
Mike Hightower, Michael Ward and David Miller to lead OurJax focused on transparency in city government.
Record & Observer BY MIKE MENDENHALL STAFF WRITER
JACKSONVILLE
Former JEA board member and lobbyist Mike Hightower has joined a group of 20 Jacksonville leaders to create a nonprofit resource addressing transparency at JEA. In an interview Jan. 8, Hightower and OurJax member Mike Tolbert said the group’s website, OurJax.com, is expected to go live Jan. 9. “Mike (Tolbert) and I’ve been doing politics a long time and, candidly, we and the group of us who are Hightower putting this together, we’ve never seen anything like this in our town. We are concerned,” Hightower said. Hightower said OurJax is designed to be a “one-stop shop” for news articles, original documents and information about JEA’s strategic planning process and, eventually, other transparency issues in city government. According to Hightower, the website will be a public portal and the group will provide assistance to people requesting information or documents from JEA and other city government entities. The OurJax nonprofit has three directors: Retired CSX Corp. CEO Michael Ward, Brightway Insurance Executive Chairman David Miller and Hightower. Donor’s names will be confidential. As the registered agent, law firm GrayRobinson filed OurJax
Record & Observer
THE TOP 20 OF 2020 Could this image of Downtown Jacksonville take shape by 2030? What are the issues and who are the visionaries that will guide the next decade? What’s ahead for Northeast Florida. PAGE 10
SEE OURJAX, PAGE 6
People on the Move: Brightway Insurance names CEO PAGE 6 The top 10 commercial real estate sales of the week PAGE 8 Leaders in the Law: Attorney Shannon Schott PAGE 9
THE BASCH REPORT
The Charter Co. was a signature area firm Plus: Dividends from local firms. PAGE 4 VOLUME 2, NO. 32 • ONE SECTION
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WHAT’S TRENDING
JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD /J ACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
Big news doesn’t break just on Thursday. Here’s a look at some of the top stories published over the past week online at JaxDailyRecord.com and in the Jacksonville Daily Record that you may have missed.
DEVELOPMENT
Conceptual design OK sought for FIS HQ Fidelity National Information Services Inc. is asking the Downtown Development Review Board to approve the conceptual design for its proposed $145 million world headquarters in Brooklyn. Project architect Gensler submitted updated renderings and site information for the board to review. Documents prepared by the DDRB show that FIS intends to build a 205-foot-tall, 12-story office tower at 323 Riverside Ave. In addition to 1,603 parking spaces,
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plans call for 3,600 square feet of mixed-use office and retail space in the development’s eight-story parking structure along Riverside Avenue.
and retail uses for the structures on the block of Hogan, Adams, Julia and Forsyth streets. That includes the possibility of renovation or demolition of the Hogan Building at 170 N. Hogan St., which Ash Properties bought Dec. 20, and the Exchange Building at 218 W. Adams St., which it purchased in August 2018.
BUSINESS CALENDAR
said they will lease the space to La Nopalera Mexican Restaurant. Famous Amos operates two other locations, at 8265 Normandy Blvd. and 11565 N. Main St. and there are no plans to close them. “They perform really, really well,” she said.
To find more business events or to submit your event to the the business calendar, visit jaxdailyrecord.com/calendar.
JAN. 22 Meacham and Rice at Florida Forum: The Women’s Board of Wolfson Children’s Hospital 2019-20 Florida Forum series will feature author Jon Meacham and Super Bowl champion Jerry Rice.
Meacham is scheduled Jan. 22 and Rice concludes the current series Feb. 25 at the Times-Union Center for the Performing Arts. Forum sponsors are Wells Fargo, Florida Blue and Landstar. For information, visit thefloridaforum.com or call (904) 202-2886. JAN. 23 Talent 2030: JAX Chamber, CareerSource Northeast Florida and Elevate Northeast Florida will present Talent 2030: The Future of Work. Adaptive Human Capital CEO Rick Maher will present “Disruption by Design” and share insights. The event is 8:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. at the Hyatt Regency Jacksonville Riverfront, 225 E. Coastline Drive. The cost is $30 per person or $200 for a table of eight. For information or reservations, visit myjaxchamber.com.
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Famous Amos closes on University Boulevard
JAN. 14 Stavridis at World Affairs Council: Retired Adm. James Stavridis is scheduled to speak about “Global Power and Sea Power” to the World Affairs Council of Jacksonville Global Issues Evening and the University of North Florida’s Distinguished Voices Lecture Series on Jan. 14. The event is 7-8:30 p.m. at the UNF Adam W. Herbert University Center at 12000 Alumni Drive. Attendance is free but reservations are required. For information, visit worldaffairscounciljax.com or call (904) 280-8162.
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RESTAURANTS Famous Amos closed its 3911 University Blvd. W. location Jan. 7 after nearly 40 years in operation. Co-owner Josephine Phelan said the restaurant was performing well, but leasing the property she and her husband, John, own was a better financial choice. She
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COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE Ash Properties looking at Downtown options Ash Properties is putting together plans for the Hogan and Exchange buildings it owns Downtown on one of the two city blocks it purchased since mid-2018. Randall Whitfield, chief operating officer of the commercial real estate developer, said Jan. 3 that Jacksonville-based Ash Properties is looking at the viability of apartments, restaurants
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JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD / JACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
JaxDailyRecord.com
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
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Wayfair hires 45 workers on the way to 250 at Cecil
KAREN BRUNE MATHIS EDITOR
The online retailer is preparing to open a fulfillment center. Wayfair Inc. spokeswoman Susan Frechette said the online home-furnishings retailer expects to open its AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center fulfillment center in the next couple of months. Frechette, associate director of corporate communications, said Wayfair has hired about 45 people and expects to employ 250 by the end of 2021. Wayfair, based in Boston, will lease a 1,012,567-squarefoot building under development at 13483 103rd St. The city issued temporary certificates of occupancy Dec. 20 so that Wayfair personnel can reach their work areas for setup while interior build-out continues. Dallas-based Hillwood is developing the distribution center next to the 1 millionsquare-foot Amazon.com fulfillment center. Hillwood is the city’s master developer at Cecil Commerce Center. The city announced Dec. 3,
File image
The Bearded Pig Southern BBQ & Beer Garden will be built at 1808 Kings Ave.
2018, that Wayfair would lease the building and open the $72 million center. A city incentives agreement says Wayfair will invest $50 million into real estate and $22 million into machinery, equipment, furniture and fixtures. The city said Wayfair will complete the center by yearend 2020 and create 250 jobs by the end of 2021. Building plans indicate 250 parking spaces and future spaces of 240, totaling 490. Wayfair refers to the Jacksonville center as a Large Parcel Home Delivery Operation. The company told the city its average salary for full-time jobs will be $33,000 plus benefits. City Council approved a $3.3 million city Recapture Enhanced Value grant based on the additional property taxes generated by the project.
