Q1 |
MARKET Update
1
2021
Definitions Residential rental properties: 1) Newer residential rental properties are properties that have been occupied after 31.12. 1991 and thus covered by the rules on free/market rent according to the Danish Residential Rent Regulation Act section 15 A et al. 2) Older residential rental properties are properties that have been occupied before 31.12. 1991 and are regulated in accordance with the provisions of the Danish Residential Rent Regulation Act on cost-determined rent. 3) Fully developed older residential rental properties are older home rental properties without further potential for rent increases through modernization pursuant to section 5 (2) of the Danish Residential Rent Regulation Act.
Location and condition: Yield and rent levels estimates are based on primary, secondary and tertiary categories, where primary is the best and tertiary is the worst. Various variables for each property type have been taken into consideration with regards to determine the facility classes, such as: size, floor plan structure, year of construction, lifts, climate control, cabling infrastructure, staff facilities, customer facilities, parking facilities, building energy rating, ceiling height, general accessibility, general condition of the property, etc. Primary: A property with prime location and class A facilities has the best possible location in an area, the highest standard when it comes to facilities, is modern and ready to move into. This type of property will typically be sold at the lowest yield in the area, have the highest market rent and have a short reletting process.
Data for available commercial premises: The source of available commercial premises is the latest available supply statistics from Ejendomstorvet. Further information about these statistics can be found at ejendomstorvet.dk/statistic/udbudsstatistik.
Secondary: Average in terms of location and condition. Yield and rent levels also reflect the average levels for the area. The re-rental options are market compliant and reflect the general market conditions.
Trends: All trends reflect our expectations to the level in 12 months time. The figure is expected to increase The figure is expected to remain unchanged The figure is expected to decrease
Tertiary: Poor location for the area, low standard and outdated. This type of property is expected to be able to be sold at a relatively high yield level and the rent level is low for the defined area. Similarly, vacancy rates can be expected to be higher than the market average.
Note on estimates: The valuation of a property depends on many specific factors, including conditions of the lease, the tenant and the property condition. The estimates cannot be used uncritically in the valuation of one specific property but can serve as input related to the valuation. Reproduction or citation only with acknowledgement of source. While every effort has been made to ensure that the information provided is accurate, EDC International Poul Erik accepts no liability for errors.
Yield: All yields are net initial yields and is defined as the annualised rent generated by the property, after the deduction of estimated annual irrecoverable property outgoings, expressed as a percentage of the property valuation (property valuation is adjusted for the value of rental deposits and prepaid rent). For comparison purposes it is assumed that all properties are fully let at market-conform conditions. Market Rent: All rents are headline rents, in other words the contracted gross rent receivable which becomes payable after any tenant incentives have expired. Market rent estimates are expressed in DKK/sq m/year. It is assumed that all properties are let at market-conform conditions.
2
The Danish economy Annual GDP growth
Employees
4%
2,8 Million
2% 2,7 0%
-2% 2,6 -4%
-6%
2,5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Estimated growth rates
Growth rates
Source: Statistics Denmark
Source: Statistics Denmark and Danmarks Nationalbank
Rebound in 2021 GDP in Denmark is expected to rebound in 2021 after a sharp decline in 2020 due to lockdowns in connection with the COVID-19. It should be stressed that the rebound is dependant upon COVID-19 contagion not worsening and the vaccinations beginning to have an effect.
Uncertain times The number of employees initially fell by a total of 81,000 people since February due to the economic crisis in connection with COVID-19. During the summer, employment grew by 25,000 people, however in recent months employment growth has slowed down and may indeed be negative in the coming months.
Interest rates
Consumer confidence indicator
4%
20
3% 10
2% 0 1%
-10 0%
-1%
-20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Short-term interest rate
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Statistics Denmark
10 year treasury bond
Source: Statistics Denmark and Finance Denmark
Negative consumer confidence Consumer confidence for January 2021 is -4.1 and is thus significantly negative but remains above the average of the past six months. The primary reason for the negative consumer confidence is consumers’ assessment of Denmark’s current economic situation compared to a year ago.
Rates reverting towards the mean After an initial hike in the interest rates at the end of March 2020, short interest rates have been trending downwards, and are now only slightly higher than the average in 2019. Similarly, the 10 year treasury bond yields are at a vey low level with a historically small gap to the short interest rates.
