Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter
March 29,2016 Vol 7,Issue III
1
www.ricepluss.com
www.riceplusmagazine.blogspot.com
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter
Egypt Cancels Tender to Purchase Unspecified Amount of Rice Mar 28, 2016
Egypt's state grain buyer General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) has cancelled a tender to purchase an unspecified amount of rice for delivery from April 20 to May 10, 2016, according to Reuters. The Vice Chairman of the GASC did not give a reason for the cancellation. However, traders reportedly told that the agency received only two valid offers (both for Indian rice) for the tender, and it rejected another offer for lack of necessary paperwork. The official noted that another tender seeking an unspecified amount of rice will be held with deadline for offers on April 2, 2016. The tender was aimed at ensuring uninterrupted rice supplies for the state subsidized rice program as local traders have been hoarding rice in expectation of high prices. This is the second tender since the Egyptian government announced the removal of export ban with certain conditions. The GASC cancelled the first tender in January 27 to give more time to suppliers to issue necessary paperwork.
USDA Post Forecasts Tanzania MY 2015-16 Rice Imports to Increase Sharply on Higher Consumption Mar 28, 2016
The USDA Post forecasts Tanzania's MY 2015-16 (May - April) rice imports to increase about 60% to around 160,000 tons from an estimated 100,000 tons in MY 2014-15, and up from USDA's official estimates of around 150,000 tons as consumption is likely to surpass production. Currently Tanzania imports rice from China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Vietnam. The Post forecasts Tanzania's MY 2015-16 rice consumption at around 1.8 million tons from an estimated 1.7 million tons last year, and milled rice production at around 1.75 million tons from an estimated 1.7 million tons. It expects consumption to increase due to higher urban population, higher incomes, and increasing preference for rice.
2
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter It forecasts Tanzania's MY 2015-16 rice exports to remain stable at last year's level of around 30,000 tons.
The Post forecasts consumption, production and imports to increase in MY 2016-17 as well.
Oryza CBOT Rough Rice Futures Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Begin the Week on Negative Tone; Wheat Rallies amid U.S. Weather Concerns Mar 29, 2016
Chicago rough rice futures for May delivery settled 4 cents were cwt (about $1 per ton) lower at $10.265 per cwt (about $226 per ton). The other grains finished the day higher; Soybeans closed about 0.6% higher at $9.1050 per bushel; wheat finished unchanged at $4.6300 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 0.4% higher at $3.7000 per bushel. 3
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter U.S. stocks traded mostly higher Monday as investors eyed oil prices and awaited data and comments from key Fed policymakers due later in the week. The major averages extended earlier gains in afternoon trade with consumer discretionary and materials leading. Earlier, stocks struggled to hold opening gains. Yellen is due to speak midday Tuesday and investors await indications on when the Fed could next raise rates. Thursday marks the end of the quarter, while the jobs report and ISM manufacturing data are expected Friday. In economic news, consumer spending edged up 0.1% in February, after January's figure was revised lower to show a 0.1% gain versus the previously reported 0.5% rise. Personal income rose 0.2%. Excluding food and energy, prices gained 0.1% after advancing 0.3% in January. In the 12 months through February, the so-called core PCE price index increased 1.7% after a similar increase in January, Reuters said. While U.S. markets were closed for Good Friday, the Commerce Department's third GDP estimate for the fourth quarter showed an annual growth rate of 1.4% instead of the previously reported 1.0% pace. European markets are closed for Easter Monday. Hong Kong markets also remain closed until Tuesday. Asian markets were mixed Monday, with the Nikkei 225 higher and the Shanghai composite slightly lower. In early afternoon trade, the Dow Jones industrial average gained 41 points, or 0.24%, to 17,557. The S&P 500 gained 4 points, or 0.21%, to 2,040, with materials leading six sectors higher and utilities the greatest decliner. The Nasdaq composite traded up 3 points, or 0.07%, to 4,777. Gold is seen trading about 0.2% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 0.5% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.4% lower at about 1:30pm Chicago time. Thursday, there were 848 contracts traded, up from 425 contracts traded on Wednesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Thursday decreased by 137 contracts to 12,511.
Vietnam Rice Quotes Mixed Today; Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged Mar 28, 2016
Vietnam rice sellers lowered their quotes for 15% rice variety by $5 per ton to around $370 $380, and increased their quotes for jasmine and glutinous rice varieties by $15 per ton and $20 per ton to around $475 - $485 per ton and around $610 - $620 per respectively today. Other Asian rice sellers kept their quotes unchanged from Thursday. 5% Broken Rice Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $15 per ton discount to Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $380 - $390 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $30 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice shown at around $335 - $345 per ton. 4
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter 25% Broken Rice Thailand 25% rice is indicated at around $355 - $365 per ton, about $10 per ton discount to Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $365- $375 per ton. India 25% rice is indicated at around $335- $345 per ton, about $30 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice shown at around $305 $315 per ton. Parboiled Rice Thailand parboiled rice is indicated at around $370 - $380 per ton. India parboiled rice is indicated at around $350 - $360 per ton, about $55 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice last shown at around $405 - $415 per ton. 100% Broken Rice Thailand broken rice, A1 Super is indicated at around $330 - $340 per ton, about $20 per ton discount to Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton. India's 100% broken rice is shown at around $265 - $275 per ton, about $20 per ton discount to Pakistan broken sortexed rice shown at around $285 - $295 per ton.
