Contentious compliance: dissent and repression under international human rights law courtenay r. con

Page 1


https://ebookmass.com/product/contentious-compliancedissent-and-repression-under-international-human-rights-lawcourtenay-r-conrad/

Instant digital products (PDF, ePub, MOBI) ready for you

Download now and discover formats that fit your needs...

International Human Rights Law 3rd Edition Daniel Moeckli

https://ebookmass.com/product/international-human-rights-law-3rdedition-daniel-moeckli/

ebookmass.com

The Idea of International Human Rights Law Steven Wheatley

https://ebookmass.com/product/the-idea-of-international-human-rightslaw-steven-wheatley/

ebookmass.com

Disability in International Human Rights Law Gauthier De Beco

https://ebookmass.com/product/disability-in-international-humanrights-law-gauthier-de-beco/

ebookmass.com

Accelerators for Convolutional Neural Networks Arslan Munir

https://ebookmass.com/product/accelerators-for-convolutional-neuralnetworks-arslan-munir/

ebookmass.com

A Plea for Natural Philosophy: And Other Essays Penelope Maddy

https://ebookmass.com/product/a-plea-for-natural-philosophy-and-otheressays-penelope-maddy/

ebookmass.com

Piper Makes Waves Elizabeth Doyle Carey

https://ebookmass.com/product/piper-makes-waves-elizabeth-doyle-carey/

ebookmass.com

Nanofluids and Mass Transfer Mohammad Reza Rahimpour

https://ebookmass.com/product/nanofluids-and-mass-transfer-mohammadreza-rahimpour/

ebookmass.com

Apache Lament Patrick Dearen

https://ebookmass.com/product/apache-lament-patrick-dearen/

ebookmass.com

Interrogating Psychiatric Narratives of Madness: Documented Lives Andrea Daley

https://ebookmass.com/product/interrogating-psychiatric-narratives-ofmadness-documented-lives-andrea-daley/

ebookmass.com

Not Bad for a Girl Anastasia Ryan

https://ebookmass.com/product/not-bad-for-a-girl-anastasia-ryan/

ebookmass.com

ContentiousCompliance

AssociateProfessorofPoliticalScience UniversityofCalifornia,Merced

AssociateProfessorofPoliticalScience VanderbiltUniversity

OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford.Itfurthers theUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship,andeducation bypublishingworldwide.OxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversity PressintheUKandincertainothercountries.

PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY,UnitedStatesofAmerica.

©OxfordUniversityPress

Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereproduction rightsorganization.Inquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove

Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer.

AnOnlineAppendixisavailableathttps://dataverse.harvard.edu/

LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Names:Conrad,CourtenayR.,author. | Ritter,EmilyHencken,author. Title:Contentiouscompliance:dissentandrepressionunderinternational humanrightslaw/CourtenayR.Conrad,EmilyHenckenRitter. Description:Oxford[UK];NewYork,NY:OxfordUniversityPress,[] Identifiers:LCCN | ISBN(pbk.) | ISBN(hardcover) Subjects:LCSH:Internationallawandhumanrights. | Humanrights. | Treaties. | Politicalpersecution. | Dissenters—Legalstatus,laws,etc. | Government,Resistanceto. | Protestmovements.

Classification:LCCKZ.C | DDC./–dc LCrecordavailableathttps://lccn.loc.gov/



PaperbackprintedbyWebCom,Inc.,Canada HardbackprintedbyBridgeportNationalBindery,Inc.,UnitedStatesofAmerica