3
Selected transactions Residential Rental Properties Project/adress
City
sq m
Price in mill. DKK*
Price per sq m*
Seller
Buyer
HD Portefølje
Several
777,100
12,100
15,600 DKK
Niam
Heimstaden
NREP Portefølje
Several
50,000
1,900
38,000 DKK
NREP
Velliv
Birch Ejendomme Portefølje
Several
70,513
1,500
21,300 DKK
Birch Ejendomme
Goldman Sachs & Rubik Properties
A-huset
Copenhagen
22,310
970
43,480 DKK
A-House TopCo ApS
Denmark Primo Holding ApS
Amager Strandvej 60 etc.
Copenhagen
13,511
585
43,300 DKK
Gefion
Europa capital LLB
Fabricius-Bjerre Portefølje
Copenhagen
14,077
511
36,300 DKK
Faricius-Bjerre
Vision Ejendomme
Østerbro boligejendomme
Copenhagen
10,996
454
41,300 DKK
Commercial Real Estate Denmark
Pensam
Odense
24,865
438
17,600 DKK
NREP
Aberdeen Standard Investment
Copenhagen
9,234
351
38,000 DKK
Bonava
NREP
Ballerup
11,000
350
31,800 DKK
2E
NREP
Nørrebrogade 155 etc.
Copenhagen
10,231
348
34,000 DKK
Nørrebro Holding 2019 ApS
Coop Ejendomme
Robert Jacobsens Vej 63-65
Copenhagen
7,710
330
42,800 DKK
E3 Holding ApS & Morten Thøgersen Invest ApS
Formuepleje Ejendomme
Karlslunde
8,198
237
28,900 DKK
Strandhaverne Karlslunde ApS
Ejendomsselskabet Strandåparken A/S
Hillerød
8,200
233
28,400 DKK
Milnersvej 45 Hillerød P/S
NIAM
Rådhuspladsen 4 m.fl.
Copenhagen
16,700
740
44,300 DKK
Aberdeen Standard Investment
AM Alpha
Portland Towers
Nordhavn
12,753
700
54,900 DKK
ATP, PensionDanmark & PFA
Hines
Niam Portefølje
Several
32,627
650
19,900 DKK
Niam
Confidential
Carlsbergbyen portefølje
Copenhagen
10,000
420
42,000 DKK
Carlsbergbyen
Reinvest Asset Management S.A.
Lersø Parkallé 38
Copenhagen
13,100
232
17,700 DKK
Dreyers Fond
Other investor
Aalborg Storcenter
Aalborg
52,000
1,420
27,300 DKK
ATP Ejendomme
Danske Shoppingcentre
Rema 1000 Portefølje
Several
Confidential
1,200
Confidential
Rema 1000
Savills Investment Management
Rugårdsvej 2 Fasanrækkerne 2E Portefølje
Strandhaven Karlslunde Milnersvej 45
Office
Retail
*Price and price per sq m is estimated for several properties.
4
Selected lettings Office Project/adress
City
sq m
Owner
Tenant
Gammel Køge Landevej 59
Valby
15,900
GKL 59 ApS
Genmab A/S
Herredsvej
Vejle
3,750
Exxit 59
Good Food Group A/S
Støvring
4,120
Søren Enggaard A/S
Atarex ApS
Bredgade 66
Copenhagen
1,050
3Shape A/S
Maersk
Njalsgade 19D
Copenhagen
1,075
Njalsgade Komplekset ApS
Boozt Innovation Lab
Hedeager 3
Aarhus
1,230
P/S Hedeager 1-5
Region Midtjylland
Dusager 2
Aarhus
1,190
ATP Ejendomme
iAdvice ApS
Åboulevarden 17A
Aarhus
1,010
ATP Ejendomme
Fonden Mødrehjælpen
Copenhagen
700
Ejendomsselskabet Vognmagergade 11 ApS
Kruso A/S
Hellerup
950
Newsec Pam A/S
F5
Industriens Hus
Copenhagen
260
DI
Skandinavisk Motor Co.