Work ongoing for new San Marco Bearded Pig BBQ
Work continues toward construction of The Bearded Pig
Southern BBQ & Beer Garden in San Marco in a larger space near its existing site. The city is reviewing plans for a 5,422-square-foot restaurant on 0.69 acres at 1808 Kings Ave. for The Bearded Pig, now at 1224 Kings Ave. A building is being removed from the new site. The new two-story building will provide 136 seats – 99 indoors, 37 outdoors – with an expected opening in late spring. The city is reviewing site plans and issued a mobility calculation certificate that shows a fee of $49,867 to mitigate the transportation impact. The Bearded Pig said it will retain its existing space for a future use. Kingpig LLC, led by Charles Munsey III, bought the 0.71acre property Oct. 29 for $750,000. The Bearded Pig is owned by Michael Schmidt and Chad Munsey. KMATHIS@ JAXDAILYRECORD.COM (904) 356-2466
Edley’s Bar-B-Que to Ortega: The city is reviewing a building permit for construction of Edley’s Bar-B-Que at 5344 Roosevelt Blvd. Plans show site improvements and the building at a cost of $1 million. The 3,825-square-foot restaurant will have outdoor space of about 1,000 square feet. North Coast Construction is the contractor and Jason Canning Architect Inc. is the architect. Nashville-based Edley’s plans to build a 152-seat fast-casual restaurant on a vacant parcel of about a half-acre at Ortega and Roosevelt boulevards and Genoa Avenue. A First Coast Energy gas station on the site was removed. The owner and developer is Voto LLC, led by Virginia and Todd Ogletree. Almond Engineering is the civil engineer. Texas Roadhouse in Town Center: JEA issued a service availability report for a proposed 467-square-foot expansion to Texas Roadhouse at 4578 Tropea Way in Town Center Promenade. Texas Roadhouse Inc. applied to the city for a permit to add space at a cost of $293,000. It proposes to add 38 seats, boosting the total to 319 seats. The size will increase from 7,163 square feet to 7,630 square feet.
THE MATHIS REPORT
RESTAURANT NOTES
Starbucks to St. Johns Square: The city issued a permit Dec. 23 for Target Contractors Inc. to build a 2,533-squarefoot Starbucks Coffee Co. shop and drive-thru on 1.39 acres at 11222 Beach Blvd. in St. Johns Square at a cost of $500,000. Domino’s at Mayport: The city is reviewing plans for Domino’s at 2440 Mayport Road. Build-out is shown as $100,000 for the 1,800-square-foot space. V Pizza to St. Johns County: St. Johns County is reviewing an application for a V Pizza restaurant at 5700 U.S. 1 N. in St. Augustine. The total square footage is 10,200 square feet on 2.75 acres. V Pizza operates six locations in Northeast Florida. Dunkin’ Donuts to Bartram: St. Johns County issued a permit for construction of a 2,214-square-foot building for Dunkin’ Donuts at 230 Bartram Market in the Bartram Market shopping center a cost of $481,000
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JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD /J ACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
JaxDailyRecord.com
The Charter Co. was signature firm in Jacksonville THE BASCH REPORT
that put Jacksonville on the map was The Charter Co. Charter was a Fortune 500 company that largely disappeared from view after a Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization from 1984-87. CEO Raymond K. Mason, who died last week at age 92, not only was a prominent local businessman but also File image an international figure who hosted Raymond K. Mason died Jan. 2 at age 92. He became president of The Charter Co. when heads of state at his Jacksonville home. MARK BASCH he was 36. By 1983, the company ranked 61st in the Fortune 500 list of America's corpoMason had been out of the limelight CONTRIBUTING WRITER rations with revenue of $5.6 billion. for years but his passing rekindles memories of one of Jacksonville’s most dynamic businesses. CEO Raymond Mason, who The New York Times described Char- including President Jack Donnell and its Charter emerged from bankruptcy ter as “a hard-charging, vibrant growth top oil executives. in 1987 and he moved the company’s died last week at age 92, company” that was “once Wall Street’s In 1983, Charter’s insurance business headquarters from Jacksonville to Cinled one of the city's most favorite” when the company filed its was hurt by a Chapter 11 bankruptcy cinnati in 1988. Chapter 11 petitions in 1984. filing by competitor Baldwin-United Charter’s headquarters building at 21 dynamic businesses. Charter had more than 180 subCorp. W. Church St., which featured a revolvOver the years, Jacksonville has been sidiaries under its umbrella in varied Although Charter officials insisted its ing restaurant on top, was sold to JEA in home to several major corporations that industries including insurance, banking business was sound, negative publicity 1988. might have been identified as one of the and convenience stores. It also owned surrounding Baldwin-United caused a As it turned out, Charter was an city’s signature companies. popular magazines Redbook and Ladies run by Charter policyholders to bail out. interesting company after it emerged These days, those companies may Home Journal. The main issue leading to Charter’s from bankruptcy and moved to Cincinbe railroad giant CSX Corp. or the two Oil fueled the Charter’s growth. The collapse was a reversal in the oil market. nati. Fidelity companies, Fidelity National company had $5.6 billion in revenue in The drop in oil prices caused financial Lindner sold off Charter’s remaining Financial Inc. and Fidelity National 1983, ranking 61st on Fortune magadifficulties that led to the company’s pre-bankruptcy businesses and investInformation Services Inc. All three are zine’s list of largest U.S. companies, and Chapter 11 filing in April 1984. ed the proceeds in a television producpart of the Fortune 500. most of the money came from oil. Charter sold off most of its businesses tion company run by Aaron Spelling, Twenty or 30 years ago, you often saw But after riding high on the oil boom as it went through the reorganization well known for hit shows including supermarket chain Winn-Dixie Stores of the late 1970s, Charter experienced and issued stock to creditors to pay “Love Boat,” “Dynasty” and “Beverly Inc. and industrial conglomerate St. Joe problems in the early 1980s. off debt, so Mason lost control of the Hills 90210.” Paper Co. grabbing headlines as JackThe company was devastated by a company. Charter was renamed Spelling Entersonville’s most visible corporations. helicopter crash in Ireland in 1982 that Cincinnati financier Carl Lindner tainment in 1992 and continued as a But GREYHAWK__JACKSONVILLE four decades ago, the business killed four key Charter executives, acquired majority publicly traded company, with many GRHK-19001 RECORDER AD__10.375x8__APRIL2019-2.qxp_Layout 1 9/20/19 2:17 a PM Page 1 of the stock as
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Jacksonville investors who bought stock in Charter continuing to hold shares. Spelling eventually was acquired by Viacom Inc. with the final shares selling in 1999, ending the last trace of Charter. Since its demise, no Jacksonvillebased company has come close to Charter’s peak Fortune 500 ranking. CSX was the highest-ranked Jacksonville company in this year’s Fortune 500 at 260th. Charter is long gone, but left with a well-deserved spot in Jacksonville business history.