CONTENTS

Acknowledgments xi

1.DoHumanRightsTreatiesProtectRights? 1

1.1.TreatiesandtheIncentivetoViolateHumanRights 5

1.2.ContentiousCompliance:TheArgument 7

1.3.ContributionstoScienceandPractice 12

1.3.1.HumanRightsTreatiesandRepression 17

1.3.2.HumanRightsTreatiesandDissent 20

1.3.3.HumanRightsTreatiesandtheLaw 23

1.3.4.HumanRightsTreatiesandAdvocacy 25

1.4.OrganizationoftheBook 26

PARTI:ATheoryofConflictandTreatyConstraint

2.AModelofConflictandConstraint 31

2.1.Institutions,Conflict,andDecision-Making 34

2.2.AModelofTreatyObligations,Courts,andConflict 36

2.2.1.TheEffectsandCostsofRepressionandDissent 39

2.2.2.TheExpectedValueofPowerandtheConsequencesof PolicyControl 45

2.2.3.InstitutionalConsequencesforGovernment Repression 49

2.2.4.SummaryofTheoreticalAssumptions 56

2.3.EquilibriumBehavior 57

2.4.Appendix1:ProofsofFormalTheory 59

2.4.1.ProofofEquilibriumBehavior 59

2.4.2.ComparativeStatics 60

3.EmpiricalImplicationsofTreatyEffectsonConflict 63

3.1.EstablishingtheBaseline:ConflictBehaviorsintheAbsenceofa Treaty 64

3.2.AFormalComparison:ConflictBehaviorsUnderaHumanRights Treaty 70

3.3.UnderstandingTreatyEffects 73

3.4.CommitmenttoHumanRightsTreatiesinExpectationof Constraint 78

3.5.SummarizingtheTheory 83

PARTII:AnEmpiricalInvestigationofConflict&TreatyConstraint

4.AnalyzingtheEffectofTreatiesonRepressionandDissent 87

4.1.MovingfromConceptstoMeasures 89

4.1.1.InternationalHumanRightsTreatyObligation 90

4.1.2.GovernmentRepression 93

4.1.3.MobilizedDissent 99

4.1.4.ExpectedValueofLeaderRetention 101

4.1.5.ProbabilityofDomesticLitigationConsequences 104

4.1.6.OperationalHypotheses 106

4.2.StructuralRequirementsofEmpiricalAnalysis 107

4.2.1.CounterfactualComparison 107

4.2.2.SelectionBias 110

4.2.3.TheSolution:ATwo-StageTreatmentEstimator 114

4.2.4.EstimatingSimultaneousConflictBehaviors 117

5.SubstantiveEmpiricalResults:GovernmentRepression 119

5.1.PresentingResultsBasedonCounterfactuals 121

5.2.EffectofCATObligationonGovernmentRepression 125

5.2.1.AdditionalTest:EffectofOPCATonGovernment Torture 129

5.3.EffectofICCPRObligationonGovernmentRepression 133

5.3.1.AdditionalTest:EffectofICCPRonPolitical Imprisonment 136

5.4.EffectofCEDAWObligationonGovernmentRepression 139

5.4.1.AdditionalTest:EffectofCEDAWonWomen’sSocial Rights 142

5.5.SummaryofFindings:GovernmentRepression 145

5.6.Appendix2:EmpiricalResultsforGovernmentRepression 148

6.SubstantiveEmpiricalResults:MobilizedDissent 151

6.1.LevelsofAnalysis&theStudyofMobilizedDissent 154

6.2.EffectofCATObligationonMobilizedDissent 157

6.2.1.AdditionalTest:AlternativeMeasureofLeader Security 162

6.3.EffectofICCPRObligationonMobilizedDissent 166

6.3.1.AdditionalTest:AlternativeExclusionRestriction Specification 170

6.4.EffectofCEDAWObligationonMobilizedDissent 174

6.4.1.AdditionalTest:AlternativeMeasureofMobilized Dissent 176

6.5.SummaryofFindings:MobilizedDissent 181

6.6.Appendix3:EmpiricalResultsforMobilizedDissent 183

PARTIII:Conclusion

7.Conclusion:HumanRightsTreaties(Sometimes)ProtectRights 193

7.1.A(More)CompletePictureofDomesticConflict 196

7.1.1.HumanRightsTreatiesandConflict 197

7.1.2.TreatyConstraintDespiteSelection 199

7.2.TheEffectofTreatyStatusonPopularExpectations 205

7.2.1.TheConditioningEffectofPoliticalSurvival 209

7.3.ExtendingtheTheory 214

7.3.1.VarianceinTreatyEffectiveness 217

7.3.2.OtherDomesticInstitutionalConstraints 218

7.3.3.OtherInternationalInstitutionalConstraints 220

7.4.AFinalNoteonPolicyPrescriptions 221

PARTIV:Appendix

AppendixtoChapters4,5,6:SummaryofOnlineRobustness Checks 227

A4.1.GovernmentRepression 227

A4.2.MobilizedDissent 229