Kristen Bernikows Gade 9
Copenhagen
430
Aviva & PSP Investments
KBG9 ApS
Aarhus
1,200
&Aplace A/S
Søstrene Grene Import A/S
Copenhagen
490
Grøn 3 ApS
Art Investment ApS
Hillerød
1,140
Slangerupgade 6 ApS
Hillerød Madmarked A/S
Helgeshøj Allé 12-14
Taastrup
17,500
Velliv Ejendomme Logistik A/S
Scan Global
Taastrupgårdsvej 28
Taastrup
4,800
Ff Capital A/S
Region Hovedstaden
Sleipnersvej 2
Køge
4,900
United Denmark 2020 Propco K/S
PostNord
Sleipnersvej 2
Køge
2,450
United Denmark 2020 Propco K/S
DKI Logistics
Porsborgparken 8
Landemærket 10,6.sal Tuborg Havnevej 7
Retail
Kannikegade 4 / Skt. Clemens Trov 11 Grønnegade 3, st. Slangerupgade 6 ST MF
Industrial
5
Residential rental
newer properties
Yield in %, annual market rent in DKK/sq m incl. operating expenses and trends for the next 12 months Area Central Copenhagen
Østerbro, Frederiksberg and Gentofte
Harbour areas
Ørestad
Remaining Copenhagen
Western suburbs
Northern suburbs
North Zealand
East Zealand
West Zealand
South Zealand
Odense
Other Funen
Vejle
Kolding
Fredericia
Esbjerg
Other South Jutland
Aarhus
Silkeborg
Herning
Viborg
Aalborg
Hjørring
Frederikshavn
Prime Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m
6
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
2,050 DKK
1,750 DKK
1,400 DKK
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
2,000 DKK
1,750 DKK
1,450 DKK
3.50%
4.00%
4.25%
2,000 DKK
1,725 DKK
1,425 DKK
4.00%
4.25%
4.50%
1,775 DKK
1,625 DKK
1,325 DKK
4.00%
4.25%
4.50%
1,750 DKK
1,625 DKK
1,325 DKK
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
1,650 DKK
1,400 DKK
1,100 DKK
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
1,750 DKK
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
4.25%
4.75%
5.25%
1,200 DKK
1,650 DKK
1,500 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
5.75%
1,700 DKK
1,200 DKK
900 DKK
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
1,300 DKK
1.000 DKK
900 DKK
4.75%
5.50%
6.50%
1,300 DKK
950 DKK
800 DKK
4.25%
4.75%
5.25%
1,350 DKK
1,200 DKK
1,000 DKK
5.00%
6.25%
6.75%
1,150 DKK
900 DKK
800 DKK
4.25%
4.50%
4.75%
1,350 DKK
1,100 DKK
900 DKK
4.75%
5.50%
6.00%
1,250 DKK
1,050 DKK
850 DKK
4.75%
5.75%
6.25%
1,250 DKK
1,050 DKK
800 DKK
4.50%
5.25%
6.00%
1,100 DKK
900 DKK
600 DKK
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
1,050 DKK
850 DKK
650 DKK
3.75%
4.25%
4.75%
1,750 DKK
1,450 DKK
1,300 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
6.50%
1,400 DKK
1,100 DKK
950 DKK
4.50%
5.00%
6.50%
1,100 DKK
1,000 DKK
900 DKK
4.50%
4.75%
5.25%
1,200 DKK
1.000 DKK
750 DKK
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
1,250 DKK
1,050 DKK
850 DKK
5.50%
6.25%
7.00%
1,100 DKK
875 DKK
675 DKK
6.00%
6.75%
7.50%
1,000 DKK
850 DKK
650 DKK
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
Residential rental
fully developed properties
Yield in %, annual rent in DKK/sq m incl. operating expenses and trends for the next 12 months Area Central Copenhagen
Østerbro, Frederiksberg and Gentofte
Remaining Copenhagen
Western suburbs
Northern suburbs
North Zealand
East Zealand
West Zealand
South Zealand
Odense
Other Funen
Vejle
Kolding
Fredericia
Esbjerg
Other South Jutland
Aarhus