A few good dividend yields from area stocks When you evaluate yearly stock performances, most people will look at the change in price during the year to determine if a stock performed well. It’s easy to ignore the cash dividends paid to shareholders when considering the stock’s performance, but it can be an important consideration in evaluating a stock. The percentage gain from dividends won’t be as big as the booming gains in stock prices that many investors saw in 2019. But dividends represent cash they actually received and get to keep. The only way to cash in on market price gains is by selling off your shares and if you wait too long, the market could crash and you’ll lose out. Eight companies headquartered in Northeast Florida paid cash dividends last year and three of those more than doubled the yield produced by the S&P 500 stocks. The S&P 500 dividend yield was below 2% for most of 2019. Fidelity National Financial Inc. led the way among Jacksonville-based companies with a dividend return of 4.01% for investors who held the stock all year. Fidelity paid $1.26 in dividends, and the stock opened 2019 with a trading price of $31.44. Regency Centers Corp. was second with a dividend return of 3.99%, and Rayonier Inc. also had a big return at 3.9%. Fidelity’s stock price jumped 44% in 2019, so its total return (price gain plus dividends) was 48%, the best among Jacksonville companies with a trading price above $1. One other Jacksonville-based company’s dividend is producing a yield far above its peers. Patriot Transportation Holding Inc. declared a one-time special dividend of $3 a share and a quarterly dividend of 15 cents, the first dividends paid by the trucking company. However, Patriot’s dividends announced in December are not being paid out until later this month, so they don’t count as part of 2019 returns. The good news, with the stock trading near $20 recently, is the January payouts put Patriot’s dividend yield above 15%. Jacksonville’s other publicly traded trucking company, Landstar System Inc., also declared a special dividend in December that is payable this month. If Landstar’s $2 dividend had been paid in
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
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We’ll pay up to
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File image
Fidelity National Financial Inc. led Jacksonville-based companies with a dividend return of 4.01% for investors who held the stock all year.
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Genesee & Wyoming Inc. buyout complete As 2019 ended, two investment firms completed their $6.6 billion buyout of short-line railroad company Genesee & Wyoming Inc. Affiliates of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners and GIC paid $112 a share to acquire all G&W shares. When the agreement was announced in July, G&W said the price was 39.5% higher than the company’s stock price in March when reports of a possible buyout first surfaced. G&W operates 119 freight railroads, mainly in the U.S. and Canada. It expanded significantly in 2012 by acquiring Jacksonville-based RailAmerica Inc., which operated 45 short-line railroads. Connecticut-based G&W still has an office in Jacksonville and operates one railway in the region, the Hellmann 47-mile First Coast Railroad which runs from Fernandina Beach into Southeast Georgia. “This transaction is an excellent outcome for all G&W stakeholders,” Chief Executive Jack Hellmann said in a news release Dec. 30. “The long-term investment horizon of Brookfield and GIC is perfectly aligned with the long lives of G&W railroad assets,” he said.
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Jacksonville-based mCig Inc. reported sales of $874,353 and an adjusted net loss of $221,016 for the six months ended Oct. 31, according to a report filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company has been engaged in several areas of the legal marijuana markets and recently announced several joint venture products as its shifts its focus to “healthcare and medically driven CBD (cannabidiol) botanical products.”
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JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD /J ACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
JaxDailyRecord.com
DEVELOPMENT TODAY These are the largest commercial building permits by job cost issued Tuesday by the city of Jacksonville.
DID YOU KNOW?
AMUSEMENT RECREATIONAL Epping Forest Yacht Club Inc., 1830 Epping Forest Drive, contractor is Al Bosgraaf & Sons Inc., Building Contractors, 1,600 square feet, install shade structure, $55,000. APARTMENTS Mount Carmel Gardens Senior Apartments, 5846 Mount Carmel Terrace, contractor is Modern Construction Concepts LLC, trash chute replacement, $81,736. OFFICE, BANK, PROFESSIONAL Haskell, 111 Riverside Ave., contractor is The Haskell Co., second floor west renovation, $811,600. J.E. Fralin & Sons Funeral & Cremation Services, 5065 Soutel Drive, contractor is Alpha and Omega Builder of Jacksonville Inc., enclose porch, $35,825.
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STORES, MERCANTILE Oakleaf Station Land Trust, 8324 Merchants Way, No. 3, contractor is Target Contractors Inc., alteration, $41,125. Events at Suite Sixty-Five, 3000 Dunn Ave., No. 65, contractor is Covenant Contracting Co. Inc., 3,150 square feet, tenant build-out, $28,500. Compiled by Scott Sailer
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Inc. as a not-for-profit corporation with the state Jan. 7, listing Ward, Miller and Hightower as directors. Hightower said OurJax is a response to diminished trust in government in Jacksonville. Hightower served 16 years on the JEA board and retired in June 2019 as the utility’s chief public affairs officer. He’s been involved in Duval County politics for nearly 50 years, working as a lobbyist for Florida Blue, a senior policy adviser for the Holland & Knight law firm and he ran John Peyton’s mayoral campaign. Tolbert is a long-time political strategist and aide to former Mayor Jake Godbold. As a nonprofit, the group will be able to raise money. Hightower said some of those resources will be used to help people or organizations that cannot afford the costs involved in large public records requests. The group also plans to retain an attorney. Tolbert said OurJax began to organize during the JEA sales process before the utility’s board voted Dec. 24 to end bid negotiations with nine private companies. The group’s original objective was to stop the invitation to negotiate at the City Council level, fearing a political messaging campaign against a voter referendum to sell JEA would be too costly to wage. “We believed that if it got beyond that (City Council approving putting the proposal on the November ballot), there would be so much money involved in a referendum process that anything could go off the rails,” Tolbert said. “Once the ITN processes ended, most everybody involved believed it was not over.” Tolbert and Hightower point to other JEA strategic planning scenarios, such as converting JEA into a community-owned cooperative or a publicly traded company, that have not been formally presented to the JEA board. Hightower said if a lack of transparency at JEA continues, any merit those options could have will not matter.
communications. Scott Pollard was named vice president of agency growth and development responsible for the development and implementation of franchisee growth and supporting marketing and communications. Pollard was director of agency development and carrier relations. Chip Hyers joined as vice president of sales responsible for developing sales and strategies for the company.