Bibliography 231 Index 251

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Theprogressofsciencereliesoncommunity.Webuildonthecareful workofotherscholars.Wepresentourresearchpublicly,openingitto critique,suggestion,andimprovement.Wedependonorganizationsand universitiesforthetime,space,andresourcestothink,process,write,fail, andsucceed.Weleanonacommunityofcolleagues—fromgraduateschool advisorstoseniorcolleagues,fromfriendsinthedisciplinetoeditorswho supporttheresearch—foradviceandencouragement.Wecontributetothe community,addingourideastothebodyofknowledgeinthehopesthey willassistothersinprovinguswrongandthinkingdifferentlyaboutsocial scientificoutcomes.Wethankourcommunityhere.

PROFESSIONALACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Thetwoofusfirstmetin2008atasmallworkshoponcourtsandhuman rightsorganizedbyWillMooreandJeffStatonandsponsoredbyFlorida StateUniversityandEmoryUniversity.Althoughtheworkshopwasfilled withprominentseniorscholars(manyofwhomwethankbelow),this finallyforthcomingprojectdevelopedinpajamasandoverthecourseofcar rides,asFSUgraduatestudentCourtenayhostedEmorygraduatestudent Emilyonanairmattressforthedurationoftheconference.Thankyou, WillandJeff,forstartingusonajourneythatwillendurethroughoutour careers.

Likeallgoodgraduatestudents,wefinishedourrespectivedissertations beforewereallygotstartedonthisproject,whichbeganwithapuzzle andamodelandgrewfromthere.Theformaltheoryanditsimplications forgovernmentrepressionwerepublishedinthe JournalofPolitics in 2013.Theimplicationsandevidenceformobilizeddissentwerepublished inthe ReviewofInternationalOrganizations in2016afterbeingawarded theBestPaperinInternationalRelationsattheAnnualMeetingofthe

MidwestPoliticalScienceAssociationin2012.Apublicpresentationof someoftheargumentscontainedinthisbookwerepublishedin the WashingtonPost’sMonkeyCageBlogin2017.Weappreciatetheeditorsandreviewerswhoexamined,attacked,dismantled,praised,and improvedthesemanuscripts—includingatthemanyjournalswherethey wererejected.Thankyou,especially,toOxfordUniversityPress,oureditor DavidMcBride,andthreeveryhelpfulanonymousreviewers.Reviewing evenaportionofabookmanuscriptisnosmalltask,andweappreciate everyone’seffortstowardmakingthisonebetter.

Somanyoftheideascontainedinthisbook—itsconcepts,interpretations,scope,alternatives,relationships,andexamples—emergedfrom thevarietyofscholarstowhomwehavepresentedthisprojectinits variousforms.Inadditiontorefiningtheargumentswithourcolleagues attheUniversityofCalifornia,Merced,weshareditinconferences,online workshops,graduateseminars,andinvitedresearchtalks,benefitingfrom newquestionsandideasallthewhile.Thankyoutotheparticipantsin seminarsatBinghamtonUniversity;theStateUniversityofNewYorkat Buffalo;theUniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley;theUniversityofCalifornia, Merced;DukeUniversity;EmoryUniversity;FloridaStateUniversity; GeorgeWashingtonUniversity;UniversitätHamburg;theUniversityofIllinois;theUniversityofIndiana;theUniversityofIowa;theLondonSchool ofEconomics;theUniversityofMaryland;theUniversityofMichigan;the UniversityofMississippi;theUniversityofNebraska;theUniversityof Pennsylvania;PennsylvaniaStateUniversity;theUniversityofPittsburgh; PrincetonUniversity;RiceUniversity;theUniversityofSouthCarolina; TexasA&MUniversity;theUniversityofTexas;TexasTechUniversity; StanfordUniversity;VanderbiltUniversity;andYaleUniversity.Thankyou alsotoconferenceparticipantsatPrincetonUniversity,theMultiRights SummerInstituteattheUniversityofOslo,PoliticalEconomyofInternationalOrganizations,VisionsinMethodology,andtheannualmeetingsof severalnationalandinternationalpoliticalscienceorganizations.

