Florida & Metro Forecast 2021 Quarter 2

Page 114

P O R T S T. L U C I E

Short Term Outlook for Port St. Lucie, FL July 2021 2021:Q2 2021:Q3 2021:Q4 2022:Q1 2022:Q2 2022:Q3 2022:Q4 2023:Q1 2023:Q2 2023:Q3 2023:Q4 2024:Q1 2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

31.1 1.4 8.3 22.8

30.7 1.8 8.5 22.2

30.4 3.7 8.6 21.8

30.8 -7.8 8.7 22.1

31.2 0.4 8.8 22.4

31.5 2.7 8.9 22.6

31.7 4.3 9.0 22.7

31.9 3.7 9.1 22.8

32.3 3.6 9.2 23.0

32.6 3.6 9.3 23.3

32.9 3.9 9.4 23.5

33.3 4.4 9.6 23.8

33.7 4.4 9.7 24.0

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

28.4 -1.4

27.9 -0.6

27.6 1.3

27.8 -9.6

28.1 -1.2

28.2 1.0

28.3 2.6

28.4 2.0

28.6 1.8

28.7 1.8

28.9 2.0

29.1 2.5

29.2 2.4

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

61.4 56.1

60.5 55.1

59.8 54.3

60.4 54.6

61.0 54.9

61.5 55.1

61.7 55.2

62.0 55.1

62.5 55.3

63.0 55.5

63.5 55.7

64.2 56.0

64.7 56.1

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

53.2 6.7

53.2 3.9

53.4 2.7

53.5 1.6

53.8 1.1

54.1 1.6

54.5 2.1

54.9 2.8

55.4 3.1

55.9 3.4

56.4 3.6

57.0 3.7

57.5 3.7

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

154.5 7.2

158.3 4.0

160.5 6.1

161.7 6.0

163.1 5.6

163.8 3.5

164.4 2.4

164.6 1.8

165.6 1.6

166.1 1.4

166.4 1.2

166.8 1.3

167.0 0.8

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

7.5 4.4

7.6 2.9

7.6 0.2

7.6 0.5

7.6 1.1

7.6 0.8

7.6 1.1

7.7 0.9

7.7 0.8

7.7 0.7

7.7 0.5

7.7 -0.1

7.6 -0.4

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

146.9 7.4

150.7 4.1

152.9 6.4

154.1 6.3

155.5 5.8

156.2 3.6

156.7 2.5

157.0 1.9

158.0 1.6

158.4 1.5

158.7 1.3

159.1 1.4

159.4 0.9

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

13.0 7.5

13.0 5.8

13.0 5.6

13.0 1.6

13.0 -0.1

12.9 -0.7

12.9 -1.1

12.8 -1.3

12.7 -1.7

12.7 -1.9

12.6 -1.8

12.6 -1.8

12.5 -1.8

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

30.3 2.4

30.8 -1.6

30.7 -0.7

30.2 -0.9

29.8 -1.9

29.6 -4.1

28.9 -5.9

28.5 -5.6

28.8 -3.2

28.6 -3.4

28.4 -1.7

28.1 -1.4

27.7 -3.6

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

4.6 20.5 5.2

4.6 20.9 5.3

4.6 20.7 5.4

4.6 20.2 5.4

4.6 19.7 5.4

4.7 19.3 5.5

4.7 18.7 5.5

4.7 18.3 5.5

4.7 18.6 5.4

4.7 18.4 5.4

4.7 18.3 5.4

4.8 17.9 5.4

4.8 17.5 5.4

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.0 -1.4

1.1 5.3

1.1 6.2

1.1 11.9

1.1 6.7

1.1 6.7

1.1 4.4

1.1 1.7

1.1 2.3

1.1 1.5

1.2 3.7

1.2 4.4

1.2 4.7

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

6.0 2.9

6.0 0.5

6.0 1.3

6.1 0.8

6.2 2.9

6.2 3.6

6.2 3.4

6.2 2.6

6.1 -0.1

6.1 -2.1

6.1 -1.9

6.1 -1.5

6.2 0.2

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

23.5 12.8

24.4 11.9

25.3 16.9

26.4 17.2

26.6 12.9

26.4 8.1

26.6 5.0

27.0 2.4

27.1 2.1

27.3 3.5

27.5 3.5

27.9 3.3

28.3 4.3

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

27.8 3.9

28.3 2.8

28.6 3.1

28.4 2.7

29.2 4.7

29.4 3.8

29.4 2.7

29.5 3.8

29.6 1.4

29.7 1.0

29.9 1.8

30.2 2.2

30.4 2.8

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

19.2 30.6

20.4 11.8

20.9 16.4

21.2 15.7

21.7 13.0

22.1 8.6

23.1 10.6

23.1 8.9

23.8 9.5

24.1 9.1

24.2 4.7

24.2 4.8

24.1 1.5

7.6 8.6

7.8 6.5

8.1 10.0

8.3 11.2

8.5 12.2

8.6 10.6

8.7 7.2

8.7 4.9

8.6 1.8

8.6 -0.7

8.6 -1.1

8.6 -1.3

8.6 -0.4

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

1.0 -5.0

1.0 -14.4

1.0 -5.8

1.0 -2.9

1.0 0.4

1.0 -0.1

1.0 -0.3

1.0 -0.3

1.0 -0.5

1.0 -0.5

1.0 -0.6

1.0 -0.5

1.0 -0.3

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

17.5 -2.5

17.8 -1.4

18.2 2.5

18.4 4.0

18.6 6.3

18.7 5.1

18.9 3.7

19.0 3.2

19.1 2.7

19.2 2.4

19.3 2.0

19.3 1.6

19.4 1.5

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

505.9 1.3

507.2 1.2

508.4 1.1

509.7 1.0

511.0 1.0

512.2 1.0

513.4 1.0

514.8 1.0

516.1 1.0

517.3 1.0

518.5 1.0

519.7 1.0

520.9 0.9

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

215.9 4.1

219.0 2.2

220.2 2.0

221.3 3.1

222.2 2.9

223.8 2.2

224.8 2.1

225.7 2.0

226.6 2.0

227.5 1.7

228.2 1.5

228.8 1.4

229.4 1.2

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

114

2.7

2.6

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.5

2.6

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.2

5992.4 5181.9 810.5

5812.3 4868.4 943.9

5541.9 4583.2 958.6

5149.0 4212.0 937.0

4836.8 3940.0 896.9

4577.3 3714.8 862.5

4387.9 3552.9 835.0

4241.4 3424.4 816.9

4173.7 3353.8 819.9

4147.9 3330.8 817.1

4179.9 3364.7 815.2

4168.6 3352.5 816.0

4144.1 3333.6 810.4

Florida & Metro Forecast / July 2021


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