Florida & Metro Forecast Fall 2021

Page 109

P ensacola – F err y P ass – B rent

Short Term Outlook for Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL December 2021 Forecast 2021:Q4

2022:Q1

2022:Q2

2022:Q3

2022:Q4

2023:Q1

2023:Q2

2023:Q3

2023:Q4

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

2024:Q1

2024:Q2

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

26.0 5.2 11.5 14.4

26.0 -6.3 11.7 14.3

26.3 0.3 11.9 14.5

26.6 2.0 12.0 14.6

26.8 3.3 12.1 14.7

27.0 3.8 12.2 14.8

27.3 3.9 12.4 15.0

27.6 3.9 12.5 15.1

27.9 4.2 12.6 15.3

28.2 4.4 12.8 15.5

28.5 4.3 12.9 15.6

28.8 4.2 13.0 15.8

29.1 4.3 13.1 16.0

Real Personal Income (12$) Pct Chg Year Ago

24.2 0.5

24.1 -9.9

24.3 -2.6

24.4 -0.3

24.5 1.4

24.6 2.0

24.8 2.0

24.9 2.1

25.1 2.3

25.2 2.4

25.3 2.2

25.5 2.1

25.6 2.1

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (12$)

49.8 46.4

49.9 46.3

50.3 46.4

50.7 46.6

51.0 46.7

51.3 46.7

51.8 46.9

52.2 47.1

52.6 47.3

53.1 47.4

53.5 47.5

53.9 47.7

54.4 47.9

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

56.8 3.9

57.2 3.9

57.4 2.1

57.6 1.5

57.9 1.9

58.2 1.7

58.5 1.9

58.8 2.1

59.3 2.4

59.8 2.8

60.4 3.2

60.9 3.6

61.5 3.7

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

188.5 3.0

189.9 2.5

191.9 3.3

193.3 3.5

194.4 3.1

195.5 2.9

197.2 2.7

198.1 2.5

198.6 2.1

199.0 1.8

199.3 1.1

199.6 0.8

199.9 0.6

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

7.1 3.8

7.1 2.8

7.2 4.0

7.2 1.0

7.2 1.1

7.2 1.2

7.2 0.4

7.2 0.4

7.1 -0.6

7.1 -1.4

7.0 -2.2

7.0 -2.8

6.9 -3.2

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

181.4 2.9

182.8 2.5

184.8 3.3

186.1 3.6

187.2 3.2

188.3 3.0

190.0 2.8

190.9 2.6

191.4 2.2

191.9 1.9

192.3 1.2

192.6 0.9

192.9 0.8

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

12.4 3.6

12.2 1.5

12.1 -0.4

12.0 -3.8

11.9 -3.8

11.8 -3.7

11.7 -3.9

11.5 -4.4

11.4 -4.5

11.3 -4.5

11.2 -4.0

11.1 -3.3

11.1 -2.6

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

34.6 1.9

34.3 0.3

34.0 0.6

33.9 -0.7

33.2 -4.0

32.9 -4.2

33.4 -1.8

33.3 -1.9

33.3 0.2

33.0 0.2

32.3 -3.4

32.1 -3.6

32.0 -3.8

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

6.0 23.9 4.7

6.0 23.6 4.7

6.1 23.3 4.7

6.2 22.9 4.8

6.2 22.2 4.8

6.3 21.9 4.8

6.3 22.4 4.7

6.3 22.3 4.7

6.3 22.2 4.7

6.4 21.8 4.7

6.5 21.0 4.8

6.5 20.7 4.8

6.6 20.6 4.8

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.6 4.6

1.6 4.0

1.6 4.3

1.6 3.1

1.6 0.4

1.6 0.8

1.6 2.2

1.6 3.3

1.7 6.0

1.7 6.5

1.7 6.2

1.7 4.7

1.7 1.7

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

16.1 4.0

16.4 6.5

16.8 10.0

17.1 8.0

17.1 6.7

17.4 6.5

17.6 4.9

17.8 4.1

18.0 5.1

18.3 5.0

18.6 5.9

18.8 5.7

18.9 5.0

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

25.0 -1.6

25.9 -1.1

26.4 2.7

26.7 7.2

26.8 7.1

27.0 4.3

26.8 1.6

26.8 0.4

26.8 0.1

27.1 0.2

27.3 1.8

27.4 2.5

27.5 2.4

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

31.6 2.9

31.8 2.9

32.5 4.8

32.5 4.0

32.4 2.7

32.6 2.3

32.6 0.3

32.6 0.3

32.8 1.1

33.1 1.7

33.3 2.3

33.5 2.6

33.6 2.4

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

24.7 9.1

24.7 6.2

24.9 1.2

25.4 3.9

27.1 9.7

27.9 12.9

29.1 16.6

30.0 17.9

30.1 11.0

30.0 7.7

30.2 3.8

30.2 0.8

30.3 0.6

6.8 4.2

6.9 4.8

7.1 8.0

7.4 11.9

7.4 9.5

7.4 7.5

7.3 2.6

7.3 -0.7

7.3 -0.9

7.4 -0.4

7.4 1.1

7.5 1.8

7.5 2.3

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

6.8 -0.7

6.9 1.8

7.0 6.1

7.1 8.7

7.2 7.0

7.3 6.0

7.3 4.5

7.3 3.1

7.3 1.7

7.4 1.0

7.4 0.4

7.4 0.2

7.4 0.1

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

22.0 3.0

22.1 2.8

22.3 3.6

22.4 2.4

22.5 2.1

22.5 1.8

22.6 1.5

22.7 1.2

22.7 1.2

22.8 1.3

22.9 1.3

23.0 1.4

23.1 1.5

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

520.7 1.2

521.8 1.1

523.1 1.1

524.3 0.9

525.4 0.9

526.7 0.9

528.0 0.9

529.4 1.0

530.6 1.0

531.7 1.0

532.8 0.9

534.0 0.9

535.1 0.9

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

243.3 7.0

246.0 5.4

247.9 3.9

249.4 3.8

250.6 3.0

251.1 2.1

251.7 1.5

251.9 1.0

251.8 0.5

251.7 0.3

251.8 0.0

251.9 0.0

251.9 0.1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

5.0

4.9

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.5

4.4

4.3

4.1

3.9

3.8

3.7

3.4

4222.3 2690.9 1531.4

3857.3 2489.7 1367.5

3375.2 2430.9 944.3

3000.8 2390.1 610.7

2879.5 2406.3 473.1

2744.6 2410.5 334.1

2636.0 2388.4 247.6

2594.4 2399.9 194.5

2571.2 2375.9 195.2

2509.0 2315.0 194.0

2467.9 2279.1 188.7

2432.2 2247.4 184.8

2396.1 2221.3 174.8

Institute for Economic Forecasting

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