Inspring2016,wehostedabookconferenceattheUniversityof California,Merced.AlthoughwepromisedourparticipantsCalifornia sunshine,itrainedfortheduration,includingduringapostworkshopvisit toYosemiteNationalPark.Overthecourseofthatrainyweekend,we werefortunatetohavesomeextremelyintelligent,creative,andgenerous scholarstearourprojectdownandthenbuilditbackupagain.Thankyouto KathleenCunningham,JamesHollyer,YonLupu,HeatherElkoMcKibben, WillMoore,JeffStaton,andScottWolfordformakingthetriptoMerced andbringingwiththemtheirverybestideastoshapeourmanuscript.Allof ourcolleaguesandgraduatestudentsatUCMercedwentoutoftheirwayto

Acknowledgments(xiii)

makeourguestsfeelwelcome,especiallyPeterCarey,JaredOestman,and AesilWoo,whotookdetailednotesandhelpedwithconferencelogistics; TomHansford,whoablyledourraincoat-cladgroupthroughYosemite Valley;andNateMonroeandDarickRitter,whooffereduslogisticaland psychologicalsupportinourattemptstofeedandhouseourcolleaguesfor severaldays.Bookconferencesareexpensive;wearegratefultothePolitical ScienceDepartment,theSchoolofSocialSciences,Humanities,andArts atUCMerced,andtheTonyCoehloEndowedChairofPublicPolicyfor fundingtheworkshop.

Manygenerousmentorsandcolleaguesofferedustheirtimeandexpertiseintheformofinvaluablecomments,critiques,anddiscussionson variouspartsofthismanuscript.Priortothebookworkshop,Christian Davenport,EmilieHafner-Burton,andJeffStatonservedasmembers ofabookadvisorycommittee,commentingonchaptersandoffering counselaboutthebookpublishingprocess.Inadditiontothepeople namedabove—manyofwhomwecouldthankineveryparagraphof ouracknowledgments—webenefittedfromtheexpertiseandthoughtful suggestionsofPaulAlmeida,PhilArena,SamBell,TomClark,Chad Clay,JustinConrad,DannyHill,YukariIwanami,AmandaLicht,Carolina Mercado,AmandaMurdie,MonikaNalepa,RobO’Reilly,HongMinPark, CesareRomano,BethSimmons,JensSteffek,ChrisSullivan,JayUlfelder, JohannesUrpelainen,ErikVoeten,JanavonStein,JimVreeland,Geoff Wallace,JimWalsh,andJoeYoung.ExtraspecialthankstoYonLupu, WillMoore,andScottWolford,whoreadmorebadanddecentdrafts ofthearticlesandbookmanuscriptthanapersonshouldeverhaveto doforacolleagueorfriend.WearegratefultoEllenCutrone,Jeanette Hencken,DanielHoffmann,andSusanNavarroSmelcerforcopyeditingthe manuscriptatitsinterimstagesandtoHeathSledge(http://heathsledge. com)forquickandablecopyeditingwhileweworkedtomeetourfinal deadlines.Overthecourseofourpresentationsofthiswork,wearegrateful tohavehadhundredsofadditionalhelpfulconversationsthatimproved ourargumentsimmensely.Wecertainlyhaveforgottentolistsomeone importantbyname,notbecauseweareungrateful,butbecauseweare overwhelmedwithgratitudeforthewealthofexpertiseonwhichwehave beenfortunateenoughtodraw.

DarickRitter(www.sequentialpotential.com),whoisanincrediblytalentedartist,tookourformalmodel—basedonmathematicalequationsand socialscientificjargon—andturneditintoaworkofartthatconveysthe maincontributionsofthisbooktowideaudiences.Wearethrilledthat Oxfordagreedtopublishhiswork,Figure3.1,incolor,asitsuccinctly summarizes(andbringstolife!)thedynamicsofwhatsometimesfeelslike

averycomplicatedstory.Darickalsodesignedandillustratedourbeautiful bookcover,whichwelove.Becauseourtheoryisbasedoncounterfactual analysis,itissimilarlychallengingtolocateillustrativeexamplesofits dynamics;tothatend,wearealsogratefultoPeterCarey,IshitaChaudhry, ChrisMedina,andgraduatestudentsatUniversitätHamburgforhelping usfindexamplestocolorourprose.