Hightower said OurJax has four goals it wants to achieve related to JEA: n transparency n integrity in the process n accountability n local control “There’s a rage and an outrage in Jacksonville right now that I’ve never seen,” Tolbert said. “It’s broad and it’s wide.” “There’s suspicion, too,” Hightower added. According to the IRS Code, the 501(c) (4) would allow OurJax, as a social welfare organization, to lobby and seek legislation related to its goals. But Hightower said, despite Tolbert’s and his background in politics, the group is not a political action committee and will instead focus on public policy, advocacy and education. OurJax will place advertisements and take stands on issues that members believe will further transparency in Jacksonville’s city government. Tolbert said the group would support State Attorney Melissa Nelson should she decide to convene a grand jury to investigate what led to JEA’s invitation to negotiate a possible sale. He said OurJax also opposes Florida House Bill 653, which would prohibit municipally owned utilities in the state, including JEA, from contributing to their municipalitys’ general funds. Hightower agrees that power and water utilities are facing financial headwinds driven by new and improving technologies. But he and Tolbert said Jan. 8 that it’s not the “death spiral” that was characterized by JEA officials. “Until everything is out, until everything is transparent, until we all know the facts, this is going to be an open sore that will not heal until all the questions have been answered,” Hightower said. “It’s really in everyone’s best interest to get the facts out as soon as possible.” MMENDENHALL@JAXDAILYRECORD.COM @MIMENDENHALL (904) 356-2466
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Top commercial sales of the week BY SCOTT SAILER • STAFF WRITER
Here are the top 10 commercial real estate sales in Northeast Florida, comprising Baker, Clay, Duval and St. Johns counties. The sales were recorded Dec. 30-Jan. 3.
File image
Two Gateway Village at Town Center retail sites sold for $10.95 million. Tenants include Burrito Gallery and Midtown Table.
ST. JOHNS
DUVAL
DUVAL
ST. JOHNS
DUVAL
$19,009,517
$10,946,805
$9,950,000
$4,240,482
$3,733,174
Florida 206 W., Elkton
5010-5016 Gate Parkway, Jacksonville
Cross Town Drive, Nocatee
Florida 206 W., Elkton
11700 Central Parkway, Jacksonville
Type: Timberland Parcel size: 2,657.71 acres Buyer: Saint Augustine 206 Interchange LLC Seller: Cumberland Street LLC
Type: Gateway Village at Town Center Parcel size: 3.3 acres Buyer: Gate Parkway RMR LLC Seller: Jacksonville Gateway Village LLC
Type: Undeveloped Parcel size: Not available Buyer: Ponte Vedra Pine Co. LLC Seller: SONOC Co. LLC
Type: Timberland Parcel size: 592.96 acres Buyer: Saint Augustine 206 Interchange LLC Seller: KG Development LLC
Type: Action News Jax Parcel size: 4.37 acres Building size: 80,680 square feet Buyer: Camelot Media Buyer Inc. Seller: Cox Media Group LLC
ST. JOHNS
ST. JOHNS
DUVAL
ST. JOHNS
DUVAL
$3,328,000
$3,107,393
$2,859,300
$2,232,000
$1,850,000
Florida 207, St. Augustine
5035, 5101 and 7000 N. Main St., Jacksonville
4210 University Blvd. S., Jacksonville
Sandstone Drive, St. Augustine
Jacksonville
Type: Zaxby’s Parcel size: 0.88 acres Building size: 3,932 square feet Buyer: Stephenson Foods LLC Seller: Manwell Jax III LLC Previous sale: $475,000 in 2012
Type: 31 single-family lots in Treaty Oaks Phase 1 and 2 Parcel size: Not available Buyer: AMH Development LLC LLC Seller: Double Eagle Development LLC
Type: 19 residential properties Parcel size: Not available Buyer: AV Property Holdings LLC Seller: Jacksonville Properties LLC
Type: Undeveloped residential, Entrada Parcel size: Not available Buyer: D.R. Horton Inc. Seller: ELMWW LLC, Southeast Investments #17 LLC and St. Augustine Country Club LLC
Type: Mobile home parks Parcel size: Not available Buyer: Affordable Housing Advisors LLC Seller: Long Branch MHP LLC, Metro North MHP LLC and Main Street MHP LLC
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It is our belief that family law matters are especially sensitive and emotionally consuming for clients. We are responsive to clients and return telephone calls in a timely and prompt manner because your concerns are our priority. Our family law team strives to provide the best service and advice based on forty (40) years of experience with family law cases. We believe that professionalism, together with hard work, will produce the desired results expected by clients.
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Who or what inspired you to become a lawyer? In my childhood, I loved watching courtroom dramas. When I finally had an opportunity to observe court, I was totally in awe and knew I wanted to be a trial lawyer. How do you relate your undergraduate degree to your practice of law? I received a bachelor of arts in political science with a certification in public affairs and a minor in classical studies. I genuinely wanted to serve in public office. My undergraduate degree taught me so much about people and how to connect even when I don’t agree with their opinion or lifestyle. How did you decide your practice area? My father is a chiropractor and testified as an expert witness in civil personal injury trials, and every internship between high school and passing the Bar was in personal injury law, which I love. The end goal for me was civil trial, but the only way for a new graduate to have their own cases in litigation is criminal law. I volunteered at the Office of the Public Defender just to have access to a courtroom. I loved practicing criminal law, specifically juvenile defense, and now I get to do both. If I could change anything in the legal system, I would ... See working parents’, especially moms’, practices flourish rather than fizzle. The practice should help talented leaders who want to start a family and be present parents and achieve a work-life balance that promotes a long-term practice, mental health and wellness. What community service have you pursued and why? I volunteer with The Women’s Board of Wolfson Children’s Hospital Art & Antiques Show annually because the sole beneficiary is Wolfson
SHANNON SCHOTT Managing partner at Plata Schott Attorneys & Counselors at Law
PASSIONATE
ABOUT TAXES? (Yes, really.)
Age: 35 Education: University of Florida, bachelor’s in political science; Stetson University College of Law, J.D. Hometown: Jacksonville Family: Husband, Michael Rainka; son, Henry Favorite book: “East of Eden” Books I’m reading now: “Trial By Women,” “Traction,” and “Don’t Eat the Bruises” Websites and apps I can’t live without: Clio.com, Planoly, Instagram, Canva, iTunes Podcasts, Facebook Ads Manager, Anchor, Wordpress, plataschott. com, google.drive.com, quickbooks.com Favorite nonwork activities: Blogging, podcasting and enjoying life with my family.
Children’s Hospital, where my son spent his first 28 days of life. He was seven weeks premature and I cannot thank WCH enough for sending me home with a healthy baby boy. What’s your advice for new lawyers? I encourage new lawyers to find their passion in the law and pursue it. Don’t feel like you have to practice law a certain way. Make your practice your own, remember your oath and give back to others, and the money will come.
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Shannon Schott is chair of the Jacksonville Bar Association Solo Practitioner/Small Firm Committee.
