Appendix E: Transformative Vision
How much GHG could we reduce if we reached a 28% bicycle mode share by 2040?
Though none of the packages are anticipated to allow San Francisco to meet its transportation-related targets to meet its climate goals by 2040, San Francisco can still get to its goals. We can see examples of how global peer cities have handled these transportation challenges and get a lot closer to our transportation-related climate goals if we were to emulate some of those cities: Copenhagen, Singapore and Bogotá.
An additional 109,000 mtCO2e per year, which would close the gap from a 73% reduction to a 78% reduction in GHG emissions from cars and trucks compared to 1990 levels.
If San Francisco were to have the current low-carbon mode shares of Copenhagen, Singapore or Bogotá, it would nearly meet or exceed its transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals.
Transformational Bicycle and Pedestrian Infrastructure in Walkable, Bikeable Neighborhoods (Vision: Copenhagen) 2,000,000
Copenhagen
Copenhagen, Denmark, is the capital and most populous city of Denmark with a high bicycle mode share of 28% of all trips. Like San Francisco, it has a similar size and population to San Francisco, a tightly spaced street grid, is economically prosperous and has a strong climate vision. What did they do?
1,500,000
1,000,000
• Extensive investment in the highest quality bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure • Rely on rail transit to connect to larger region • Leverage land use patterns where most goods and services are located within a one-mile radius of home
500,000
• Foster a culture where all types of people feel safe bicycling • Expensive registration taxes for private cars -
How do they compare?
2020
2026
2030
2035
Mode Share
Copenhagen
San Francisco
Climate Roadmap
Land Use, Regional Investments, and EV Mandate
Private Car
30%
56%
Additional Reduction - Copenhagen Scenario
Goal
Public Transport
21%
20%
Walk
21%
20%
Bike
28%
3%
2040
Transformational Bicycle and Pedestrian Infrastructure in Walkable, Bikeable Neighborhoods (Vision: Copenhagen)
Mode Share of Copenhagen vs. San Francisco
82
83