DEDICATION

WededicatethisbooktothememoryofWillMoore,whosework servesastheintellectualfoundationonwhichwebaseourarguments andwhowasanadvisor,amentor,andafriend.Overthecourse ofhiscareer,Will’sresearchtendedtowardtwomaintopics:the dissent-repression“nexus”andtheeffectofinstitutionsongovernment respect(orlackofrespect)forhumanrights.Theframeworkforthetheory andempiricalteststhatwepresentinthisbook—ourcontentionthat scholarsshouldtaketheconflictseriouslywhentheyinvestigatethe effectofinstitutionsonhumanrightsoutcomes—wasbornofWill’s influence.

Perhapsasaresultofthisinfluence,helikedthebook.Atleast,we think helikedit;heinvestedinitbydismantlingmultipleversionsofitmultiple times.Hecelebratedwhenwefinishedthefirstdraft,andhecelebrated whenitwassentoutforreview.Willdiedoneyearagotoday,thedayon whichwepenthisdedication.Hedidnotlivetocelebratewithuswhenthe bookwasacceptedforpublication,ashehadwhensomanyofourother publicationswereputinprint.Wehopethefinalversionoftheproject wouldmakehimproud.

InadditiontobeinginfluencedbyWill’sscholarship,wewerealso incalculablyfortunatetobetherecipientsofhistime,hisenergy,and hismentorship.Willwasinsatiablycuriousandintellectuallytireless. Heinvestedheavilyinbothofourcareers,spendinghoursuponhours guidingusandpushingustoimproveourwork.Hemodeledthepractice ofdoingthingsnotbecauseit’showotherscholarsdoitbutbecause it’sfascinating,bold,weird,inviting,andmaybewrong.Hetaught ustobuildinstitutionswherenoneexisttosolveaproblem,towrite non-positivistarticlesifyouhaveanideatoshare,andtoaskquestions innewanddifferentways.Becausehewasabuilderofcommunity,Will alsoencouragedustobefiercelysupportiveofoneanotherandofother scholarsinourcommunity.IndedicationtoWill,wepromisetopayit forward.

PERSONALACKNOWLEDGMENTS:COURTENAY

Ihavebeenfortunatetohavemanygenerousmentors,colleagues,and friendstodirectmeinthisprofessionandtoredirectmewhenIwanderedoffcourse.ButWillMoorestandsaloneasthemostimportant drivinginfluenceinmybecoming—andcontinuingtoworkas—apolitical scientist.Willwasmydissertationadvisorandmycoauthor.Hewasan irreplaceablesourceofsupportandadviceuntilhisdeath;Irarelymake aprofessionaldecisiontodaywithoutfirstaskingmyselfwhatWillwould do,whatWillwouldsay.(Askingthosequestionssometimesresultsinmy doingtheoppositeofwhathewouldhavesuggested,butIknowhewould understand.)Willisnotsimplyresponsibleforinfluencingmywork;Iama politicalscientistbecauseofWillMoore.Imisshimimmensely.AndIhope toonedaybeevenhalfthescholarthathetaughtmetobe.

Mymostimportantpersonalthank-youistingedwithprofessional gratitude.Myhusband,Nate,makesmylifeimmeasurablybetterevery day—byfillingmydayswithjoyandlaughter,byworkinghardtobuilda Homewithme,andbymakingmeaspiretobeabetterscholar.I’mgrateful tohavehisfingerprintsonmylifeandonmywork.ThankyoutoAbby andWillforembracingmeasfamilyandremindingme(daily!)aboutthe importanceofwork-lifebalance.Iloveyoubothverymuchandcannot waittoseeyouwithyournewsister,Charlie—who,thankfully,seemsto havedelayedherarrivaljustlongenoughforustocompletethisbook.Iam endlesslygratefultomyparents,BillandCharlotte,whoinstilledinmea greatloveoflearning,alwaysmaintainedhighexpectationsformeinspite ofmyfailures,andreassuredmetirelesslyalongtheway.Thankyoutothe restofmyfamily—Matt,Elaina,Mary,Keith,Amy,Dean,Dylan,Sadie, andPapa—forprovidingnecessarydiversionsfrommyworkandalways seeminginterestedinthisproject,evenwhenitfeltlikewemightnever finishit.Finally,anenormousdebtofgratitudegoestoEmily,whosets thebarincrediblyhighforcoauthors.Ithasbeen eight yearssincewefirst startedtalkingaboutthisproject;IcannotimagineanyonewithwhomI’d ratherhavecelebrateditssuccessesorcriedaboutitssetbacks.