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A JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD AND RECORD & OBSERVER SP
DOWNTOWN 2030? Could this be Downtown Jacksonville in 2030? An illustrative vision of the city created by Chris Flagg and Luke Romer of The Haskell Company. PAGE 12
THE TOP 20 OF 202 KAREN BRUNE MATHIS: TAKING A LOOK FORWARD PAGE 12
THE TO STORIES F THE 20
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20: WHAT’S AHEAD FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA
OP 10 FROM 010s
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FIVE PEOPLE TO WATCH PAGE 16
FIVE ISSUES FACING THE REGION PAGE 17
FIVE VISIONARIES OFFER THEIR INSIGHTS PAGE 18
FIVE PREDICTIONS FOR THE REGION PAGE 19
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THE TOP 20 OF 2020
KAREN BRUNE MATHIS EDITOR
With almost 35 people a day joining the county, growth was a major factor in the past decade — and will continue to shape the next. By my calculation, Duval County could welcome its 1 millionth resident just before midnight June 8, 2021. That’s derived from a basic calculation based on a state estimate that Duval County’s population will reach 1,044,727 in 2025, up from an estimate of 981,852 in 2020. That’s almost 35 people a day joining Jacksonville. The five-county metro area population is predicted to grow even more.
That’s just the next five years. The pace continues the five years after. That presents opportunities for Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau and St. Johns counties. Those new neighbors need jobs; houses, condos and apartments; cars and other transportation; food; schools; and fun stuff to do – maybe even Downtown Investment Authority CEO Lori Boyer’s wish that Downtown restaurants would remain open until at least 9 p.m. The Jacksonville Daily Record and the Jacksonville Record & Observer present this special business section to help you prepare for the 2020s. We debated calling it the Roaring ‘20s, harkening back a century, but decided that a recession could negate that meaning. And you realize how the 1920s ended, right? 1929? The Depression? The 2020 economy remains in good shape, having recovered from the Great Recession of 2007-09. There’s wariness about another downturn, but no prediction of when it might emerge or how severe it could be. We look back in this section and better yet, ahead. We offer
a review of the biggest stories of the 2010s, the largest issues that shape our area, predictions, the people to watch who will make change, and visionaries who look toward what’s next. We didn’t focus on some important issues, and that’s because they permeate the national economy, not just Northeast Florida. These are a given: Technology will change everything, as you will read throughout the section. Climate resiliency challenges the world. There are communities that suffer from the lack of economic opportunity. Politics and elections will generate disruption. Arts and culture are economic drivers. The military is solid as a rock. Just like my calculation of our millionth resident, we aren’t scientific. Our team combined our 150 collective years in journalism, primarily in Jacksonville, to present your “Top 20 of 2020.” To celebrate the decade, let’s plan on meeting for a bite the evening of June 8, 2021, preferably somewhere Downtown, after 9 p.m.
Safety
Responsiveness
The cover art for Top 20 of 2020 was created by Chris Flagg and Luke Romer of The Haskell Company. Flagg, a member of the American Society of LandscapeArchitects Council of Fellows,a Haskell principal and past chair of the Downtown Development Review Board,saidheandVisualSpecialistRomerwereinspired by Downtown’s riverfront and concepts supported by the city for the future of Downtown development. “The image itself was computer-generated and then layeredontoanaerialphotographwetookwithadrone,” Flagg said. He said the columns of light rising into the sky are anchored at what the city calls “riverfront nodes” that are centers of activity. The Lot J area adjacent to TIAA BankFieldandEastBayStreetontheNorthbankandThe District property on the Southbank glow in the image becausethoseareasareslatedtobethenextDowntown development sites. “We wanted to create a vision of the future for Jacksonville. It was a lot of fun,” Flagg said. By Max Marbut, Associate Editor
“The team at Cushman & Wakefield are market experts, consistently in tune with both the industrial property capacity in Jacksonville and prospective user interest. The national network of Cushman & Wakefield provides us immediate marketplace intelligence in any geography in the domestic U.S.”
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Creating a vision of Downtown at the end of the new decade
KMATHIS@JAXDAILYRECORD.COM @MATHISKB (904) 356-2466
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As Duval’s 1 millionth resident arrives, we take a look ahead
ABOUT THE COVER ILLUSTRATION
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THE TOP 20 OF 2020
THE PAST DECADE
•
BY MAX MARBUT ASSOCIATE EDITOR & MARK BASCH CONTRIBUTING WRITER
•
Before you look forward, you should look back: The top 10 stories of the past 10 years:
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Recession rebound The 2010s were a period of unprecedented growth, as the U.S. economy rebounded from the 2007-09 recession. Jacksonville’s unemployment rate started the decade at a record high 11.2% in January 2010 and after 10 years of growth, the jobless rate for the metropolitan area fell to a record low of 2.6% in November 2019. Jacksonville area businesses added 167,100 jobs to their payrolls during the decade, a 29.3% increase.
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Khan-Jaguars Shad Khan bought the Jacksonville Jaguars for $770 million in 2012 and the value of the NFL franchise has since tripled to $2.325 billion, according to Forbes. While the team has struggled on the field, Khan is trying to expand the franchise’s financial success with development surrounding the stadium. That includes a $450 million proposal for Lot J that includes a hotel, apartments, offices and an entertainment complex.
Amazon When an economic incentive proposal resolution was filed by City Council in April 2016 for the code-named Project Rex, people soon learned that Amazon.com, the world’s largest online retailer, was coming to Jacksonville. The company has since opened four fulfillment and distribution centers with an estimated investment of nearly $500 million and a workforce of more than 4,000 people. The company filed site plans in December for its next facility, the conversion of a former Kmart store along Blanding Boulevard in West Jacksonville into a delivery center.
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Fidelity's expansion Fidelity National Financial Inc. moved its headquarters from California to Jacksonville in 2003, and the Fortune 500 company spawned further growth by spinning off two other publicly traded companies: Fidelity National Information Services Inc., or FIS, and Black Knight Inc. FIS itself has grown into another Fortune 500 company and its expansion is continuing. The company last year announced plans to build a $145 million headquarters on Riverside Avenue and add 500 jobs to its 1,216 Jacksonville workforce.
Riverside/Brooklyn In the 2010 U.S. Census, there were only 60 residents in the Brooklyn area of Downtown, along the west side of Riverside Avenue between Forest and Water streets. That began to change a year later with construction of the 220 Riverside apartments and a shopping center anchored by Fresh Market. More development followed and it’s not finished yet with more than $269 million in projects underway or planned, including the world headquarters for Fidelity National Information Services.
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Logistics “Jacksonville America’s Logistics Center” was registered with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office in 2008 and was the kickoff for a campaign to make the region live up to the name. In the past decade, logistics has seen strong growth, fueled by container shipping with the addition of Asian routes. Asian cargo at JaxPort grew from about 90,000 container equivalent units in 2010 to more than 441,000 units in 2019. That cargo is delivered to destinations with about 60 million consumers in the Southeast via rail and highway.
