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fsb_scotland_sbi_q2_2026

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www.fsb.org.uk/scotland

Small Business Index Scotland Q2 2026

-50

-100

Scotland SBI

Q4 2025

Q2 2026

Q3 2025

Q1 2025

Q3 2024

Q1 2024

Q3 2023

Q1 2023

Q3 2022

Q1 2022

Q3 2021

Q1 2021

Q3 2020

Q1 2020

Q3 2019

Q1 2019

Q3 2018

Q1 2018

Q3 2017

Q3 2016

Q1 2017

Q1 2016

-150

Source: FSB - Verve ‘Voice of Small Business’ Panel Survey

UK SBI

Small business revenue, net percentage balance – Proportion reporting/expecting increase less proportion reporting/expecting decrease 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40%

Scotland SBI

UK SBI

Q2 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2025

Q2 2025

Q4 2024

Q2 2024

Q4 2023

Q2 2023

Q4 2022

Q2 2022

Q4 2021

Q2 2021

Q4 2020

Q2 2020

Q4 2019

Q2 2019

Q4 2018

Q2 2018

-50% Q4 2017

Persistent inflation in energy and raw material prices continued to place pressure on Scottish small businesses, with 89.6% reporting higher production costs in Q2. Fuel costs emerged as the most cited cause, with 56.6% of small businesses in Scotland identifying it as a key cost driver. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz at the end of February heavily disrupted energy supply and led to a spike in global oil prices that has significantly pushed up costs at the pump. Utilities and labour remain frequently cited cost pressures, reported by 52.5%

0

Q2 2017

Scottish small businesses reported lower levels of pessimism about their revenue prospects in Q2 2026 relative to Q1, with the net balance expecting revenue growth increasing by 9.1 percentage points to -13.2%. Seasonal factors, including the approach of the summer tourism period, may have supported expectations for future revenues.

50

Q4 2016

The net balance of Scottish small businesses reporting revenue growth in Q2 rose to –28.0% but remains below the -20.8% balance recorded in Q2 2025. Considering the UK-wide picture,the net balance of small firms experiencing revenue growth was more negative, coming in at -33.6%.

FSB Small Business Index: Small business prospects over coming three months

Q2 2016

In Q2 2026, Scotland’s Small Business Index (SBI) rose by 31.5 points to –32.1, suggesting that sentiment among Scottish small firms was less pessimistic than in the previous quarter. While confidence improved in Scotland, UK-wide sentiment deteriorated, falling by 4.9 points to -57.4. Furthermore, Scotland out performed all other UK regions and nations in Q2, but despite the improvement in confidence on the previous quarter, the small business outlook in Scotland remains firmly negative.

Source: FSB - Verve Voice of Small Business’ Panel Survey


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