Global Rice Quotes March 29th, 2016 Long grain white rice - high quality Thailand 100% B grade 375-385
↔
Vietnam 5% broken
380-390
↔
India 5% broken
365-375
↔
Pakistan 5% broken
335-345
↔
Myanmar 5% broken
420-430
↔
Cambodia 5% broken
420-430
↔
U.S. 4% broken 440-450
↔
Uruguay 5% broken
435-445
↔
Argentina 5% broken
425-435
↔
Long grain white rice - low quality Thailand 25% broken
355-365
↔ 5
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter Vietnam 25% broken
365-375
↔
Pakistan 25% broken
305-315
↔
Cambodia 25% broken 400-410
↔
India 25% broken
↔
335-345
U.S. 15% broken (sacked)
470-480
↔
370-380
↔
Long grain parboiled rice Thailand parboiled 100% stxd
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd
NQ
↔
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 350-360
↔
U.S. parboiled 4% broken
480-490
↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken
490-510
↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ
↔
Long grain fragrant rice Thailand Hommali 92% 670-680
↔
Vietnam Jasmine
↔
475-485
India basmati 2% broken
NQ
↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken
NQ
↔
Cambodia Phka Mails
755-765
↔
330-340
↔
Vietnam 100% broken 350-360
↔
Brokens Thailand A1 Super
Pakistan 100% broken stxd Cambodia A1 Super
285-295
345-355
↔
India 100% broken stxd 265-275
↔
Egypt medium grain brokens
↔
NQ
↔
6
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter U.S. pet food
315-325
Brazil half grain NQ
↔
↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
Vietnam Exports 1.11 Million Tons of Rice in Jan 1 - March 15, 2016 Mar 28, 2016
Vietnam exported around 1.11 million tons of rice in January 1 - March 15, 2016, compared to around 901,692 tons exported during the first three months last year, according to data from the Vietnam Food Association (VFA). The average rice export price so far in this year stands at $397.33 per ton (FOB), compared to around $434 per ton recorded during the first three months of 2015. In the first half of March 2016, Vietnam exported 253,795 tons of rice, compared to around 480,490 tons of rice exported in March 2015, and compared to around 439,449 tons of rice 7
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter exported in full month of February 2016. The average export price so far in March 2016 stands at around $379 per ton, compared to around $396.5 per ton a year ago and around $405 per ton a month ago.
Vietnam Rice Exports Losing Competitiveness Due to High Prices, Say Experts Mar 28, 2016
Vietnam rice exports are becoming less competitive due to higher prices compared to exports from Thailand and India, local sources quoted the Chairman of the Vietnam Food Association (VFA).Export prices of Vietnam 5% rice increased about $20 per ton since the beginning of March 2016 and are currently quoted at around $380 - $390 per ton. On the other hand, Thai 5%, India 5% and Pakistan 5% rice are quoted at around $365 - $375 per ton, $365 - $375 per ton and $335 - $345 per ton respectively.Some other experts said that Vietnamese exporters may find it difficult to sign new contracts with high volumes due to rising export prices.Exporters have been forced to increase their quotes by about $5 to $10 per ton due to higher domestic prices. Impact
8
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter of El Nino-induced drought conditions, increased salinity and higher demand for rice in border regions have pushed up the domestic prices for the last few weeks, according to local sources. Month-on-month, average wholesale prices of 25% rice in An Giang and Dong Thap in the Mekong River Delta increased about 3% each to around VND 7.425 million (around $333) per ton and VND and 7.375 million (around $332) per ton during March 2016, according to the data from the UN's Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). Actually, domestic prices in Vietnam have been declining since November 2015 due to low export demand.Vietnam exported around 1.11 million tons of rice in January 1 - March 15, 2016, compared to around 901,692 tons exported during the first three months last year, according to data from the Vietnam Food Association (VFA). However, the average FOB price declined to around $397.33 per ton (FOB), compared to around $434 per ton recorded during the first three months of 2015.
Myanmar to Conduct Survey on Local Rice Consumption Mar 28, 2016 The Myanmar Rice Federation (MRF), the Myanmar Rice and Paddy Traders Association and University of Agriculture are planning to jointly conduct a survey on the local rice consumption this year, according to Reuters citing Xinhua News.The survey targets over 4,000 households living in 14 regions and states of the country. It includes rice consumption amount, daily earning of each household and kind of rice they consume.Myanmar does not have the actual data on local rice consumption since last 20 years despite rice being an important export item for the country and the government prioritizing rice exports in its National Export Strategy.Myanmar exported around 830,000 tons of rice in the first ten months of FY 2015-16 (April 2015 - January 2016), down about 15% from around 980,000 exported during the same period last year, according to data from the MRF.USDA estimates Myanmar’s MY 2015-16 (January - December 2016) rice consumption demand at around 10.65 million tons. It estimates Myanmar to produce around 12.2 million tons and export around 1.8 million tons of milled rice during the year.
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Quiet Market as Participants Anticipate New Iraq Tender Mar 29, 2016
The U.S. cash market was quiet and slightly softer today as market participants slowly returned from the long Easter holiday weekend.Analysts report that there was very little buy or sell interest today as both buyers and sellers anticipate the Iraqi Grain Board to issue another white rice tender shortly.Buyers are obviously concerned that if the IGB overlooks U.S. origin yet again, prices will continue to decline; however, farmers are hoping and counting on Washington to put pressure on the IGB so that they throw the U.S. producers a bone and buy at least one cargo from the U.S. Exclusive News have been shared with written permission of ORYZA.com with thanks 9