St. Johns County The latest U.S. Census Bureau data shows St. Johns County was the eighthfastest-growing U.S. county in 2018, and the population jumped 33.8% to 254,261 from 2010 through 2018. Much of the boom is coming in the northern part of the county with developments including the new Durbin Park development and the Nocatee region that began developing in the late 2000s. Nocatee spills over into southern Duval County, where growth continues with projects including the “smart living community” eTown.
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Health care In the past decade, Jacksonville’s major health care providers — Ascension St. Vincent’s, Baptist Health, UF Health, Mayo Clinic, Memorial Hospital and Wolfson Children’s Hospital — expanded services including full-service hospitals and stand-alone emergency care facilities. Technological advances included the addition of pencil beam scanning at the UF Proton Therapy Institute and Mayo Clinic’s Discovery and Innovation Building that houses an incubator for health-based entrepreneurs and a lung restoration facility.
Tim Cost Tim Cost became president of Jacksonville University in February 2013, returning to his Arlington alma mater after a toplevel business management career. Cost soon initiated a $120 million capital campaign that exceeded its goal by about $2 million. Cost also organized the Renew Arlington revitalization; led JAX Chamber’s economic development; and chaired the influential Jacksonville Civic Council.
Opens March 30, 2020 For more information, visit jrtc.jtafla.com 325569-1
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St. Johns Town Center In an era of declining consumer interest in brickand-mortar retail, St. Johns Town Center and its surrounding properties continued to grow through the 2010s. The open-air mall opened in 2005 with high-end retailers new to the Jacksonville market and in the past decade, other developments have been built adjacent to the center at Butler Boulevard and Interstate 295. The developments not only include retail and restaurants but several apartment complexes, making the Town Center area the hub of Jacksonville’s Southside and the region.
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Florida Medical Malpractice
F
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THE TOP 20 OF 2020
FIVE PEOPLE TO WATCH
or 20 years, attorney Sean Cronin has helped clients in Florida with injuries and deaths caused by medical malpractice. As attorneys who are also veterans, our military experience helps us serve medical
malpractice victims and their families
These five leaders will help guide the region’s future:
throughout Northeast Florida. Our attorneys handle both civilian and
BY KATIE GARWOOD
military medical malpractice claims.
Daniel Davis
• STAFF WRITER
Age: 46 | President and CEO of JAX Chamber
Practice Areas
When it comes time for a Jacksonville mayoral election in 2023, JAX Chamber CEO Daniel Davis is one name that many think may show up on the ballot. He’s served in his Chamber position since 2013. In the past year, he’s been making more public appearances, standing alongside Mayor
Wrongful Death Medical Malpractice Military & VA Medical Malpractice
Lenny Curry and at times, Gov. Ron DeSantis, at major announcements. DeSantis also appointed him to the St. Johns River Water Management board in August. Before taking on his role at the Chamber, Davis served two terms on the Jacksonville City Council, then two terms in the Florida House of Representatives.
Craig Mandeville Sean B. Cronin
Hospital Negligence
Age: 45 | CEO of Forcura
Partner
With a quickly growing and innovative company of his own, Forcura CEO Craig Mandeville wants to bring more innovation through an initiative called Innovate Jax. With that, he launched a podcast and hopes to host networking events and speaker panels as it moves forward. The podcast features local innovators “who are propelling our city into a
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new realm of sophistication.” In 2012, Mandeville founded Forcura, which manages document workflow and secure communication for post-acute care providers. In just six years, it did $7.1 million in revenue. Mandeville told the Jacksonville Daily Record in June his goal is for it to reach $75 million in revenue in two years.
Alex Sifakis
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Age: 36 | President of JWB Capital 324355-1
As one of four owners of JWB Real Estate Capital, President Alex Sifakis will be one to watch as his company continues to redevelop Jacksonville throughout the decade. He’s already working on several projects, anticipated to be completed in the next few years. One is the Ashley Street Container Project, which would
bring 18 320-square-foot studio units to the Cathedral District. In August, Sifakis’ company purchased the Town & Country Shopping Center in Arlington for $5.08 million. His plans for the shopping center are undetermined, but the property is a gateway into the Arlington neighborhood.
Nicole Thomas Age: 47 | President of Baptist Medical Center South In 2016, Nicole Thomas became the first female hospital president in Baptist Health’s 64-year history in Jacksonville. In addition to her role as president, she serves as chair of the Baptist Health Transformation Cabinet, leading a group of the health system’s leaders charged with implementing Baptist Health’s five-year
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Age: 39 | Attorney at Driver, McAfee, Hawthorne & Diebenow As one of the city’s leading land-use and zoning attorneys at Driver, McAfee, Hawthorne and Diebenow, Cyndy Trimmer is closely involved in development. Most recently, she’s represented Ryan Companies US in its proposed development of a new
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strategic plan. Since becoming president, she’s led Baptist Medical Center South through growth and she’s also received accolades of her own. She was named one of Modern Healthcare magazine’s Top 25 Minority Executives in Healthcare and one of Becker Hospital Review’s 50 African American hospital executives to know in 2018.
Cyndy Trimmer
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JEA headquarters at 325 W. Adams St. and Chase Properties in its redevelopment of the Reddi-Arts property in San Marco. She’s also represented Rafael Caldera with the $5.6 million multifamily housing and art incubator project he plans in the Cathedral District.
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THE TOP 20 OF 2020
FIVE ISSUES
•
BY MIKE MENDENHALL STAFF WRITER & SCOTT SAILER STAFF WRITER
•
Here are five of the issues shaping Northeast Florida in the coming decade:
Ready or not, the five-county JacksonvilleMetropolitanStatistical Area will add people. Data varies depending on the source, but the University of Florida Bureau of EconomicandBusinessResearch projectsBaker,Clay,Duval,Nassau and St. Johns counties will grow from 1.55 million people to 1.81 million, or almost 16.8%, from 2018 to 2030. That’s about 60 new people a day over 12 years. Alookattheincreasefrom2020 to 2025 shows the MSA growing by 8.3%,with the highest number ofpeople(almost62,900)inDuval, and the highest growth rate in St. Johns County, (15.5%, or almost 40,000 people). Growthbyin-migrationtypically is attributed to job prospects, the climate, the Beaches, a relatively low cost of living, no Florida income tax and“business friendly” government. But growth also will demand planning as it challenges schools, transportation systems, health care, housing costs and availability, and jobs as more people compete for positions. What path will Jacksonville-owned utility JEA take?
Investigations of the utility by the Jacksonville City Council and possibly state and federal authorities also loom. Meanwhile, issues that led to calls for change at JEA aren’t going away. The utility predicts that energy sales will decrease 8% by 2030 while its customers increase by 35%. These projections were presented to representatives of Moody’s Investor Services Inc. and S&P Global in August 2019. The utility also will have to find an answer to an expected $200 million in debt service liability expected from JEA’s obligations in a 20-year power purchase agreement from the Augusta, Georgia-based nuclear Plant Vogtle. JEA signed the deal with Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia in 2008. Where the utility will call home also could be in question. A new headquarters Downtown was planned expecting a sale.