Silkeborg
Herning
Viborg
Aalborg
Hjørring
Frederikshavn
Prime Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual rent in DKK/sq m
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
3.75%
4.50%
5.25%
1,750 DKK
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
3.75%
4.50%
5.25%
1,700 DKK
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
4.00%
4.75%
5.50%
1,650 DKK
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
5.75%
1,600 DKK
1,525 DKK
1,225 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
6.00%
1,500 DKK
1,450 DKK
1,225 DKK
4.50%
5.00%
6.00%
1,400 DKK
1,300 DKK
1,200 DKK
4.50%
5.25%
6.00%
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
1,000 DKK
5.25%
6.50%
7.25%
700 DKK
1,100 DKK
900 DKK
4.75%
5.50%
7.00%
1.300 DKK
1.100 DKK
850 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
5.50%
900 DKK
850 DKK
800 DKK
5.25%
5.75%
7.00%
800 DKK
700 DKK
600 DKK
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
1,100 DKK
1,000 DKK
800 DKK
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
1,100 DKK
1,000 DKK
850 DKK
5.75%
6.25%
6.75%
1,000 DKK
800 DKK
700 DKK
5.00%
5.75%
6.50%
1,000 DKK
800 DKK
600 DKK
5.75%
6.00%
6.50%
1,000 DKK
950 DKK
750 DKK
3.50%
4.25%
5.00%
1,575 DKK
1,350 DKK
1,150 DKK
4.50%
5.50%
6.75%
1,300 DKK
875 DKK
550 DKK
4.75%
5.50%
6.50%
1,000 DKK
900 DKK
700 DKK
4.75%
5.50%
7.00%
1,100 DKK
850 DKK
650 DKK
4.00%
4.75%
5.50%
1,150 DKK
1,100 DKK
900 DKK
5.50%
6.50%
7.25%
900 DKK
800 DKK
700 DKK
6.00%
7.00%
7.75%
850 DKK
750 DKK
650 DKK
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
7
Residential rental
older properties
Yield in percent and trends for the next 12 months Area
Prime
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
Central Copenhagen
Yield in %
1.25%
2.75%
4.00%
Østerbro, Frederiksberg and Gentofte
Yield in %
1.25%
2.75%
4.00%
Remaining Copenhagen
Yield in %
2.50%
3.00%
4.25%
Western suburbs
Yield in %
3.75%
4.50%
5.25%
Northern suburbs
Yield in %
3.75%
4.50%
5.75%
North Zealand
Yield in %
4.25%
4.75%
5.75%
East Zealand
Yield in %
4.00%
5.00%
5.75%
West Zealand
Yield in %
5.50%
7.00%
8.00%
South Zealand
Yield in %
4.75%
5.25%
6.75%
Odense
Yield in %
3.75%
4.50%
5.25%
Other Funen
Yield in %
5.25%
5.50%
7.00%
Vejle
Yield in %
4.75%
5.25%
5.75%
Kolding
Yield in %
5.25%
5.75%
6.25%
Fredericia
Yield in %
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
Esbjerg
Yield in %
4.25%
5.00%
6.00%
Other South Jutland
Yield in %
5.50%
6.00%
6.25%
Aarhus
Yield in %
1.75%
3.25%
4.75%
Silkeborg
Yield in %
4.00%
5.00%
5.75%
Herning
Yield in %
5.00%
5.50%
6.50%
Viborg
Yield in %
4.50%
5.50%
7.00%
Aalborg
Yield in %
2.75%
4.00%
5.25%
Hjørring
Yield in %
5.25%
6.25%
7.00%
Frederikshavn
Yield in %
5.75%
6.75%
7.50%
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
8
9
Office Yield in %, annual market rent in DKK/sq m incl. operating expenses and trends for the next 12 months Area Central Copenhagen
Østerbro, Frederiksberg and Gentofte
Harbour areas
Ørestad
Remaining Copenhagen
Western suburbs
Northern suburbs
North Zealand
East Zealand
West Zealand
South Zealand
Odense
Other Funen
Vejle
Kolding
Fredericia
Esbjerg
Other South Jutland
Aarhus
Silkeborg