PERSONALACKNOWLEDGMENTS:EMILY

Ihadbeenadvisedoverandoveragainnottowriteabookbeforetenure becauseoftheuncertaintyofitstimeline.Ididsobecausetheideasinour headsweretoobigforarticles.Itneededtobeabook.SooftenIwishedI hadtakenmycolleagues’advice,andsooftenIwasgladIhadn’t.Though Ididnotheedtheirwarningsonthisparticularpoint,Iconstantlylean

onmentors,colleagues,andfriendsforadvice,reassurance,examples,and encouragement.

Ihaveboundlessgratitudeformypoliticalsciencecolleaguesatthe UniversityofCalifornia,Merced.Iammovingtoanewuniversitythisyear afterfiveyearsatMerced,andthelossofthesecolleaguesleavesacrater inme.AtMerced,Ilearnedhowtothinkdeeplyandacrosscontexts.I learnedthevalueofbothlikenessanddiversityofthought.Ilearnedhow tobuildnewinstitutionsfromscratchanddisagreerespectfully.Ilearned howtomentorothersfromthosewhomentoredme.AndIlearnedhow tohonorandpracticework-lifebalanceandequityofexperience.Iam indebtedtomyUCMcolleagues,finepeopleandresearchersall:Aditya Dasgupta,DanieldeKadt,DavidFortunato,MattHibbing,HaifengHuang, BradLeVeck,MelissaSands,andAlexTheodoridis.Iamespeciallygrateful tothefoundersofthismagnificentdepartment,whosooftenbearmore service,responsibility,andkindnessthantheyshouldhaveto,sothat thejuniorfacultycansucceed,allwhileadvancingtowardasteadyvision andpublishingtheirownbrilliantwork.Thankyou,TomHansford,Nate Monroe,SteveNicholson,and(myseniormentor!)JessicaTrounstine. YourexamplewillfollowmeasIdevelopmyownroleasaseniorscholar. Imustofcoursethankthemanysteadfastandsupportivementorson whomIrelyinmakingsomanycareerdecisions.WarrenRosenblumwasa keysupporterandcriticwhileIwasafledglingundergraduatescholarand remainsoneofmyloudestcheerleadersnow.DavidDavis,JeffStaton,Jen Gandhi,TomClark,DaniReiter,andespeciallyCliffCarrubbacontinually actasacademicfamilytome,steppingasidetowatchmegrowwhile continuingtoanswermycalls,longafterIlefttheEmorynest.Christian DavenportandWillMooreidentifiedmeasapersonwithpotentiallong beforeIwouldhaveknownit,andtheyinvitedmeintotheirfold.They shapedwhoIamasathinker,colleague,mentor,andparticipatorin academia.Ihopetosomedaybethekindofmentortosomeoneelse thattheyhavebeentome.ThankyouespeciallytoScottWolford,whose discerningeyeisoneverythingIwrite.IwouldnotbethescholarIamif notforyou.

