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Japan Retail MarketView Q1 2024

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MarketView | JAPAN RETAIL | Q1 2024

MARKETVIEW | JAPAN RETAIL | Q1 2024

Average rents rise in seven of 10 areas, exceeding pre-pandemic levels in Kyoto -1.8pts Q-o-Q Ginza Vacancy Rate

±0.0% Q-o-Q Ginza Average Rent

-1.3pts Q-o-Q Shinsaibashi Vacancy Rate

+8.0% Q-o-Q

±0.0pts Q-o-Q

Shinsaibashi Average Rent

Sakae Vacancy Rate

±0.0% Q-o-Q Sakae Average Rent

* As of Q1 2024, the term "High Street rent" has been changed to “Average rent".

– The supply-demand balance remains tight nationwide, with three areas now operating with vacancy rates below 1%. While a lack of availability is likely to slow the pace of new store openings in the coming quarters, strong leasing demand should ensure rents trend upward.

神戸

天神

Tenjin

京都

Sakae

心斎橋

Kobe

渋谷

Shinsaibashi

新宿

Shibuya

JPY/tsubo

– Vacancies were filled by outdoor and sporting goods brands, fashion brands, and luxury goods brands. Appetite was particularly robust from the outdoor/sporting goods sector, with retailers looking for relatively large units in high street areas throughout the country.

表参道・原宿

Shinjuku

銀座

Omotesando Harajuku

– The steepest drop in vacancy rate from the previous quarter was recorded in Shibuya, which registered a fall of -3.4 pp. as retailers from a wide range of sectors, including sporting goods and jewelry, opened new stores. The most significant rise in average rents was seen in Kyoto, which logged gains of +14.0%, as retailer appetite was stimulated by an increase in foreign tourists.

6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0%

Ginza

– In Q1 2024, the vacancy rate fell q-o-q in six of the nine surveyed areas, while average rents rose in seven of 10. Average rents of Kyoto exceeded pre-pandemic levels for the first time, bringing the number of areas with rents above those prior to the pandemic to four (Ginza, Shinsaibashi, Kyoto, Kobe).

Kyoto

Figure 1: Vacancy rate (upper graph) & Average rent (lower graph) in Q1 2024

300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

Q4 2019

Q1 2024

Source: CBRE, Q1 2024

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