June 24, 2026






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June 24, 2026









Coastal resilience means the ability of coastal communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure to anticipate, withstand, adapt to, and recover from, climate-related hazards (e.g., sea-level rise, coastal flooding, storm surge, erosion, extreme rainfall, and heat).
The Coastal Resilience Plan is being developed as a roadmap to resilience that will identify and propose actionable strategies to address coastal flood risks in Stamford
Establish an updated understanding of current and future coastal flood risk
Prioritize nature-based & hybrid solutions to reduce coastal flood risk and support local ecology and quality of life
Develop an actionable roadmap to resilience that includes site-specific strategies
The project area for the Coastal Resilience Plan includes neighborhoods mostly south of I-95:
○ Cove, East Side, Shippan, South End, Waterside, and portions of Downtown and West Side
○ Areas of Stamford within Coastal Area Management zone





Coastal flood modeling by the Connecticut Institute for Resilience & Climate Adaptation (CIRCA) was used to map high-risk flood areas for presentday and future climate conditions.

occurs in low-lying coastal areas. This type of flooding occurs during normal high tides or extreme high tide events (e.g., king tides or spring high tides).
occurs during coastal storms like hurricanes and Nor’easters. It includes the effects of storm surge and waves.
In low-lying coastal areas, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, and stormwater flooding can create compounding flood impacts. The Coastal Resilience Plan focuses on coastal flooding alone.
However, the City is also evaluating stormwater flooding in several areas of the City including the entire Cummings Pond watershed.

In low-lying coastal areas, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, and stormwater flooding can create compounding flood impacts. The Coastal Resilience Plan focuses on coastal flooding alone.
However, the City is also evaluating stormwater flooding in several areas of the City including the entire Cummings Pond watershed.



CUMMINGS POND CUMMINGS POND WATERSHED

The Cummings Pond Ecological and Flood Resilience Plan (forthcoming)
In recent decades ocean warming and ice sheet loss due to global warming have contributed to global sea level rise. Along the East Coast, including Connecticut, sea level rise rates are more rapid because of subsidence or sinking of the coastline.
Sea level rise makes coastal flooding more frequent, deeper, farther-reaching, and more damaging.
● Higher storm surge
● More frequent tidal flooding
● Deeper floodwaters
● Reduced drainage capacity
● More shoreline erosion

CIRCA projects up to 20 inches of sea level rise by 2050 and up to 40 inches of sea level rise by 2100
Stamford has low-lying terrain, ranging from sea level to above 75 feet in areas like Shippan
Stamford’s South End and Cummings Park range in elevation from 1-9 feet, many areas susceptible to flooding
These low-lying areas are at risk of flooding today, even without the additional influence of sea level rise.







Recurrence Interval: The average number of years, over the long term, between subsequent flood events of a given size or severity
Example: A 100-year flood event occurs on average once every 100 years.
% Annual Chance: the probability of a particular flood event or larger happening in any given year
% Annual Chance = 100/recurrence interval
Example: 100-year flood event = 100/100 = 1% Annual Chance
Percent Annual Chance is just a probability! It is possible for a given flood to occur multiple times in one year, in back-to-back years, or not at all for a period of years.
In this presentation, we will use Percent Annual Chance and Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP) interchangeably



















































































You have a jar with 100 marbles – 99 clear and 1 red. There is a 1 in 100 (or 1%) chance of you reaching into your jar and pulling out the red marble.

Did you know there is a Hurricane Barrier here?

EASTBRANCHSTAMFORD
HARBOREARTHFILLDIKE
ANDHURRICANE BARRIER
The Army Corps of Engineers owns, operates, and maintains the navigable gates of the Hurricane Barrier in the East Branch of Stamford Harbor
Hurricane Barrier Closed


20 Inches of Sea Level Rise






What Can the City Do?



How the City can optimize emergency response immediately before and during a flood event
• Evacuation Routes
• Shippan Avenue Concept Design
• Flood Sensor Network
• Citywide Signage



• N-S arterials from evacuation zones to/through I-95
• Avoid areas of high flood risk
• Ensure critical facilities are accessible
• Multiple parallel routes distributes volume
• Signals on routes optimized for northbound traffic
Legend


Proposed Evacuation Routes & Modeled Flooding


High water conditions → water from the harbor backs up into drainage pipes
Backflow combined with stormwater causes flooding in the Shippan Avenue and Magee Avenue intersection – a critical evacuation route

Legend


Tide gates prevent harbor water from flowing back into storm drainage pipes
Bioretention basins and other types of Green Stormwater Infrastructure provide temporary storage for stormwater
Stormwater pumps can facilitate discharge of stormwater at a higher elevation
Proposed roundabout redesign to facilitate evacuation and improve safety
Legend


Tide gates prevent harbor water from flowing back into storm drainage pipes
Storage needed for stormwater while tide gates are closed
Explore potential for subsurface stormwater storage below parking lots
Legend
Proposed tide gate
Potential area for subsurface stormwater storage