Herning
Viborg
Aalborg
Hjørring
Frederikshavn
Prime Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m
10
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
3.50%
4.50%
7.50%
2,600 DKK
1,750 DKK
1,300 DKK
3.75%
4.75%
7.75%
2,350 DKK
1,500 DKK
1,200 DKK
3.50%
4.50%
7.50%
2,600 DKK
1,850 DKK
1,600 DKK
4.00%
5.00%
8.00%
2,050 DKK
1,600 DKK
1,300 DKK
4.25%
5.25%
8.25%
1,800 DKK
1,300 DKK
900 DKK
5.25%
6.75%
9.25%
1,400 DKK
850 DKK
500 DKK
5.50%
6.00%
8.25%
1,800 DKK
1,350 DKK
750 DKK
6.00%
6.50%
8.50%
1,400 DKK
1,000 DKK
700 DKK
6.50%
7.00%
10.50%
1,400 DKK
900 DKK
350 DKK
7.00%
8.00%
10.00%
900 DKK
600 DKK
300 DKK
7.00%
7.50%
11.00%
1,100 DKK
800 DKK
300 DKK
6.00%
7.50%
10.00%
1,250 DKK
800 DKK
500 DKK
7.50%
8.50%
12.00%
800 DKK
600 DKK
400 DKK
5.75%
7.50%
10.00%
1,450 DKK
1,000 DKK
600 DKK
6.25%
7.75%
10.00%
1,300 DKK
900 DKK
500 DKK
6.75%
8.00%
9.50%
1,250 DKK
900 DKK
550 DKK
6.50%
8.00%
10.00%
1,050 DKK
850 DKK
500 DKK
6.50%
7.50%
11.50%
1,100 DKK
700 DKK
400 DKK
4.25%
5.50%
8.25%
1,800 DKK
1,450 DKK
600 DKK
5.75%
6.75%
9.00%
1,150 DKK
700 DKK
350 DKK
5.75%
6.75%
9.00%
900 DKK
600 DKK
375 DKK
6.00%
7.00%
9.00%
850 DKK
650 DKK
400 DKK
5.25%
6.00%
7.00%
1,200 DKK
850 DKK
500 DKK
6.50%
7.25%
10.75%
850 DKK
500 DKK
350 DKK
6.75%
7.50%
11.00%
800 DKK
450 DKK
300 DKK
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
Office
availability
Available office space as a percentage of building stock 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2%
Capital Region of Denmark
Region Zealand
Region of Southern Denmark
Central Denmark Region
North Denmark Region
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
0%
Denmark, total
Source: Ejendomstorvet-ED Statistikken, data as of 1 January 2021
11
Retail Yield in %, annual market rent in DKK/sq m incl. operating expenses and trends for the next 12 months Area Strøget
Central Copenhagen
Østerbro, Frederiksberg and Gentofte
Harbour areas
Ørestad
Remaining Copenhagen
Western suburbs
Northern suburbs
North Zealand
East Zealand
West Zealand
South Zealand
Odense
Other Funen
Vejle
Kolding
Fredericia
Esbjerg
Other South Jutland
Aarhus
Silkeborg
Herning
Viborg
Aalborg
Hjørring
Frederikshavn
Prime Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
3.50%
4.00%
4.75%
18,000 DKK
7,500 DKK
6,000 DKK
4.25%
5.25%
6.25%
6,500 DKK
2,500 DKK
1,600 DKK
4.25%
5.25%
6.75%
3,500 DKK
2,500 DKK
1,400 DKK
4.25%
5.00%
5.75%
2,500 DKK
1,800 DKK
1,500 DKK
4.50%
5.50%
7.00%
2,200 DKK
1,500 DKK
1,200 DKK
4.50%
5.50%
7.00%
3,000 DKK
1,700 DKK
850 DKK
5.75%
6.00%
8.75%
2,500 DKK
1,500 DKK
800 DKK
5.25%
5.75%
7.50%
4,500 DKK
1,600 DKK
700 DKK
6.00%
6.50%
7.75%
3,600 DKK
1,500 DKK
650 DKK
6.50%
7.25%
8.50%
2,700 DKK
900 DKK
425 DKK
7.00%
8.50%
10.00%
1,800 DKK
700 DKK
400 DKK
6.00%
7.00%
9.00%
2,000 DKK
800 DKK
400 DKK
6.25%
7.25%
8.25%
5,000 DKK
1,500 DKK
550 DKK
7.75%
9.25%
10.25%
2,000 DKK
750 DKK
400 DKK
5.75%
6.50%
7.50%
3,000 DKK
1,300 DKK
500 DKK
6.50%
7.00%
8.50%
1,800 DKK
1,200 DKK
475 DKK
6.50%
7.25%
9.25%
1,700 DKK
1,100 DKK
475 DKK
7.00%
8.00%
9.50%
2,500 DKK
1,100 DKK
500 DKK
6.50%
7.25%
9.25%
1,700 DKK
1,200 DKK
500 DKK
4.50%
5.25%
7.00%
6,500 DKK
2,700 DKK
900 DKK
