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HR Market Update

Page 1

The Ba

ic G o p'

Ma ke

Single-Famil Homes

Repo

www.TheBarticGroup.com

H

This week the median list price for Highlands Ranch, CO is $807,000 with the market action index hovering around 99. This is an increase over last month's market action index of 97. Inventor has increased to 44.

Ma ke

This answers How s the Market? b comparing rate of sales versus inventor . 50

Bu er's Market

60

20

80 100

10 0

on

S

90

M

a Tod th

Las t

99 S

Seller's Market

70

30

' Ma

The market continues to get hotter. More sales demand and fewer homes listed have contributed to a relativel long run of increasing prices. Current suppl and demand levels show no sign of prices changing from their current trend.

Ma ke

Ra

Real-Time Ma ke

Ac ion Inde

40

a

, CO

P ofile

Median List Price

$807,000

Median Price of New Listings

$815,000

Per Square Foot

$257

Average Da s on Market

8

Median Da s on Market

0

Price Decreased

20%

Price Increased

0%

Relisted

2%

Inventor

44

Median Rent

$3,000

Market Action

99

S

S

' Ma

Segmen

Each segment below represents approximatel 25% of the market ordered b price. M

a P

S .F.

L

$1,395,000

4,987

$899,000

S

B

Ba

A

N

Ab

0.25 - 0.5 acre

5

4

19

7

4

0

3,851

6,500 - 8,000 sqft

5

4

23

7

4

0

$750,000

2,980

4,500 - 6,500 sqft

4

4

24

5

4

14

$650,000

2,251

4,500 - 6,500 sqft

3

3

26

8

5

0

Thu Apr 28 2022

b

DOM

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The Ba

ic G o p'

Ma ke

Single-Famil Homes

Repo

www.TheBarticGroup.com

Median Li

H

a

Ra

, CO

P ice

Price trends continued their recent uptrend this week. While still below the market s price high-point, we ve seen a nice run recentl . $1.0M

$900K

$800K

$700K

$600K

$500K Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

Ma 2020

Sep 2020

7-Da A

a

Jan 2021

90-Da A

Ma 2021

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

a

Segmen

Pricing in the middle of the market is in an up trend latel , while Quartiles 1 and 4 are mixed. The Market Action Index for Quartiles 1 and 4 can tell us whether the are about to resume an upward price trend or whether we re at the beginning of a decline. $1.8M

$1.5M

$1.3M

$1.0M

$750K

$500K

$250K Ma 2019

Sep 2019

T

Jan 2020

90-Da

Ma 2020

U

Sep 2020

90-Da

Jan 2021

L

90-Da

Thu Apr 28 2022

Ma 2021

B

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

90-Da

3 of 6


The Ba

ic G o p'

Ma ke

Single-Famil Homes

Repo

www.TheBarticGroup.com

P ice Pe

S

H

a

Ra

, CO

a e Foo

In a market where prices are rising fairl consistentl , price per square foot is essentiall flat. This often implies that new homes coming on the market are pricier, and also larger than older homes. As a result the value one can bu sta s the same. $350

$300

$250

$200

$150 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

Ma 2020

7-Da A

Sep 2020

a

Jan 2021

90-Da A

Ma 2021

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

a

In en o

Inventor has been climbing latel . Note that rising inventor alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Da s on Market trends to gauge whether bu er interest is keeping up with available suppl . 200

150

100

50

0 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

Ma 2020

7-Da A

Sep 2020

a

Jan 2021

90-Da A

Thu Apr 28 2022

Ma 2021

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

a

4 of 6


The Ba

ic G o p'

Ma ke

Single-Famil Homes

Repo

www.TheBarticGroup.com

Ma ke

H

a

Ra

, CO

Ac ion Inde

The market continues to get hotter. More sales demand and fewer homes listed have contributed to a relativel long run of increasing prices. Current suppl and demand levels show no sign of prices changing from their current trend. 120

100

80

60

40

20 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

Ma 2020

Sep 2020

7-Da A

Ma ke

a

Jan 2021

90-Da A

Ma 2021

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

a

Ac ion Segmen

Not surprisingl , all segments in the market are showing high levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the whole market changes. Often one end of the market (e.g. the high-end) will weaken before the rest of the market and signal a slowdown for the whole group. 120

100

80

60

40

20 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

T

90-Da

Ma 2020

U

Sep 2020

90-Da

Jan 2021

L

90-Da

Thu Apr 28 2022

Ma 2021

B

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

90-Da

5 of 6


The Ba

ic G o p'

Ma ke

Single-Famil Homes

Repo

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Median Da

H

on Ma ke

a

Ra

, CO

(DOM)

The properties have been on the market for an average of 10 da s. Half of the listings have come newl on the market in the past 1 or so da s. Watch the 90-da DOM trend for signals of a changing market. 80

60

40

20

0 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

Ma 2020

Sep 2020

7-Da A

a

Jan 2021

90-Da A

Ma 2021

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

a

Segmen

It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. 125

100

75

50

25

0 Ma 2019

Sep 2019

Jan 2020

T

90-Da

Ma 2020

U

Sep 2020

90-Da

Jan 2021

L

90-Da

Thu Apr 28 2022

Ma 2021

B

Sep 2021

Jan 2022

90-Da

6 of 6


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HR Market Update by Brendan Bartic - Issuu