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JEAstarts 2020 in turmoil after
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Who would have guessed in 2010 that the Northeast Florida job market would be so tight a decade later that “labor shortage” was a common concern? Florida unemployment peaked at more than 11% in January 2010 and stayed above 10% for more than a year in the aftermath of the Great Recession. By November 2019, Jacksonville area unemployment reached the lowest level on record at 2.6%. The low unemployment rate means employers are looking for staff. Not all industries experience labor shortages, but skilled trades and other specialty positions are affected, as are hospitality and retail jobs where workers have plenty of options. The needs are leading to training opportunities, especially in emerging growth areas like fintech – financial technology. The 2020s offer another challenge: The baby boomers all will reach retirement age by the end of the decade, turning 66 to 85 years old. They will be leaving longterm jobs and taking their skills and experience with them.
Affordable housing: As rents rise, government expected to step in.
Housing inventories are likely to shrink because of increasing demand, higher land and labor costs and government regulations. Buyers, especially those who are low-income and entrylevel, will be challenged to find homes in their price range. Apartment rents continue to rise as investors buy existing rental properties, make improvements and increase rates. Local, state and federal governments are expected to make policies and enact legislation regarding housing affordability. “Affordable housing is too big and complex of an issue to be completely solved at the local level,” said Matt McCarthy with Colliers International Multifamily Investment & Land Services. He said apartments are the focus for affordable housing development. Developers also are looking at “infill” properties close to Downtown or in vacant pockets of land to build lower-cost housing.
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Shopping mall reuse: Filling holes left by online shopping.
Vacancies challenge the enclosed shopping malls built from the 1960s to the ‘90s as consumers spend their money online and as anchor tenants close because of slow business or corporate bankruptcies and smaller tenants also lose customers. Some mall owners are focusing on improving their tenant mix and adding “experiential” events like concerts, community gatherings and coffee houses, making their properties a community center of activity. Others are trying to capitalize on the value of the real estate and look for other uses, such as offices, call centers, schools, medical hubs, churches, car dealerships, e-commerce fulfillment facilities and housing – or selling the land to developers. Open-air “lifestyle” centers St. Johns Town Center and The Pavilion at Durbin Park dominate the shopping scene — and there’s more to come.
Joel Settembrini, Jr.
I-10 at SR-228 North Exit, Macclenny, FL (across from Walmart Frozen Food facility). Midpoint Parkway will include easy access flyover on US-90.
Mid po int
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Labor: The challenge of low unemployment, retiring boomers.
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Commercial Sales Associate, Watson Commercial Realty, Inc. Email: TJones@WatsonCommercial.com Office: 904.731.4511 Direct: 904.421.7421
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an effort to consider a possible sale was halted and several of its leaders ousted.
Population growth: Thousands of new residents on the way.
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JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD /J ACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
JaxDailyRecord.com
THE TOP 20 OF 2020
FIVE
VISIONARIES BY KAREN BRUNE MATHIS
• EDITOR
Strategy will define success in the new decade. We asked five industry leaders to offer their insights into market trends that might help business owners and executives sharpen their plans. FINANCIAL
BRIAN WOLFBURG Wolfburg, 42, became president and CEO of VyStar Credit Union on Oct. 31, 2017, and soon expanded the member base and bought an office tower to create a Downtown campus. As with all industries, technology will force changes in financial services. VyStar will shift to a “branch-lite” blend of brick-and-mortar offices and online digital. It also will build-out branches across Florida’s major markets, pursue mergers and acquisitions and move into new markets, probably including Georgia. At $9.2 billion in assets, it’s the largest credit union based in Northeast Florida and 15th largest in the country. “You’re going to see organizations get larger and gain scale,” he said, “so that they can afford to do the things that the public demands of their financial institution.” That produces efficiencies that allow them to pay favorable rates on deposits; keep down loan rates and fees; and earn enough to invest in technology and employees. VyStar is moving 1,000 employees Downtown to the VyStar Tower it bought in July 2018 and into an adjacent office building it is rehabbing. The $125 million investment is less expensive than building a new similar-size campus, he says. Wolfburg thinks the project could influence more investment in Downtown
DOWNTOWN
LORI BOYER Boyer, 65, became CEO of the Downtown Investment Authority on July 1, 2019 after eight years serving on Jacksonville City Council, including a year as president. Downtown Jacksonville could see some of its biggest changes since the Great Fire of 1901 if plans play out over the next decade and beyond. That depends on population growth, city and private investment and a continued strong economy. Assuming all that, Boyer sees possibilities that include 12,000 residents in five years that lead to an urban core grocery store and other retail projects that create momentum; progress on the Emerald Trail; Hogan Street and Laura Street corridors of restaurants and entertainment; riverfront development that includes the Landing and The Ford on Bay sites; the Lot J and Shipyards developments that include demolition of the Hart Bridge ramp; residential development in the Cathedral District; a potential medical innovation or education campus at the First Baptist land that is for sale and-or at the convention center site in LaVilla; redevelopment of the Berkman II; possible changes at the Duval County Jail
and Maxwell House sites; construction of the Fidelity National Information Services Inc. campus along Riverside Avenue; and Southbank projects that include The District. There’s also the continuing talk about a new convention center. Another goal: Downtown restaurants remain open until at least 9 p.m.
RETAIL
LISA PALMER Palmer, who turns 52 this month, became CEO of Regency Centers Corp. on Jan. 1 and remains president of the real estate investment trust that owns shopping centers nationwide.
projects. VyStar also paid to sponsor the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. “I’m hopeful that in 10 years the skyline looks different. It won’t look like a totally different city, but in a healthy, nice, steady trajectory, the city will continue to get better and continue to develop,” he said. Wolfburg sees momentum in the Northeast Florida economy. “I think the region is well positioned to have a good next five, 10, 15 years.”
MANUFACTURING
MATTHEW BRIDGEWATER
Technology, data analytics, artificial intelligence, online ordering and autonomous vehicles will change how consumers shop and goods are delivered, but one aspect won’t: the social experience. “You could sit on your couch today and do everything that you need to do. You don’t have to leave your house, but people want to leave. There’s a social element to it,” Palmer said. Retailers that survive will adapt to the changing environment led by technology and shifting demographics, such as today’s teenagers becoming the new decade’s young professionals. Every successful retailer, whether it be a provider of goods or services, including restaurants, banks, personal care and fitness centers, will need to adapt. In Northeast Florida, St. Johns Town Center remains the center of gravity in the retail industry. The traffic congestion is considered a sign of success. Palmer predicts a second large area lifestyle center in the southern part of
the metro area, where population growth is strong. At the same time, as the population increases, people will look for a place to live, work and play in a contained area. That can lead to revival of neighborhoods, especially those near Downtown.