Finally,Imustthankmyfamily—thoserelatedbyblood,marriage,or friendship.Mymom,Jeanette,taughtmefairnessandrespectforallpeople,andshepassedtometheexcitementofdiscoveryandunderstanding. Mydad,Tom,taughtmehowthingsworkandthemechanismsofcause andeffectinthegarage.Thankyou,both,formakingmeascientist.Thank youtothemanypeoplewholoveandrootformeinmyfamily—mysister, myin-laws,myaunts,uncles,cousins,grandparents—wearealargebrood ofloudlove.Thankyoutomybeautifulfriends:LindseyBarrow,Jessica

Acknowledgments(xvii)

Braithwaite,CassyDorff,KaraGibson,CarissaHansford,DanielHoffman, RyanLouis,DougMackay,AlexMain,AmieMedley,StephanieRaczkowski, TobyRider,SaraSchumacher,SusanNavarroSmelcer,JakanaThomas, JamesWilson,andScottWolford.Ioftenneedpullingupbymyarmpits andatriptotheoutdoorstofindmyselfagain,andyouarethepeoplewho findmewhenIamtoolosttodoitonmyown.AndtoCourtenay,with whomIamsoinsyncthatwemightbeofone(verydetail-oriented)mind: Icannotwaitforahundredmoreretreatsofcreating,writing,laughing, andcryingwithyou.

MygreatestlovesareDarickandHenryRitter.Thankyouforgivingme wings,pushingmetofly,andremindingmetocomebackhome.Youare myeverything.

ContentiousCompliance

Figure. Thetheory:ConditionalpredictionsofHRTobligationonconflictbehavior

DoHumanRightsTreaties ProtectRights?

Everyonewantstobesafefromgovernmentviolence.Unfortunately, billionsofpeopleexperiencehumanrightsabusesasawayoflife.More peopledieatthehandsoftheirowngovernmentthaninwar.Minority groupsareexcludedfrompower,peoplearedeniedaccesstoeducation, dissidentsarebeaten,prisonersaretortured.Accordingtoannualreports onhumanrightspracticespublishedbyAmnestyInternational(AI)andthe U.S.DepartmentofState,everygovernmentviolatestherightsofsome ofitscitizensineveryyear.Duringthelasttwodecadesofthetwentieth century,over70percentofgovernmentshaveengagedintortureineach year.1 In2012alone,overahundredcountrieswereaccusedoflimiting theircitizens’rightstofreedomofexpression,andthesecurityforces offiftycountrieswerereportedtohaveunlawfullykilledcitizens.2 The mostfrequentvictimsofrepressionaremembersofvulnerablegroups: womenandchildren,elderlypersons,indigenouscultures,andimpoverishedpopulations.3 In2011,forexample,AIreportedthatindigenous peoplesintheAmericasstruggledforgovernmentrecognitionoftheir landrights,andinEuropeandCentralAsia,migrants,theRoma,and lesbian,gay,bisexual,andtransgender(LGBT+)individualscontinued tofacewidespreaddiscrimination.4 Violationsofhumanrightscanhave

1.Cingranelli,Richards,andClay2014;Conrad,Haglund,andMoore2013. 2.AmnestyInternational2013. 3.See,e.g.,Conrad,Haglund,andMoore2013;Rejali2007. 4.AmnestyInternational2012.

widespread,direconsequences:Restrictionsofindividuallibertiesareassociatedwithpovertyandinequality,societalconflict,andnondemocratic governance.

Inthefaceofsuchabuses,individualsallovertheworlddemandthe righttospeaktheirmindsandchallengetheirgovernmentswithoutfear ofdiscriminationorviolentreprisal.Groupsofpeoplewhoopposeexisting policiesorresourceallocationscanworktogethertopressurethegovernmentforchange,peacefullyorviolently;authoritiescanendordeterthe popularthreatbyrepressing,accommodating,oradaptinginoneofmany otherways.Evenindemocracies,majoritiesandotherpowerfulgroupsmay supportrepressionbecausetheyderivepowerfrommaintainingthestatus quo.5 Asininternationalconflict,domesticdiscriminationandviolenceare extensionsofbargainingoverdisputedpoliciesandresources.Manypeople seegovernmentrepressionasanaturalpartofpolitics.

