Florida & Metro Forecast 2021 Quarter 2

Page 149

W E S T PA L M B E A C H - B O C A R ATO N - B OY N TO N B E A C H

Short Term Outlook for West Palm Beach-Boca Raton-Delray Beach, FL (Division of Miami MSA) July 2021 2021:Q2 2021:Q3 2021:Q4 2022:Q1 2022:Q2 2022:Q3 2022:Q4 2023:Q1 2023:Q2 2023:Q3 2023:Q4 2024:Q1 2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

141.0 1.8 43.2 97.8

139.0 2.4 44.2 94.8

137.8 4.0 45.0 92.8

139.8 -8.5 45.5 94.2

141.4 0.2 46.0 95.3

142.8 2.7 46.4 96.3

143.9 4.4 46.9 96.9

145.1 3.8 47.5 97.5

146.7 3.7 48.2 98.4

148.2 3.8 48.8 99.5

149.8 4.1 49.3 100.5

151.8 4.6 49.9 101.9

153.5 4.7 50.6 103.0

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

112.1 -1.0

110.1 -0.1

108.7 1.5

109.8 -10.2

110.6 -1.3

111.3 1.1

111.7 2.8

112.1 2.1

112.8 2.0

113.5 2.0

114.1 2.2

115.0 2.6

115.8 2.7

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

93.2 74.0

91.7 72.6

90.7 71.6

91.8 72.1

92.6 72.5

93.4 72.8

93.9 72.9

94.4 72.9

95.2 73.2

96.0 73.5

96.7 73.7

97.7 74.1

98.5 74.3

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

69.3 6.2

69.3 3.9

69.5 2.5

69.6 1.4

70.0 1.1

70.5 1.6

70.9 2.0

71.4 2.6

72.0 2.8

72.6 3.1

73.2 3.3

73.8 3.4

74.5 3.4

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

620.1 9.4

634.9 6.1

645.0 6.4

650.8 6.5

654.3 5.5

656.5 3.4

659.3 2.2

663.0 1.9

666.4 1.9

668.9 1.9

671.2 1.8

673.5 1.6

676.1 1.4

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

20.0 5.0

20.1 4.2

20.2 3.2

20.2 1.5

20.2 1.3

20.2 0.2

20.2 0.0

20.2 0.0

20.2 0.0

20.2 0.1

20.2 0.0

20.1 -0.4

20.1 -0.7

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

600.2 9.5

614.7 6.1

624.8 6.5

630.5 6.6

634.1 5.6

636.3 3.5

639.1 2.3

642.7 1.9

646.2 1.9

648.7 1.9

651.1 1.9

653.4 1.7

656.0 1.5

38.5 5.1

39.1 3.7

39.3 3.2

39.4 2.8

39.5 2.6

39.5 1.2

39.6 0.8

39.5 0.3

39.5 0.1

39.5 0.0

39.5 -0.2

39.5 0.0

39.5 -0.1

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

113.8 8.6

116.0 4.1

116.3 4.1

115.0 2.3

113.8 0.0

113.6 -2.1

111.5 -4.2

110.8 -3.7

112.2 -1.5

111.5 -1.8

111.2 -0.2

110.1 -0.6

108.7 -3.1

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

23.3 76.2 14.4

23.3 77.9 14.8

23.6 77.8 15.0

23.7 76.1 15.2

24.0 74.5 15.4

24.8 73.0 15.8

25.1 70.6 15.8

25.3 69.6 15.9

25.3 71.0 15.8

25.4 70.3 15.8

25.5 70.0 15.8

25.7 68.5 15.9

25.9 66.7 16.0

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

9.4 4.9

9.7 2.9

9.8 5.0

10.2 9.9

10.3 8.9

10.5 8.5

10.4 5.6

10.4 2.1

10.5 2.3

10.6 1.2

10.7 3.0

10.8 3.9

11.0 4.4

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

44.4 5.1

45.0 3.7

45.1 2.7

45.5 2.7

46.3 4.2

47.1 4.6

47.0 4.3

47.2 3.7

46.9 1.4

46.9 -0.5

46.9 -0.3

47.1 -0.3

47.3 0.8

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

119.7 8.9

122.6 6.7

126.0 7.2

130.1 9.1

130.3 8.9

128.9 5.1

129.3 2.6

130.4 0.2

130.7 0.3

131.3 1.9

132.1 2.2

133.6 2.5

135.5 3.7

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

103.6 6.4

104.9 3.4

105.5 4.1

104.6 1.8

106.8 3.1

107.1 2.1

106.3 0.8

106.6 2.0

106.4 -0.3

106.7 -0.3

107.0 0.7

107.7 1.0

108.2 1.7

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

80.4 35.0

85.0 19.3

88.2 19.2

89.5 19.0

89.6 11.4

90.8 6.8

95.3 8.1

97.3 8.7

99.3 10.9

101.5 11.7

102.5 7.6

103.2 6.1

104.0 4.7

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

30.8 11.6

31.9 7.7

32.9 11.0

33.8 13.1

34.7 12.7

35.4 11.2

35.6 7.9

35.7 5.5

35.5 2.3

35.4 0.0

35.5 -0.2

35.6 -0.1

35.9 1.2

7.0 1.6

7.0 -8.7

7.0 -2.1

7.0 0.2

7.0 0.1

7.0 0.2

7.0 0.4

7.1 0.4

7.1 0.5

7.1 0.4

7.1 0.3

7.1 0.3

7.1 0.1

52.6 -2.5

53.5 2.2

54.7 0.9

55.3 5.0

55.9 6.2

56.4 5.4

57.1 4.3

57.7 4.3

58.1 4.0

58.2 3.2

58.5 2.4

58.7 1.6

58.9 1.4

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

1513.8 0.4

1516.3 0.5

1519.1 0.6

1522.4 0.7

1525.8 0.8

1529.1 0.8

1532.8 0.9

1536.7 0.9

1540.5 1.0

1544.8 1.0

1549.2 1.1

1553.5 1.1

1558.3 1.2

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

735.4 10.4

747.6 8.4

753.0 7.1

759.2 4.5

764.2 3.9

769.7 3.0

773.6 2.7

776.9 2.3

780.7 2.2

784.3 1.9

787.5 1.8

790.5 1.7

793.8 1.7

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

4.9

4.7

4.1

4.1

4.0

3.9

3.9

3.8

3.7

3.7

3.6

3.6

3.6

7190.6 5038.3 2152.3

7645.8 5261.5 2384.3

8125.8 5428.6 2697.2

8497.0 5516.9 2980.1

8780.1 5571.4 3208.7

9007.9 5613.6 3394.4

9192.1 5682.8 3509.4

9274.6 5709.8 3564.9

9377.2 5720.0 3657.3

9412.0 5757.4 3654.7

9557.6 5891.5 3666.1

9639.0 5958.8 3680.1

9661.0 5996.6 3664.4

Institute for Economic Forecasting

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