Bridgewater, 48, is president and CEO of GEM Products Inc., a manufacturer of stainless steel marine and hardware supplies sold to boat and yacht builders. He’s been with the family-owned business for 25 years.
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
GEM Products Inc. in South Jacksonville is preparing for a second expansion of 40,000 square feet, meaning “everything is going well in the marine industry, which is a good indicator for the overall economy.” Boats are a discretionary purchase, like jewelry. “We follow the jewelry market, and the jewelry market is strong.” Jacksonville’s continued growth, especially migration from the Northeast, provides a labor pool for employers. The area’s seasonal changes and “tons of water and beaches” represents “the real Florida” but without the large population of South Florida. Technology will drive business. “I definitely see the technology curve is going to exponentially increase,” he said, especially 3D printing, like Bridgewater is starting to use in metal to produce cleats. “That presents incredible opportunities for all companies.” Social media becomes more important for brand identity and business. “We posted job ads on our Facebook and Instagram and we were able to fill those jobs within a week.” Websites benefit
Stallings, 64, launched PS27 Ventures in 2012 to invest in innovations in the wellness and sustainable living market after he worked almost 30 years in corporate leadership roles with IBM and other large companies.
from quick videos, such as GEM’s how-to posts. “That’s what the consumer wants,” he said, “less than 60 seconds.” It also helps for companies seeking employees to be aware of their reputation. “You’ve got to have that cool appeal,” he said. “People want to work in an environment that is built around something they love.”
JIM STALLINGS Jacksonville’s geographic size is a challenge and an opportunity, especially for entrepreneurs and startup companies. Its large footprint with a complex infrastructure of bridges and roads means it must embrace its ability to become a smart city. That will lead to startups and solutions, like autonomous vehicles and smart grids, to head off problems and challenges. It sits at a critical junction of the ocean and the interstate system. The city will put up big population growth numbers in 10 years, creating opportunities for entrepreneurs in the life sciences industry as Jacksonville’s demographics change, including an aging population. “There is no question we have a blessing of a strong economy. The windfall of people relocating from the Northeast and West will continue.” Jacksonville’s extensive health care network will attract people to relocate, creating a need for hospitality and other
services. And as executives retire, they will start up companies. “All of that talent is here to stay and fuel and fund these big opportunities that are coming and it’s going to lay right on the back of a strong economy.”
JACKSONVILLE DAILY RECORD / JACKSONVILLE RECORD & OBSERVER
JaxDailyRecord.com
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THURSDAY, JANUARY 9, 2020
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THE TOP 20 OF 2020
FIVE PREDICTIONS
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BY MIKE MENDENHALL STAFF WRITER & KAREN BRUNE MATHIS EDITOR
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A look at the business and economic trends and issues that will push the region into in the next decade:
In 10 years, there will be new senior leadership in the five counties guiding – or forcing – the area’s business,government, development, community and civic endeavors. Their challenges will be different, but they have no choice but to do what needs to be done for the sake of the local economy and community. The end of the 2010s saw the loss of several significant voices, including Bob Shircliff, David Hicks, Luther Coggin and Raymond K. Mason, who imprinted the area’s business and philanthropic future. Over the coming decade,those intheir50s,60sand70smuststep up. The millennial, Generation Z and younger generations will create new leadership styles to meet the area’s increasingly diverse needs. Schools, religious and cultural centers, youth and leadership development groups, business and civic clubs, philanthropic efforts, politicalpartiesandprogramslike Leadership Jacksonville and the JAXChamberHightowerEmerging Leaders Fellowship will by necessity rise to the challenge.
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Sports: The Jacksonville Jaguars will be seeking a stadium upgrade.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will be looking for a new or fully renovated stadium as the team enters the final 10 years of its lease with city-owned TIAA Bank Field. Jaguars President Mark Lamping said in November that conversations with city officials have begun, and the Jaguars are conducting an internal review of the stadium’s needs. Jaguars owner Shad Khan could look for a facility that can compete with NFL stadiums like the $1.97 billion complex under development for the Raiders in Las Vegas. The state of Nevada approved $750 million in public money for that 65,000-seat stadium. Stadium talks could happen in parallel with the development agreement for Khan’s $450 million Lot J mixed-use complex adjacent to the stadium. The project is planned to break ground in the second quarter of 2020.
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Transportation: Getting from here to there will take a different route.
The way and the how and the why will drive transportation changes. People will start to move in new ways: smart autonomous vehicles, updated and streamlined mass transit, cars fueled by alternative energy, more reliance on ride-sharing. Depending on population density, biking, walking and golf carts also will become more popular. At the same time, the area’s population growth will stretch residences across a larger area, meaning roads and highways will be extended, like the First Coast Expressway. The existing system will face pressures to improve, including intersections, traffic lights, additional lanes, resurfacing, sensors for smart vehicles and relief from flooding. Air travel might see nonstops to more destinations and international flights. Commercial transportation also will change as railroads, shipping and trucking companies adjust to consumer demands, energy costs and – of course – e-commerce and perhaps one-hour delivery of online orders. And look out for drones.
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Food: With more population will come more choices.
Food is a necessity but getting it on the table is its own industry fed by evolving tastes, demographics and challenges. The area grocery market starts the 2020s with more competition than a decade ago but also a larger population to feed as growth flourishes. Food deserts also will be addressed. The big three – Walmart, Publix Super Markets Inc. and Southeastern Grocers – remain in the lead but feel the heat from discount stores like Aldi and the natural and organic specialists Earth Fare, Lucky’s Market, Whole Foods, Fresh Market and Sprouts Farmers Market. Online ordering and delivery will increase. Restaurants also are burning through changing tastes, trying to capture the latest trends in service, location, cuisine, sustainability and that grasp at becoming “the” go-to spot. Local restaurateurs and investors will identify neighborhood hot spots and new niches and stay nimble. And all of this will happen at a much faster pace than during the 2010s.
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Health care: Look for more construction thanks to deregulation.
The repeal of Florida’s certificate of need laws in July 2019 will allow larger health systems to expand hospital services throughout Northeast Florida in the next decade. Certificate of need laws required hospitals to receive state authorization before building hospitals or expanding medical services after it was determined the area had sufficient demand. The repeal could allow Baptist Health to take a second look at building a hospital at its Clay County medical facility. Baptist was denied by the law in 2015. Free-standing emergency rooms will continue to open and service counties surrounding Duval — facilities like Baptist Health Properties Inc.’s 20-bed, $23 million emergency center in at Oakleaf Town Center in Southwest Jacksonville. That emergency room opened in late 2019 to serve Northern Clay County.
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Leadership: A new generation of leaders will take control.
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