Sensors can be installed:
● On dry land to detect flooding
● In water to track changes in tide and flood depths
How sensor data can be used
● Real time data can be viewed in a web-based dashboard
● Facilitates re-routing of busses and emergency response vehicles
● Activate flashing signs or mast arms
● Sensor data combined with weather data and modeling can forecast flooding ahead of storms



Permanent Evacuation
Route Signs

Dynamic Emergency Signage



Flood Awareness + Flood Gauge Monuments



Permanent Evacuation Route
Signs: continuously along routes
Dynamic Evacuation Signs:
Example locations: Major evacuation route junctures, underpasses, at most bridges, municipal parking garages, entrances to public open space, shelters
Flood Awareness + Flood Gauge Monuments:
Example locations: schools, libraries, transportation center, community center, public open spaces, near marinas and waterfront promenades
Legend



• Hurricane Barrier Resilience
• Tide Gate System
• Future Planning and Policy
• Zoning Regulations
• Municipal Open Space Lowering flood damage using infrastructure and policy choices



Recommendation: evaluate hurricane barrier’s ability to withstand current and future flood hazards
● Closure analysis
● Detailed modeling
● Gap assessment


40 inches sea level rise scenario: flood waters go around the side of the hurricane barrier

Conceptual extension of hurricane barrier
Pump station structure is part of the hurricane barrier


Recommendation:
confirm the structure has been maintained to structurally withstand storm surge



Recommendations:
● Verify condition of 3 existing tide gates. Modify as needed to provide access.
● Install 5-10 additional tide gates in strategic locations
● Establish plan for routine maintenance


● Coastal areas are at high risk for severe flood impacts, and those risks are likely to increase over time because of climate change
● The homes and structures in high-risk areas can be updated or renovated with flood resistant construction and/or elevated to reduce the risk to inhabitants and the structure
● Planning and policy updates are one way the City can help to reduce flood risk


● The City has a responsibility to make sure that new construction or significant renovations meet basic standards for safety and the wellbeing of the community
● Accomplished in part through zoning codes and regulations, which were written before the impacts of climate change were fully understood
● Structurally, residential buildings have a design life of ~50 years, and the mean lifespan is 83 years
● Typical home mortgage 10-30 years, Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) repayment 15-20 years

AREA OF MINIMAL FLOOD HAZARD Zone X

Triggered by new construction and significant renovation
Structure and building systems must be flood-resistant design
Elevation of 1 foot above base flood elevation (aka BFE) required in FEMA A, AE, and VE zones
FEMA maps and associated flood elevations are based on historic storm events - do not consider climate change
With sea level rise, more structures are at risk and flood elevations are likely to be higher than reflected by current requirements
These requirements are separate from flood insurance

FEMA flood maps are used as the basis for flood management requirements in the City’s zoning regulations
● Keep current zoning requirements, increase design flood elevation from base flood elevation +1 to base flood elevation +3
● Increase allowable building height based on updated design flood elevation
● Create new Coastal Resilience Overlay Zone based projected future flood risk
● Detailed modeling is needed to establish a future design flood elevation with location-specific anticipated future flood depths
● Overlay Zone to require flood-resistant design for structure and building systems as well as safe egress in flood conditions

What is a voluntary buyout program?
● With significant public support, the City could create a program that gives homeowners in very high-risk areas the option of selling to local government or land trust
● Gives owners an option to protect their families from risk without sacrificing the equity they have in their properties
● Property converted to public open space and naturalized habitat, which helps absorb flood impacts and adds to the City’s park system
● Buyout programs typically funded through grant programs (FEMA, NRCS, and others) and local cost-share

Draft Recommendations:
● Toolbox of potential adaptation actions will be included for living with the water and moving assets away from the water.
● Examples of how these “tools” work at a site-specific scale will be addressed in the forthcoming Cummings Pond Ecological and Flood Resilience Plan.








Move Assets Away From the Water


Elevated Embankment

Elevate Structures
Elevate Access Routes

Elevated Promenade

Relocate Facilities
Making Stamford Safer
Formalize evacuation routes
Drainage and traffic improvements at the Shippan and Magee intersection
Flood sensor network
Flood awareness signage
Flood Risk Reduction
Hurricane barrier resilience measures
Tide gates
Planning and policy updates
Flood resilience upgrades in critical facilities and municipal open space
What Can Residents and Property Owners Do?



This presentation includes a high-level overview of strategies including:
● Wet floodproofing
● Dry floodproofing
▪ Permanent
▪ Temporary
● Elevating
● Relocating Resources for more detailed guidance: FEMA guide, “Protect Your Property From Flooding” Stamford’s Environmental Protection Board

Garrison Flood Control

Source: overhead-doors.com Source: Christian Abraham, CTInsider





Source:

Perimeter Wall


Elevated Home
Source: CT Insider
Source: Square One




Thoughts? Questions? We want to hear from you! Raise your hand or type your questions in the Q&A.




Email coastalfloodplan@stamfordct.gov


