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Stratëgie

Le champ de bataille du futur : Technologique, insaisissable et omniprësent Quentin Ladetto, Dr sc. EPFL, directeur du programme de recherche « prospective technologiques» ; Kilian

Wasmer,

Dr sc. , chef du groupe « Anticipation» ;

Pascal Vorös, M.A. HSG, chef de l’ëtat major, tous armasuisse S+T

Le champ de bataille en mutation

et Technologies(S+T) a pour missiond’assurerque le

Traditionnellement, le « champ de bataille » dësigne un espace physique oü se dëroulent des affrontements armës entre forces militaires opposëes, souvent caractërisë par

adëquates

et 1’ami « derriëre », des zones gëographiques dëfinies et des objectifs territoriaux ou stratëgiques. Dans ce cadre classique, les forces terrestres, maritimes et aëriennes s’affrontent avec des rëgles (fengagement ëtablies et des thëätres d’opërations spëcifiques et dëlimitës. Ce modële reprësente un espace de confrontation oÜ l’occupation de territoires et le contrÖle des ressources sont au ccEur des stratëgies militaires. Cette conception pourrait incarner ce que 1’onappelle « la bonne vieille ëpoque >.

les menaces associëes ä Ges technologies avant qu’elles ne

des lignes de front claires oÜl’ennemi setrouvait < devant >

DDPS et en particulier l’Armëe dispose des connaissances pour

anticiper,

ëvaluer

et maltriser

les

technologiesprësentes dans les systëmes et armes non seulement d’aujourd’hui, mais aussi de demain. L’enjeuest d’estimer non seulementles opportunitës mais ëgalement deviennent incontr61ëes.

Pour armasuisseS+T, cetteanticipationimpliquenon

seulement de protëger les intërëts suisses face aux conflits hybrides modernes, mais aussi dorienter les investissements technologiques de fagon stratëgique afin doptimiser les ressources. Cette approche proactive soutient la dëfense nationale en garantissant l’accës ä des technologies critiques,

adaptëes aux spëcificitës

Aujourd’hui, le champ de bataille s’ëtend bien au-delä helvëtiques. Elle contribue ëgalement ä l’indëpendance et des espaces physiques traditionnels pour englober ä la rësilience de la Suisse dans un contexte international des domaines

immatëriels, globaux et mondiaux. II inclut dësormais des dimensions numëriques, informationnelles et ëconomiques, oü les frontiëres

otr la supërioritë technologique et 1’innovation sont au

entre rëgions et pays mais aussi entre guerre et paix

s’effacent. Les conflits incluront certainement – car ils incluent dëjä - des cyberattaques,en particulier sur des infrastructures critiques, des guerres informationnelles cherchant ä influencer l’opinion publique, tout comme des

L’incertitude

dëstabilisations ëconomiques et politiques.

amplifiëes par la vitesse des avancëes technologiques et la convergence de domaines autrefois distincts. Ces ëvolutions rendent les menaces imprëvisibles et accentuentla difficultë d’anticiper les scënarios. Relever ce dëfi exige cfimaginer, parfois ä la maniëre de la science-fiction, des usages et des

Le champ de bataille du futur redëfinit ainsi la notion de guerre : il intëgre des technologies de pointe (Intelligence artificielle (AI), robots autonomes, cybersëcuritë, survei11ance

biomëtrique,

etc.)

mais

ëgalement

cmur de la sëcuritë nationale.

et la complexitë des conflits futurs sont

vulnërabilitës encore invisibles. En mobilisant la crëativitë

et des activitës de prospective, armasuisse S+T s’est dotë d’un dispositif danticipation capable de contribuer ä des stratëgies adaptëes aux ëvolutions technologiques dans un monde oü les applications civiles et militaires se

l’augmentation humaine (augmentation, physique, confondent de plus en plus. sensorielle

et cognitive,

modifications

biologiques et

gënëtiques) et engage des acteurs variës, au-delä des seuls Etats-nations. Celui-ci implique des entreprises, des individus et des institutions civiles dans un contexte oü la guerre devient totale et universelle, touchant potentiellement tous les aspects de la sociëtë.

High-Tech : Lëtalitë et automatisation

En tant que centre de compëtencestechnologiquesdu

une prëcision renforcëe et une plus grande distance physique entre les centres de dëcision et le champ de bataille. En intëgrant des capacitësd’observationet de

Dëpartement fëdëral suisse de la dëfense,de la protection de la population et des sports (DDPS), armasuisse Science

Les technologies digitales transforment les stratëgies militaires et accëlërentde maniëre significativechaque

ëtape du cycle OODA (Observer, Orienter, Dëcider, Agir). Elles permettent une vitesse d’action inëdite,

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