5.50%
6.50%
8.75%
2,450 DKK
1,000 DKK
500 DKK
5.50%
6.50%
8.75%
2,000 DKK
1,000 DKK
500 DKK
5.50%
6.50%
8.00%
2,500 DKK
1,000 DKK
475 DKK
4.75%
6.00%
8.00%
4,000 DKK
1,750 DKK
950 DKK
6.50%
7.50%
9.75%
1,250 DKK
725 DKK
400 DKK
7.00%
8.00%
10.25%
1,100 DKK
675 DKK
350 DKK
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
Retail
availability
Available retail space as a percentage of building stock 5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
Capital Region of Denmark
Region Zealand
Region of Southern Denmark
Central Denmark Region
North Denmark Region
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
0%
Denmark, total
Source: Ejendomstorvet-ED Statistikken, data as of 1 January 2021
13
Industrial Yield in %, annual market rent in DKK/sq m incl. operating expenses and trends for the next 12 months Area Remaining Copenhagen
Western suburbs
Northern suburbs
North Zealand
East Zealand
West Zealand
South Zealand
Odense
Other Funen
Vejle
Kolding
Fredericia
Esbjerg
Other South Jutland
Aarhus
Silkeborg
Herning
Viborg
Aalborg
Hjørring
Frederikshavn
Prime Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m Yield in % Annual market rent in DKK/sq m
Secondary
Tertiary
Trend
4.75%
6.75%
9.00%
800 DKK
500 DKK
375 DKK
5.50%
7.25%
9.50%
650 DKK
500 DKK
375 DKK
6.25%
7.75%
9.00%
625 DKK
475 DKK
350 DKK
6.50%
8.00%
9.50%
600 DKK
450 DKK
325 DKK
6.00%
8.00%
10.25%
600 DKK
425 DKK
300 DKK
7.50%
9.00%
10.25%
425 DKK
300 DKK
200 DKK
7.00%
8.00%
10.25%
500 DKK
375 DKK
300 DKK
6.75%
8.25%
10.00%
500 DKK
350 DKK
250 DKK
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
400 DKK
300 DKK
200 DKK
6.50%
9.00%
11.50%
450 DKK
375 DKK
250 DKK
6.50%
9.00%
10.00%
425 DKK
350 DKK
225 DKK
6.00%
8.75%
10.00%
575 DKK
350 DKK
225 DKK
7.00%
8.50%
10.50%
375 DKK
275 DKK
175 DKK
7.00%
9.00%
11.75%
425 DKK
300 DKK
175 DKK
6.00%
7.50%
9.75%
550 DKK
425 DKK
300 DKK
6.50%
8.00%
10.25%
450 DKK
300 DKK
125 DKK
7.50%
8.75%
10.50%
275 DKK
175 DKK
100 DKK
6.25%
7.75%
10.00%
425 DKK
325 DKK
250 DKK
6.25%
7.50%
9.00%
425 DKK
325 DKK
250 DKK
7.00%
9.00%
11.00%
375 DKK
300 DKK
175 DKK
7.25%
9.50%
11.75%
375 DKK
275 DKK
150 DKK
Source: EDC International Poul Erik Bech, data as of 15 January 2021
14
Industrial
availability
Available retail space as a percentage of building stock 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Capital Region of Denmark
Region Zealand
Region of Southern Denmark
Central Denmark Region
North Denmark Region
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
0%
Denmark, total
Source: Ejendomstorvet-ED Statistikken, data as of 1 January 2021
15
Stay updated on the market situation www.poulerikbech.dk/en Copenhagen Herlev Hillerød Roskilde Køge Næstved Slagelse Odense Kolding Aabenraa Sønderborg Esbjerg Vejle Herning Silkeborg Aarhus Viborg Aalborg
+45 5858 8616 +45 5858 8629 +45 5858 8630 +45 5858 8510 +45 5858 8511 +45 5858 8512 +45 5858 8513 +45 5858 8514 +45 5858 8515 +45 5858 8516 +45 5858 8517 +45 5858 8518 +45 5858 8519 +45 5858 8565 +45 5858 8562 +45 5858 8521 +45 5858 8520 +45 5858 8522
International +45 5858 8563 Research +45 5858 8564 Agriculture +45 5858 8574 Capital Markets +45 5858 8572