Victims,humanrightsadvocates,andpolicymakerscontinuallysearch forwaystoendgovernmentabusesandtheirheinousindividualandsocial consequences.Theremedymostoftensuggestedislaw.Governmentsand internationalorganizationsaliketurntolawsandcourtstoidentify,stop, andpreventviolationsofhumanrights.Lawsdefineindividualrights, layingoutthegovernment’sobligationswithregardtopeople’ssecurity; courtsadjudicateviolationswhentheyoccursothattheycanberectified.6 Unlikemanyotherdemocraticinstitutions,theruleoflawisintendedto protectminoritiesfromthewill(andabuse)ofthemajority,andlawand courtsarethusidealforprotectingvulnerablepopulationsfromviolations ofhumanrights.7

Thisisthedrivingideabehindinternationalhumanrightstreaties (HRTs),designedinthewakeofWorldWarIItoprotectcitizenrightsfrom governmentintrusion.8 Inratifyinganinternationalhumanrightstreaty, nationalgovernmentspubliclycommitthemselvestoprotecttherightsof personsundertheirdomesticrule.Theselawsexplicitlydefinetherights towhichpeopleareentitled,aswellasthelegaldutiesoftheratifying countriestoprotectpeoplefromtheinfringementofthoserights.Some treatiesarebroad,governingawideswathofhumanrightsandrelevant populations(liketheInternationalCovenantonCivilandPoliticalRights). Othersaremorespecific,definingtherightsandobligationswithregardto

5.Conrad,Hill,andMoore2017.

6.See,e.g.,Cross1999;Hathaway2005;Keith2002b;Moustafa2007;Powelland Staton2009.

7.Conrad,Hill,andMoore2017.

8.Anumberofprominentscholarshavewrittendetailed,informativeaccounts ofthehistoricaldevelopmentoftheinternationalhumanrightsregime,including Simmons(2009,Chapter2)andHafner-Burton(2013,Chapter4).

oneviolation(liketorture,asintheUNConventionAgainstTortureand OtherCruel,InhumanorDegradingTreatmentorPunishment)oroffering specificprotectionstoonegroup(likechildren,asintheUNConventionon theRightsoftheChild).

Governmentleadersfacedomesticandinternationalpressuretoobligate themselvestointernationalhumanrightslaw.Domesticactors,including nongovernmentalorganizations(NGOs),unions,andpoliticalopposition parties,encourageheadsofstatetosignhumanrightstreaties.9 Internationalleadersandinstitutionsalsopressuregovernments,usingavariety ofpunishmentsandrewardstoencouragethemtocommittointernational standardsbasedonanassumptionthattreatieswillpositivelyinfluence governmentalrightsprotections.10 Victimsandadvocatesoftenactas iftreatieshavethelegalandpoliticalstrengthtobindauthoritieswho wouldviolaterights.Theyrefertointernationalobligationstoprotectin domesticcourtcases,inprotests,innewsreports,andinsocialmovement campaigns.

Butdoesinternationalhumanrightslawactuallyreducegovernment repression?Althoughhumanrightstreatiesclearlydefineobligations andarelegallybinding,theyrarelyincludemechanismsfordomestic orinternationalenforcement.Signatorygovernmentsmustrestrain themselvesandtheiragents,eitherbycreatingdomesticinstitutions thatpunishrightsviolationsorchoosingontheirownnotto repress.

Withoutinherentenforcement,scholars,policymakers,andevendissidentsexpecthumanrightstreatiesto“work”onlywhensignatorieswould notviolaterightsanyway;inotherwords,treatiesconstrainrepression onlyintheabsenceofadomesticthreattopower.Governmentauthoritieswillallowthemselvestobeconstrainedbytreatiesonlywhenthey canusetacticsotherthanrepressiontoeffectivelycontrolchallenges. Institutionsthatallowforpeacefulleaderreplacement,forinstance,are morelikelytoprotectrightswhenoppositiongroupspushforelectoral turnover.11

If,instead,theypredominantlyrepresswhenchallenged,governments ignoretheirinternationalobligations.Autocraticregimesarefrequently signatoriestointernationalhumanrightstreatieswhileviolatingthe treaties’termswithimpunity.Forexample,countriesincludingtheDemocraticRepublicofCongo,China,Egypt,Syria,andmanyothershaveratified

9.Hafner-Burton2009.

10.FinnemoreandSikkink1998;KeckandSikkink1998;Risse,Ropp,andSikkink 1999.

11.Hafner-Burton,Hyde,andJablonski2014.

Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook